<?xml version="1.0" encoding="UTF-8"?><rss xmlns:dc="http://purl.org/dc/elements/1.1/" xmlns:content="http://purl.org/rss/1.0/modules/content/" xmlns:atom="http://www.w3.org/2005/Atom" version="2.0" xmlns:itunes="http://www.itunes.com/dtds/podcast-1.0.dtd" xmlns:googleplay="http://www.google.com/schemas/play-podcasts/1.0"><channel><title><![CDATA[Riptide Investigations: Power & Politics]]></title><description><![CDATA[Accountability reporting on political influence, government decision-making, and the networks that shape public policy.]]></description><link>https://mikethunderphillips.substack.com/s/power-and-politics</link><image><url>https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!6RLQ!,w_256,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fa6a99b0f-2abb-4672-8521-b06a97457d1a_1254x1254.png</url><title>Riptide Investigations: Power &amp; Politics</title><link>https://mikethunderphillips.substack.com/s/power-and-politics</link></image><generator>Substack</generator><lastBuildDate>Mon, 11 May 2026 17:05:30 GMT</lastBuildDate><atom:link href="https://mikethunderphillips.substack.com/feed" rel="self" type="application/rss+xml"/><copyright><![CDATA[Michael Phillips]]></copyright><language><![CDATA[en]]></language><webMaster><![CDATA[mikethunderphillips@substack.com]]></webMaster><itunes:owner><itunes:email><![CDATA[mikethunderphillips@substack.com]]></itunes:email><itunes:name><![CDATA[Michael "Thunder" Phillips]]></itunes:name></itunes:owner><itunes:author><![CDATA[Michael "Thunder" Phillips]]></itunes:author><googleplay:owner><![CDATA[mikethunderphillips@substack.com]]></googleplay:owner><googleplay:email><![CDATA[mikethunderphillips@substack.com]]></googleplay:email><googleplay:author><![CDATA[Michael "Thunder" Phillips]]></googleplay:author><itunes:block><![CDATA[Yes]]></itunes:block><item><title><![CDATA[The $59 Million Test]]></title><description><![CDATA[The people most angry about the undelivered Trump Mobile T1 phone are Trump supporters.]]></description><link>https://mikethunderphillips.substack.com/p/the-59-million-test</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://mikethunderphillips.substack.com/p/the-59-million-test</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Michael "Thunder" Phillips]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Mon, 11 May 2026 04:10:55 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!rgAd!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F8756a86d-617e-485c-a67e-29ad52f6af6a_1024x512.png" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!rgAd!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F8756a86d-617e-485c-a67e-29ad52f6af6a_1024x512.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!rgAd!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F8756a86d-617e-485c-a67e-29ad52f6af6a_1024x512.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!rgAd!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F8756a86d-617e-485c-a67e-29ad52f6af6a_1024x512.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!rgAd!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F8756a86d-617e-485c-a67e-29ad52f6af6a_1024x512.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!rgAd!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F8756a86d-617e-485c-a67e-29ad52f6af6a_1024x512.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!rgAd!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F8756a86d-617e-485c-a67e-29ad52f6af6a_1024x512.png" width="1024" height="512" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/8756a86d-617e-485c-a67e-29ad52f6af6a_1024x512.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:512,&quot;width&quot;:1024,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:null,&quot;alt&quot;:&quot;Image depicting an investigative report on Trump Mobile's unfulfilled promise of delivering a USA-made phone, highlighting the campaign's financial figures and customer dissatisfaction.&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:null,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:false,&quot;topImage&quot;:true,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:null,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="Image depicting an investigative report on Trump Mobile's unfulfilled promise of delivering a USA-made phone, highlighting the campaign's financial figures and customer dissatisfaction." title="Image depicting an investigative report on Trump Mobile's unfulfilled promise of delivering a USA-made phone, highlighting the campaign's financial figures and customer dissatisfaction." srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!rgAd!,w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F8756a86d-617e-485c-a67e-29ad52f6af6a_1024x512.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!rgAd!,w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F8756a86d-617e-485c-a67e-29ad52f6af6a_1024x512.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!rgAd!,w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F8756a86d-617e-485c-a67e-29ad52f6af6a_1024x512.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!rgAd!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F8756a86d-617e-485c-a67e-29ad52f6af6a_1024x512.png 1456w" sizes="100vw" fetchpriority="high"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg role="img" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><title></title><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><h4>The people most angry about the undelivered Trump Mobile T1 phone are Trump supporters. 590,000 of them paid $100 deposits for a phone built in China, sold as Made in America, that still hasn&#8217;t shipped. The FTC hasn&#8217;t moved. Neither has a single Republican in Congress.</h4><p style="text-align: center;"><em>Consumer Protection &amp; Accountability</em></p><div><hr></div><p><em><strong>Before the outrage lands &#8212; and it should &#8212; a note:</strong> if you represent a state where Medicaid fraud, benefits trafficking, or improper payments run into the billions and you&#8217;ve fought every audit, every verification measure, every accountability mechanism, the $59 million here is real and worth your attention. But check the scale before you claim the moral high ground.</em></p><div class="subscription-widget-wrap-editor" data-attrs="{&quot;url&quot;:&quot;https://mikethunderphillips.substack.com/subscribe?&quot;,&quot;text&quot;:&quot;Subscribe&quot;,&quot;language&quot;:&quot;en&quot;}" data-component-name="SubscribeWidgetToDOM"><div class="subscription-widget show-subscribe"><div class="preamble"><p class="cta-caption">Riptide Investigations is a reader-supported publication. To receive new posts and support my work, consider becoming a free or paid subscriber.</p></div><form class="subscription-widget-subscribe"><input type="email" class="email-input" name="email" placeholder="Type your email&#8230;" tabindex="-1"><input type="submit" class="button primary" value="Subscribe"><div class="fake-input-wrapper"><div class="fake-input"></div><div class="fake-button"></div></div></form></div></div><p style="text-align: center;"><strong>Scale Check</strong></p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!T1-E!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F9e44affb-9565-49c8-b78d-8c595a93d7d5_846x343.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!T1-E!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F9e44affb-9565-49c8-b78d-8c595a93d7d5_846x343.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!T1-E!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F9e44affb-9565-49c8-b78d-8c595a93d7d5_846x343.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!T1-E!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F9e44affb-9565-49c8-b78d-8c595a93d7d5_846x343.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!T1-E!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F9e44affb-9565-49c8-b78d-8c595a93d7d5_846x343.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!T1-E!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F9e44affb-9565-49c8-b78d-8c595a93d7d5_846x343.png" width="846" height="343" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/9e44affb-9565-49c8-b78d-8c595a93d7d5_846x343.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:343,&quot;width&quot;:846,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:null,&quot;alt&quot;:&quot;Bar graph comparing Trump Mobile deposits ($59 million) to federal improper payments ($236 billion), highlighting that federal payments are approximately 4,000 times larger.&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:null,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:false,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:null,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="Bar graph comparing Trump Mobile deposits ($59 million) to federal improper payments ($236 billion), highlighting that federal payments are approximately 4,000 times larger." title="Bar graph comparing Trump Mobile deposits ($59 million) to federal improper payments ($236 billion), highlighting that federal payments are approximately 4,000 times larger." srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!T1-E!,w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F9e44affb-9565-49c8-b78d-8c595a93d7d5_846x343.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!T1-E!,w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F9e44affb-9565-49c8-b78d-8c595a93d7d5_846x343.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!T1-E!,w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F9e44affb-9565-49c8-b78d-8c595a93d7d5_846x343.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!T1-E!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F9e44affb-9565-49c8-b78d-8c595a93d7d5_846x343.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg role="img" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><title></title><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><div><hr></div><p>A self-described Trump supporter posted a video to TikTok this spring addressing Donald Trump Jr. and Eric Trump directly. He had ordered four T1 phones over the summer &#8212; one for himself, some for family &#8212; and had received no updates, no phones, and no straight answers. &#8220;Hey, Trump supporter here,&#8221; he said. &#8220;Where the f---&#8217;s my phone?&#8221; The clip went viral. Thousands of comments piled in from people in the same position. The frustration was not coming from the left.</p><p>Nearly 590,000 Americans paid a $100 deposit for the Trump Mobile T1 &#8212; a gold-colored Android smartphone announced in June 2025 by the president&#8217;s two eldest sons as a patriotic alternative to Apple and Samsung, built in America, priced at $499, and promised for delivery by late summer. As of May 2026, not a single confirmed customer has received one. The deposits total approximately $59 million. A revised terms of service published in April now states explicitly that the deposit &#8220;does not constitute a completed purchase and does not create a binding legal contract.&#8221; For most customers, the money is effectively gone.</p><p>The people most angry about this are, by and large, Trump supporters. That matters &#8212; because so far, the institutions responsible for protecting them appear to be doing nothing about it.</p><p style="text-align: center;"><strong>By the Numbers</strong></p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!2P5e!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ff19a5347-12dc-489b-91f8-8fb9f60c570c_1024x299.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!2P5e!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ff19a5347-12dc-489b-91f8-8fb9f60c570c_1024x299.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!2P5e!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ff19a5347-12dc-489b-91f8-8fb9f60c570c_1024x299.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!2P5e!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ff19a5347-12dc-489b-91f8-8fb9f60c570c_1024x299.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!2P5e!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ff19a5347-12dc-489b-91f8-8fb9f60c570c_1024x299.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!2P5e!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ff19a5347-12dc-489b-91f8-8fb9f60c570c_1024x299.png" width="1024" height="299" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/f19a5347-12dc-489b-91f8-8fb9f60c570c_1024x299.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:299,&quot;width&quot;:1024,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:null,&quot;alt&quot;:&quot;Graphic displaying pre-order statistics: 590K Americans have placed pre-orders, with $59M in deposits collected at $100 per person, and 0 phones delivered as of May 2026.&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:null,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:true,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:null,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="Graphic displaying pre-order statistics: 590K Americans have placed pre-orders, with $59M in deposits collected at $100 per person, and 0 phones delivered as of May 2026." title="Graphic displaying pre-order statistics: 590K Americans have placed pre-orders, with $59M in deposits collected at $100 per person, and 0 phones delivered as of May 2026." srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!2P5e!,w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ff19a5347-12dc-489b-91f8-8fb9f60c570c_1024x299.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!2P5e!,w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ff19a5347-12dc-489b-91f8-8fb9f60c570c_1024x299.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!2P5e!,w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ff19a5347-12dc-489b-91f8-8fb9f60c570c_1024x299.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!2P5e!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ff19a5347-12dc-489b-91f8-8fb9f60c570c_1024x299.png 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg role="img" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><title></title><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><h2>What Was Sold</h2><p>Trump Mobile launched on June 16, 2025, at Trump Tower in New York City. The date was deliberate: the tenth anniversary of Donald Trump&#8217;s 2016 presidential campaign announcement. The T1 was the flagship product &#8212; a $499 smartphone marketed with American flags, gold finish, and a &#8220;MADE IN THE USA&#8221; banner headline on the company website. A $100 deposit would secure your place in line for late summer delivery. Monthly service plans were priced at $47.45 &#8212; a figure the company explained as a nod to Trump being the 45th and 47th president.</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!ZF3O!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fad866953-88b9-4258-9a50-bcbbb3aa0575_300x300.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!ZF3O!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fad866953-88b9-4258-9a50-bcbbb3aa0575_300x300.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!ZF3O!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fad866953-88b9-4258-9a50-bcbbb3aa0575_300x300.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!ZF3O!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fad866953-88b9-4258-9a50-bcbbb3aa0575_300x300.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!ZF3O!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fad866953-88b9-4258-9a50-bcbbb3aa0575_300x300.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!ZF3O!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fad866953-88b9-4258-9a50-bcbbb3aa0575_300x300.png" width="300" height="300" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/ad866953-88b9-4258-9a50-bcbbb3aa0575_300x300.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:300,&quot;width&quot;:300,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:null,&quot;alt&quot;:&quot;A gold smartphone featuring the Trump Mobile logo, with a screen displaying 'Make America Great Again' and the date 'January 20, 2025'. The back of the phone has a large 'T1' and an American flag design.&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:null,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:true,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:null,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="A gold smartphone featuring the Trump Mobile logo, with a screen displaying 'Make America Great Again' and the date 'January 20, 2025'. The back of the phone has a large 'T1' and an American flag design." title="A gold smartphone featuring the Trump Mobile logo, with a screen displaying 'Make America Great Again' and the date 'January 20, 2025'. The back of the phone has a large 'T1' and an American flag design." srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!ZF3O!,w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fad866953-88b9-4258-9a50-bcbbb3aa0575_300x300.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!ZF3O!,w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fad866953-88b9-4258-9a50-bcbbb3aa0575_300x300.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!ZF3O!,w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fad866953-88b9-4258-9a50-bcbbb3aa0575_300x300.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!ZF3O!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fad866953-88b9-4258-9a50-bcbbb3aa0575_300x300.png 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg role="img" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><title></title><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><p>The patriotism-as-product angle worked. An estimated 590,000 consumers paid the $100 deposit, generating approximately $59 million in pre-order revenue for a device that had not yet been built, certified, or manufactured. For Trump Mobile&#8217;s target audience, the phone was less a consumer electronics purchase than a statement of affiliation. That made the subsequent collapse feel, to many buyers, like something more than a bad product launch.</p><p>The &#8220;Made in the USA&#8221; claim lasted less than a week. Within days of the June 2025 launch, analysts noted the absence of any existing U.S. facilities capable of producing a smartphone at scale. The language quietly disappeared from the website &#8212; replaced first with &#8220;American-proud design,&#8221; then &#8220;brought to life right here in the USA.&#8221; Supply chain experts noted both phrases were, in legal and commercial terms, meaningless. By February 2026, company executives confirmed the obvious: the T1 would not be manufactured in the United States. Bulk production would happen overseas, likely through Chinese manufacturer Wingtech. Final assembly of approximately ten components would occur in Miami. The phone sold as a symbol of American manufacturing was almost certainly made in China.</p><div class="pullquote"><h3><em><strong>&#8220;The deposit does not constitute a completed purchase, does not create a binding legal contract, and is a conditional opportunity to buy the device if Trump Mobile eventually chooses to sell it.&#8221;</strong></em></h3><p><strong>Trump Mobile revised Terms of Service, April 2026</strong></p></div><h2>The Timeline of Missed Dates</h2><p>From the beginning, the consumer experience was inconsistent. Investigative journalist Joseph Cox of 404 Media attempted to place a $100 deposit at launch and found the pre-order page charged his card the wrong amount &#8212; $64.70 instead of $100 &#8212; and never collected a shipping address, while still sending a confirmation email.</p><p style="text-align: center;"><strong>Broken Promises: A Chronology</strong></p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!F_hL!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F2b70a456-4e64-4fe9-b7e1-ef6fbb432808_682x874.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!F_hL!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F2b70a456-4e64-4fe9-b7e1-ef6fbb432808_682x874.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!F_hL!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F2b70a456-4e64-4fe9-b7e1-ef6fbb432808_682x874.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!F_hL!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F2b70a456-4e64-4fe9-b7e1-ef6fbb432808_682x874.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!F_hL!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F2b70a456-4e64-4fe9-b7e1-ef6fbb432808_682x874.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!F_hL!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F2b70a456-4e64-4fe9-b7e1-ef6fbb432808_682x874.png" width="682" height="874" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/2b70a456-4e64-4fe9-b7e1-ef6fbb432808_682x874.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:874,&quot;width&quot;:682,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:null,&quot;alt&quot;:&quot;Timeline of events detailing product launch and delays from June 2025 to May 2026, highlighting issues with shipping, manufacturing claims, and government oversight.&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:null,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:true,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:null,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="Timeline of events detailing product launch and delays from June 2025 to May 2026, highlighting issues with shipping, manufacturing claims, and government oversight." title="Timeline of events detailing product launch and delays from June 2025 to May 2026, highlighting issues with shipping, manufacturing claims, and government oversight." srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!F_hL!,w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F2b70a456-4e64-4fe9-b7e1-ef6fbb432808_682x874.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!F_hL!,w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F2b70a456-4e64-4fe9-b7e1-ef6fbb432808_682x874.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!F_hL!,w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F2b70a456-4e64-4fe9-b7e1-ef6fbb432808_682x874.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!F_hL!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F2b70a456-4e64-4fe9-b7e1-ef6fbb432808_682x874.png 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg role="img" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><title></title><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><p>A Trump Mobile representative also cited the 43-day federal government shutdown as a reason for delays. Critics noted &#8212; and Trump Mobile did not address &#8212; that government shutdowns have no operational effect on privately held consumer electronics companies.</p><h2>The Terms of Service Gap</h2><p>In April 2026, Trump Mobile quietly updated its Terms of Service. The revision made explicit what had been buried in fine print since the beginning: paying the $100 deposit &#8220;does not constitute a completed purchase and does not create a binding legal contract.&#8221; The deposit, the updated terms explained, was &#8220;a conditional opportunity to buy the device if Trump Mobile eventually chooses to sell it, with the company retaining full control over whether a phone is produced at all.&#8221;</p><p>The marketing language had told customers they were &#8220;locking in promotional pricing.&#8221; The legal language said pricing could change at any time, no inventory was guaranteed, no delivery date was binding, and the company had no obligation to produce the phone at all.</p><p>That gap &#8212; between what was marketed and what was legally committed &#8212; is the core of the FTC referral. It is also, consumer protection attorneys have noted, exactly the kind of deceptive-acts question the FTC Act Section 5 was designed to address. Intent is not required. The question is whether a reasonable consumer would have understood the material terms at the time of purchase. Given that &#8220;MADE IN THE USA&#8221; was the banner headline when 590,000 people handed over $100, the answer is not obviously yes.</p><h2>Where&#8217;s the Accountability?</h2><p>By January 2026, the consumer complaints had become loud enough that eleven Democratic members of Congress sent a formal letter to the Federal Trade Commission asking it to investigate. The letter cited bait-and-switch tactics, false country-of-origin advertising, and retroactively amended terms. It noted that the FTC&#8217;s response would serve as &#8220;a critical test of the FTC&#8217;s independence and commitment to its mission.&#8221; As of May 2026, the FTC has not publicly confirmed whether a formal investigation has been opened. Trump Mobile has not responded to press inquiries.</p><p>The referral coming from Democrats is worth noting &#8212; not because it makes the underlying conduct less serious, but because it means the political framing has allowed the story to be filed away as partisan grievance. It shouldn&#8217;t be. The 590,000 people who lost deposits are overwhelmingly Trump supporters. The false &#8220;Made in America&#8221; pitch was aimed squarely at conservative consumers who cared about buying American. The Chinese manufacturing angle is a particular sting for a base that has been told economic nationalism is the animating purpose of this administration.</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!PcXG!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fa2fc8b5a-2908-4a5f-b07f-1ea85a83f3a6_1024x683.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!PcXG!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fa2fc8b5a-2908-4a5f-b07f-1ea85a83f3a6_1024x683.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!PcXG!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fa2fc8b5a-2908-4a5f-b07f-1ea85a83f3a6_1024x683.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!PcXG!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fa2fc8b5a-2908-4a5f-b07f-1ea85a83f3a6_1024x683.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!PcXG!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fa2fc8b5a-2908-4a5f-b07f-1ea85a83f3a6_1024x683.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!PcXG!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fa2fc8b5a-2908-4a5f-b07f-1ea85a83f3a6_1024x683.png" width="1024" height="683" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/a2fc8b5a-2908-4a5f-b07f-1ea85a83f3a6_1024x683.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:683,&quot;width&quot;:1024,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:null,&quot;alt&quot;:&quot;A cartoon depicting a controversial phone advertisement for 'Trump Mobile' featuring a golden phone with 'T1' on it. The scene shows frustrated customers asking about their orders, while a government official at a desk downplays their concerns, surrounded by money and a sign from the Federal Trade Commission. The imagery portrays themes of frustration, capitalism, and satire.&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:null,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:true,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:null,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="A cartoon depicting a controversial phone advertisement for 'Trump Mobile' featuring a golden phone with 'T1' on it. The scene shows frustrated customers asking about their orders, while a government official at a desk downplays their concerns, surrounded by money and a sign from the Federal Trade Commission. The imagery portrays themes of frustration, capitalism, and satire." title="A cartoon depicting a controversial phone advertisement for 'Trump Mobile' featuring a golden phone with 'T1' on it. The scene shows frustrated customers asking about their orders, while a government official at a desk downplays their concerns, surrounded by money and a sign from the Federal Trade Commission. The imagery portrays themes of frustration, capitalism, and satire." srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!PcXG!,w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fa2fc8b5a-2908-4a5f-b07f-1ea85a83f3a6_1024x683.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!PcXG!,w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fa2fc8b5a-2908-4a5f-b07f-1ea85a83f3a6_1024x683.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!PcXG!,w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fa2fc8b5a-2908-4a5f-b07f-1ea85a83f3a6_1024x683.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!PcXG!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fa2fc8b5a-2908-4a5f-b07f-1ea85a83f3a6_1024x683.png 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg role="img" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><title></title><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><p>Not one Republican member of Congress has publicly co-signed the FTC referral or issued a statement demanding answers for constituents out $100. That silence is its own accountability story.</p><p>The FTC is led by Andrew Ferguson, a Republican appointee installed in January 2025. Ferguson has made no public statement about Trump Mobile. The agency that has pursued aggressive enforcement actions against other consumer brands under the current administration has said nothing about a venture that collected $59 million in deposits for a product it has not shipped. Phone case manufacturer Spigen separately threatened legal action after its branded case appeared in Trump Mobile promotional imagery without authorization &#8212; and that, too, went unaddressed publicly. Android Authority, which placed its own $100 deposit to track the story, wrote in January 2026 that it fully expected to &#8220;never get a phone&#8221; and &#8220;never see the $100 deposit again.&#8221;</p><div class="callout-block" data-callout="true"><h4><strong>The documented conduct pattern</strong></h4><ul><li><p>Bait-and-switch tactics involving deposits collected for a product never delivered</p></li><li><p>Potentially false &#8220;Made in the USA&#8221; advertising claims</p></li><li><p>Continued marketing despite no fulfillment and no firm delivery timeline</p></li><li><p>Retroactive terms-of-service changes shifting all risk to consumers after deposits were collected</p></li><li><p>Billing irregularities reported by customers on the wireless service plans</p></li></ul></div><h2>The Standard That Should Apply</h2><p>Trump Mobile is not operated by Donald Trump in his presidential capacity. It is a venture by his adult sons, and the family has maintained that distinction in public statements. That distinction matters legally. It does not change the consumer protection calculus, and it does not explain why the voters who make up Trump&#8217;s political base should be expected to absorb a $100 loss without regulatory recourse.</p><p>Consumer protection law does not have a carve-out for politically connected brands, and it should not have one for brands that target politically motivated consumers. The FTC Act Section 5 asks whether a reasonable consumer would have understood the material terms at the time of purchase. When &#8220;MADE IN THE USA&#8221; is the banner headline and the fine print says the deposit creates no binding contract, and the company has no obligation to produce anything, the gap between those two statements is the question. It is not a complicated question.</p><p>The agency charged with answering it has had the referral for four months. It has not answered. The party whose voters are out $59 million has not asked it to.</p><p>That combination of institutional silence and political calculation is, in the end, what this story is about.</p><div><hr></div><p><em><strong>Sources:</strong> IBTimes UK &#8212; &#8220;MAGAs Are Fuming After Email Confirms They Will Never Get Their $500 Trump Phones or Deposits Back&#8221; (May 9, 2026); IBTimes UK &#8212; &#8220;Nearly 600,000 Buyers Paid $60 Million for a Gold Trump Phone That Has Never Arrived&#8221; (May 8, 2026); IBTimes UK &#8212; &#8220;Gold Trump Phone Scam Victim Shares Warning to MAGA Community&#8221; (May 5, 2026); AppleInsider &#8212; &#8220;Trump Mobile&#8217;s T1 smartphone is still vaporware&#8221; (May 10, 2026); South Florida Media &#8212; &#8220;Trump Phone Scandal: 600,000 Customer Deposits Collected, Phones Never Delivered&#8221; (April 2026); AndroidHeadlines &#8212; &#8220;FTC Investigates Why the Trump Phone T1 Still Hasn&#8217;t Shipped&#8221; (January 16, 2026); Goosed.ie &#8212; &#8220;Trump Mobile&#8217;s T1 phone: what your $100 deposit actually bought Trump supporters&#8221; (May 9, 2026); NBC News &#8212; Trump Mobile T1 tracking coverage, deposits placed August 2025 (multiple reports); Android Authority &#8212; Trump Mobile T1 deposit tracking, January 2026 update; 404 Media / Joseph Cox &#8212; Pre-order irregularities reporting, June 2025</em></p><div class="subscription-widget-wrap-editor" data-attrs="{&quot;url&quot;:&quot;https://mikethunderphillips.substack.com/subscribe?&quot;,&quot;text&quot;:&quot;Subscribe&quot;,&quot;language&quot;:&quot;en&quot;}" data-component-name="SubscribeWidgetToDOM"><div class="subscription-widget show-subscribe"><div class="preamble"><p class="cta-caption">Riptide Investigations is a reader-supported publication. To receive new posts and support my work, consider becoming a free or paid subscriber.</p></div><form class="subscription-widget-subscribe"><input type="email" class="email-input" name="email" placeholder="Type your email&#8230;" tabindex="-1"><input type="submit" class="button primary" value="Subscribe"><div class="fake-input-wrapper"><div class="fake-input"></div><div class="fake-button"></div></div></form></div></div>]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[The Field Nobody's Covering: Ten Candidates Running in MD-6 While Everyone Watches the Billionaires Fight]]></title><description><![CDATA[David Trone and April McClain Delaney &#8212; neither of whom lives in the district &#8212; have turned Maryland&#8217;s 6th into a nationalized mud war about Trump.]]></description><link>https://mikethunderphillips.substack.com/p/the-field-nobodys-covering-ten-candidates</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://mikethunderphillips.substack.com/p/the-field-nobodys-covering-ten-candidates</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Michael "Thunder" Phillips]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Sun, 10 May 2026 23:20:35 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Rv-e!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F654d8b86-4572-4168-bc2a-67fc85a80dc8_1536x1024.png" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Rv-e!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F654d8b86-4572-4168-bc2a-67fc85a80dc8_1536x1024.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Rv-e!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F654d8b86-4572-4168-bc2a-67fc85a80dc8_1536x1024.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Rv-e!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F654d8b86-4572-4168-bc2a-67fc85a80dc8_1536x1024.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Rv-e!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F654d8b86-4572-4168-bc2a-67fc85a80dc8_1536x1024.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Rv-e!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F654d8b86-4572-4168-bc2a-67fc85a80dc8_1536x1024.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Rv-e!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F654d8b86-4572-4168-bc2a-67fc85a80dc8_1536x1024.png" width="1456" height="971" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/654d8b86-4572-4168-bc2a-67fc85a80dc8_1536x1024.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:971,&quot;width&quot;:1456,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:null,&quot;alt&quot;:&quot;An infographic highlighting ten candidates running in Maryland's 6th congressional district, featuring images of April McClain Delaney and David Trone. The background includes a map of MD-6, emphasizing key issues such as the opioid crisis, data centers, and rural economy.&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:null,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:false,&quot;topImage&quot;:true,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:null,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="An infographic highlighting ten candidates running in Maryland's 6th congressional district, featuring images of April McClain Delaney and David Trone. The background includes a map of MD-6, emphasizing key issues such as the opioid crisis, data centers, and rural economy." title="An infographic highlighting ten candidates running in Maryland's 6th congressional district, featuring images of April McClain Delaney and David Trone. The background includes a map of MD-6, emphasizing key issues such as the opioid crisis, data centers, and rural economy." srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Rv-e!,w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F654d8b86-4572-4168-bc2a-67fc85a80dc8_1536x1024.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Rv-e!,w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F654d8b86-4572-4168-bc2a-67fc85a80dc8_1536x1024.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Rv-e!,w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F654d8b86-4572-4168-bc2a-67fc85a80dc8_1536x1024.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Rv-e!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F654d8b86-4572-4168-bc2a-67fc85a80dc8_1536x1024.png 1456w" sizes="100vw" fetchpriority="high"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg role="img" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><title></title><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><blockquote><h3>David Trone and April McClain Delaney &#8212; neither of whom lives in the district &#8212; have turned Maryland&#8217;s 6th into a nationalized mud war about Trump. Meanwhile, ten other candidates are running on the actual problems facing Western Maryland. Nobody&#8217;s asking them about it.</h3></blockquote><p style="text-align: center;"><em><strong><a href="https://mdbaynews.com/maryland-election-2026/">Election 2026</a> &#183; <a href="https://mdbaynews.com/maryland-election-2026/maryland-congress-2026/md6-congressional-district/">Maryland&#8217;s 6th Congressional District</a></strong></em></p><div><hr></div><p>Maryland&#8217;s 6th Congressional District has become a national story, but only for two people. David Trone has pumped more than $15 million of his own fortune into a race to reclaim the seat he abandoned to lose a Senate primary. April McClain Delaney, the incumbent he&#8217;s trying to dislodge, has answered with millions of her own and the endorsements of virtually every Democratic officeholder in the state. Their primary has devolved into a mutual opposition research operation, each campaign spending more energy tearing down the other than making any affirmative case for themselves.</p><div class="subscription-widget-wrap-editor" data-attrs="{&quot;url&quot;:&quot;https://mikethunderphillips.substack.com/subscribe?&quot;,&quot;text&quot;:&quot;Subscribe&quot;,&quot;language&quot;:&quot;en&quot;}" data-component-name="SubscribeWidgetToDOM"><div class="subscription-widget show-subscribe"><div class="preamble"><p class="cta-caption">Riptide Investigations is a reader-supported publication. To receive new posts and support my work, consider becoming a free or paid subscriber.</p></div><form class="subscription-widget-subscribe"><input type="email" class="email-input" name="email" placeholder="Type your email&#8230;" tabindex="-1"><input type="submit" class="button primary" value="Subscribe"><div class="fake-input-wrapper"><div class="fake-input"></div><div class="fake-button"></div></div></form></div></div><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Mij-!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fe9d43a0c-d766-432c-8a4a-b6f3f71d4d8f_1280x701.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Mij-!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fe9d43a0c-d766-432c-8a4a-b6f3f71d4d8f_1280x701.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Mij-!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fe9d43a0c-d766-432c-8a4a-b6f3f71d4d8f_1280x701.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Mij-!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fe9d43a0c-d766-432c-8a4a-b6f3f71d4d8f_1280x701.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Mij-!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fe9d43a0c-d766-432c-8a4a-b6f3f71d4d8f_1280x701.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Mij-!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fe9d43a0c-d766-432c-8a4a-b6f3f71d4d8f_1280x701.png" width="1280" height="701" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/e9d43a0c-d766-432c-8a4a-b6f3f71d4d8f_1280x701.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:701,&quot;width&quot;:1280,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:null,&quot;alt&quot;:&quot;Map of Maryland showing a highlighted area in red, indicating a specific geographic region, with various roads and landmarks outlined.&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:null,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:false,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:null,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="Map of Maryland showing a highlighted area in red, indicating a specific geographic region, with various roads and landmarks outlined." title="Map of Maryland showing a highlighted area in red, indicating a specific geographic region, with various roads and landmarks outlined." srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Mij-!,w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fe9d43a0c-d766-432c-8a4a-b6f3f71d4d8f_1280x701.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Mij-!,w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fe9d43a0c-d766-432c-8a4a-b6f3f71d4d8f_1280x701.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Mij-!,w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fe9d43a0c-d766-432c-8a4a-b6f3f71d4d8f_1280x701.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Mij-!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fe9d43a0c-d766-432c-8a4a-b6f3f71d4d8f_1280x701.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg role="img" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><title></title><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><div class="callout-block" data-callout="true"><p><em><strong>Residency note:</strong> Neither David Trone (Potomac) nor April McClain Delaney (Potomac) lives within the district boundaries shown above. Members of Congress are required to live in the state they represent but are not required to live within their district. Potomac falls in the southern portion of Montgomery County, outside the MD-6 boundary, which ends roughly after Gaithersburg. Trone&#8217;s current residence is unclear following reported changes in his domestic situation.</em></p></div><p>There is something foundational that the coverage keeps not saying: neither of them lives in the 6th District. McClain Delaney&#8217;s listed address is Potomac &#8212; in Montgomery County, but outside the district boundaries. Trone&#8217;s address has been Potomac as well, but as MDBayNews has reported separately, his domestic situation has changed significantly, and at this point, it&#8217;s genuinely unclear where he&#8217;s living. The billionaire fighting to represent Western Maryland doesn&#8217;t appear to have a stable address anywhere near Western Maryland.</p><p>The 6th District stretches from the suburban edges of Montgomery County through Frederick, then west across Washington, Allegany, and Garrett counties, all the way to the West Virginia and Pennsylvania borders. It includes Hagerstown, Cumberland, and some of the most economically distressed rural communities in Maryland. The opioid crisis that Trone built his congressional brand around has not resolved. The USDA is moving to close the Beltsville Agricultural Research Center, threatening the agricultural research infrastructure that Western Maryland farmers depend on. Data center development is reshaping energy costs and land use across Frederick County with minimal local input. Broadband gaps persist across the western counties. Fort Detrick&#8217;s economic footprint hangs over Frederick&#8217;s future. Coal country transition in the panhandle remains unaddressed.</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!ypH6!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F2208b601-fce4-4776-9808-3e47d17527b6_1402x1122.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!ypH6!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F2208b601-fce4-4776-9808-3e47d17527b6_1402x1122.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!ypH6!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F2208b601-fce4-4776-9808-3e47d17527b6_1402x1122.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!ypH6!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F2208b601-fce4-4776-9808-3e47d17527b6_1402x1122.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!ypH6!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F2208b601-fce4-4776-9808-3e47d17527b6_1402x1122.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!ypH6!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F2208b601-fce4-4776-9808-3e47d17527b6_1402x1122.png" width="1402" height="1122" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/2208b601-fce4-4776-9808-3e47d17527b6_1402x1122.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:1122,&quot;width&quot;:1402,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:null,&quot;alt&quot;:&quot;A political cartoon depicting a mud-wrestling match between April McClain Delaney and David Trone, emphasizing campaign negativity and super PAC influence. Both candidates are covered in mud, throwing cash while standing in a wrestling ring, with a banner reading 'MD-6: Billionaire Mud-Wrestling Championship.'&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:null,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:true,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:null,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="A political cartoon depicting a mud-wrestling match between April McClain Delaney and David Trone, emphasizing campaign negativity and super PAC influence. Both candidates are covered in mud, throwing cash while standing in a wrestling ring, with a banner reading 'MD-6: Billionaire Mud-Wrestling Championship.'" title="A political cartoon depicting a mud-wrestling match between April McClain Delaney and David Trone, emphasizing campaign negativity and super PAC influence. Both candidates are covered in mud, throwing cash while standing in a wrestling ring, with a banner reading 'MD-6: Billionaire Mud-Wrestling Championship.'" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!ypH6!,w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F2208b601-fce4-4776-9808-3e47d17527b6_1402x1122.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!ypH6!,w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F2208b601-fce4-4776-9808-3e47d17527b6_1402x1122.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!ypH6!,w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F2208b601-fce4-4776-9808-3e47d17527b6_1402x1122.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!ypH6!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F2208b601-fce4-4776-9808-3e47d17527b6_1402x1122.png 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg role="img" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><title></title><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><p>Both funded candidates are running a nationalized anti-Trump campaign &#8212; or in Trone&#8217;s case, a &#8220;I&#8217;m the tougher fighter against Trump&#8221; campaign &#8212; in a D+3 seat where the actual voters in Allegany, Garrett, and Washington counties have specific, local, material needs that have nothing to do with which Potomac millionaire is more resistant to the president. McClain Delaney won this seat in 2024 by about seven points &#8212; competitive, not comfortable &#8212; in a district that has real Republican crossover potential.</p><p>Meanwhile, ten other candidates are running. Their combined fundraising wouldn&#8217;t cover one of Trone&#8217;s Canal Media wire transfers. Most have no paid staff, no TV presence, and no polling. Several have no FEC receipts at all. They&#8217;re running anyway. And some of them are making arguments worth hearing &#8212; especially about the parts of this district that both frontrunners seem to have forgotten exist.</p><h1>The Money Gap: MD-6 Campaign Finance</h1><p>FEC data through Q1 2026 (March 31). David Trone has spent more on a single ad buy than most of this field has raised in total.</p><div class="callout-block" data-callout="true"><p><strong>$11,041,368</strong> &#8212; Trone&#8217;s total FEC receipts through Q1, virtually all self-funded. His largest single outside contribution: $3,500. His largest single self-transfer: <strong>$5,000,000</strong> in one wire on March 10, 2026.</p></div><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!6OGM!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ffc8811ff-0369-4b3c-bd3a-82b9a664b181_726x586.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!6OGM!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ffc8811ff-0369-4b3c-bd3a-82b9a664b181_726x586.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!6OGM!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ffc8811ff-0369-4b3c-bd3a-82b9a664b181_726x586.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!6OGM!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ffc8811ff-0369-4b3c-bd3a-82b9a664b181_726x586.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!6OGM!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ffc8811ff-0369-4b3c-bd3a-82b9a664b181_726x586.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!6OGM!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ffc8811ff-0369-4b3c-bd3a-82b9a664b181_726x586.png" width="726" height="586" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/fc8811ff-0369-4b3c-bd3a-82b9a664b181_726x586.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:586,&quot;width&quot;:726,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:null,&quot;alt&quot;:&quot;Bar chart displaying total receipts of MD-6 candidates through Q1 2026. Trone leads with $11,041,368, followed by McClain Delaney at $3,137,649. Other candidates listed with varying amounts.&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:null,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:true,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:null,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="Bar chart displaying total receipts of MD-6 candidates through Q1 2026. Trone leads with $11,041,368, followed by McClain Delaney at $3,137,649. Other candidates listed with varying amounts." title="Bar chart displaying total receipts of MD-6 candidates through Q1 2026. Trone leads with $11,041,368, followed by McClain Delaney at $3,137,649. Other candidates listed with varying amounts." srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!6OGM!,w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ffc8811ff-0369-4b3c-bd3a-82b9a664b181_726x586.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!6OGM!,w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ffc8811ff-0369-4b3c-bd3a-82b9a664b181_726x586.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!6OGM!,w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ffc8811ff-0369-4b3c-bd3a-82b9a664b181_726x586.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!6OGM!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ffc8811ff-0369-4b3c-bd3a-82b9a664b181_726x586.png 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg role="img" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><title></title><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Fuyk!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F1ab839f2-5630-4cd7-adb5-151b6623dc2e_723x601.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Fuyk!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F1ab839f2-5630-4cd7-adb5-151b6623dc2e_723x601.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Fuyk!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F1ab839f2-5630-4cd7-adb5-151b6623dc2e_723x601.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Fuyk!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F1ab839f2-5630-4cd7-adb5-151b6623dc2e_723x601.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Fuyk!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F1ab839f2-5630-4cd7-adb5-151b6623dc2e_723x601.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Fuyk!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F1ab839f2-5630-4cd7-adb5-151b6623dc2e_723x601.png" width="723" height="601" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/1ab839f2-5630-4cd7-adb5-151b6623dc2e_723x601.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:601,&quot;width&quot;:723,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:null,&quot;alt&quot;:&quot;A financial summary table displaying candidates with FEC records, including names, parties, total raised, total spent, and cash on hand.&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:null,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:true,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:null,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="A financial summary table displaying candidates with FEC records, including names, parties, total raised, total spent, and cash on hand." title="A financial summary table displaying candidates with FEC records, including names, parties, total raised, total spent, and cash on hand." srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Fuyk!,w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F1ab839f2-5630-4cd7-adb5-151b6623dc2e_723x601.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Fuyk!,w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F1ab839f2-5630-4cd7-adb5-151b6623dc2e_723x601.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Fuyk!,w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F1ab839f2-5630-4cd7-adb5-151b6623dc2e_723x601.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Fuyk!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F1ab839f2-5630-4cd7-adb5-151b6623dc2e_723x601.png 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg role="img" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><title></title><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><p>Here&#8217;s the field nobody&#8217;s covering.</p><h1><strong>Republican Primary</strong></h1><h2>Chris Burnett</h2><p><strong>22-Year Marine Corps Veteran &amp; Attorney &#183; Gaithersburg &#183; <a href="https://www.burnettforcongress.com/">burnettforcongress.com</a></strong></p><p>Burnett is the most credible Republican in this race and the one the national press has taken most seriously, earning a profile in the Washington Examiner in January 2026. His argument for the nomination is built on contrast: the district has sent the same faces to the same losses. He is running as the fresh alternative &#8212; a tested leader who hasn&#8217;t already been defined in voters&#8217; minds by a losing campaign.</p><p>His biography is built for this district. He spent 22 years as a Marine Corps JAG officer &#8212; five deployments to the Middle East, legal and national security advisory roles at the Pentagon, U.S. Southern Command, and Marine Forces Cyberspace Command, and three master&#8217;s degrees along the way. He lives in Gaithersburg with his wife, Kadiatou, a naturalized citizen who came from Guinea as a political asylee, and their four children. They opened a small business in Montgomery County and dealt firsthand with the regulatory and tax burden he now campaigns against. His kids are in public schools in the district.</p><p>On the issues that actually define the 6th District&#8217;s specific tensions, Burnett has done the work. On data centers &#8212; the single most contested development issue in Frederick County &#8212; he&#8217;s proposed requiring new facilities to source their own energy through small modular reactors, a technically specific and defensible position that addresses both the energy cost question and the &#8220;Big Tech giveaway&#8221; critique simultaneously. It&#8217;s the kind of policy precision that distinguishes a serious candidate from a platform-filler.</p><blockquote><h2><em>&#8220;A series of millionaires playing national politics at the expense of the residents&#8221;</em></h2><p><strong>&#8212; Burnett&#8217;s summary of what the 6th District has gotten from its recent representation, in an interview with the Washington Examiner.</strong></p></blockquote><p>His immigration position is more nuanced than the standard Republican primary posture &#8212; he supports border security while advocating for comprehensive reform, a position made credible by his wife&#8217;s own immigration story. He&#8217;s not running a Trump-maximalist campaign; he&#8217;s running a competence-and-contrast campaign against candidates he views as either too defined by prior losses or too disconnected from the district&#8217;s daily reality.</p><p>The structural challenge is translating national attention into Western Maryland infrastructure. Burnett is getting coverage that no other Republican in this race is receiving, but Allegany, Garrett, and Washington counties require ground-level retail politics that earned media alone doesn&#8217;t deliver. He&#8217;s been on the road a lot campaigning, but whether he&#8217;s built that operation up enough is the outstanding question before June 23.</p><h2>Mariela Roca</h2><p><strong>USAF Veteran, DBA &#183; Frederick &#183; <a href="https://rocaforcongress.com/">rocaforcongress.com</a></strong></p><p>Roca is on her third run. She originally filed for the 8th District in 2022 before redistricting moved her to the 6th, then ran in the 2024 Republican primary. She is back.</p><p>Her academic credentials are some of the most extensive in the Republican field: a doctorate in business administration from the University of Maryland Global Campus, a second master&#8217;s from Mount Saint Mary&#8217;s, and years of federal service at Fort Detrick in Frederick. She lives in Frederick &#8212; the district&#8217;s most populous county &#8212; which gives her genuine geographic rootedness that neither Trone nor McClain Delaney can claim. Her Air Force service from 2005 to 2010 gives her the veterans credibility she&#8217;s made central to her platform, particularly on VA healthcare reform, which she says she witnessed from the inside at Fort Detrick.</p><blockquote><h2><em>&#8220;Our VA healthcare system has so many unaddressed systemic issues and fails to provide adequate and timely care to our veterans. As a veteran myself, I get my care 100% through the VA and understand firsthand these issues.&#8221; (Bethesda Magazine voter guide)</em></h2></blockquote><p>She landed a Newt Gingrich endorsement in the 2024 cycle &#8212; evidence of some capacity to reach national Republican networks. Her platform focuses on border security, parental rights in education, energy independence, specifically tied to Western Maryland&#8217;s untapped natural resources, and veterans&#8217; healthcare. In a district that includes some of Maryland&#8217;s most rural and resource-rich terrain, the energy angle is a legitimate district-specific argument rather than just a national talking point.</p><p>The challenge is differentiation. She lost the 2024 primary and is running again in a field that now includes Burnett, who is competing for the same &#8220;credentialed veteran, new face&#8221; lane with more national press attention behind him. What Republican validators are backing her in this cycle hasn&#8217;t surfaced publicly, and without that, the path to separating from Burnett is narrow. Three runs is a commitment; it&#8217;s also a data point primary voters will weigh.</p><h2>Robin Ficker</h2><p><strong>Former State Delegate, Real Estate Broker, Army Veteran &#183; Boyds &#183; <a href="https://voteficker.com/">voteficker.com</a></strong></p><p>Robin Ficker is 83 years old, a former Maryland delegate, a disbarred attorney, a property tax crusader, a ballot initiative champion, and the man who was so effectively obnoxious to opposing NBA players at Washington Bullets games that the league invented a rule specifically to stop him. It is called the Ficker Rule.</p><p>He has been running for something in Maryland since 1974. He has placed 25 ballot initiatives that have received more than 2.5 million votes, including measures limiting property tax increases and imposing term limits on county officials &#8212; tangible, structural fiscal reforms that no other perennial candidate in Maryland history can match. He won a Republican State Senate primary in 2014. He ran for governor in 2022 and took nearly 30% of the Republican primary vote against Larry Hogan &#8212; a genuinely impressive protest vote share for someone with zero institutional backing and a campaign operating on spite and shoe leather. He ran for U.S. Senate in 2024 before withdrawing.</p><blockquote><h2><em>&#8220;I was never just heckling. I was fighting for the home team.&#8221;</em></h2></blockquote><p>His candidacy is a platform for a brand of fiscal libertarianism and small-government populism that he has been executing in Maryland politics for half a century, and it has outlasted most of the politicians who dismissed him. His website message &#8212; &#8220;Restore Logic to Government&#8221; &#8212; is exactly what it sounds like.</p><p>For Republican primary voters who want a protest vote against both Burnett&#8217;s establishment-adjacent profile and Roca&#8217;s multi-cycle resume, Ficker has always been the option. In a three-way primary, any Ficker votes are votes that don&#8217;t go to Burnett &#8212; which structurally benefits whichever of the other two consolidates Western Maryland Republicans first.</p><div><hr></div><h1><strong>Democratic Primary</strong></h1><h2>Alexis Goldstein</h2><p><strong>Former CFPB Program Manager &#183; <a href="https://alexisformd.com/">alexisformd.com</a></strong></p><p>Of all the candidates in this piece, Goldstein has the most compelling origin story for this specific political moment &#8212; and she landed it on Democracy Now and in American Banker within 24 hours of filing.</p><p>In early 2025, DOGE operatives arrived at the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau headquarters. Goldstein, rolling an empty stroller through the basement after dropping her toddler at daycare, noticed unfamiliar people accessing CFPB equipment without the required badges. She challenged them. The Trump administration placed her on administrative leave that day. In December 2025, management moved to fire her for &#8220;taking a vigilante approach&#8221; and putting the bureau &#8220;off on the wrong foot with the new administration.&#8221; The termination came through on February 11, 2026 &#8212; one week before her contract would have expired anyway. Seven days later, she filed for Congress.</p><p>Her background is substantive: Columbia computer science degree, seven years as a Wall Street programmer and analyst before quitting in 2010 to join Occupy Wall Street, then a decade in financial regulatory policy at Americans for Financial Reform and the Open Markets Institute. She has been published in the New York Times, appeared on The Daily Show and PBS Frontline, and was featured in the Netflix GameStop documentary. She is not a dilettante.</p><blockquote><h2><em>&#8220;I&#8217;m not doing this as a vanity project. I&#8217;m doing this because I want to fight against fascism in America.&#8221; &#8212; Goldstein, Democracy Now, February 18, 2026.</em></h2></blockquote><p>Her platform is unapologetically left. She frames the race around the Hagerstown ICE detention center (&#8221;libraries, not ICE jails&#8221;), the data center development boom (&#8221;schools, not data centers&#8221;), and the billionaire dynamic in her own primary with the directness of someone who has nothing to lose. The CFPB firing gives her a lived story about standing up to power that neither Trone nor McClain Delaney can come anywhere near.</p><p>The gap is geographic. The district&#8217;s center of gravity is Frederick County, not the Maryland suburbs of DC, where Goldstein&#8217;s earned media plays best. Whether a candidate who launched her campaign on Democracy Now can translate progressive national media into votes in Hagerstown and Cumberland is the question she hasn&#8217;t yet answered &#8212; and with mail-in ballots already circulating, time to answer it has essentially expired.</p><h2>Ethan Wechtaluk</h2><p><strong>Federal IT Consultant, Virginia Tech Survivor &#183; Clarksburg &#183; <a href="https://www.ethanformd.com/">ethanformd.com</a></strong></p><p>Wechtaluk was among the earliest filers in this field, not named Trone or McClain Delaney, filing from a Clarksburg PO box in October 2025. He is the only lower-tier Democrat to have reported any meaningful FEC activity &#8212; approximately $10,446 raised, which is modest but represents real donor engagement rather than a filing-fee commitment.</p><blockquote><h2><em>&#8220;While too many Democrats play it safe, our communities are in crisis. We don&#8217;t need future promises, we need policies that address the real problems facing Marylanders right now.&#8221; (ethanformd.com)</em></h2></blockquote><p>He is a Virginia Tech shooting survivor, a federal government IT business analyst, a husband, and a father of three daughters. He lives in Clarksburg &#8212; inside the district &#8212; which already distinguishes him from both of his well-funded primary opponents. His Ballotpedia candidate survey is detailed and earnest: he argues for fiscal discipline through cutting wasteful spending, advocates for term limits to break the perpetual campaign cycle, and makes the structural case that two-year House terms produce dysfunction by forcing members into nonstop fundraising rather than governing. That last point is interesting &#8212; it&#8217;s a systemic reform argument that cuts against both parties&#8217; institutional interests and signals genuine thought about governance rather than ideology.</p><p>His specific district hook is underutilized. A federal worker from Clarksburg who has worked inside the agencies being dismantled by DOGE, residing in the district where thousands of federal workers live and commute &#8212; that&#8217;s the Goldstein narrative with more geographic credibility and less national media profile. He was at the Hagerstown No Kings rally where Trone arrived flanked by six police officers. He was the candidate heckling Trone as &#8220;Data Center Dave.&#8221; He&#8217;s doing the ground work. The question is whether $6,600 and a PO box translates into primary votes six weeks out.</p><h2>A. Mark Wilks</h2><p><strong>Owner, Carmen&#8217;s Corner Store &#183; Hagerstown &amp; Frederick &#183; <a href="https://www.wilksworks.org/">wilksworks.org</a></strong></p><p>Wilks may be the most uniquely qualified candidate in this entire field to represent the actual geography of the 6th District &#8212; and almost nobody in this cycle has written about him.</p><p>He is a New York native who moved to Hagerstown in the 1980s. He served 13 years in federal prison on a drug trafficking conviction. After his release in 2019, he opened Carmen&#8217;s Corner Store in Hagerstown &#8212; a neighborhood grocery named after his mother &#8212; then a second location in downtown Frederick in 2021. He has no FEC receipts and no campaign infrastructure that suggests a traditional operation.</p><p>But the record beneath the surface is remarkable. Wilks sued the Small Business Administration over its COVID-era rule barring formerly incarcerated people from accessing Paycheck Protection Program funds &#8212; and won, with the SBA ultimately changing the rule in a decision that affected an estimated 80 million people and their businesses nationwide. He then turned around and sued the USDA over its policy barring justice-impacted business owners from accepting SNAP/EBT payments &#8212; that case directly catalyzed the bipartisan SNAP Second Chance Act introduced in Congress. He beat the federal government twice, in two different agencies, using his corner store in Hagerstown as the legal vehicle.</p><blockquote><h2><em>&#8220;If you want to fix up the House of Representatives, don&#8217;t send a lawyer or a politician to do the job. Send a Working Man, with a plan.&#8221; &#8212; Wilks campaign website.</em></h2></blockquote><p>The irony isn&#8217;t subtle: David Trone, now running millions of dollars in ads about his compassion for Western Maryland working families, personally visited Carmen&#8217;s Corner Store in Hagerstown in 2020, publicly celebrated Wilks&#8217; SBA victory, and co-sponsored legislation inspired by his lawsuit. Trone used Wilks as a prop for his compassion brand. Wilks is now running against him.</p><p>In a district that voted for Trump in 2024, a working-class Black business owner from Hagerstown who beat the federal government twice in court while running a corner store is a different kind of Democrat than either Potomac millionaire currently dominating the coverage. The structural problem is that without money, staff, or media presence, none of that biographical material reaches the voters who would respond to it most.</p><h2>Kiambo &#8220;Bo&#8221; White</h2><p><strong>Labor Organizer &#183; Frederick County &#183; <a href="https://kiambowhite.com/">BoWhiteforCongress.com</a></strong></p><p>White ran in the 2024 Democratic primary and is back for a second run. He is a union representative based in Frederick County &#8212; which puts him geographically inside the district&#8217;s population center &#8212; and describes himself explicitly as a moderate Democrat, a distinction that actually matters in a D+3 seat where the general election is always competitive.</p><blockquote><h2><em>&#8220;We can not only talk but we must listen as well.&#8221; (Bethesda Magazine, 2024)</em></h2></blockquote><p>His family has served in the military since the Korean War. In a 2024 candidate forum, when asked which committees he&#8217;d seek, he said Education and Labor immediately, then added Veterans Affairs &#8212; a combination that speaks to both the district&#8217;s working-class base and its significant military and veteran population. He doesn&#8217;t run on national ideological warfare. His platform addresses climate, drug policy, food insecurity, gun violence, healthcare, housing, and wages as a connected set of local concerns rather than a national manifesto.</p><p>What White has that several others don&#8217;t is repetition. This is his second run, which means some degree of name recognition in Frederick County from 2024. In a fragmented eight-way Democratic primary, that marginal recognition advantage can matter at the edges. The challenge is that &#8220;moderate Democrat, union rep, second-time candidate&#8221; doesn&#8217;t generate the kind of earned media that breaks through when two mega-millionaires are consuming all available oxygen.</p><h2>George Gluck</h2><p><strong>IT Consultant, Progressive Activist &#183; Rockville &#183; <a href="https://sites.google.com/view/georgegluck">georgegluck.com</a></strong></p><p>George Gluck is a perennial. He has been running for this seat &#8212; under various party labels &#8212; since at least 2012. His record is a study in commitment to the process: Green Party candidate for the 8th District in 2012, Green in the 6th District general in 2014 and 2016, then switched to the Democratic primary in 2022, where Trone beat him and Ben Smilowitz, then again in 2024. This is his fifth or sixth run, depending on how you count.</p><blockquote><h2><em>&#8220;Make America Good Again, This Time for All of Us.&#8221; (2018 campaign slogan, consistent across cycles)</em></h2></blockquote><p>He is a mathematician and software engineer &#8212; a master&#8217;s from Johns Hopkins, decades of federal contracting work, a background as a substitute teacher and synagogue social action chair in Rockville. He lives in Montgomery County, outside the district &#8212; he has noted in prior cycles that redistricting moved his neighborhood out of the 6th&#8217;s boundaries. His 2018 general election campaign slogan was &#8220;Make America Good Again, This Time for All of Us.&#8221; His platform is broadly progressive: universal healthcare, removing money from politics, working-class economic focus.</p><p>The honest assessment: Gluck is a civic participant who provides an outlet for protest votes and articulates a left-progressive position in forums where he consistently shows up. He has never cracked meaningful vote shares and has no recorded fundraising in this cycle. His value to the race is more democratic than competitive.</p><h2>Daniel M. Krakower</h2><p><strong>Business Attorney &#183; <a href="https://www.danformaryland.com/">DanforMaryland.com</a></strong></p><p>Krakower is the most opaque candidate in the Democratic field. He filed in September 2025 &#8212; among the earliest of the lower-tier Democrats &#8212; but has no FEC finances, has not completed the Ballotpedia candidate survey, and has generated almost no press coverage in any publication tracked by this newsroom.</p><p>What public record exists shows a senior business attorney at Shulman Rogers in Potomac with more than 30 years of experience in corporate law, entity formation, mergers and acquisitions, and partnership dispute resolution. His law firm biography describes him as having &#8220;a particular talent for resolving partnership and shareholder disputes&#8221; &#8212; which, in the context of a Democratic primary defined by two wealthy partners who have turned their shared political relationship into a very expensive divorce, reads as either ironic or pitch-perfect depending on your sense of humor.</p><p>The professional background is legitimately relevant if someone wanted to make the argument that MD-6 needs a business-minded, institutionally experienced lawyer who understands corporate power structures rather than a billionaire or an ideological activist. There is no evidence that he is making that argument to anyone outside his own network. His existence in this race is, at present, essentially a filing-fee-level commitment.</p><h1><strong>Independent / General Election</strong></h1><h2>Moshe Y. Landman</h2><p><strong>Attorney &#183; Green Party &#183; <a href="https://www.moshelandman.com/">moshelandman.com</a></strong></p><p>Landman is the only candidate in this entire race who is already guaranteed to appear on the November general election ballot regardless of what happens on June 23. He filed independently and is not dependent on winning any primary. That structural fact alone makes him worth understanding.</p><p>He grew up in Wheaton, Maryland &#8212; the son of Rabbi Reuben Landman, who led a Silver Spring congregation and delivered the invocation at Barack Obama&#8217;s inauguration. He attended the Hebrew Academy of Greater Washington, studied in Israel, earned his BA with honors from Yeshiva University, his MBA from George Mason, and his JD from Georgetown Law. He is the founder of Landman Law, Maryland Metal (a precious metals dealer), and Maryland Medicinals (a holistic wellness company). He ran for the District 39 Maryland State Senate seat in 2022 against Democratic Majority Leader Nancy King, then for this congressional seat in 2024, where a Green Party internal primary ended in an exact tie, blocking his path to the general ballot.</p><p>His platform is the most detailed and internally consistent of anyone in this race outside the two funded Democrats. On the Chesapeake Bay specifically &#8212; the defining environmental issue for Maryland and a direct concern of the agricultural communities in this district &#8212; he has written extensively and specifically: chicken manure runoff from Eastern Shore poultry operations, riparian reforestation targets, oyster farming at scale, the Conowingo Dam sediment problem, and the case for Maryland desalination infrastructure. This is not talking-points environmentalism. It is the work of someone who has read the reports.</p><blockquote><h2><em>&#8220;My campaign is driven by a passion to solve personal and communal injustices, ensuring a better quality of life for all residents.&#8221; (Ballotpedia candidate survey, 2026)</em></h2></blockquote><p>His fiscal program is heterodox in a way that defies easy partisan labeling: let the Trump personal income tax cuts expire, implement a graduated corporate tax rate rather than a flat cut, close the carried interest loophole, and implement a wealth tax only on liquid assets above $25 million. He pairs that with significant military spending reductions and universal healthcare. The combination is left on economics, institutionally serious on the budget, and difficult to caricature.</p><p>His relevance in November is real and should not be dismissed. In a D+3 district where the Democratic primary is going to leave significant bruising between the Trone and McClain Delaney camps &#8212; whichever one wins will have spent months being defined negatively by the other &#8212; a well-credentialed, policy-serious, multi-cycle candidate with a Georgetown Law degree and a detailed platform is a meaningful vote-splitter. The question is not whether Landman wins in November. He won&#8217;t. The question is whether he pulls 3&#8211;5% from a Democratic nominee still nursing primary wounds in a general election that could be decided by margins that size. In a close race, that math matters enormously.</p><div><hr></div><h1><strong>The Context Nobody&#8217;s Saying Out Loud</strong></h1><p>With mail-in ballots already hitting mailboxes this week and early voting beginning June 11, most of these candidates have functionally missed the window to break through financially. The arithmetic is brutal: David Trone spent more on a single Canal Media wire transfer in March than all six lower-tier Democrats combined have raised this entire cycle.</p><p>But the structural case for why this field matters is sound regardless of who wins on June 23. This is a D+3 district. It is, as Maryland Matters and the Washington Post have both noted, the least Democrat-friendly seat in the state. McClain Delaney won it in 2024 by roughly seven points &#8212; competitive, not comfortable, in a year when Democrats had the wind at their backs nationally. Every percentage point of Democratic primary damage translates into general election vulnerability in November.</p><p>What the Trone-McClain Delaney war has produced is a primary campaign in which two wealthy Potomac residents &#8212; neither of whom lives in the district, one of whom may not have a stable address anywhere &#8212; have spent millions nationalizing a local race around Trump resistance, while candidates who actually live in Hagerstown, Clarksburg, and Frederick have been running on the opioid crisis, data center energy costs, federal worker displacement, agricultural research funding, and criminal justice reform.</p><p>The district deserves coverage of all of them. This is that coverage.</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!t6GD!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F41eb87dd-41bb-462a-8ed1-f69f1787dfaf_1023x819.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!t6GD!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F41eb87dd-41bb-462a-8ed1-f69f1787dfaf_1023x819.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!t6GD!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F41eb87dd-41bb-462a-8ed1-f69f1787dfaf_1023x819.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!t6GD!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F41eb87dd-41bb-462a-8ed1-f69f1787dfaf_1023x819.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!t6GD!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F41eb87dd-41bb-462a-8ed1-f69f1787dfaf_1023x819.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!t6GD!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F41eb87dd-41bb-462a-8ed1-f69f1787dfaf_1023x819.png" width="1023" height="819" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/41eb87dd-41bb-462a-8ed1-f69f1787dfaf_1023x819.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:819,&quot;width&quot;:1023,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:null,&quot;alt&quot;:&quot;Political illustration emphasizing the slogan 'MD-6 doesn't need another carpetbagger. It needs a neighbor.' Features candidates holding umbrellas with the text 'Potomac. Not MD-6.' along with a diverse group of local residents advocating for jobs, farms, schools, and community solutions in Western Maryland.&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:null,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:true,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:null,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="Political illustration emphasizing the slogan 'MD-6 doesn't need another carpetbagger. It needs a neighbor.' Features candidates holding umbrellas with the text 'Potomac. Not MD-6.' along with a diverse group of local residents advocating for jobs, farms, schools, and community solutions in Western Maryland." title="Political illustration emphasizing the slogan 'MD-6 doesn't need another carpetbagger. It needs a neighbor.' Features candidates holding umbrellas with the text 'Potomac. Not MD-6.' along with a diverse group of local residents advocating for jobs, farms, schools, and community solutions in Western Maryland." srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!t6GD!,w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F41eb87dd-41bb-462a-8ed1-f69f1787dfaf_1023x819.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!t6GD!,w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F41eb87dd-41bb-462a-8ed1-f69f1787dfaf_1023x819.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!t6GD!,w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F41eb87dd-41bb-462a-8ed1-f69f1787dfaf_1023x819.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!t6GD!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F41eb87dd-41bb-462a-8ed1-f69f1787dfaf_1023x819.png 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg role="img" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><title></title><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><div><hr></div><h1>Complete MD-6 Candidate Grid</h1><p>All candidates &#183; Primary June 23, 2026 &#183; General November 3, 2026</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!a-B9!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F18690a19-0bd7-4db6-9377-12784372683d_826x304.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!a-B9!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F18690a19-0bd7-4db6-9377-12784372683d_826x304.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!a-B9!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F18690a19-0bd7-4db6-9377-12784372683d_826x304.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!a-B9!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F18690a19-0bd7-4db6-9377-12784372683d_826x304.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!a-B9!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F18690a19-0bd7-4db6-9377-12784372683d_826x304.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!a-B9!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F18690a19-0bd7-4db6-9377-12784372683d_826x304.png" width="826" height="304" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/18690a19-0bd7-4db6-9377-12784372683d_826x304.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:304,&quot;width&quot;:826,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:null,&quot;alt&quot;:&quot;Image showing three Republican primary candidates: Chris Burnett, Mariela Roca, and Robin Ficker, with their backgrounds, quotes, and election details.&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:null,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:true,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:null,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="Image showing three Republican primary candidates: Chris Burnett, Mariela Roca, and Robin Ficker, with their backgrounds, quotes, and election details." title="Image showing three Republican primary candidates: Chris Burnett, Mariela Roca, and Robin Ficker, with their backgrounds, quotes, and election details." srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!a-B9!,w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F18690a19-0bd7-4db6-9377-12784372683d_826x304.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!a-B9!,w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F18690a19-0bd7-4db6-9377-12784372683d_826x304.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!a-B9!,w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F18690a19-0bd7-4db6-9377-12784372683d_826x304.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!a-B9!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F18690a19-0bd7-4db6-9377-12784372683d_826x304.png 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg role="img" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><title></title><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!y67Z!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fdb639904-4346-467e-9769-661c239eee11_828x808.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!y67Z!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fdb639904-4346-467e-9769-661c239eee11_828x808.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!y67Z!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fdb639904-4346-467e-9769-661c239eee11_828x808.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!y67Z!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fdb639904-4346-467e-9769-661c239eee11_828x808.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!y67Z!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fdb639904-4346-467e-9769-661c239eee11_828x808.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!y67Z!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fdb639904-4346-467e-9769-661c239eee11_828x808.png" width="828" height="808" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/db639904-4346-467e-9769-661c239eee11_828x808.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:808,&quot;width&quot;:828,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:null,&quot;alt&quot;:&quot;Image of a Democratic primary candidate list featuring April McClain Delaney, David Trone, Alexis Goldstein, Ethan Wechtaluk, A. Mark Wilks, Kiambo 'Bo' White, George Gluck, and Daniel M. Krakower, with details on their backgrounds, endorsements, spending, and electoral districts.&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:null,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:true,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:null,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="Image of a Democratic primary candidate list featuring April McClain Delaney, David Trone, Alexis Goldstein, Ethan Wechtaluk, A. Mark Wilks, Kiambo 'Bo' White, George Gluck, and Daniel M. Krakower, with details on their backgrounds, endorsements, spending, and electoral districts." title="Image of a Democratic primary candidate list featuring April McClain Delaney, David Trone, Alexis Goldstein, Ethan Wechtaluk, A. Mark Wilks, Kiambo 'Bo' White, George Gluck, and Daniel M. Krakower, with details on their backgrounds, endorsements, spending, and electoral districts." srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!y67Z!,w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fdb639904-4346-467e-9769-661c239eee11_828x808.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!y67Z!,w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fdb639904-4346-467e-9769-661c239eee11_828x808.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!y67Z!,w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fdb639904-4346-467e-9769-661c239eee11_828x808.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!y67Z!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fdb639904-4346-467e-9769-661c239eee11_828x808.png 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg role="img" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><title></title><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!1pvv!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F8b8d54a6-3a7f-4795-85bc-e22cf388833c_829x337.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!1pvv!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F8b8d54a6-3a7f-4795-85bc-e22cf388833c_829x337.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!1pvv!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F8b8d54a6-3a7f-4795-85bc-e22cf388833c_829x337.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!1pvv!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F8b8d54a6-3a7f-4795-85bc-e22cf388833c_829x337.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!1pvv!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F8b8d54a6-3a7f-4795-85bc-e22cf388833c_829x337.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!1pvv!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F8b8d54a6-3a7f-4795-85bc-e22cf388833c_829x337.png" width="829" height="337" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/8b8d54a6-3a7f-4795-85bc-e22cf388833c_829x337.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:337,&quot;width&quot;:829,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:null,&quot;alt&quot;:&quot;Information about Moshe Y. Landman, an independent candidate for the general election in Maryland, including his focus on Chesapeake Bay restoration, universal healthcare, and military spending cuts.&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:null,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:true,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:null,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="Information about Moshe Y. Landman, an independent candidate for the general election in Maryland, including his focus on Chesapeake Bay restoration, universal healthcare, and military spending cuts." title="Information about Moshe Y. Landman, an independent candidate for the general election in Maryland, including his focus on Chesapeake Bay restoration, universal healthcare, and military spending cuts." srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!1pvv!,w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F8b8d54a6-3a7f-4795-85bc-e22cf388833c_829x337.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!1pvv!,w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F8b8d54a6-3a7f-4795-85bc-e22cf388833c_829x337.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!1pvv!,w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F8b8d54a6-3a7f-4795-85bc-e22cf388833c_829x337.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!1pvv!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F8b8d54a6-3a7f-4795-85bc-e22cf388833c_829x337.png 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg role="img" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><title></title><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a><figcaption class="image-caption"></figcaption></figure></div><div class="callout-block" data-callout="true"><p><em><strong>Key dates:</strong> Mail-in ballots circulating now. Early voting begins June 11. Primary: June 23, 2026. General election: November 3, 2026. As an Independent, Landman is already a confirmed general election candidate. All other candidates must win their respective primaries to advance.<br><br><strong>Residency note:</strong> Members of Congress are required to live in Maryland but not within their district. Of the eleven candidates above, the two best-funded Democrats (Trone and McClain Delaney) are the only ones who do not live in MD-6. Four lower-tier Democrats and all three Republicans are confirmed to live within the district.</em></p></div><div><hr></div><p><strong>Sources:</strong> <em>Candidate campaign websites; Federal Election Commission filings; Ballotpedia candidate profiles and survey responses; Maryland State Board of Elections candidate filing records; Washington Examiner (Burnett profile, January 2026); Democracy Now (Goldstein interview, February 18, 2026); American Banker (Goldstein candidacy, February 18, 2026); Maryland Matters (candidate forum coverage, April 2024); Frederick News-Post (Roca profile, April 2026; Wilks profile, January 2024); Bethesda Magazine (Roca and White candidate profiles); Politics1 Maryland 2026 candidate directory; Wikipedia, 2026 United States House elections in Maryland. Financial figures for Trone drawn from MDBayNews prior reporting on FEC efile records through Q1 2026.</em></p><div class="subscription-widget-wrap-editor" data-attrs="{&quot;url&quot;:&quot;https://mikethunderphillips.substack.com/subscribe?&quot;,&quot;text&quot;:&quot;Subscribe&quot;,&quot;language&quot;:&quot;en&quot;}" data-component-name="SubscribeWidgetToDOM"><div class="subscription-widget show-subscribe"><div class="preamble"><p class="cta-caption">Riptide Investigations is a reader-supported publication. To receive new posts and support my work, consider becoming a free or paid subscriber.</p></div><form class="subscription-widget-subscribe"><input type="email" class="email-input" name="email" placeholder="Type your email&#8230;" tabindex="-1"><input type="submit" class="button primary" value="Subscribe"><div class="fake-input-wrapper"><div class="fake-input"></div><div class="fake-button"></div></div></form></div></div>]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[The Governor Who Can't Afford to Be Honest]]></title><description><![CDATA[Brandon Scott endorsed Bill Ferguson. Wes Moore couldn&#8217;t. The difference says everything.]]></description><link>https://mikethunderphillips.substack.com/p/the-governor-who-cant-afford-to-be</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://mikethunderphillips.substack.com/p/the-governor-who-cant-afford-to-be</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Michael "Thunder" Phillips]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Sat, 09 May 2026 05:46:03 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!mWni!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F79ac7147-08e9-48a5-a845-6c6ccd6c9bda_1024x683.png" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!mWni!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F79ac7147-08e9-48a5-a845-6c6ccd6c9bda_1024x683.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!mWni!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F79ac7147-08e9-48a5-a845-6c6ccd6c9bda_1024x683.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!mWni!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F79ac7147-08e9-48a5-a845-6c6ccd6c9bda_1024x683.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!mWni!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F79ac7147-08e9-48a5-a845-6c6ccd6c9bda_1024x683.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!mWni!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F79ac7147-08e9-48a5-a845-6c6ccd6c9bda_1024x683.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!mWni!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F79ac7147-08e9-48a5-a845-6c6ccd6c9bda_1024x683.png" width="1024" height="683" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/79ac7147-08e9-48a5-a845-6c6ccd6c9bda_1024x683.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:683,&quot;width&quot;:1024,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:null,&quot;alt&quot;:&quot;A political graphic featuring three men in suits against a backdrop of the Maryland state capitol and the Maryland flag. The text highlights political endorsements and conflicts among political figures, emphasizing Brandon Scott's endorsement of Bill Ferguson over Wes Moore.&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:null,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:false,&quot;topImage&quot;:true,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:null,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="A political graphic featuring three men in suits against a backdrop of the Maryland state capitol and the Maryland flag. The text highlights political endorsements and conflicts among political figures, emphasizing Brandon Scott's endorsement of Bill Ferguson over Wes Moore." title="A political graphic featuring three men in suits against a backdrop of the Maryland state capitol and the Maryland flag. The text highlights political endorsements and conflicts among political figures, emphasizing Brandon Scott's endorsement of Bill Ferguson over Wes Moore." srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!mWni!,w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F79ac7147-08e9-48a5-a845-6c6ccd6c9bda_1024x683.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!mWni!,w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F79ac7147-08e9-48a5-a845-6c6ccd6c9bda_1024x683.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!mWni!,w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F79ac7147-08e9-48a5-a845-6c6ccd6c9bda_1024x683.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!mWni!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F79ac7147-08e9-48a5-a845-6c6ccd6c9bda_1024x683.png 1456w" sizes="100vw" fetchpriority="high"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg role="img" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><title></title><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><div><hr></div><p>Brandon Scott endorsed Bill Ferguson this week. That&#8217;s not surprising &#8212; the two have known each other for nearly 20 years, came up together in Baltimore public service long before either held their current offices, and have built a genuine governing partnership in the city they both actually grew up in and chose to stay in.</p><p>What&#8217;s worth examining is why Wes Moore couldn&#8217;t do the same thing Scott just did.</p><div class="subscription-widget-wrap-editor" data-attrs="{&quot;url&quot;:&quot;https://mikethunderphillips.substack.com/subscribe?&quot;,&quot;text&quot;:&quot;Subscribe&quot;,&quot;language&quot;:&quot;en&quot;}" data-component-name="SubscribeWidgetToDOM"><div class="subscription-widget show-subscribe"><div class="preamble"><p class="cta-caption">Riptide Investigations is a reader-supported publication. To receive new posts and support my work, consider becoming a free or paid subscriber.</p></div><form class="subscription-widget-subscribe"><input type="email" class="email-input" name="email" placeholder="Type your email&#8230;" tabindex="-1"><input type="submit" class="button primary" value="Subscribe"><div class="fake-input-wrapper"><div class="fake-input"></div><div class="fake-button"></div></div></form></div></div><p>It&#8217;s not because Moore and Ferguson are competing against each other. They aren&#8217;t. Scott isn&#8217;t running for governor. Moore isn&#8217;t running for State Senate. There was no zero-sum calculation that required Moore to withhold his endorsement. He endorsed 86 incumbent House Democrats this week. He endorsed county executives, state&#8217;s attorneys, and legislative challengers. He found room on his list for candidates up and down the ballot across the entire state.</p><p>He could not find room for the President of the Maryland Senate.</p><p>Scott could look past the redistricting fight because Scott is secure enough in who he is and what he&#8217;s built that a policy disagreement doesn&#8217;t require him to punish someone. Moore apparently is not.</p><h2>The Agreement He Made and Broke</h2><p>This wasn&#8217;t a case of Moore simply declining to weigh in on a contested primary. Moore and Ferguson had an agreement. A mutual endorsement deal, in place as recently as last Sunday. Text messages obtained by The Baltimore Banner showed their teams coordinating rollout details &#8212; photos for mailers, scheduling, logistics. Ferguson attended Moore&#8217;s reelection campaign launch at the B&amp;O Railroad Museum on May 2. He sat in the audience while Moore made his pitch for another term.</p><p>Then Ferguson went to Moore&#8217;s house to finalize things. And Moore pulled the endorsement anyway.</p><p>Moore&#8217;s campaign spokesperson, Carter Elliott IV, responded with a statement saying the governor and Ferguson &#8220;continue to communicate consistently, and work alongside one another to accomplish big things in Maryland.&#8221; The statement did not acknowledge the broken agreement. It did not explain the decision. It offered the kind of language that is designed to sound collaborative while doing the opposite of collaborating. If anything, the delay and the following statement reek of Moore demanding Ferguson push his redistricting plan.</p><p>That is not honest communication. It is the language of someone who knows what he did, doesn&#8217;t want to defend it, and is hoping the framing holds.</p><p>It didn&#8217;t. The Banner had the text messages.</p><h2>Ferguson Was Right and Moore Knows It</h2><p>The redistricting fight is the stated reason for the fallout. Moore wanted Maryland to redraw its congressional map mid-decade to eliminate the state&#8217;s only Republican congressional district. Ferguson, who served on Moore&#8217;s own redistricting advisory panel, blocked it in the Senate. He argued the move was legally reckless &#8212; that Maryland&#8217;s 2021 map had already been struck down as extreme partisan gerrymandering, and a new attempt would face the same judicial fate, potentially producing a court-ordered map worse for Democrats than the current one.</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!0lud!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fc49aad5d-0a35-4173-9cfb-69142db1d87d_1024x448.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!0lud!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fc49aad5d-0a35-4173-9cfb-69142db1d87d_1024x448.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!0lud!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fc49aad5d-0a35-4173-9cfb-69142db1d87d_1024x448.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!0lud!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fc49aad5d-0a35-4173-9cfb-69142db1d87d_1024x448.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!0lud!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fc49aad5d-0a35-4173-9cfb-69142db1d87d_1024x448.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!0lud!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fc49aad5d-0a35-4173-9cfb-69142db1d87d_1024x448.png" width="1024" height="448" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/c49aad5d-0a35-4173-9cfb-69142db1d87d_1024x448.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:448,&quot;width&quot;:1024,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:null,&quot;alt&quot;:&quot;A comparison table titled 'Ferguson's warnings vs. what happened', outlining Ferguson's concerns about mid-cycle redistricting and the outcomes that occurred, including court decisions and seat projections.&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:null,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:true,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:null,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="A comparison table titled 'Ferguson's warnings vs. what happened', outlining Ferguson's concerns about mid-cycle redistricting and the outcomes that occurred, including court decisions and seat projections." title="A comparison table titled 'Ferguson's warnings vs. what happened', outlining Ferguson's concerns about mid-cycle redistricting and the outcomes that occurred, including court decisions and seat projections." srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!0lud!,w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fc49aad5d-0a35-4173-9cfb-69142db1d87d_1024x448.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!0lud!,w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fc49aad5d-0a35-4173-9cfb-69142db1d87d_1024x448.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!0lud!,w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fc49aad5d-0a35-4173-9cfb-69142db1d87d_1024x448.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!0lud!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fc49aad5d-0a35-4173-9cfb-69142db1d87d_1024x448.png 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg role="img" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><title></title><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><p>Moore dismissed that reasoning. Hakeem Jeffries flew to Annapolis to lobby Ferguson personally. Moore framed the disagreement publicly as a question of whether Democrats were willing to fight Donald Trump.</p><p>On the same Friday that Moore&#8217;s endorsement snub was dominating Maryland political coverage, the Virginia Supreme Court struck down that state&#8217;s Democratic redistricting referendum 4-3. Virginia Democrats had spent months and tens of millions of dollars on a map projected to flip four Republican House seats. The court threw it out entirely, ruling the legislature had violated procedural requirements &#8212; exactly the kind of legal vulnerability Ferguson had been warning about.</p><p>If Moore is capable of honest reflection, he already knows Ferguson was right. The question is whether he is capable of it. The pulled endorsement, the broken agreement, the carefully worded non-answer from his spokesperson &#8212; none of it suggests a man who is reckoning honestly with being wrong. It suggests a man who is managing appearances.</p><h2>Scott Can Afford Honesty. Moore Can&#8217;t.</h2><blockquote><h2><em>Moore&#8217;s political identity depends on a version of himself that requires constant maintenance.</em></h2></blockquote><p>Brandon Scott&#8217;s endorsement post was direct and personal. Twenty years. Built something together. Proud of it. Early voting June 11.</p><p>He didn&#8217;t parse it. He didn&#8217;t hedge. He didn&#8217;t need a spokesperson to explain what he meant. He said what was true and put his name on it.</p><p>Moore is not capable of that right now, and the reason is worth stating plainly: Moore&#8217;s political identity depends on a version of himself that requires constant maintenance. He was born in Takoma Park, grew up in the Bronx, came back to Maryland as an adult, and built a public profile &#8212; and eventually a political career &#8212; largely on a memoir about his family&#8217;s Maryland roots and his own personal transformation. That is a legitimate story. But it is a constructed political identity in a way that Ferguson&#8217;s and Scott&#8217;s are not.</p><p>Ferguson has been in the same Baltimore district for 15 years. Scott grew up in Baltimore and never left. Their credibility is not a narrative. It is just where they live and what they&#8217;ve done.</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!VOAh!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fa7352518-01e7-4135-842c-590988a6e475_1024x683.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!VOAh!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fa7352518-01e7-4135-842c-590988a6e475_1024x683.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!VOAh!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fa7352518-01e7-4135-842c-590988a6e475_1024x683.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!VOAh!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fa7352518-01e7-4135-842c-590988a6e475_1024x683.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!VOAh!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fa7352518-01e7-4135-842c-590988a6e475_1024x683.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!VOAh!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fa7352518-01e7-4135-842c-590988a6e475_1024x683.png" width="1024" height="683" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/a7352518-01e7-4135-842c-590988a6e475_1024x683.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:683,&quot;width&quot;:1024,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:null,&quot;alt&quot;:&quot;Illustration of Wes Moore, the Governor of Maryland, adjusting his tie while gazing at his reflection. Surrounding him are elements that highlight his political ambitions, including a checklist titled 'National Ambition Checklist' and a newspaper headline about his endorsement on Ferguson. The image features quotes about readiness for the future, particularly for the year 2028.&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:null,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:true,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:null,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="Illustration of Wes Moore, the Governor of Maryland, adjusting his tie while gazing at his reflection. Surrounding him are elements that highlight his political ambitions, including a checklist titled 'National Ambition Checklist' and a newspaper headline about his endorsement on Ferguson. The image features quotes about readiness for the future, particularly for the year 2028." title="Illustration of Wes Moore, the Governor of Maryland, adjusting his tie while gazing at his reflection. Surrounding him are elements that highlight his political ambitions, including a checklist titled 'National Ambition Checklist' and a newspaper headline about his endorsement on Ferguson. The image features quotes about readiness for the future, particularly for the year 2028." srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!VOAh!,w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fa7352518-01e7-4135-842c-590988a6e475_1024x683.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!VOAh!,w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fa7352518-01e7-4135-842c-590988a6e475_1024x683.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!VOAh!,w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fa7352518-01e7-4135-842c-590988a6e475_1024x683.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!VOAh!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fa7352518-01e7-4135-842c-590988a6e475_1024x683.png 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg role="img" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><title></title><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><p>Moore&#8217;s credibility depends on the narrative holding. That means he cannot easily admit when he was wrong, cannot easily acknowledge when someone else&#8217;s judgment was better than his, and cannot afford the kind of direct honesty that Scott demonstrated this week &#8212; because honesty, for Moore, carries the risk of puncturing the story he needs people to believe about him.</p><p>The redistricting push was, at least in part, about Moore&#8217;s national profile. Hakeem Jeffries did not fly to Annapolis because he cares about Andy Harris&#8217;s congressional district. He flew there because Moore has positioned himself as a 2028 presidential prospect, and national Democrats have been treating him accordingly. Winning on redistricting would have been a marquee accomplishment for that profile. Losing quietly, because a Baltimore lifer told him it was a bad idea, is not the story Moore wants to tell.</p><p>So instead of acknowledging Ferguson&#8217;s judgment, Moore punished it. And instead of honoring an agreement he made, he broke it and issued a statement designed to obscure what he had done.</p><p>Scott, who has his own complicated relationship with Moore and his own political pressures, looked at Ferguson and said: twenty years, built something together, proud of it. No hedging required.</p><p>The difference between those two responses is not political strategy. It is character.</p><div><hr></div><p><em>Reporting for this article draws on coverage from The Baltimore Banner, Maryland Matters, WYPR, Fox Baltimore, WMAR-2 News, and the Associated Press. The Virginia redistricting ruling was reported by NBC News, the Virginia Mercury, NPR, The Hill, and WTOP. Ferguson&#8217;s endorsement post was published on his verified X account (@SenBillFerg). Moore&#8217;s campaign statements were provided through spokesperson Carter Elliott IV.</em></p><div class="subscription-widget-wrap-editor" data-attrs="{&quot;url&quot;:&quot;https://mikethunderphillips.substack.com/subscribe?&quot;,&quot;text&quot;:&quot;Subscribe&quot;,&quot;language&quot;:&quot;en&quot;}" data-component-name="SubscribeWidgetToDOM"><div class="subscription-widget show-subscribe"><div class="preamble"><p class="cta-caption">Riptide Investigations is a reader-supported publication. To receive new posts and support my work, consider becoming a free or paid subscriber.</p></div><form class="subscription-widget-subscribe"><input type="email" class="email-input" name="email" placeholder="Type your email&#8230;" tabindex="-1"><input type="submit" class="button primary" value="Subscribe"><div class="fake-input-wrapper"><div class="fake-input"></div><div class="fake-button"></div></div></form></div></div>]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[Calling It Racist Doesn't Make It Wrong]]></title><description><![CDATA[A political ad depicting Will Jawando reaching into a cookie jar labeled &#8220;Taxpayers&#8217; Pockets&#8221; ran in the Bethesda Today newsletter last week.]]></description><link>https://mikethunderphillips.substack.com/p/calling-it-racist-doesnt-make-it</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://mikethunderphillips.substack.com/p/calling-it-racist-doesnt-make-it</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Michael "Thunder" Phillips]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Sat, 09 May 2026 04:33:33 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!t52_!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fda7f152c-6bbd-46b9-898b-1ec8ab195804_1024x683.png" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!t52_!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fda7f152c-6bbd-46b9-898b-1ec8ab195804_1024x683.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!t52_!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fda7f152c-6bbd-46b9-898b-1ec8ab195804_1024x683.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!t52_!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fda7f152c-6bbd-46b9-898b-1ec8ab195804_1024x683.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!t52_!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fda7f152c-6bbd-46b9-898b-1ec8ab195804_1024x683.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!t52_!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fda7f152c-6bbd-46b9-898b-1ec8ab195804_1024x683.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!t52_!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fda7f152c-6bbd-46b9-898b-1ec8ab195804_1024x683.png" width="1024" height="683" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/da7f152c-6bbd-46b9-898b-1ec8ab195804_1024x683.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:683,&quot;width&quot;:1024,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:null,&quot;alt&quot;:&quot;Graphic featuring three politicians: Will Jawando, Evan Glass, and Reardon Sullivan, with text about racism allegations and fiscal questions in Montgomery County politics.&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:null,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:false,&quot;topImage&quot;:true,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:null,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="Graphic featuring three politicians: Will Jawando, Evan Glass, and Reardon Sullivan, with text about racism allegations and fiscal questions in Montgomery County politics." title="Graphic featuring three politicians: Will Jawando, Evan Glass, and Reardon Sullivan, with text about racism allegations and fiscal questions in Montgomery County politics." srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!t52_!,w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fda7f152c-6bbd-46b9-898b-1ec8ab195804_1024x683.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!t52_!,w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fda7f152c-6bbd-46b9-898b-1ec8ab195804_1024x683.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!t52_!,w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fda7f152c-6bbd-46b9-898b-1ec8ab195804_1024x683.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!t52_!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fda7f152c-6bbd-46b9-898b-1ec8ab195804_1024x683.png 1456w" sizes="100vw" fetchpriority="high"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg role="img" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><title></title><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><div><hr></div><p>A political ad depicting Will Jawando reaching into a cookie jar labeled &#8220;Taxpayers&#8217; Pockets&#8221; ran in the Bethesda Today newsletter last week. Within days, Jawando had called it a racist minstrel caricature. Evan Glass had called it appalling &#8212; and then kept going, expanding his condemnation to a full catalog of discrimination: racism, antisemitism, Islamophobia, homophobia, sexism, xenophobia. The story had traveled far enough to reach national identity politics terrain &#8212; GOP-linked organizations, dehumanization, the legacy of Jim Crow.</p><p>There is just one problem with the framing. The man who made the ad is Black.</p><div class="subscription-widget-wrap-editor" data-attrs="{&quot;url&quot;:&quot;https://mikethunderphillips.substack.com/subscribe?&quot;,&quot;text&quot;:&quot;Subscribe&quot;,&quot;language&quot;:&quot;en&quot;}" data-component-name="SubscribeWidgetToDOM"><div class="subscription-widget show-subscribe"><div class="preamble"><p class="cta-caption">Riptide Investigations is a reader-supported publication. To receive new posts and support my work, consider becoming a free or paid subscriber.</p></div><form class="subscription-widget-subscribe"><input type="email" class="email-input" name="email" placeholder="Type your email&#8230;" tabindex="-1"><input type="submit" class="button primary" value="Subscribe"><div class="fake-input-wrapper"><div class="fake-input"></div><div class="fake-button"></div></div></form></div></div><p>Reardon Sullivan &#8212; first vice chair of the Montgomery County Republican Party, candidate for the District 1 County Council seat, and the architect of the term limits petition that ended Marc Elrich&#8217;s political career &#8212; created the AI-generated ad through his affiliated Committee to Control MoCo Spending and placed it in the Bethesda Today newsletter. Sullivan, who is Black, dismissed the racism accusation directly. He called the ad humor. He noted that he uses the same cartoon style to depict white officials, including Elrich. He said he plans to run a revised version.</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!GODc!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F7b54a829-7c7f-4b96-9d40-5b8029f4c739_1024x508.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!GODc!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F7b54a829-7c7f-4b96-9d40-5b8029f4c739_1024x508.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!GODc!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F7b54a829-7c7f-4b96-9d40-5b8029f4c739_1024x508.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!GODc!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F7b54a829-7c7f-4b96-9d40-5b8029f4c739_1024x508.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!GODc!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F7b54a829-7c7f-4b96-9d40-5b8029f4c739_1024x508.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!GODc!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F7b54a829-7c7f-4b96-9d40-5b8029f4c739_1024x508.png" width="1024" height="508" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/7b54a829-7c7f-4b96-9d40-5b8029f4c739_1024x508.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:508,&quot;width&quot;:1024,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:null,&quot;alt&quot;:&quot;Infographic illustrating Sullivan's satirical targets, featuring three Democratic candidates: Will Jawando, Marc Elrich, and Evan Glass, highlighting criticisms and the AI cartoon style used.&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:null,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:false,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:null,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="Infographic illustrating Sullivan's satirical targets, featuring three Democratic candidates: Will Jawando, Marc Elrich, and Evan Glass, highlighting criticisms and the AI cartoon style used." title="Infographic illustrating Sullivan's satirical targets, featuring three Democratic candidates: Will Jawando, Marc Elrich, and Evan Glass, highlighting criticisms and the AI cartoon style used." srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!GODc!,w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F7b54a829-7c7f-4b96-9d40-5b8029f4c739_1024x508.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!GODc!,w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F7b54a829-7c7f-4b96-9d40-5b8029f4c739_1024x508.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!GODc!,w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F7b54a829-7c7f-4b96-9d40-5b8029f4c739_1024x508.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!GODc!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F7b54a829-7c7f-4b96-9d40-5b8029f4c739_1024x508.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg role="img" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><title></title><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><p>Bethesda Today subsequently pulled the ad after reviewing it against their editorial policies. That is an editorial judgment. It is not a finding of racism.</p><p>That distinction has been largely absent from the coverage. It shouldn&#8217;t be.</p><div><hr></div><h2>A Metaphor With a Paper Trail</h2><p>The cookie jar is not a racial image in Sullivan&#8217;s political vocabulary. It is a fiscal one &#8212; and it has been for years.</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!MaIo!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F4277952b-c9fa-47f8-9d4a-12a60af6b9e3_526x526.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!MaIo!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F4277952b-c9fa-47f8-9d4a-12a60af6b9e3_526x526.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!MaIo!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F4277952b-c9fa-47f8-9d4a-12a60af6b9e3_526x526.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!MaIo!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F4277952b-c9fa-47f8-9d4a-12a60af6b9e3_526x526.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!MaIo!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F4277952b-c9fa-47f8-9d4a-12a60af6b9e3_526x526.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!MaIo!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F4277952b-c9fa-47f8-9d4a-12a60af6b9e3_526x526.png" width="526" height="526" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/4277952b-c9fa-47f8-9d4a-12a60af6b9e3_526x526.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:526,&quot;width&quot;:526,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:null,&quot;alt&quot;:&quot;A man smiling while sitting at a desk, reaching into a round cookie jar labeled 'Taxpayers Pockets.' He holds a cookie in one hand. Behind him, there's an American flag, a wall clock, and a sign that reads 'Rules: No Cookies.' A nameplate on the desk says 'WILL JAWANDO, Montgomery County Council.'&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:null,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:true,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:null,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="A man smiling while sitting at a desk, reaching into a round cookie jar labeled 'Taxpayers Pockets.' He holds a cookie in one hand. Behind him, there's an American flag, a wall clock, and a sign that reads 'Rules: No Cookies.' A nameplate on the desk says 'WILL JAWANDO, Montgomery County Council.'" title="A man smiling while sitting at a desk, reaching into a round cookie jar labeled 'Taxpayers Pockets.' He holds a cookie in one hand. Behind him, there's an American flag, a wall clock, and a sign that reads 'Rules: No Cookies.' A nameplate on the desk says 'WILL JAWANDO, Montgomery County Council.'" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!MaIo!,w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F4277952b-c9fa-47f8-9d4a-12a60af6b9e3_526x526.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!MaIo!,w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F4277952b-c9fa-47f8-9d4a-12a60af6b9e3_526x526.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!MaIo!,w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F4277952b-c9fa-47f8-9d4a-12a60af6b9e3_526x526.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!MaIo!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F4277952b-c9fa-47f8-9d4a-12a60af6b9e3_526x526.png 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg role="img" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><title></title><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><p>Sullivan has built his entire public profile around a single argument: Montgomery County&#8217;s political class taxes residents, diverts the money, and calls it governance. His Stop the Spend ballot initiative sought to cap annual county spending increases to the prior year&#8217;s Consumer Price Index. His campaign for county council is grounded in the same premise. The Committee to Control MoCo Spending &#8212; the same committee that ran the Jawando ad &#8212; has published the cookie jar metaphor explicitly: &#8220;When the children keep sneaking cookies from the cookie jar, what do you do? You move the cookie jar.&#8221;</p><p>That framing targeted the council broadly &#8212; Elrich, Jawando, and the council majority together &#8212; as documented in the committee&#8217;s own paid advertising. The same ads cite Andrew Friedson&#8217;s finding that county spending increased 44 percent over eight years. The imagery is consistent across targets regardless of race.</p><p>The Montgomery County Republican Party has separately run ads targeting Jawando on public safety, opposing his efforts to remove School Resource Officers from schools, and characterizing his record as a threat to community safety. Sullivan&#8217;s own campaign has run straightforward policy advertising about the FY27 budget hearing, documenting constituent concern about proposed tax increases, including a 6 percent property tax hike.</p><p>This is the context in which the cookie jar ad appeared. It is a sustained, documented, multi-front fiscal accountability campaign &#8212; not a racial targeting operation.</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!JppS!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F13f0ca35-f05b-48d8-a830-18038b70b44a_1024x687.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!JppS!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F13f0ca35-f05b-48d8-a830-18038b70b44a_1024x687.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!JppS!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F13f0ca35-f05b-48d8-a830-18038b70b44a_1024x687.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!JppS!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F13f0ca35-f05b-48d8-a830-18038b70b44a_1024x687.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!JppS!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F13f0ca35-f05b-48d8-a830-18038b70b44a_1024x687.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!JppS!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F13f0ca35-f05b-48d8-a830-18038b70b44a_1024x687.png" width="1024" height="687" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/13f0ca35-f05b-48d8-a830-18038b70b44a_1024x687.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:687,&quot;width&quot;:1024,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:null,&quot;alt&quot;:&quot;A timeline graphic outlining a controversy from 2022 to 2026, detailing key events including Sullivan's use of a cookie jar metaphor, the creation of Evan Glass cartoons, and responses from various parties regarding perceived racism and caricature.&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:null,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:true,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:null,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="A timeline graphic outlining a controversy from 2022 to 2026, detailing key events including Sullivan's use of a cookie jar metaphor, the creation of Evan Glass cartoons, and responses from various parties regarding perceived racism and caricature." title="A timeline graphic outlining a controversy from 2022 to 2026, detailing key events including Sullivan's use of a cookie jar metaphor, the creation of Evan Glass cartoons, and responses from various parties regarding perceived racism and caricature." srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!JppS!,w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F13f0ca35-f05b-48d8-a830-18038b70b44a_1024x687.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!JppS!,w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F13f0ca35-f05b-48d8-a830-18038b70b44a_1024x687.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!JppS!,w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F13f0ca35-f05b-48d8-a830-18038b70b44a_1024x687.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!JppS!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F13f0ca35-f05b-48d8-a830-18038b70b44a_1024x687.png 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg role="img" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><title></title><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><div><hr></div><h2>The Financial Record Sullivan Was Pointing At</h2><p>Whether the image was artful or clumsy is a matter of taste. Whether the underlying argument has merit is a matter of record.</p><p>Jawando&#8217;s campaign for county executive has been built on a specific promise: that he is the candidate of small donors, grassroots organizing, and public financing. He was among the first candidates certified for Montgomery County&#8217;s Public Election Fund. His message is explicitly anti-money-in-politics.</p><p>Federal campaign finance records tell a more complicated story &#8212; one that MDBayNews has previously reported and that no other Maryland outlet has followed.</p><p>Jawando&#8217;s dormant U.S. Senate campaign committee, which raised $1.3 million during his 2023 Senate bid before he withdrew, made $115,000 in transfers to the Working Families Party PAC in the spring of 2025 &#8212; $15,000 in March and $100,000 in April. The transfers were among the final disbursements before the committee formally terminated, closing with a cash balance of $24.20.</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!z97p!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F959bae22-31d2-4bfc-bee8-196f2d316a44_1024x627.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!z97p!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F959bae22-31d2-4bfc-bee8-196f2d316a44_1024x627.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!z97p!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F959bae22-31d2-4bfc-bee8-196f2d316a44_1024x627.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!z97p!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F959bae22-31d2-4bfc-bee8-196f2d316a44_1024x627.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!z97p!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F959bae22-31d2-4bfc-bee8-196f2d316a44_1024x627.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!z97p!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F959bae22-31d2-4bfc-bee8-196f2d316a44_1024x627.png" width="1024" height="627" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/959bae22-31d2-4bfc-bee8-196f2d316a44_1024x627.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:627,&quot;width&quot;:1024,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:null,&quot;alt&quot;:&quot;Infographic depicting the financial details of 'Jawando for Maryland' Senate committee, including money raised, expenditures, and endorsement by the Working Families Party PAC.&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:null,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:true,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:null,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="Infographic depicting the financial details of 'Jawando for Maryland' Senate committee, including money raised, expenditures, and endorsement by the Working Families Party PAC." title="Infographic depicting the financial details of 'Jawando for Maryland' Senate committee, including money raised, expenditures, and endorsement by the Working Families Party PAC." srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!z97p!,w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F959bae22-31d2-4bfc-bee8-196f2d316a44_1024x627.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!z97p!,w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F959bae22-31d2-4bfc-bee8-196f2d316a44_1024x627.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!z97p!,w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F959bae22-31d2-4bfc-bee8-196f2d316a44_1024x627.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!z97p!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F959bae22-31d2-4bfc-bee8-196f2d316a44_1024x627.png 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg role="img" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><title></title><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><p>Five months later, in September 2025, the Working Families Party endorsed Jawando for county executive, committing field staff, digital infrastructure, and organizational support to his campaign.</p><p>Jawando has not publicly explained the relationship between the transfers and the endorsement. He has not been asked to by any other outlet in Maryland.</p><p>Sullivan also pointed to the county budget record the ad was referencing: Elrich and Jawando have repeatedly proposed budgets that rely on one-time funds to cover ongoing expenses &#8212; a structural problem Friedson himself called &#8220;unprecedented&#8221; at the April budget hearing.</p><p>Sullivan&#8217;s cookie jar metaphor was crude. The conduct it was gesturing at is documented.</p><div><hr></div><h2>Glass&#8217;s Calculation</h2><p>Evan Glass did not need to insert himself into this story. He chose to &#8212; and then kept going. Though they haven&#8217;t been widely viewed.</p><p>In a thread posted today, Glass called the ad &#8220;appalling&#8221; and characterized it as designed to &#8220;divide, inflame and dehumanize.&#8221; He invoked his own experience being targeted by antisemitic and homophobic attacks as personal credibility for the claim. He described Jawando as &#8220;my opponent&#8221; &#8212; a telling slip that frames this as campaign positioning, not civic conscience.</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!e-V_!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fedd996bf-d798-49fe-b26f-61de2cb1229b_744x624.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!e-V_!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fedd996bf-d798-49fe-b26f-61de2cb1229b_744x624.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!e-V_!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fedd996bf-d798-49fe-b26f-61de2cb1229b_744x624.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!e-V_!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fedd996bf-d798-49fe-b26f-61de2cb1229b_744x624.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!e-V_!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fedd996bf-d798-49fe-b26f-61de2cb1229b_744x624.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!e-V_!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fedd996bf-d798-49fe-b26f-61de2cb1229b_744x624.png" width="744" height="624" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/edd996bf-d798-49fe-b26f-61de2cb1229b_744x624.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:624,&quot;width&quot;:744,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:null,&quot;alt&quot;:&quot;Screenshot of a Twitter thread by Evan Glass discussing bigotry in political discourse and the importance of diversity in Montgomery County.&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:null,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:true,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:null,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="Screenshot of a Twitter thread by Evan Glass discussing bigotry in political discourse and the importance of diversity in Montgomery County." title="Screenshot of a Twitter thread by Evan Glass discussing bigotry in political discourse and the importance of diversity in Montgomery County." srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!e-V_!,w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fedd996bf-d798-49fe-b26f-61de2cb1229b_744x624.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!e-V_!,w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fedd996bf-d798-49fe-b26f-61de2cb1229b_744x624.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!e-V_!,w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fedd996bf-d798-49fe-b26f-61de2cb1229b_744x624.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!e-V_!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fedd996bf-d798-49fe-b26f-61de2cb1229b_744x624.png 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg role="img" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><title></title><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><p>Then he continued. In subsequent tweets, Glass expanded his indictment: &#8220;We cannot normalize hatred in our political discourse. We cannot look the other way when racism, antisemitism, Islamophobia, homophobia, sexism, xenophobia, or any form of discrimination is used as a political weapon.&#8221; He condemned the attacks &#8220;in the strongest possible terms.&#8221;</p><p>There is something Glass did not mention in any of those tweets. Sullivan had already made cartoons targeting Glass directly &#8212; one depicting him seated at a desk beneath a Pride flag, with a speech bubble reading &#8220;Evan, we get it. You&#8217;re gay. Now what?&#8221; and another rendering him as a bug-eyed caricature in the same hand-drawn style as the Jawando cookie jar image. Both mock Glass. Neither prompted a public statement about bigotry, dehumanization, or the weaponization of discrimination.</p><p>Glass found his outrage only when the target was his primary opponent and the political benefit was available. That is not principle. That is arithmetic.</p><p>That is worth sitting with. Glass &#8212; who had already been depicted in Sullivan&#8217;s cartoons and said nothing &#8212; issued a sweeping condemnation of discrimination-as-political-weapon while deploying an unsupported discrimination charge as a political weapon. He even cited his own experience with homophobic attacks as moral authority for the claim, while staying silent about a cartoon that reduced him to exactly one thing: his sexual orientation.</p><p>He framed the source as &#8220;GOP-linked organizations&#8221; &#8212; plural. The cookie jar ad was paid for by a spending accountability committee run by a local council candidate in a different race. The Montgomery County Republican Party has separately run ads on Jawando&#8217;s public safety record and the county tax burden &#8212; standard opposition research, not dehumanization. Collapsing all of it into &#8220;organizations&#8221; running coordinated discriminatory &#8220;campaign ads&#8221; is not an accurate description of what happened. It is a framing choice made by a candidate who benefits from it.</p><p>Bethesda Today pulled the ad. No one is calling Bethesda Today racist for having run it. That&#8217;s because no one actually believes the racism charge survives scrutiny. What survives scrutiny is its political utility.</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!czNK!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F5bc35707-6144-4d23-be7b-0fae9379d38a_1024x821.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!czNK!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F5bc35707-6144-4d23-be7b-0fae9379d38a_1024x821.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!czNK!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F5bc35707-6144-4d23-be7b-0fae9379d38a_1024x821.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!czNK!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F5bc35707-6144-4d23-be7b-0fae9379d38a_1024x821.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!czNK!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F5bc35707-6144-4d23-be7b-0fae9379d38a_1024x821.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!czNK!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F5bc35707-6144-4d23-be7b-0fae9379d38a_1024x821.png" width="1024" height="821" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/5bc35707-6144-4d23-be7b-0fae9379d38a_1024x821.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:821,&quot;width&quot;:1024,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:null,&quot;alt&quot;:&quot;Political cartoon depicting a baseball theme, showing Evan Glass, a player in a blue jersey, swinging a bat labeled 'RACISM! HATE! BIGOTRY!' at a baseball labeled 'MISS!' Meanwhile, a cartoon elephant in a catcher's position with a GOP jersey stands next to a sign that reads 'FACTS DON'T CARE ABOUT FEELINGS.' The scoreboard shows 'FACTS &amp; RECORD 1, SMEAR ATTEMPT 0,' and a list nearby details various truths related to an advertisement.&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:null,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:true,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:null,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="Political cartoon depicting a baseball theme, showing Evan Glass, a player in a blue jersey, swinging a bat labeled 'RACISM! HATE! BIGOTRY!' at a baseball labeled 'MISS!' Meanwhile, a cartoon elephant in a catcher's position with a GOP jersey stands next to a sign that reads 'FACTS DON'T CARE ABOUT FEELINGS.' The scoreboard shows 'FACTS &amp; RECORD 1, SMEAR ATTEMPT 0,' and a list nearby details various truths related to an advertisement." title="Political cartoon depicting a baseball theme, showing Evan Glass, a player in a blue jersey, swinging a bat labeled 'RACISM! HATE! BIGOTRY!' at a baseball labeled 'MISS!' Meanwhile, a cartoon elephant in a catcher's position with a GOP jersey stands next to a sign that reads 'FACTS DON'T CARE ABOUT FEELINGS.' The scoreboard shows 'FACTS &amp; RECORD 1, SMEAR ATTEMPT 0,' and a list nearby details various truths related to an advertisement." srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!czNK!,w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F5bc35707-6144-4d23-be7b-0fae9379d38a_1024x821.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!czNK!,w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F5bc35707-6144-4d23-be7b-0fae9379d38a_1024x821.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!czNK!,w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F5bc35707-6144-4d23-be7b-0fae9379d38a_1024x821.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!czNK!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F5bc35707-6144-4d23-be7b-0fae9379d38a_1024x821.png 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg role="img" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><title></title><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><div><hr></div><h2>What the Framing Does</h2><p>Montgomery County&#8217;s Democratic primary is three candidates deep in a race where every point matters. Jawando and Glass are statistically tied. Jawando carries higher unfavorable ratings. Glass has the momentum and the endorsement trajectory.</p><p>An ad that raises Jawando&#8217;s documented financial conduct &#8212; his dual committee structure, his $115,000 PAC transfer to the organization that subsequently endorsed him &#8212; is a threat to his campaign&#8217;s central rationale. The most efficient way to neutralize that threat is to make the ad about race rather than about money. That is what happened this week.</p><p>Sullivan expressed frustration, according to the Baltimore Banner&#8217;s reporting, that he receives most of his criticism from white liberals and that Jawando gets largely unchallenged media attention as an incumbent. That frustration is not hard to understand. A Black Republican made a documented fiscal argument against a Black Democrat, supported by years of consistent public rhetoric and a paper trail of campaign finance records. A gay Democratic candidate declared it an act of bigotry in the strongest possible terms.</p><p>The ad may have been clumsy. The underlying question it raised was not. And the question still hasn&#8217;t been answered.</p><div><hr></div><p><em>MDBayNews previously reported on <a href="https://mdbaynews.com/tag/will-jawando/">Will Jawando</a>&#8216;s campaign finance structure, including the $115,000 transfer from his dormant Senate committee to the Working Families Party PAC and the subsequent WFP endorsement. That reporting is available at <a href="https://mdbaynews.com/tag/will-jawando/">mdbaynews.com</a>.</em></p><div><hr></div><p><strong>Sources:</strong> <em>Evan Glass tweets, @EvanMGlass, May 8, 2026. Ginny Bixby, &#8220;Jawando decries candidate&#8217;s &#8216;racist&#8217; ad,&#8221; The Baltimore Banner, May 4, 2026. Adam Pagnucco, &#8220;Republicans Attack Jawando,&#8221; Montgomery Perspective, May 7, 2026. Committee to Control MoCo Spending paid Facebook advertisements, May 2026, archived at ControlMoCoSpending.com. Montgomery County Republican Party paid Facebook advertisements, May 2026. Reardon Sullivan for MoCo paid advertisements, May 2026, including display advertising at The Baltimore Banner. Sullivan campaign cartoons depicting Evan Glass, circulated May 2026. Federal Election Commission disbursement records, Jawando for Maryland committee, March&#8211;April 2025. Michael Phillips, &#8220;Will Jawando&#8217;s Campaign Finance Structure,&#8221; MDBayNews, 2025, available at mdbaynews.com. Reardon Sullivan, &#8220;Is Will Jawando Really Coming Out Against Tax Increases?&#8221;, Montgomery County Republican Party website, 2026.</em></p><div class="subscription-widget-wrap-editor" data-attrs="{&quot;url&quot;:&quot;https://mikethunderphillips.substack.com/subscribe?&quot;,&quot;text&quot;:&quot;Subscribe&quot;,&quot;language&quot;:&quot;en&quot;}" data-component-name="SubscribeWidgetToDOM"><div class="subscription-widget show-subscribe"><div class="preamble"><p class="cta-caption">Riptide Investigations is a reader-supported publication. To receive new posts and support my work, consider becoming a free or paid subscriber.</p></div><form class="subscription-widget-subscribe"><input type="email" class="email-input" name="email" placeholder="Type your email&#8230;" tabindex="-1"><input type="submit" class="button primary" value="Subscribe"><div class="fake-input-wrapper"><div class="fake-input"></div><div class="fake-button"></div></div></form></div></div>]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[Moore Celebrated a 2030 Port Terminal on Friday. But Last Tuesday, He Fired the Bridge Contractor.]]></title><description><![CDATA[The governor broke ground on a $1.2 billion container terminal set to open the same year the Key Bridge replacement is supposed to open &#8212; days after the bridge project lost its contractor over cost disputes.]]></description><link>https://mikethunderphillips.substack.com/p/moore-celebrated-a-2030-port-terminal</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://mikethunderphillips.substack.com/p/moore-celebrated-a-2030-port-terminal</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Michael "Thunder" Phillips]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Wed, 06 May 2026 06:22:46 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!C-1J!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F6f2208ae-a52a-418f-81a2-cbfb277ea17c_1024x683.png" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!C-1J!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F6f2208ae-a52a-418f-81a2-cbfb277ea17c_1024x683.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!C-1J!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F6f2208ae-a52a-418f-81a2-cbfb277ea17c_1024x683.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!C-1J!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F6f2208ae-a52a-418f-81a2-cbfb277ea17c_1024x683.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!C-1J!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F6f2208ae-a52a-418f-81a2-cbfb277ea17c_1024x683.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!C-1J!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F6f2208ae-a52a-418f-81a2-cbfb277ea17c_1024x683.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!C-1J!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F6f2208ae-a52a-418f-81a2-cbfb277ea17c_1024x683.png" width="1024" height="683" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/6f2208ae-a52a-418f-81a2-cbfb277ea17c_1024x683.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:683,&quot;width&quot;:1024,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:null,&quot;alt&quot;:&quot;An official speaks at a podium with a backdrop of a construction site for a port terminal and a bridge, highlighting infrastructure projects in Maryland. The text emphasizes a groundbreaking event on May 16 and the firing of a contractor on May 20.&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:null,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:false,&quot;topImage&quot;:true,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:null,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="An official speaks at a podium with a backdrop of a construction site for a port terminal and a bridge, highlighting infrastructure projects in Maryland. The text emphasizes a groundbreaking event on May 16 and the firing of a contractor on May 20." title="An official speaks at a podium with a backdrop of a construction site for a port terminal and a bridge, highlighting infrastructure projects in Maryland. The text emphasizes a groundbreaking event on May 16 and the firing of a contractor on May 20." srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!C-1J!,w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F6f2208ae-a52a-418f-81a2-cbfb277ea17c_1024x683.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!C-1J!,w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F6f2208ae-a52a-418f-81a2-cbfb277ea17c_1024x683.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!C-1J!,w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F6f2208ae-a52a-418f-81a2-cbfb277ea17c_1024x683.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!C-1J!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F6f2208ae-a52a-418f-81a2-cbfb277ea17c_1024x683.png 1456w" sizes="100vw" fetchpriority="high"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg role="img" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><title></title><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><blockquote><h4><strong>The governor broke ground on a $1.2 billion container terminal set to open the same year the Key Bridge replacement is supposed to open &#8212; days after the bridge project lost its contractor over cost disputes. Nobody mentioned it at the ceremony.</strong></h4></blockquote><div><hr></div><p>On Friday, May 1, Governor Wes Moore stood at Coke Point in Dundalk and declared a new chapter for Maryland. Surrounded by port workers, elected officials, and maritime industry leaders, he broke ground on the Sparrows Point Container Terminal &#8212; a $1.2 billion private investment that will make Baltimore one of the three largest container ports on the East Coast when it opens in 2030.</p><p>On Tuesday, April 28 &#8212; three days earlier &#8212; the Maryland Transportation Authority announced it was firing Kiewit Infrastructure, the contractor responsible for designing and planning the replacement of the Francis Scott Key Bridge. The reason: cost estimates too high to accept. The bridge is also supposed to open in 2030. That&#8217;s already delayed.</p><div class="subscription-widget-wrap-editor" data-attrs="{&quot;url&quot;:&quot;https://mikethunderphillips.substack.com/subscribe?&quot;,&quot;text&quot;:&quot;Subscribe&quot;,&quot;language&quot;:&quot;en&quot;}" data-component-name="SubscribeWidgetToDOM"><div class="subscription-widget show-subscribe"><div class="preamble"><p class="cta-caption">Riptide Investigations is a reader-supported publication. To receive new posts and support my work, consider becoming a free or paid subscriber.</p></div><form class="subscription-widget-subscribe"><input type="email" class="email-input" name="email" placeholder="Type your email&#8230;" tabindex="-1"><input type="submit" class="button primary" value="Subscribe"><div class="fake-input-wrapper"><div class="fake-input"></div><div class="fake-button"></div></div></form></div></div><p>Neither Moore nor any official at Friday&#8217;s ceremony mentioned the contractor firing. No reporter asked about it.</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!L9He!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F2a042c00-c714-4e8f-9814-ec44021c544b_852x379.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!L9He!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F2a042c00-c714-4e8f-9814-ec44021c544b_852x379.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!L9He!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F2a042c00-c714-4e8f-9814-ec44021c544b_852x379.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!L9He!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F2a042c00-c714-4e8f-9814-ec44021c544b_852x379.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!L9He!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F2a042c00-c714-4e8f-9814-ec44021c544b_852x379.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!L9He!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F2a042c00-c714-4e8f-9814-ec44021c544b_852x379.png" width="852" height="379" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/2a042c00-c714-4e8f-9814-ec44021c544b_852x379.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:379,&quot;width&quot;:852,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:null,&quot;alt&quot;:&quot;Article excerpt detailing two significant Maryland infrastructure events: MDTA fires Kiewit Infrastructure regarding Key Bridge design on April 28, and groundbreaking on Sparrows Point Container Terminal on May 1.&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:null,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:false,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:null,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="Article excerpt detailing two significant Maryland infrastructure events: MDTA fires Kiewit Infrastructure regarding Key Bridge design on April 28, and groundbreaking on Sparrows Point Container Terminal on May 1." title="Article excerpt detailing two significant Maryland infrastructure events: MDTA fires Kiewit Infrastructure regarding Key Bridge design on April 28, and groundbreaking on Sparrows Point Container Terminal on May 1." srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!L9He!,w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F2a042c00-c714-4e8f-9814-ec44021c544b_852x379.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!L9He!,w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F2a042c00-c714-4e8f-9814-ec44021c544b_852x379.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!L9He!,w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F2a042c00-c714-4e8f-9814-ec44021c544b_852x379.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!L9He!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F2a042c00-c714-4e8f-9814-ec44021c544b_852x379.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg role="img" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><title></title><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><h2>The Bridge the Terminal Needs</h2><p>The connection between the two projects is not incidental. It is written into Maryland law.</p><p>Maryland&#8217;s Code of Maryland Regulations &#8212; the official truck routing rules governing movement between port facilities &#8212; designates the Francis Scott Key Bridge corridor on I-695 as the official route between Sparrows Point and Seagirt Marine Terminal, Baltimore&#8217;s primary container facility. State-approved trucks traveling between the two facilities are directed through the Key Bridge toll plaza and across the Patapsco River via I-695. That route does not exist right now. The bridge has been gone since March 2024.</p><div class="callout-block" data-callout="true"><h3><strong>&#8220;Progress doesn&#8217;t just happen, progress is made to happen.&#8221;</strong></h3><p>&#8212; Gov. Wes Moore, May 1, 2026, Sparrows Point groundbreaking</p></div><p>Truckers currently reroute through the Fort McHenry or Baltimore Harbor tunnels &#8212; both of which run through the center of the city rather than around it, adding time, distance, and cost to every container move. At current volumes, that detour is an operational inconvenience. At 70 percent more container volume &#8212; the terminal&#8217;s stated capacity increase &#8212; it becomes a structural logistics problem.</p><p>The terminal&#8217;s designers anticipated the road access challenge, at least partially. The project includes an on-dock intermodal rail facility, which Tradepoint Atlantic has described as the closest rail link to the Midwest from any American port. Rail won&#8217;t move every container. The trucks will still need somewhere to go &#8212; and the most efficient route across the Patapsco River won&#8217;t be ready, on the current optimistic timeline, until the same month Sparrows Point opens for business.</p><h2>A Cost That Keeps Growing</h2><p>The Key Bridge replacement is no longer the project Maryland announced two weeks after the collapse in March 2024. The original estimate of $1.7 billion to $1.9 billion, with an October 2028 completion target, was revised in November 2025 to a range of $4.3 billion to $5.2 billion and a late 2030 open date. That&#8217;s before accounting for the Kiewit firing &#8212; which resets the Phase 2 contracting process entirely.</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Xsso!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F783a0ec9-8bc3-481c-b782-8833dba1a006_858x328.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Xsso!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F783a0ec9-8bc3-481c-b782-8833dba1a006_858x328.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Xsso!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F783a0ec9-8bc3-481c-b782-8833dba1a006_858x328.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Xsso!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F783a0ec9-8bc3-481c-b782-8833dba1a006_858x328.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Xsso!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F783a0ec9-8bc3-481c-b782-8833dba1a006_858x328.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Xsso!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F783a0ec9-8bc3-481c-b782-8833dba1a006_858x328.png" width="858" height="328" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/783a0ec9-8bc3-481c-b782-8833dba1a006_858x328.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:328,&quot;width&quot;:858,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:null,&quot;alt&quot;:&quot;Overview of bridge project cost estimates and completion timeline, including original estimate, revised estimate, cost increase percentage, and projected opening date for Sparrows Point.&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:null,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:true,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:null,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="Overview of bridge project cost estimates and completion timeline, including original estimate, revised estimate, cost increase percentage, and projected opening date for Sparrows Point." title="Overview of bridge project cost estimates and completion timeline, including original estimate, revised estimate, cost increase percentage, and projected opening date for Sparrows Point." srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Xsso!,w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F783a0ec9-8bc3-481c-b782-8833dba1a006_858x328.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Xsso!,w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F783a0ec9-8bc3-481c-b782-8833dba1a006_858x328.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Xsso!,w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F783a0ec9-8bc3-481c-b782-8833dba1a006_858x328.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Xsso!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F783a0ec9-8bc3-481c-b782-8833dba1a006_858x328.png 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg role="img" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><title></title><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><p>The federal government has committed to fully funding the bridge reconstruction under the American Relief Act. But the state is responsible for forward-funding much of the work and seeking reimbursement &#8212; a significant cash flow obligation against the backdrop of Maryland&#8217;s $1.5 billion budget deficit. Transportation Secretary Kathryn Thomson said the state remains committed to completing the bridge on schedule, calling the separation from Kiewit a cost-management decision, not a delay.</p><p>That framing is difficult to square with the mechanics of what comes next. MDTA will host a forum in May to begin the new contractor search. A new design-build team must be selected, a new maximum price negotiated, and construction restarted on a foundation that Kiewit has been driving into the Patapsco riverbed since at least March 2026. The pile-driving is ongoing. The contract for everything above it just evaporated.</p><h2>What Moore Said &#8212; and Didn&#8217;t Say</h2><p>At Friday&#8217;s groundbreaking, Moore characterized the Sparrows Point terminal as proof that Maryland had moved forward from the bridge collapse. &#8220;Progress doesn&#8217;t just happen, progress is made to happen,&#8221; he said. He noted that the groundbreaking comes exactly two years after the Key Bridge fell.</p><p>That framing &#8212; the terminal as a symbol of recovery &#8212; only holds if the bridge is also recovering on schedule. The events of the preceding Tuesday suggest it isn&#8217;t.</p><p>When Baltimore rises to the third-largest container port on the East Coast in 2030, state officials project it will handle approximately one million containers annually and generate $1.5 billion in economic activity for Maryland. That projection was built with a Key Bridge in it. The question no one asked at Friday&#8217;s ceremony is whether the math still works without one &#8212; or with one that arrives late.</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2" target="_blank" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!fBui!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F7a21d34c-2d3f-453a-bb0e-490e173dc0d0_850x223.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!fBui!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F7a21d34c-2d3f-453a-bb0e-490e173dc0d0_850x223.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!fBui!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F7a21d34c-2d3f-453a-bb0e-490e173dc0d0_850x223.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!fBui!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F7a21d34c-2d3f-453a-bb0e-490e173dc0d0_850x223.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!fBui!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F7a21d34c-2d3f-453a-bb0e-490e173dc0d0_850x223.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!fBui!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F7a21d34c-2d3f-453a-bb0e-490e173dc0d0_850x223.png" width="850" height="223" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/7a21d34c-2d3f-453a-bb0e-490e173dc0d0_850x223.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:223,&quot;width&quot;:850,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:null,&quot;alt&quot;:&quot;Headline discussing the shared completion target of the Sparrows Point Container Terminal and Key Bridge, mentioning the loss of a contractor for the bridge.&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:null,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:true,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:null,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="Headline discussing the shared completion target of the Sparrows Point Container Terminal and Key Bridge, mentioning the loss of a contractor for the bridge." title="Headline discussing the shared completion target of the Sparrows Point Container Terminal and Key Bridge, mentioning the loss of a contractor for the bridge." srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!fBui!,w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F7a21d34c-2d3f-453a-bb0e-490e173dc0d0_850x223.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!fBui!,w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F7a21d34c-2d3f-453a-bb0e-490e173dc0d0_850x223.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!fBui!,w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F7a21d34c-2d3f-453a-bb0e-490e173dc0d0_850x223.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!fBui!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F7a21d34c-2d3f-453a-bb0e-490e173dc0d0_850x223.png 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div></div></div></a></figure></div><h2>The Accountability Question</h2><p>None of this means the Sparrows Point terminal is a bad investment. The $1.2 billion is private capital &#8212; from Tradepoint Atlantic and Terminal Investment Limited, a joint venture backed by MSC Mediterranean Shipping Company, the world&#8217;s largest container line. The state&#8217;s direct exposure is $88 million, drawn from existing infrastructure accounts. The jobs are real. The shipping contracts are real. The economic case is legitimate.</p><p>But the terminal was planned and permitted against an assumption that the Key Bridge would be rebuilt. That assumption is now wobbling on a rebid timeline with no contractor, a cost estimate that has nearly tripled, and a federal oversight relationship &#8212; Secretary Sean Duffy has been publicly aggressive about demanding cost controls &#8212; that creates additional uncertainty about how quickly a new contract can be negotiated and approved.</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!IG1W!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Faa750b4d-2b1e-4e19-a14a-31a612a1c68a_1024x683.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!IG1W!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Faa750b4d-2b1e-4e19-a14a-31a612a1c68a_1024x683.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!IG1W!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Faa750b4d-2b1e-4e19-a14a-31a612a1c68a_1024x683.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!IG1W!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Faa750b4d-2b1e-4e19-a14a-31a612a1c68a_1024x683.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!IG1W!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Faa750b4d-2b1e-4e19-a14a-31a612a1c68a_1024x683.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!IG1W!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Faa750b4d-2b1e-4e19-a14a-31a612a1c68a_1024x683.png" width="1024" height="683" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/aa750b4d-2b1e-4e19-a14a-31a612a1c68a_1024x683.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:683,&quot;width&quot;:1024,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:null,&quot;alt&quot;:&quot;A concerned man sits at a table cluttered with papers and coffee mugs, expressing frustration over delays in the Francis Scott Key Bridge replacement project, with a backdrop of construction equipment and a calendar marked with past and future dates.&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:null,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:true,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:null,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="A concerned man sits at a table cluttered with papers and coffee mugs, expressing frustration over delays in the Francis Scott Key Bridge replacement project, with a backdrop of construction equipment and a calendar marked with past and future dates." title="A concerned man sits at a table cluttered with papers and coffee mugs, expressing frustration over delays in the Francis Scott Key Bridge replacement project, with a backdrop of construction equipment and a calendar marked with past and future dates." srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!IG1W!,w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Faa750b4d-2b1e-4e19-a14a-31a612a1c68a_1024x683.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!IG1W!,w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Faa750b4d-2b1e-4e19-a14a-31a612a1c68a_1024x683.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!IG1W!,w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Faa750b4d-2b1e-4e19-a14a-31a612a1c68a_1024x683.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!IG1W!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Faa750b4d-2b1e-4e19-a14a-31a612a1c68a_1024x683.png 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg role="img" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><title></title><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><p>Moore celebrated the terminal Friday as a &#8220;new chapter.&#8221; The chapter his administration hasn&#8217;t written yet is the one that explains how a million containers a year crosses the Patapsco River if the bridge isn&#8217;t ready when the terminal opens &#8212; or what happens if it isn&#8217;t.</p><div><hr></div><p><strong>Sources</strong> <em>Maryland Transportation Authority, announcement of Kiewit Infrastructure off-ramping, April 28, 2026; MDTA, Updated Cost Range and Schedule for Francis Scott Key Bridge Rebuild, November 17, 2025; Maryland Matters, &#8220;State to &#8216;off ramp&#8217; Key Bridge contractor as work continues,&#8221; April 28, 2026; WYPR, interview with MDTA Chief Engineer Jim Harkness, April 30, 2026; CBS Baltimore, &#8220;Maryland drops construction company for Baltimore&#8217;s Key Bridge,&#8221; April 28, 2026; U.S. Department of Transportation, Secretary Sean Duffy statement on Key Bridge rebuild, April 28, 2026; East County Times, &#8220;Ground breaking held for new Sparrows Point Container Terminal,&#8221; May 1, 2026; WorldCargo News, &#8220;Construction begins on Sparrows Point Container Terminal,&#8221; May 3, 2026; NottinghamMD.com, &#8220;Sparrows Point Container Terminal holds groundbreaking ceremony,&#8221; May 5, 2026; Code of Maryland Regulations 11.04.17.04, Routes of Travel (port truck routing); Sparrows Point Container Terminal official project website, spctmd.com; Francis Scott Key Bridge replacement &#8212; Wikipedia (for timeline and specifications); American Relief Act (P.L. 118-158), Key Bridge federal funding authorization.</em></p><div class="subscription-widget-wrap-editor" data-attrs="{&quot;url&quot;:&quot;https://mikethunderphillips.substack.com/subscribe?&quot;,&quot;text&quot;:&quot;Subscribe&quot;,&quot;language&quot;:&quot;en&quot;}" data-component-name="SubscribeWidgetToDOM"><div class="subscription-widget show-subscribe"><div class="preamble"><p class="cta-caption">Riptide Investigations is a reader-supported publication. To receive new posts and support my work, consider becoming a free or paid subscriber.</p></div><form class="subscription-widget-subscribe"><input type="email" class="email-input" name="email" placeholder="Type your email&#8230;" tabindex="-1"><input type="submit" class="button primary" value="Subscribe"><div class="fake-input-wrapper"><div class="fake-input"></div><div class="fake-button"></div></div></form></div></div>]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[The Drive-Through Doctrine: How Instant Gratification Killed the Left's Strategic Patience]]></title><description><![CDATA[Dead Reckoning]]></description><link>https://mikethunderphillips.substack.com/p/the-drive-through-doctrine-how-instant</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://mikethunderphillips.substack.com/p/the-drive-through-doctrine-how-instant</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Michael "Thunder" Phillips]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Sat, 02 May 2026 05:46:51 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!eVy_!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F85e61a23-df88-45b2-a1d5-c86eb4c627fc_1024x683.png" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!eVy_!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F85e61a23-df88-45b2-a1d5-c86eb4c627fc_1024x683.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!eVy_!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F85e61a23-df88-45b2-a1d5-c86eb4c627fc_1024x683.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!eVy_!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F85e61a23-df88-45b2-a1d5-c86eb4c627fc_1024x683.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!eVy_!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F85e61a23-df88-45b2-a1d5-c86eb4c627fc_1024x683.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!eVy_!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F85e61a23-df88-45b2-a1d5-c86eb4c627fc_1024x683.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!eVy_!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F85e61a23-df88-45b2-a1d5-c86eb4c627fc_1024x683.png" width="1024" height="683" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/85e61a23-df88-45b2-a1d5-c86eb4c627fc_1024x683.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:683,&quot;width&quot;:1024,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:null,&quot;alt&quot;:&quot;An hourglass, chess pieces, and an Iranian flag are positioned in front of a map highlighting Iran, with the U.S. Capitol building in the background, symbolizing political strategy and time.&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:null,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:false,&quot;topImage&quot;:true,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:null,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="An hourglass, chess pieces, and an Iranian flag are positioned in front of a map highlighting Iran, with the U.S. Capitol building in the background, symbolizing political strategy and time." title="An hourglass, chess pieces, and an Iranian flag are positioned in front of a map highlighting Iran, with the U.S. Capitol building in the background, symbolizing political strategy and time." srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!eVy_!,w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F85e61a23-df88-45b2-a1d5-c86eb4c627fc_1024x683.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!eVy_!,w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F85e61a23-df88-45b2-a1d5-c86eb4c627fc_1024x683.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!eVy_!,w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F85e61a23-df88-45b2-a1d5-c86eb4c627fc_1024x683.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!eVy_!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F85e61a23-df88-45b2-a1d5-c86eb4c627fc_1024x683.png 1456w" sizes="100vw" fetchpriority="high"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg role="img" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><title></title><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><p><em><strong><a href="https://riptide.report/analysis/dead-reckoning/">Dead Reckoning</a></strong></em></p><div><hr></div><p>There is a particular kind of pundit &#8212; you&#8217;ve seen him &#8212; who mistakes velocity for victory. He tracks wars the way he tracks a DoorDash order: refreshing the app every ninety seconds, growing increasingly agitated that the food hasn&#8217;t arrived, composing a one-star review before anyone&#8217;s left the kitchen.</p><div class="subscription-widget-wrap-editor" data-attrs="{&quot;url&quot;:&quot;https://mikethunderphillips.substack.com/subscribe?&quot;,&quot;text&quot;:&quot;Subscribe&quot;,&quot;language&quot;:&quot;en&quot;}" data-component-name="SubscribeWidgetToDOM"><div class="subscription-widget show-subscribe"><div class="preamble"><p class="cta-caption">Riptide Investigations is a reader-supported publication. To receive new posts and support my work, consider becoming a free or paid subscriber.</p></div><form class="subscription-widget-subscribe"><input type="email" class="email-input" name="email" placeholder="Type your email&#8230;" tabindex="-1"><input type="submit" class="button primary" value="Subscribe"><div class="fake-input-wrapper"><div class="fake-input"></div><div class="fake-button"></div></div></form></div></div><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!2_xu!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F22809fd5-0a18-4b65-a56b-b0ee398783fd_1024x702.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!2_xu!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F22809fd5-0a18-4b65-a56b-b0ee398783fd_1024x702.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!2_xu!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F22809fd5-0a18-4b65-a56b-b0ee398783fd_1024x702.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!2_xu!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F22809fd5-0a18-4b65-a56b-b0ee398783fd_1024x702.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!2_xu!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F22809fd5-0a18-4b65-a56b-b0ee398783fd_1024x702.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!2_xu!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F22809fd5-0a18-4b65-a56b-b0ee398783fd_1024x702.png" width="1024" height="702" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/22809fd5-0a18-4b65-a56b-b0ee398783fd_1024x702.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:702,&quot;width&quot;:1024,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:null,&quot;alt&quot;:&quot;Two men engaged in an animated discussion on a CNN news set, with one gesturing emphatically while the other listens intently.&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:null,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:false,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:null,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="Two men engaged in an animated discussion on a CNN news set, with one gesturing emphatically while the other listens intently." title="Two men engaged in an animated discussion on a CNN news set, with one gesturing emphatically while the other listens intently." srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!2_xu!,w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F22809fd5-0a18-4b65-a56b-b0ee398783fd_1024x702.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!2_xu!,w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F22809fd5-0a18-4b65-a56b-b0ee398783fd_1024x702.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!2_xu!,w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F22809fd5-0a18-4b65-a56b-b0ee398783fd_1024x702.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!2_xu!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F22809fd5-0a18-4b65-a56b-b0ee398783fd_1024x702.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg role="img" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><title></title><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><p>Adam Mockler&#8217;s on-air meltdown &#8212; and CNN commentator Scott Jennings&#8217; heated response to it &#8212; wasn&#8217;t really about Iran. It was a symptom of something deeper and more corrosive in American political discourse: a left that has so thoroughly internalized the logic of the instant that it can no longer think in the timeframes that geopolitics actually operates on.</p><div><hr></div><h2>The Metrics of Impatience</h2><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!THxv!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F50ae6474-c0d3-4495-a6b5-80eb9650f28b_1440x1000.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!THxv!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F50ae6474-c0d3-4495-a6b5-80eb9650f28b_1440x1000.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!THxv!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F50ae6474-c0d3-4495-a6b5-80eb9650f28b_1440x1000.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!THxv!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F50ae6474-c0d3-4495-a6b5-80eb9650f28b_1440x1000.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!THxv!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F50ae6474-c0d3-4495-a6b5-80eb9650f28b_1440x1000.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!THxv!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F50ae6474-c0d3-4495-a6b5-80eb9650f28b_1440x1000.png" width="1440" height="1000" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/50ae6474-c0d3-4495-a6b5-80eb9650f28b_1440x1000.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:1000,&quot;width&quot;:1440,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:null,&quot;alt&quot;:&quot;A timeline titled 'The Pundit's War Timeline' detailing various events and verdicts related to conflicts, ranging from the start of operations to outcomes of negotiations, including critical assessments of each event.&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:null,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:true,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:null,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="A timeline titled 'The Pundit's War Timeline' detailing various events and verdicts related to conflicts, ranging from the start of operations to outcomes of negotiations, including critical assessments of each event." title="A timeline titled 'The Pundit's War Timeline' detailing various events and verdicts related to conflicts, ranging from the start of operations to outcomes of negotiations, including critical assessments of each event." srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!THxv!,w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F50ae6474-c0d3-4495-a6b5-80eb9650f28b_1440x1000.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!THxv!,w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F50ae6474-c0d3-4495-a6b5-80eb9650f28b_1440x1000.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!THxv!,w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F50ae6474-c0d3-4495-a6b5-80eb9650f28b_1440x1000.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!THxv!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F50ae6474-c0d3-4495-a6b5-80eb9650f28b_1440x1000.png 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg role="img" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><title></title><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><p>Mockler&#8217;s argument, stripped of its rhetorical scaffolding, is this: the United States has not extracted a named political concession from Iran in the weeks since military operations began, therefore the enterprise has failed.</p><p>This is a serious-sounding argument. It is not a serious argument.</p><p>The logic applies a consumer satisfaction framework to nuclear nonproliferation. It demands that a negotiation involving enriched uranium, regional proxy networks, decades of entrenched theocratic governance, and the credible threat of weapons of mass destruction resolve itself on a timeline appropriate for, say, a billing dispute with a cable company.</p><p>Consider the comparison that rarely gets made: the Democratic caucus shut down significant portions of the federal government for 76 days in a standoff that produced no substantive policy outcome and was ultimately resolved by a continuing resolution. The ceasefire framework with Iran &#8212; a genuinely hostile nuclear-threshold state &#8212; has been operative for 20 days.</p><p>No one called the shutdown a &#8220;failed negotiation&#8221; on Day 21. Though the Democrats exhaustively took to social media and cable daily to blame the GOP for not wanting to defund federal law enforcement.</p><div><hr></div><h2>Strategic Patience as a Lost Art</h2><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!JySM!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fdcf177af-1f2c-4a10-bbee-f9943da79ed7_1440x720.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!JySM!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fdcf177af-1f2c-4a10-bbee-f9943da79ed7_1440x720.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!JySM!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fdcf177af-1f2c-4a10-bbee-f9943da79ed7_1440x720.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!JySM!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fdcf177af-1f2c-4a10-bbee-f9943da79ed7_1440x720.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!JySM!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fdcf177af-1f2c-4a10-bbee-f9943da79ed7_1440x720.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!JySM!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fdcf177af-1f2c-4a10-bbee-f9943da79ed7_1440x720.png" width="1440" height="720" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/dcf177af-1f2c-4a10-bbee-f9943da79ed7_1440x720.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:720,&quot;width&quot;:1440,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:null,&quot;alt&quot;:&quot;Graphic illustrating a comparison of patience in political contexts, highlighting the discrepancy in days active for different events related to Iran and the Obama administration's nuclear talks, with accompanying quotes.&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:null,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:true,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:null,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="Graphic illustrating a comparison of patience in political contexts, highlighting the discrepancy in days active for different events related to Iran and the Obama administration's nuclear talks, with accompanying quotes." title="Graphic illustrating a comparison of patience in political contexts, highlighting the discrepancy in days active for different events related to Iran and the Obama administration's nuclear talks, with accompanying quotes." srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!JySM!,w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fdcf177af-1f2c-4a10-bbee-f9943da79ed7_1440x720.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!JySM!,w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fdcf177af-1f2c-4a10-bbee-f9943da79ed7_1440x720.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!JySM!,w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fdcf177af-1f2c-4a10-bbee-f9943da79ed7_1440x720.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!JySM!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fdcf177af-1f2c-4a10-bbee-f9943da79ed7_1440x720.png 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg role="img" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><title></title><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><p>There is a historical baseline here worth establishing. The Iranian nuclear negotiations under the Obama administration &#8212; the framework that produced the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action &#8212; took more than two years of formal talks, built on a decade of prior diplomatic groundwork, and still produced an agreement that its own architects acknowledged was temporary and structurally incomplete. The Iran Deal was celebrated, not ridiculed, despite leaving enrichment capacity intact, despite sunset clauses that would have eventually restored Iranian nuclear latency, despite zero dismantlement of centrifuge infrastructure.</p><p>The same commentators now demanding a concession scorecard after twenty days were, then, perfectly comfortable with a multi-year framework that asked for patience and produced partial results.</p><p>What changed is not the complexity of Iran. What changed is the party affiliation of the administration managing it.</p><div><hr></div><h2>The Derangement Is the Product</h2><p>This is worth naming plainly: what the American left is experiencing is not rigorous foreign policy analysis. It is a trained reflex. The stimulus is any Trump administration action. The response is crisis framing, escalating emotional tenor, and demands for immediate resolution &#8212; demands calibrated not to produce policy accountability but to generate the affective reward of outrage.</p><p>It works because it fits the media environment that produced it. Outrage is the engagement metric. The algorithm doesn&#8217;t reward &#8220;this is a complex situation that warrants continued monitoring.&#8221; It rewards the screengrab, the viral clip, the moment where Jennings tells Mockler to get his hand out of his face.</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!mLDY!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F593e284f-54bb-4848-b3cd-4c5c47a46818_1440x420.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!mLDY!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F593e284f-54bb-4848-b3cd-4c5c47a46818_1440x420.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!mLDY!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F593e284f-54bb-4848-b3cd-4c5c47a46818_1440x420.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!mLDY!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F593e284f-54bb-4848-b3cd-4c5c47a46818_1440x420.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!mLDY!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F593e284f-54bb-4848-b3cd-4c5c47a46818_1440x420.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!mLDY!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F593e284f-54bb-4848-b3cd-4c5c47a46818_1440x420.png" width="1440" height="420" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/593e284f-54bb-4848-b3cd-4c5c47a46818_1440x420.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:420,&quot;width&quot;:1440,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:null,&quot;alt&quot;:&quot;Quote about engagement metrics and algorithms emphasizing outrage as a key driver, attributed to Michael Phillips.&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:null,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:true,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:null,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="Quote about engagement metrics and algorithms emphasizing outrage as a key driver, attributed to Michael Phillips." title="Quote about engagement metrics and algorithms emphasizing outrage as a key driver, attributed to Michael Phillips." srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!mLDY!,w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F593e284f-54bb-4848-b3cd-4c5c47a46818_1440x420.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!mLDY!,w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F593e284f-54bb-4848-b3cd-4c5c47a46818_1440x420.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!mLDY!,w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F593e284f-54bb-4848-b3cd-4c5c47a46818_1440x420.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!mLDY!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F593e284f-54bb-4848-b3cd-4c5c47a46818_1440x420.png 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg role="img" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><title></title><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><p>The spectacle is the point. <strong>The spectacle has replaced the analysis.</strong></p><p>This is not an argument that the Trump administration&#8217;s Iran policy is beyond criticism &#8212; it isn&#8217;t, and this publication will examine it on the merits as the situation develops. But the criticism has to be grounded in something more durable than impatience. Nuclear weapons are not a World of Warcraft boss. They don&#8217;t have a health bar. They don&#8217;t respawn.</p><div><hr></div><h2>What Accountability Actually Looks Like</h2><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!abUI!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F2ecd3554-1fed-44d8-99af-496c3f417093_1440x960.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!abUI!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F2ecd3554-1fed-44d8-99af-496c3f417093_1440x960.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!abUI!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F2ecd3554-1fed-44d8-99af-496c3f417093_1440x960.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!abUI!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F2ecd3554-1fed-44d8-99af-496c3f417093_1440x960.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!abUI!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F2ecd3554-1fed-44d8-99af-496c3f417093_1440x960.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!abUI!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F2ecd3554-1fed-44d8-99af-496c3f417093_1440x960.png" width="1440" height="960" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/2ecd3554-1fed-44d8-99af-496c3f417093_1440x960.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:960,&quot;width&quot;:1440,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:null,&quot;alt&quot;:&quot;Comparison chart of reaction speed index addressing Trump's 'failure' verdict and Obama's Biden's extended patience across various topics including Iran policy, gas prices, government dysfunction, foreign military action, and personal conduct.&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:null,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:true,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:null,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="Comparison chart of reaction speed index addressing Trump's 'failure' verdict and Obama's Biden's extended patience across various topics including Iran policy, gas prices, government dysfunction, foreign military action, and personal conduct." title="Comparison chart of reaction speed index addressing Trump's 'failure' verdict and Obama's Biden's extended patience across various topics including Iran policy, gas prices, government dysfunction, foreign military action, and personal conduct." srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!abUI!,w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F2ecd3554-1fed-44d8-99af-496c3f417093_1440x960.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!abUI!,w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F2ecd3554-1fed-44d8-99af-496c3f417093_1440x960.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!abUI!,w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F2ecd3554-1fed-44d8-99af-496c3f417093_1440x960.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!abUI!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F2ecd3554-1fed-44d8-99af-496c3f417093_1440x960.png 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg role="img" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><title></title><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><p>Genuine foreign policy accountability asks whether the strategic objectives are clearly defined, whether the operational means are proportionate and lawful, whether the diplomatic track is being pursued in good faith, and whether the costs &#8212; human, economic, geopolitical &#8212; are being honestly disclosed to the public.</p><p>Those are fair questions. They deserve serious answers from this administration, and this publication intends to ask them.</p><p>What they do not deserve is to be buried under an avalanche of hot takes from people who have benchmarked success against the delivery window of a Chipotle order.</p><p>The drive-through doctrine is a feature, not a bug, of the modern left&#8217;s media operation. Keep the audience in a perpetual state of unresolved crisis, and they never stop clicking. The problem is that governance &#8212; actual governance, of the kind that prevents nuclear proliferation &#8212; requires the capacity to hold complexity over time.</p><p>That capacity appears to be in short supply.</p><div class="subscription-widget-wrap-editor" data-attrs="{&quot;url&quot;:&quot;https://mikethunderphillips.substack.com/subscribe?&quot;,&quot;text&quot;:&quot;Subscribe&quot;,&quot;language&quot;:&quot;en&quot;}" data-component-name="SubscribeWidgetToDOM"><div class="subscription-widget show-subscribe"><div class="preamble"><p class="cta-caption">Riptide Investigations is a reader-supported publication. To receive new posts and support my work, consider becoming a free or paid subscriber.</p></div><form class="subscription-widget-subscribe"><input type="email" class="email-input" name="email" placeholder="Type your email&#8230;" tabindex="-1"><input type="submit" class="button primary" value="Subscribe"><div class="fake-input-wrapper"><div class="fake-input"></div><div class="fake-button"></div></div></form></div></div>]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[High Court's VRA Ruling Exposes Maryland's Racial Gerrymander — and Democrats' Hubris]]></title><description><![CDATA[Supreme Court decision in Callais v. Louisiana could upend race-drawn districts and put the 7-1 map on a clock]]></description><link>https://mikethunderphillips.substack.com/p/high-courts-vra-ruling-exposes-marylands</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://mikethunderphillips.substack.com/p/high-courts-vra-ruling-exposes-marylands</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Michael "Thunder" Phillips]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Wed, 29 Apr 2026 19:41:51 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!MWBA!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F1d88f49c-4d22-4255-9c30-ccf9c9a362f4_1024x683.png" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!MWBA!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F1d88f49c-4d22-4255-9c30-ccf9c9a362f4_1024x683.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!MWBA!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F1d88f49c-4d22-4255-9c30-ccf9c9a362f4_1024x683.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!MWBA!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F1d88f49c-4d22-4255-9c30-ccf9c9a362f4_1024x683.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!MWBA!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F1d88f49c-4d22-4255-9c30-ccf9c9a362f4_1024x683.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!MWBA!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F1d88f49c-4d22-4255-9c30-ccf9c9a362f4_1024x683.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!MWBA!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F1d88f49c-4d22-4255-9c30-ccf9c9a362f4_1024x683.png" width="1024" height="683" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/1d88f49c-4d22-4255-9c30-ccf9c9a362f4_1024x683.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:683,&quot;width&quot;:1024,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:null,&quot;alt&quot;:&quot;Graphic depicting the U.S. Supreme Court building, a gavel, and a map of Maryland highlighting its congressional districts. Text discusses the implications of a VRA ruling on Maryland's 7-1 congressional map and mentions issues related to racial gerrymandering and potential changes by 2028.&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:null,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:false,&quot;topImage&quot;:true,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:null,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="Graphic depicting the U.S. Supreme Court building, a gavel, and a map of Maryland highlighting its congressional districts. Text discusses the implications of a VRA ruling on Maryland's 7-1 congressional map and mentions issues related to racial gerrymandering and potential changes by 2028." title="Graphic depicting the U.S. Supreme Court building, a gavel, and a map of Maryland highlighting its congressional districts. Text discusses the implications of a VRA ruling on Maryland's 7-1 congressional map and mentions issues related to racial gerrymandering and potential changes by 2028." srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!MWBA!,w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F1d88f49c-4d22-4255-9c30-ccf9c9a362f4_1024x683.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!MWBA!,w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F1d88f49c-4d22-4255-9c30-ccf9c9a362f4_1024x683.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!MWBA!,w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F1d88f49c-4d22-4255-9c30-ccf9c9a362f4_1024x683.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!MWBA!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F1d88f49c-4d22-4255-9c30-ccf9c9a362f4_1024x683.png 1456w" sizes="100vw" fetchpriority="high"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg role="img" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><title></title><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><div><hr></div><p>A landmark Supreme Court ruling handed down Wednesday could reshape Maryland&#8217;s political map, exposing the state&#8217;s race-conscious congressional districts to a fresh legal challenge while simultaneously foreclosing Democrats&#8217; most aggressive redistricting ambitions.</p><p>In <em>Callais v. Louisiana</em>, the court&#8217;s 6-3 conservative majority delivered a ruling that effectively reinterprets Section 2 of the Voting Rights Act &#8212; the provision that for four decades has been wielded to compel states to create majority-minority congressional districts. Writing for the majority, Justice Samuel Alito held that the VRA does not require states to create majority-minority districts when doing so would amount to an unconstitutional racial gerrymander. The ruling raises a critical new standard: <strong>when partisan redistricting goals and racial composition collide, race cannot be the predominant factor driving the map.</strong></p><div class="subscription-widget-wrap-editor" data-attrs="{&quot;url&quot;:&quot;https://mikethunderphillips.substack.com/subscribe?&quot;,&quot;text&quot;:&quot;Subscribe&quot;,&quot;language&quot;:&quot;en&quot;}" data-component-name="SubscribeWidgetToDOM"><div class="subscription-widget show-subscribe"><div class="preamble"><p class="cta-caption">Riptide Investigations is a reader-supported publication. To receive new posts and support my work, consider becoming a free or paid subscriber.</p></div><form class="subscription-widget-subscribe"><input type="email" class="email-input" name="email" placeholder="Type your email&#8230;" tabindex="-1"><input type="submit" class="button primary" value="Subscribe"><div class="fake-input-wrapper"><div class="fake-input"></div><div class="fake-button"></div></div></form></div></div><p>For Maryland, that principle lands with particular force.</p><h2><strong>Maryland&#8217;s Race-Built Map Now in the Crosshairs</strong></h2><p>Maryland&#8217;s current congressional map &#8212; the product of a contentious 2022 court-ordered redraw &#8212; features two majority-Black districts: the 4th District, which covers portions of Prince George&#8217;s County, and the 7th District anchored in Baltimore City. Those districts were drawn in part to ensure Black representation in a state where African Americans make up roughly 31 percent of the population.</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!fG8W!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F3698792e-810e-4987-8907-1afcd1e64453_1024x484.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!fG8W!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F3698792e-810e-4987-8907-1afcd1e64453_1024x484.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!fG8W!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F3698792e-810e-4987-8907-1afcd1e64453_1024x484.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!fG8W!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F3698792e-810e-4987-8907-1afcd1e64453_1024x484.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!fG8W!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F3698792e-810e-4987-8907-1afcd1e64453_1024x484.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!fG8W!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F3698792e-810e-4987-8907-1afcd1e64453_1024x484.png" width="1024" height="484" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/3698792e-810e-4987-8907-1afcd1e64453_1024x484.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:484,&quot;width&quot;:1024,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:null,&quot;alt&quot;:&quot;Infographic of Maryland's congressional delegation for the 119th Congress, showing current 8 seats with party affiliation and district information.&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:null,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:false,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:null,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="Infographic of Maryland's congressional delegation for the 119th Congress, showing current 8 seats with party affiliation and district information." title="Infographic of Maryland's congressional delegation for the 119th Congress, showing current 8 seats with party affiliation and district information." srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!fG8W!,w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F3698792e-810e-4987-8907-1afcd1e64453_1024x484.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!fG8W!,w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F3698792e-810e-4987-8907-1afcd1e64453_1024x484.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!fG8W!,w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F3698792e-810e-4987-8907-1afcd1e64453_1024x484.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!fG8W!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F3698792e-810e-4987-8907-1afcd1e64453_1024x484.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg role="img" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><title></title><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><p>Under the old Section 2 framework, creating those districts was not merely permissible &#8212; it was arguably required. Under the new standard, the court established on Wednesday, the analysis flips. If race were the predominant factor in drawing those district lines, the maps could now be challenged as unconstitutional racial gerrymanders, regardless of the political outcome they produce.</p><p>Maryland Republicans have reason to take notice. Del. Kathy Szeliga, who successfully sued to overturn the original 2022 congressional map as &#8220;a product of extreme partisan gerrymandering,&#8221; has already signaled she would return to court at the first available opportunity. The <em>Callais</em> decision gives potential challengers a sharper legal arrow.</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!QvPo!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F2f62a425-b8b9-4c5a-82e0-bae3cebc01b8_1024x683.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!QvPo!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F2f62a425-b8b9-4c5a-82e0-bae3cebc01b8_1024x683.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!QvPo!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F2f62a425-b8b9-4c5a-82e0-bae3cebc01b8_1024x683.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!QvPo!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F2f62a425-b8b9-4c5a-82e0-bae3cebc01b8_1024x683.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!QvPo!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F2f62a425-b8b9-4c5a-82e0-bae3cebc01b8_1024x683.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!QvPo!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F2f62a425-b8b9-4c5a-82e0-bae3cebc01b8_1024x683.png" width="1024" height="683" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/2f62a425-b8b9-4c5a-82e0-bae3cebc01b8_1024x683.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:683,&quot;width&quot;:1024,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:null,&quot;alt&quot;:&quot;Infographic illustrating the change in legal standards regarding race in district mapping following the Supreme Court ruling in Callais v. Louisiana. It contrasts the old Voting Rights Act standard with the new Callais standard, highlighting key differences in how race can be used in drawing electoral districts.&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:null,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:true,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:null,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="Infographic illustrating the change in legal standards regarding race in district mapping following the Supreme Court ruling in Callais v. Louisiana. It contrasts the old Voting Rights Act standard with the new Callais standard, highlighting key differences in how race can be used in drawing electoral districts." title="Infographic illustrating the change in legal standards regarding race in district mapping following the Supreme Court ruling in Callais v. Louisiana. It contrasts the old Voting Rights Act standard with the new Callais standard, highlighting key differences in how race can be used in drawing electoral districts." srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!QvPo!,w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F2f62a425-b8b9-4c5a-82e0-bae3cebc01b8_1024x683.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!QvPo!,w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F2f62a425-b8b9-4c5a-82e0-bae3cebc01b8_1024x683.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!QvPo!,w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F2f62a425-b8b9-4c5a-82e0-bae3cebc01b8_1024x683.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!QvPo!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F2f62a425-b8b9-4c5a-82e0-bae3cebc01b8_1024x683.png 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg role="img" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><title></title><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><h2><strong>Democrats&#8217; 8-0 Ambition Is Now a Liability</strong></h2><p>The ruling also lands as a rebuke &#8212; if an indirect one &#8212; to the Democratic Party&#8217;s attempted power grab earlier this year.</p><p>In February, Governor Wes Moore pushed aggressively for HB 488, a mid-decade redistricting bill that would have redrawn all eight congressional districts to virtually guarantee an all-Democratic delegation, eliminating the seat held by Rep. Andy Harris, Maryland&#8217;s lone Republican in Congress. House Speaker Joseline Pe&#241;a-Melnyk captured the partisan spirit of the effort plainly: &#8220;Why am I voting for this bill today? It&#8217;s not because I can, it&#8217;s because I must.&#8221;</p><p>Senate President Bill Ferguson &#8212; to his credit &#8212; blocked it. Ferguson&#8217;s concern was not principle so much as strategy: he worried the courts would strike it down and potentially open up the 2022 map to revision, imperiling Democrats&#8217; existing 7-1 advantage. He was right to be cautious. A state circuit court had already declared Maryland&#8217;s 2021 congressional map unconstitutional as an extreme partisan gerrymander. Doing it again, Ferguson concluded, was a political gamble Democrats didn&#8217;t need to take.</p><p>Wednesday&#8217;s ruling vindicates Ferguson&#8217;s caution &#8212; but for reasons that go beyond partisan strategy. The Supreme Court has now made clear that using race as a redistricting instrument to achieve political ends is not protected by the VRA. It is, in fact, constitutionally suspect. The Democrats&#8217; proposed 8-0 map, built atop race-conscious district configurations and designed to cement one-party dominance, would have walked directly into the legal minefield the court just mapped out.</p><h2><strong>The 2028 Target: Maryland&#8217;s Map Is On a Clock</strong></h2><p>The <em>Callais</em> ruling doesn&#8217;t just foreclose future Democratic gerrymanders &#8212; it may have put a timer on the existing 7-1 map itself.</p><p>With 2026 effectively locked &#8212; candidate filing is closed, and the June 23 primary is weeks away &#8212; the realistic legal target is 2028. A lawsuit filed this fall, after November&#8217;s elections, could work its way through the federal courts on a timeline that forces a remedial map before the 2028 filing deadline. Courts have moved with extraordinary speed on redistricting before. In Maryland&#8217;s own 2022 cycle, a map was struck and a replacement drawn within weeks of a court order.</p><p>The plaintiff infrastructure already exists. Del. Szeliga has made no secret of her willingness to return to court. &#8220;The Maryland courts already condemned intentional discrimination, voter dilution, and retaliation based on a political party,&#8221; she said during this year&#8217;s HB 488 debate &#8212; signaling she views the state&#8217;s redistricting history as an ongoing legal vulnerability for Democrats, not a settled matter.</p><p>Under the <em>Callais</em> standard, the argument is straightforward: if race was the predominant factor in drawing Maryland&#8217;s 4th and 7th Districts, those maps are unconstitutional racial gerrymanders regardless of the partisan outcome they produce. Maryland&#8217;s redistricting record is unusually well-documented thanks to years of litigation. If that paper trail shows lawmakers explicitly targeting racial composition thresholds when drawing those districts &#8212; and in a state with Maryland&#8217;s history, that legislative record is worth examining closely &#8212; plaintiffs would have the direct evidence the new standard requires.</p><p>The federal judicial landscape adds another dimension. The Fourth Circuit, which would hear any federal redistricting appeal from Maryland, currently holds a 9-6 majority of Democratic-appointed judges. But that margin is fragile. Legal analysts have warned that as few as two retirements could flip the court to Republican-appointed control under the current administration&#8217;s appointment pace. A redistricting case that begins in federal district court this fall could reach the Fourth Circuit at precisely the moment that court&#8217;s ideological balance is most uncertain &#8212; and ultimately land before a Supreme Court that just demonstrated, in <em>Callais</em>, exactly how it views race-conscious map-drawing.</p><p>Senate President Ferguson, in his repeated warnings against the HB 488 redistricting push, told colleagues that reopening the 2022 map could jeopardize the Democrats&#8217; existing 7-1 advantage. He was focused on self-inflicted legal risk. What <em>Callais</em> introduces is external legal risk &#8212; a challenge Democrats didn&#8217;t invite but may not be able to avoid.</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!k1TW!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F1d290f68-49cd-424a-a7c7-3bae85b93a61_1024x603.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!k1TW!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F1d290f68-49cd-424a-a7c7-3bae85b93a61_1024x603.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!k1TW!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F1d290f68-49cd-424a-a7c7-3bae85b93a61_1024x603.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!k1TW!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F1d290f68-49cd-424a-a7c7-3bae85b93a61_1024x603.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!k1TW!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F1d290f68-49cd-424a-a7c7-3bae85b93a61_1024x603.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!k1TW!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F1d290f68-49cd-424a-a7c7-3bae85b93a61_1024x603.png" width="1024" height="603" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/1d290f68-49cd-424a-a7c7-3bae85b93a61_1024x603.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:603,&quot;width&quot;:1024,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:null,&quot;alt&quot;:&quot;Infographic detailing the timeline for the Callais challenge pathway concerning MD-4 and MD-7, highlighting potential federal litigation related to the 2028 elections.&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:null,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:true,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:null,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="Infographic detailing the timeline for the Callais challenge pathway concerning MD-4 and MD-7, highlighting potential federal litigation related to the 2028 elections." title="Infographic detailing the timeline for the Callais challenge pathway concerning MD-4 and MD-7, highlighting potential federal litigation related to the 2028 elections." srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!k1TW!,w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F1d290f68-49cd-424a-a7c7-3bae85b93a61_1024x603.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!k1TW!,w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F1d290f68-49cd-424a-a7c7-3bae85b93a61_1024x603.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!k1TW!,w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F1d290f68-49cd-424a-a7c7-3bae85b93a61_1024x603.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!k1TW!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F1d290f68-49cd-424a-a7c7-3bae85b93a61_1024x603.png 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg role="img" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><title></title><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><h2><strong>What It Means for Maryland Going Forward</strong></h2><p>The immediate electoral impact of the <em>Callais</em> decision on Maryland is limited. The 2026 maps are set. But the decision&#8217;s long-term implications are significant on three fronts.</p><p><strong>First</strong>, Maryland&#8217;s existing 4th and 7th Districts are now plausible targets for a federal legal challenge under the 14th Amendment and the newly narrowed VRA. Any litigant willing to argue that race was the predominant factor in their construction &#8212; and the documentary record of Maryland&#8217;s redistricting battles makes that argument available &#8212; now has a far more favorable Supreme Court to hear it.</p><p><strong>Second</strong>, the decision effectively buries whatever residual appetite exists among Maryland Democrats for a second mid-decade redistricting attempt. Any map constructed to engineer racial compositions for partisan benefit will face a markedly more skeptical federal judiciary than the one that governed the last decade.</p><p><strong>Third</strong>, and most broadly, the ruling underscores a principle that Maryland&#8217;s Democratic supermajority has consistently resisted: that redistricting cannot be a one-party instrument. For a state whose original 2021 congressional map was struck from the bench as extreme gerrymandering, and whose 2026 redistricting effort died in the Senate over fear of exactly that outcome again, the message from the Supreme Court is pointed.</p><p>Maryland Democrats built a 7-1 congressional map and then tried to make it 8-0. The Supreme Court just handed their opponents a tool that could make it neither.</p><div><hr></div><p><em><strong>Sources</strong>: Reporting for this article draws on the Supreme Court&#8217;s majority opinion in Callais v. Louisiana (April 29, 2026); coverage from The Washington Post, Axios, CNN Politics, and Democracy Docket on the ruling and its national implications; Maryland Matters and WYPR reporting on HB 488 and the 2026 redistricting fight; the Loyola Law School All About Redistricting database on Maryland&#8217;s redistricting history; Sabato&#8217;s Crystal Ball analysis of the proposed congressional map; court records from Szeliga v. Lamone and Parrott v. Lamone (Md. Cir. Ct. 2022); Ballotpedia data on Fourth Circuit judicial composition; and public statements made during Maryland House floor debate on HB 488, February 2026.</em></p><div class="subscription-widget-wrap-editor" data-attrs="{&quot;url&quot;:&quot;https://mikethunderphillips.substack.com/subscribe?&quot;,&quot;text&quot;:&quot;Subscribe&quot;,&quot;language&quot;:&quot;en&quot;}" data-component-name="SubscribeWidgetToDOM"><div class="subscription-widget show-subscribe"><div class="preamble"><p class="cta-caption">Riptide Investigations is a reader-supported publication. To receive new posts and support my work, consider becoming a free or paid subscriber.</p></div><form class="subscription-widget-subscribe"><input type="email" class="email-input" name="email" placeholder="Type your email&#8230;" tabindex="-1"><input type="submit" class="button primary" value="Subscribe"><div class="fake-input-wrapper"><div class="fake-input"></div><div class="fake-button"></div></div></form></div></div>]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[Maryland Paid the Lobbyists Who Wrote the Law That Could Cost Maryland Millions]]></title><description><![CDATA[We Are CASA drafted the sanctuary agenda.]]></description><link>https://mikethunderphillips.substack.com/p/maryland-paid-the-lobbyists-who-wrote</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://mikethunderphillips.substack.com/p/maryland-paid-the-lobbyists-who-wrote</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Michael "Thunder" Phillips]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Sat, 25 Apr 2026 08:21:25 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!xepK!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F656a7c36-8a37-45d1-b519-7ce728ca91e6_1024x683.png" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!xepK!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F656a7c36-8a37-45d1-b519-7ce728ca91e6_1024x683.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!xepK!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F656a7c36-8a37-45d1-b519-7ce728ca91e6_1024x683.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!xepK!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F656a7c36-8a37-45d1-b519-7ce728ca91e6_1024x683.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!xepK!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F656a7c36-8a37-45d1-b519-7ce728ca91e6_1024x683.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!xepK!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F656a7c36-8a37-45d1-b519-7ce728ca91e6_1024x683.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!xepK!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F656a7c36-8a37-45d1-b519-7ce728ca91e6_1024x683.png" width="1024" height="683" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/656a7c36-8a37-45d1-b519-7ce728ca91e6_1024x683.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:683,&quot;width&quot;:1024,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:null,&quot;alt&quot;:&quot;A dramatic graphic showing the Maryland state house, with a gavel and legal documents, highlighting a message about taxpayer funds and lobbyists impacting a law that could cost Maryland millions.&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:null,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:false,&quot;topImage&quot;:true,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:null,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="A dramatic graphic showing the Maryland state house, with a gavel and legal documents, highlighting a message about taxpayer funds and lobbyists impacting a law that could cost Maryland millions." title="A dramatic graphic showing the Maryland state house, with a gavel and legal documents, highlighting a message about taxpayer funds and lobbyists impacting a law that could cost Maryland millions." srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!xepK!,w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F656a7c36-8a37-45d1-b519-7ce728ca91e6_1024x683.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!xepK!,w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F656a7c36-8a37-45d1-b519-7ce728ca91e6_1024x683.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!xepK!,w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F656a7c36-8a37-45d1-b519-7ce728ca91e6_1024x683.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!xepK!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F656a7c36-8a37-45d1-b519-7ce728ca91e6_1024x683.png 1456w" sizes="100vw" fetchpriority="high"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg role="img" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><title></title><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><blockquote><h4><strong>We Are CASA drafted the sanctuary agenda. Maryland taxpayers funded We Are CASA. Bill Ferguson and Wes Moore delivered the votes. Now federal money is at risk.</strong></h4></blockquote><div><hr></div><p>Maryland is staring down a $1.4 billion structural deficit. It&#8217;s cutting $150 million from the Developmental Disabilities Administration. It&#8217;s raising taxes on families already leaving the state in measurable numbers.</p><p>And it just used taxpayer dollars to help lobby itself into a sanctuary state law that federal analysts warn could cost it significantly more.</p><div class="subscription-widget-wrap-editor" data-attrs="{&quot;url&quot;:&quot;https://mikethunderphillips.substack.com/subscribe?&quot;,&quot;text&quot;:&quot;Subscribe&quot;,&quot;language&quot;:&quot;en&quot;}" data-component-name="SubscribeWidgetToDOM"><div class="subscription-widget show-subscribe"><div class="preamble"><p class="cta-caption">Riptide Investigations is a reader-supported publication. To receive new posts and support my work, consider becoming a free or paid subscriber.</p></div><form class="subscription-widget-subscribe"><input type="email" class="email-input" name="email" placeholder="Type your email&#8230;" tabindex="-1"><input type="submit" class="button primary" value="Subscribe"><div class="fake-input-wrapper"><div class="fake-input"></div><div class="fake-button"></div></div></form></div></div><p>That&#8217;s not a metaphor. It&#8217;s the documented transaction.</p><blockquote><h2 style="text-align: center;"><em><strong>Maryland used taxpayer dollars to help lobby itself into a sanctuary state.</strong></em></h2></blockquote><h2><strong>The Money Trail</strong></h2><p>According to state records, Maryland&#8217;s government provided We Are CASA &#8212; the immigrant advocacy nonprofit that organized, staffed, and directed the campaign to pass the Community Trust Act &#8212; more than $1 million in taxpayer funding last year alone. That includes approximately $826,000 from the Department of Service and Civic Innovation, $212,000 from the Maryland Department of Health, and $65,000 from the Governor&#8217;s Office for Children.</p><blockquote><h2 style="text-align: center;"><em><strong>Maryland&#8217;s government provided We Are CASA more than $1 million in taxpayer funding last year alone.</strong></em></h2></blockquote><p>We Are CASA does not shy away from what it does with its organizational power. Its own press release following the session&#8217;s final day calls the Community Trust Act &#8220;We Are CASA&#8217;s top immigrant rights priority,&#8221; describes how its members &#8220;spent countless hours in Annapolis fighting for these bills,&#8221; and features Senate President Bill Ferguson and Senate Judicial Proceedings Committee Chair William Smith joining CASA on stage to celebrate passage.</p><p>The governor&#8217;s office funded the organization. The Senate President stood on its stage. The governor will now decide whether to sign the bill.</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!z9J1!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F539494d2-9587-4cfc-8fed-fedc02266104_1440x1040.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!z9J1!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F539494d2-9587-4cfc-8fed-fedc02266104_1440x1040.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!z9J1!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F539494d2-9587-4cfc-8fed-fedc02266104_1440x1040.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!z9J1!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F539494d2-9587-4cfc-8fed-fedc02266104_1440x1040.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!z9J1!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F539494d2-9587-4cfc-8fed-fedc02266104_1440x1040.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!z9J1!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F539494d2-9587-4cfc-8fed-fedc02266104_1440x1040.png" width="1440" height="1040" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/539494d2-9587-4cfc-8fed-fedc02266104_1440x1040.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:1040,&quot;width&quot;:1440,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:null,&quot;alt&quot;:&quot;Flowchart illustrating Maryland taxpayers and the allocation of $3.5B in federal grants at risk, detailing connections between various departments, state funding initiatives, and legislative actions involving CASA and government officials.&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:null,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:true,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:null,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="Flowchart illustrating Maryland taxpayers and the allocation of $3.5B in federal grants at risk, detailing connections between various departments, state funding initiatives, and legislative actions involving CASA and government officials." title="Flowchart illustrating Maryland taxpayers and the allocation of $3.5B in federal grants at risk, detailing connections between various departments, state funding initiatives, and legislative actions involving CASA and government officials." srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!z9J1!,w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F539494d2-9587-4cfc-8fed-fedc02266104_1440x1040.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!z9J1!,w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F539494d2-9587-4cfc-8fed-fedc02266104_1440x1040.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!z9J1!,w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F539494d2-9587-4cfc-8fed-fedc02266104_1440x1040.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!z9J1!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F539494d2-9587-4cfc-8fed-fedc02266104_1440x1040.png 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg role="img" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><title></title><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><h2><strong>What the Bill Does &#8212; and What It Risks</strong></h2><p>The Community Trust Act, passed in the final hours of the 2026 session as an emergency measure, bars local law enforcement and correctional facilities from detaining individuals for ICE transfer without a judicial warrant, and sharply limits any proactive communication between Maryland law enforcement and federal immigration authorities. Republican legislators tried to rename it the Maryland Sanctuary State Act. Democrats rejected the amendment 91-35 and passed the bill anyway.</p><p>Legislative analysts warned during the session that the bill could jeopardize federal funding. That warning has a specific mechanism: a Trump executive order directing the Department of Justice and Homeland Security to evaluate sanctuary jurisdictions and potentially cut their federal allocations. A DHS spokesperson, responding directly to Maryland&#8217;s bill, said: &#8220;When sanctuary politicians outlaw state and local law enforcement cooperation, they make their communities less safe.&#8221;</p><p>Maryland received approximately $3.5 billion in federal grants in the most recent fiscal year. No one in Annapolis has publicly quantified how much of that is at risk. No one appears to have been asked to.</p><p>House Minority Whip Jesse Pippy put it simply during floor debate: &#8220;Making Maryland a sanctuary state will further bankrupt us, if we&#8217;re not bankrupt already.&#8221;</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!-0OI!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F7a7de885-9876-4012-b29b-3ca4e9200410_1023x819.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!-0OI!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F7a7de885-9876-4012-b29b-3ca4e9200410_1023x819.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!-0OI!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F7a7de885-9876-4012-b29b-3ca4e9200410_1023x819.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!-0OI!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F7a7de885-9876-4012-b29b-3ca4e9200410_1023x819.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!-0OI!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F7a7de885-9876-4012-b29b-3ca4e9200410_1023x819.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!-0OI!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F7a7de885-9876-4012-b29b-3ca4e9200410_1023x819.png" width="1023" height="819" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/7a7de885-9876-4012-b29b-3ca4e9200410_1023x819.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:819,&quot;width&quot;:1023,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:null,&quot;alt&quot;:&quot;A cartoon illustrating the Maryland sanctuary feedback loop, highlighting tax dollar concerns and government spending. Features a Maryland taxpayer looking distressed while various politicians celebrate the passing of the Community Trust Act and the funding allocations to different departments.&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:null,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:true,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:null,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="A cartoon illustrating the Maryland sanctuary feedback loop, highlighting tax dollar concerns and government spending. Features a Maryland taxpayer looking distressed while various politicians celebrate the passing of the Community Trust Act and the funding allocations to different departments." title="A cartoon illustrating the Maryland sanctuary feedback loop, highlighting tax dollar concerns and government spending. Features a Maryland taxpayer looking distressed while various politicians celebrate the passing of the Community Trust Act and the funding allocations to different departments." srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!-0OI!,w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F7a7de885-9876-4012-b29b-3ca4e9200410_1023x819.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!-0OI!,w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F7a7de885-9876-4012-b29b-3ca4e9200410_1023x819.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!-0OI!,w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F7a7de885-9876-4012-b29b-3ca4e9200410_1023x819.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!-0OI!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F7a7de885-9876-4012-b29b-3ca4e9200410_1023x819.png 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg role="img" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><title></title><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><h2><strong>The Feedback Loop</strong></h2><p>What makes this more than standard advocacy politics is the structure of the relationship. We Are CASA is not just a group that lobbied for a bill. It is an organization that receives state money, deploys that organizational capacity to pressure the legislature, and then celebrates the outcome alongside the legislative leaders who funded it.</p><p>The organization received a $1 million grant from the Rockefeller Foundation and the Chan Zuckerberg Initiative. It has historically received federal EPA and other agency grants. It received $1.5 million from Citgo Petroleum &#8212; the oil company owned by the Venezuelan government under Hugo Chavez &#8212; in 2008. For years, nearly half its budget came from government appropriations at various levels.</p><p>CASA disputes that public funds support advocacy. &#8220;No public funds are ever used to support advocacy and protest activities at CASA,&#8221; the organization told Fox45. State officials backed that claim, saying grants are restricted to specific programs.</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!BFSz!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F12cb52c0-c5bd-402d-86be-34f57ac3561e_1440x572.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!BFSz!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F12cb52c0-c5bd-402d-86be-34f57ac3561e_1440x572.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!BFSz!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F12cb52c0-c5bd-402d-86be-34f57ac3561e_1440x572.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!BFSz!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F12cb52c0-c5bd-402d-86be-34f57ac3561e_1440x572.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!BFSz!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F12cb52c0-c5bd-402d-86be-34f57ac3561e_1440x572.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!BFSz!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F12cb52c0-c5bd-402d-86be-34f57ac3561e_1440x572.png" width="1440" height="572" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/12cb52c0-c5bd-402d-86be-34f57ac3561e_1440x572.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:572,&quot;width&quot;:1440,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:null,&quot;alt&quot;:&quot;Overview of state funding and grant allocations, including taxpayer funding to CASA, a large state grant, Maryland's structural deficit, proposed disability cuts, and federal grants potentially at risk.&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:null,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:true,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:null,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="Overview of state funding and grant allocations, including taxpayer funding to CASA, a large state grant, Maryland's structural deficit, proposed disability cuts, and federal grants potentially at risk." title="Overview of state funding and grant allocations, including taxpayer funding to CASA, a large state grant, Maryland's structural deficit, proposed disability cuts, and federal grants potentially at risk." srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!BFSz!,w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F12cb52c0-c5bd-402d-86be-34f57ac3561e_1440x572.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!BFSz!,w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F12cb52c0-c5bd-402d-86be-34f57ac3561e_1440x572.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!BFSz!,w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F12cb52c0-c5bd-402d-86be-34f57ac3561e_1440x572.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!BFSz!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F12cb52c0-c5bd-402d-86be-34f57ac3561e_1440x572.png 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg role="img" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><title></title><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><p>That framing deserves scrutiny. Money is fungible. An organization that receives $1 million in state funds for services frees up $1 million in private funds for advocacy. The organizational infrastructure &#8212; the staff, the offices, the membership lists, the relationships with legislative leaders &#8212; is built on the full budget, not just the advocacy line item.</p><blockquote><h2 style="text-align: center;"><em><strong>Money is fungible. An organization that receives $1 million in state funds for services frees up $1 million in private funds for advocacy.</strong></em></h2></blockquote><h2><strong>The Bill Is Sitting on Moore&#8217;s Desk</strong></h2><p>As of this writing, Moore has not signed the Community Trust Act. He has 30 days from receipt to act. The bill was passed as an emergency measure, meaning it takes effect immediately upon his signature.</p><p>Moore already signed the 287(g) ban earlier this session &#8212; the first item on We Are CASA&#8217;s 2026 legislative agenda &#8212; flanked by Ferguson, House Speaker Joseline Pe&#241;a-Melnyk, and CASA&#8217;s own leadership at a joint press conference they organized together.</p><p>The question now is whether he signs the second item on their list while Maryland waits to find out what it costs.</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!gDIa!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F040712ab-07ac-41c9-b789-50b2810ffc0f_1440x880.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!gDIa!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F040712ab-07ac-41c9-b789-50b2810ffc0f_1440x880.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!gDIa!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F040712ab-07ac-41c9-b789-50b2810ffc0f_1440x880.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!gDIa!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F040712ab-07ac-41c9-b789-50b2810ffc0f_1440x880.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!gDIa!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F040712ab-07ac-41c9-b789-50b2810ffc0f_1440x880.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!gDIa!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F040712ab-07ac-41c9-b789-50b2810ffc0f_1440x880.png" width="1440" height="880" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/040712ab-07ac-41c9-b789-50b2810ffc0f_1440x880.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:880,&quot;width&quot;:1440,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:null,&quot;alt&quot;:&quot;Infographic showing the legislative timeline for 2026, detailing key events such as sessions, victories, and decisions regarding the 287(g) ban and related actions.&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:null,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:true,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:null,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="Infographic showing the legislative timeline for 2026, detailing key events such as sessions, victories, and decisions regarding the 287(g) ban and related actions." title="Infographic showing the legislative timeline for 2026, detailing key events such as sessions, victories, and decisions regarding the 287(g) ban and related actions." srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!gDIa!,w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F040712ab-07ac-41c9-b789-50b2810ffc0f_1440x880.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!gDIa!,w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F040712ab-07ac-41c9-b789-50b2810ffc0f_1440x880.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!gDIa!,w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F040712ab-07ac-41c9-b789-50b2810ffc0f_1440x880.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!gDIa!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F040712ab-07ac-41c9-b789-50b2810ffc0f_1440x880.png 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg role="img" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><title></title><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><p>Marylanders are leaving the state over affordability. The disability community is fighting $150 million in cuts. The structural deficit has no credible resolution in the current budget. And the political infrastructure funded in part by Maryland taxpayers just delivered its second major legislative win of the session &#8212; one that federal authorities have specifically identified as a funding risk.</p><p>Nobody in Annapolis is being asked to square that circle on the record. That&#8217;s the story.</p><div><hr></div><p><em><strong>Sources:</strong> FOX45/Spotlight on Maryland; We Are CASA press releases; Maryland state grant records; Maryland Matters; WMAR2 News; InfluenceWatch.</em></p><div class="subscription-widget-wrap-editor" data-attrs="{&quot;url&quot;:&quot;https://mikethunderphillips.substack.com/subscribe?&quot;,&quot;text&quot;:&quot;Subscribe&quot;,&quot;language&quot;:&quot;en&quot;}" data-component-name="SubscribeWidgetToDOM"><div class="subscription-widget show-subscribe"><div class="preamble"><p class="cta-caption">Riptide Investigations is a reader-supported publication. To receive new posts and support my work, consider becoming a free or paid subscriber.</p></div><form class="subscription-widget-subscribe"><input type="email" class="email-input" name="email" placeholder="Type your email&#8230;" tabindex="-1"><input type="submit" class="button primary" value="Subscribe"><div class="fake-input-wrapper"><div class="fake-input"></div><div class="fake-button"></div></div></form></div></div>]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[Two Buildings, Two Standards: How Congress Made Itself the Law's Blind Spot]]></title><description><![CDATA[A soldier faces decades in federal prison for $409,881.]]></description><link>https://mikethunderphillips.substack.com/p/two-buildings-two-standards-how-congress</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://mikethunderphillips.substack.com/p/two-buildings-two-standards-how-congress</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Michael "Thunder" Phillips]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Fri, 24 Apr 2026 17:16:59 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!nCsk!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Faeed053e-ab63-45e7-992c-df929c3a2afc_1024x683.png" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!nCsk!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Faeed053e-ab63-45e7-992c-df929c3a2afc_1024x683.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!nCsk!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Faeed053e-ab63-45e7-992c-df929c3a2afc_1024x683.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!nCsk!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Faeed053e-ab63-45e7-992c-df929c3a2afc_1024x683.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!nCsk!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Faeed053e-ab63-45e7-992c-df929c3a2afc_1024x683.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!nCsk!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Faeed053e-ab63-45e7-992c-df929c3a2afc_1024x683.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!nCsk!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Faeed053e-ab63-45e7-992c-df929c3a2afc_1024x683.png" width="1024" height="683" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/aeed053e-ab63-45e7-992c-df929c3a2afc_1024x683.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:683,&quot;width&quot;:1024,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:null,&quot;alt&quot;:&quot;An image contrasting a soldier in a prison-like setting with the U.S. Capitol building, featuring the text 'Two Buildings, Two Standards' and detailing disparities in legal consequences, highlighting a financial figure of $409,881 in prison versus $635 million traded for $200.&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:null,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:false,&quot;topImage&quot;:true,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:null,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="An image contrasting a soldier in a prison-like setting with the U.S. Capitol building, featuring the text 'Two Buildings, Two Standards' and detailing disparities in legal consequences, highlighting a financial figure of $409,881 in prison versus $635 million traded for $200." title="An image contrasting a soldier in a prison-like setting with the U.S. Capitol building, featuring the text 'Two Buildings, Two Standards' and detailing disparities in legal consequences, highlighting a financial figure of $409,881 in prison versus $635 million traded for $200." srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!nCsk!,w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Faeed053e-ab63-45e7-992c-df929c3a2afc_1024x683.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!nCsk!,w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Faeed053e-ab63-45e7-992c-df929c3a2afc_1024x683.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!nCsk!,w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Faeed053e-ab63-45e7-992c-df929c3a2afc_1024x683.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!nCsk!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Faeed053e-ab63-45e7-992c-df929c3a2afc_1024x683.png 1456w" sizes="100vw" fetchpriority="high"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg role="img" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><title></title><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><blockquote><h4><em><strong>A soldier faces decades in federal prison for $409,881. The institution that wrote the rules protecting itself from the same charge traded $635 million last year. This is not a failure of enforcement. It is enforcement.</strong></em></h4></blockquote><div><hr></div><p>On the morning of April 23, 2026, the Department of Justice announced what it called a historic prosecution: the first-ever insider trading case on event contracts, charging Army Master Sergeant Gannon Ken Van Dyke with five federal crimes &#8212; commodities fraud, wire fraud, unlawful use of confidential government information, theft of nonpublic government information, and unlawful monetary transaction.</p><p>Van Dyke, 38, stationed at Fort Bragg and serving in Special Forces, had participated in the planning and execution of Operation Absolute Resolve &#8212; the January 3rd predawn raid on a Caracas residence that resulted in the capture of Venezuelan President Nicol&#225;s Maduro. Beginning December 26, 2025, he created a Polymarket account and placed 13 bets totaling approximately $33,034 on Maduro- and Venezuela-related outcomes. He won $409,881.</p><div class="subscription-widget-wrap-editor" data-attrs="{&quot;url&quot;:&quot;https://mikethunderphillips.substack.com/subscribe?&quot;,&quot;text&quot;:&quot;Subscribe&quot;,&quot;language&quot;:&quot;en&quot;}" data-component-name="SubscribeWidgetToDOM"><div class="subscription-widget show-subscribe"><div class="preamble"><p class="cta-caption">Riptide Investigations is a reader-supported publication. To receive new posts and support my work, consider becoming a free or paid subscriber.</p></div><form class="subscription-widget-subscribe"><input type="email" class="email-input" name="email" placeholder="Type your email&#8230;" tabindex="-1"><input type="submit" class="button primary" value="Subscribe"><div class="fake-input-wrapper"><div class="fake-input"></div><div class="fake-button"></div></div></form></div></div><p>The indictment noted that Van Dyke had signed nondisclosure agreements promising never to divulge any classified or sensitive information related to operations. After the mission succeeded and press reports flagged unusual trading patterns, he asked Polymarket to delete his account by falsely claiming he had lost access to his email, transferred most of his proceeds to a foreign cryptocurrency vault, and opened a new brokerage account under a changed email address.</p><p>He used his real identity. He uploaded a photograph of himself on the deck of a ship at sunrise, in military fatigues, carrying a rifle. He was found within weeks.</p><p>Van Dyke now faces three counts of violating the Commodity Exchange Act &#8212; each carrying a maximum sentence of 10 years &#8212; plus wire fraud at 20 years maximum and one count of unlawful monetary transaction at 10 years maximum.</p><p>That same morning, without fanfare, members of Congress filed financial disclosures. They always do.</p><div><hr></div><h3>The Architecture of Exemption</h3><blockquote><h2 style="text-align: center;"><em><strong>In Congress, disclosed means legal. Legal means filed. Filed means closed.</strong></em></h2></blockquote><p>The Stop Trading on Congressional Knowledge Act was signed on April 4, 2012. It was presented as the definitive congressional response to insider trading &#8212; a law clarifying that securities laws applied to lawmakers just as they applied to everyone else. No member of Congress has ever been prosecuted under it.</p><p>Not one. Not in fourteen years.</p><p>The STOCK Act carries a $200 maximum penalty for late disclosure. No one has ever been prosecuted under it, despite what investigators and watchdogs describe as overwhelming evidence of members trading on congressional insider information and doing suspiciously well.</p><p>During the 2025 government shutdown, while constituents navigated missed paychecks and drained SNAP benefits, lawmakers engaged in nearly 200 trades representing anywhere from $3 to $9 million in assets.</p><p>The enforcement mechanism for all of this activity is a form. The form has a box that says &#8220;Reason.&#8221; The reason is almost always &#8220;administrative delay.&#8221; The fine is almost always waived. House and Senate ethics committees enforce these fines, and the fact that lawmakers routinely violate the STOCK Act without consequence has become a defining feature of the system, not a bug in it.</p><p>The $200 fine &#8212; the maximum penalty &#8212; represents 0.004% of a $4.7 million single-quarter portfolio gain. It is less than the daily parking rate in the Rayburn House Office Building garage.</p><p>Fines for a first-time STOCK Act violator begin at $200 &#8212; barely a dent in undisclosed transactions that are frequently worth thousands and millions of dollars. Many members disclose their stock trades many months late, knowing that they will only face that penalty. Late reports defeat the purpose of the Act entirely.</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!a7Tn!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F1e41e5b1-7f66-4e85-8385-81759b6708a4_1024x869.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!a7Tn!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F1e41e5b1-7f66-4e85-8385-81759b6708a4_1024x869.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!a7Tn!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F1e41e5b1-7f66-4e85-8385-81759b6708a4_1024x869.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!a7Tn!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F1e41e5b1-7f66-4e85-8385-81759b6708a4_1024x869.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!a7Tn!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F1e41e5b1-7f66-4e85-8385-81759b6708a4_1024x869.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!a7Tn!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F1e41e5b1-7f66-4e85-8385-81759b6708a4_1024x869.png" width="1024" height="869" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/1e41e5b1-7f66-4e85-8385-81759b6708a4_1024x869.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:869,&quot;width&quot;:1024,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:null,&quot;alt&quot;:&quot;Comparison of two cases: Sgt. Van Dyke's military career ending with a profit of $409,881 and five federal charges versus Members of Congress using the New York Stock Exchange with $635 million volume in 2025 and no charges in 14 years.&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:null,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:true,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:null,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="Comparison of two cases: Sgt. Van Dyke's military career ending with a profit of $409,881 and five federal charges versus Members of Congress using the New York Stock Exchange with $635 million volume in 2025 and no charges in 14 years." title="Comparison of two cases: Sgt. Van Dyke's military career ending with a profit of $409,881 and five federal charges versus Members of Congress using the New York Stock Exchange with $635 million volume in 2025 and no charges in 14 years." srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!a7Tn!,w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F1e41e5b1-7f66-4e85-8385-81759b6708a4_1024x869.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!a7Tn!,w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F1e41e5b1-7f66-4e85-8385-81759b6708a4_1024x869.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!a7Tn!,w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F1e41e5b1-7f66-4e85-8385-81759b6708a4_1024x869.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!a7Tn!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F1e41e5b1-7f66-4e85-8385-81759b6708a4_1024x869.png 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg role="img" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><title></title><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><div><hr></div><h3>The Record</h3><p>The pattern is not subtle, and it is not contested. It is documented in public filings, watchdog reports, and congressional testimony.</p><p>A 2024 report from Unusual Whales, a platform that monitors lawmakers&#8217; stock transactions, found that dozens of members who traded in 2023 outperformed the S&amp;P 500 Index. A New York Times investigation published in 2022 found 3,700 stock transactions by members of Congress from both parties from 2019 to 2021 that posed potential conflicts between their public responsibilities and private finances.</p><p>In the last congressional session, only 5% of senators and representatives combined did not own stock. A majority of freshman members in the 119th Congress own stock. Of all members who own stock, 59% are Republican and 41% are Democrat.</p><p>Bipartisan, in other words. The exemption is not a party platform. It is institutional infrastructure.</p><p>At least 25 bills have been introduced in the current Congress to further restrict lawmakers and their family members from trading individual stocks. A 32nd bill was introduced March 5, 2026 &#8212; the &#8220;No Getting Rich in Congress Act.&#8221; It was referred to committee. The committee has not scheduled a hearing. The committee chair&#8217;s spouse executed $2.1 million in trades last year.</p><p>On November 19, 2025, the House Administration Committee held a hearing concerning stock trading by members of Congress, prompted by growing scrutiny of lawmakers suspected of trading stocks using congressional insider information. Both the Republican chairman and the Democratic ranking member expressed strong support for strengthening, or even outright banning, stock trading by members. The support was bipartisan. The action was not. The bill sits in committee.</p><div><hr></div><h3>The Slush Fund Next Door</h3><p>Financial self-dealing is not the only category of congressional misconduct with a structural immunity architecture. The sexual misconduct enforcement system operates by nearly identical logic: investigate minimally, disclose selectively, settle quietly, and fund the silence with taxpayer money.</p><p>Prior to 2018, the federal government maintained what was known as a &#8220;sexual-harassment slush fund&#8221; &#8212; a special Treasury Department account that paid out settlements on behalf of members accused of misconduct. The #MeToo movement led to reforms requiring members to repay the cost of any settlements from personal funds, but the records of who used it have remained anonymous.</p><p>Rep. Nancy Mace (R-SC) and Rep. Anna Paulina Luna (R-FL) have been pushing to change that.</p><p>Mace introduced H.Res. 1072, a resolution requiring the Ethics Committee to release all harassment investigation records within 60 days, describing the current situation as &#8220;just the tip of the iceberg.&#8221; The full resolution &#8212; H.Res. 1100 &#8212; would direct the House Committee on Ethics to preserve and publicly disclose all records related to violations or alleged violations of the Code of Official Conduct involving acts of sexual harassment, unwelcome sexual advances, or sexual assault by any member, delegate, or resident commissioner.</p><p>On March 4, 2026, the House killed that effort in a floor vote.</p><p>The House voted to keep the records buried.</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!SM9L!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F35a6d19f-3a1b-4900-a05f-59f59adc07a6_777x1024.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!SM9L!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F35a6d19f-3a1b-4900-a05f-59f59adc07a6_777x1024.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!SM9L!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F35a6d19f-3a1b-4900-a05f-59f59adc07a6_777x1024.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!SM9L!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F35a6d19f-3a1b-4900-a05f-59f59adc07a6_777x1024.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!SM9L!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F35a6d19f-3a1b-4900-a05f-59f59adc07a6_777x1024.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!SM9L!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F35a6d19f-3a1b-4900-a05f-59f59adc07a6_777x1024.png" width="777" height="1024" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/35a6d19f-3a1b-4900-a05f-59f59adc07a6_777x1024.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:1024,&quot;width&quot;:777,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:null,&quot;alt&quot;:&quot;Timeline detailing the history of the Congressional Accountability Act and recent sexual misconduct allegations against members of Congress.&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:null,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:true,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:null,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="Timeline detailing the history of the Congressional Accountability Act and recent sexual misconduct allegations against members of Congress." title="Timeline detailing the history of the Congressional Accountability Act and recent sexual misconduct allegations against members of Congress." srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!SM9L!,w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F35a6d19f-3a1b-4900-a05f-59f59adc07a6_777x1024.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!SM9L!,w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F35a6d19f-3a1b-4900-a05f-59f59adc07a6_777x1024.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!SM9L!,w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F35a6d19f-3a1b-4900-a05f-59f59adc07a6_777x1024.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!SM9L!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F35a6d19f-3a1b-4900-a05f-59f59adc07a6_777x1024.png 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg role="img" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><title></title><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><p>Mace did not stop. The House Oversight Committee, led by Mace, passed a motion on March 27 to subpoena the Office of Congressional Workplace Rights, demanding the release of all awards and settlements paid pursuant to Section 415 of the Congressional Accountability Act prior to December 12, 2018, for misconduct by members of Congress. &#8220;For too long, Congress has swept this under the rug, protecting predators at the expense of victims and taxpayers,&#8221; Mace said. &#8220;The American people have unknowingly been paying for this cover-up.&#8221;</p><p>Luna amplified the threat directly, posting to X: &#8220;A friendly reminder that House Oversight subpoenaed the records of the congressional sexual harassment slush fund, and we will be releasing them. Maybe we&#8217;ll see more resignations, you never know.&#8221;</p><p>Luna also described the congressional ethics system plainly on the record: &#8220;They have so much dirt on members of Congress, and they do nothing. There is even a slush fund they use to pay people off with your tax dollars. It pisses me off because while some of us are actually working and busting our asses, these clowns are sexually harassing their own staff, doing illegal crap, insider trading, etc.&#8221;</p><p>The records have not yet been released. The OCWR is working to compile responsive documents, with efforts to protect victim information before any public release. It remains unclear whether the names of lawmakers or the details of settlements will also be redacted.</p><p>The pattern holds: a process was created, the process was funded with public money, and now a subpoena is required to see who used it.</p><div><hr></div><h3>The List</h3><p>The sexual misconduct system&#8217;s opacity has been partially lifted, at least at the margins. The House Ethics Committee released a list of publicly disclosed investigations involving alleged sexual misconduct by members dating back to 1976. The committee acknowledged that &#8220;unfortunately, there likely exist matters never reported to the Committee.&#8221;</p><p>The list includes names familiar from recent headlines. Former Rep. Eric Swalwell (2026) &#8212; allegations of sexual misconduct, including with a staffer, with the Ethics Committee losing jurisdiction upon his resignation. Former Rep. Tony Gonzales (2026) &#8212; alleged sexual relationship with a staffer, also lost to jurisdiction upon resignation. Rep. Cory Mills (2025) &#8212; sexual misconduct and/or dating violence, investigation ongoing. Former Rep. Matt Gaetz (2024) &#8212; sexual misconduct with a minor and solicitation of prostitution; the committee issued a public report finding violations.</p><p>The list goes back to 1976. The accountability does not go back nearly that far.</p><p>The committee said in an April 20, 2026, statement that it is &#8220;dedicated to maintaining a congressional workplace free from sexual misconduct.&#8221; Civil claims of sexual harassment can be filed with the Office of Congressional Workplace Rights, and the Office of Employee Advocacy can assist staffers in filing such claims.</p><p>The committee also noted it has no involvement in the settlements of such claims. The office that handles those settlements is the one Mace is currently subpoenaing.</p><div><hr></div><h3>The Structural Argument</h3><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!jc-y!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F70783766-29b4-4a3d-a0dd-6ea11226a0ec_1024x713.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!jc-y!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F70783766-29b4-4a3d-a0dd-6ea11226a0ec_1024x713.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!jc-y!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F70783766-29b4-4a3d-a0dd-6ea11226a0ec_1024x713.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!jc-y!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F70783766-29b4-4a3d-a0dd-6ea11226a0ec_1024x713.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!jc-y!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F70783766-29b4-4a3d-a0dd-6ea11226a0ec_1024x713.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!jc-y!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F70783766-29b4-4a3d-a0dd-6ea11226a0ec_1024x713.png" width="1024" height="713" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/70783766-29b4-4a3d-a0dd-6ea11226a0ec_1024x713.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:713,&quot;width&quot;:1024,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:null,&quot;alt&quot;:&quot;Infographic highlighting enforcement gaps in the STOCK Act, including years since signing, total prosecutions, congressional trade volume for 2025, maximum penalty for late disclosure, and statistics on reform bills introduced and stock ownership among members of Congress.&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:null,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:true,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:null,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="Infographic highlighting enforcement gaps in the STOCK Act, including years since signing, total prosecutions, congressional trade volume for 2025, maximum penalty for late disclosure, and statistics on reform bills introduced and stock ownership among members of Congress." title="Infographic highlighting enforcement gaps in the STOCK Act, including years since signing, total prosecutions, congressional trade volume for 2025, maximum penalty for late disclosure, and statistics on reform bills introduced and stock ownership among members of Congress." srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!jc-y!,w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F70783766-29b4-4a3d-a0dd-6ea11226a0ec_1024x713.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!jc-y!,w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F70783766-29b4-4a3d-a0dd-6ea11226a0ec_1024x713.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!jc-y!,w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F70783766-29b4-4a3d-a0dd-6ea11226a0ec_1024x713.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!jc-y!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F70783766-29b4-4a3d-a0dd-6ea11226a0ec_1024x713.png 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg role="img" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><title></title><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><p>The Van Dyke prosecution is being covered as a cautionary tale about prediction markets and the temptation of classified information. That framing is not wrong, but it is incomplete.</p><p>U.S. Attorney Jay Clayton, announcing the charges for the Southern District of New York, framed the case as a matter of public trust: &#8220;Those entrusted to safeguard our nation&#8217;s secrets have a duty to protect them and our armed service members, and not to use that information for personal financial gain.&#8221;</p><p>The principle is sound. Its selective application is the story.</p><p>Van Dyke used classified information about a military operation he personally executed, placed bets on a prediction market accessible only via VPN from U.S. soil, used his real name and personal email, uploaded a photograph of himself on the mission, and made $409,881. He is now facing up to 50 years in federal prison.</p><p>Members of Congress use committee briefings on pending FDA approvals, defense appropriations votes, trade policy negotiations, pandemic response measures, and interest rate decisions that have not yet been made public. They use the New York Stock Exchange. They file paperwork 47 days late. They pay $200. No member of Congress has ever been prosecuted under the STOCK Act. Zero cases in fourteen years.</p><p>The difference is not behavioral. Both involve using nonpublic information to generate personal profit. The difference is legal architecture. Congress wrote one set of rules for itself and enforced a different set of rules against everyone else. Then it funded enforcement of the rules that applied to it at zero dollars. Then it set the penalty at $200. Then it created a waiver process and approved nearly every waiver filed.</p><blockquote><h2 style="text-align: center;"><em><strong>The difference is not behavior. It is legal architecture.</strong></em></h2></blockquote><p>The STOCK Act&#8217;s enforcement budget is zero. The sexual misconduct slush fund&#8217;s disclosure requirements were sealed until a subpoena forced the question open. Thirty-two bills to fix the trading problem sit in committees chaired by members who benefit from the current arrangement.</p><p>This is not negligence. Negligence would produce a different outcome occasionally by accident.</p><p>Despite overwhelming evidence of many congressional members trading stocks and doing suspiciously well, the STOCK Act has never produced a single prosecution. The soldier&#8217;s prosecution exists not despite that record but because of it. One visible case at the lowest rung &#8212; a private citizen who forgot to use a VPN and uploaded a selfie from the mission &#8212; is the evidence that the system works. It supervises downward. It exempts upward. The $409,881 is the cost of making $635 million look regulated.</p><p>Mace said it plainly about the sexual misconduct records: &#8220;The establishment has tried so hard to keep this buried.&#8221;</p><p>The financial trading records were never buried. They were disclosed. In Congress, disclosed means legal. Legal means filed. Filed means closed.</p><p>The soldier has been charged with five federal crimes. His lanyard does not say ETHICS.</p><div><hr></div><p style="text-align: center;"><em><strong>Sources:</strong> DOJ indictment United States v. Van Dyke (SDNY, April 2026); Campaign Legal Center congressional trading analysis; Government Accountability Project STOCK Act review; House Administration Committee hearing, November 19, 2025; Newsweek sexual misconduct list; H.Res. 1100 (119th Congress); NOTUS congressional ethics reform reporting; NBC News, CNBC, NPR, Time, Fortune, Al Jazeera.</em></p><div class="subscription-widget-wrap-editor" data-attrs="{&quot;url&quot;:&quot;https://mikethunderphillips.substack.com/subscribe?&quot;,&quot;text&quot;:&quot;Subscribe&quot;,&quot;language&quot;:&quot;en&quot;}" data-component-name="SubscribeWidgetToDOM"><div class="subscription-widget show-subscribe"><div class="preamble"><p class="cta-caption">Riptide Investigations is a reader-supported publication. To receive new posts and support my work, consider becoming a free or paid subscriber.</p></div><form class="subscription-widget-subscribe"><input type="email" class="email-input" name="email" placeholder="Type your email&#8230;" tabindex="-1"><input type="submit" class="button primary" value="Subscribe"><div class="fake-input-wrapper"><div class="fake-input"></div><div class="fake-button"></div></div></form></div></div>]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[The $150 They're Bragging About May Be Built on Fraud]]></title><description><![CDATA[Maryland&#8217;s Democratic majority is taking a victory lap on utility savings.]]></description><link>https://mikethunderphillips.substack.com/p/the-150-theyre-bragging-about-may</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://mikethunderphillips.substack.com/p/the-150-theyre-bragging-about-may</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Michael "Thunder" Phillips]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Fri, 24 Apr 2026 16:53:11 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!-z12!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F160aded1-2ffb-4bf8-a34b-73c11627dfc3_1024x683.png" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!-z12!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F160aded1-2ffb-4bf8-a34b-73c11627dfc3_1024x683.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!-z12!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F160aded1-2ffb-4bf8-a34b-73c11627dfc3_1024x683.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!-z12!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F160aded1-2ffb-4bf8-a34b-73c11627dfc3_1024x683.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!-z12!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F160aded1-2ffb-4bf8-a34b-73c11627dfc3_1024x683.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!-z12!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F160aded1-2ffb-4bf8-a34b-73c11627dfc3_1024x683.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!-z12!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F160aded1-2ffb-4bf8-a34b-73c11627dfc3_1024x683.png" width="1024" height="683" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/160aded1-2ffb-4bf8-a34b-73c11627dfc3_1024x683.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:683,&quot;width&quot;:1024,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:null,&quot;alt&quot;:&quot;A utility bill highlighting an EmPOWER Maryland surcharge of $15, with a backdrop of a government building, a magnifying glass revealing the word 'FRAUD,' and text discussing potential fraud in Maryland's utility savings.&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:null,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:false,&quot;topImage&quot;:true,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:null,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="A utility bill highlighting an EmPOWER Maryland surcharge of $15, with a backdrop of a government building, a magnifying glass revealing the word 'FRAUD,' and text discussing potential fraud in Maryland's utility savings." title="A utility bill highlighting an EmPOWER Maryland surcharge of $15, with a backdrop of a government building, a magnifying glass revealing the word 'FRAUD,' and text discussing potential fraud in Maryland's utility savings." srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!-z12!,w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F160aded1-2ffb-4bf8-a34b-73c11627dfc3_1024x683.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!-z12!,w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F160aded1-2ffb-4bf8-a34b-73c11627dfc3_1024x683.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!-z12!,w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F160aded1-2ffb-4bf8-a34b-73c11627dfc3_1024x683.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!-z12!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F160aded1-2ffb-4bf8-a34b-73c11627dfc3_1024x683.png 1456w" sizes="100vw" fetchpriority="high"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg role="img" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><title></title><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><blockquote><h4>Maryland&#8217;s Democratic majority is taking a victory lap on utility savings. The math behind that number relies on data generated by the contractors now accused of stealing from ratepayers.</h4></blockquote><div><hr></div><p>Every month, quietly tucked into your utility bill, there&#8217;s a charge you probably didn&#8217;t vote for and may not have noticed. It funds EmPOWER Maryland &#8212; the state&#8217;s flagship energy efficiency program, sold to Marylanders as a way to lower bills, reduce energy demand, and cut emissions. For years, Democratic leaders in Annapolis have called it a model program. They&#8217;ve fought to protect it. Just weeks ago, they crossed the finish line on the Utility RELIEF Act, took a bow, and told Marylanders to expect $150 in annual savings.</p><div class="subscription-widget-wrap-editor" data-attrs="{&quot;url&quot;:&quot;https://mikethunderphillips.substack.com/subscribe?&quot;,&quot;text&quot;:&quot;Subscribe&quot;,&quot;language&quot;:&quot;en&quot;}" data-component-name="SubscribeWidgetToDOM"><div class="subscription-widget show-subscribe"><div class="preamble"><p class="cta-caption">Riptide Investigations is a reader-supported publication. To receive new posts and support my work, consider becoming a free or paid subscriber.</p></div><form class="subscription-widget-subscribe"><input type="email" class="email-input" name="email" placeholder="Type your email&#8230;" tabindex="-1"><input type="submit" class="button primary" value="Subscribe"><div class="fake-input-wrapper"><div class="fake-input"></div><div class="fake-button"></div></div></form></div></div><p>Here&#8217;s what they didn&#8217;t mention: the math behind that number was built on data generated by contractors now accused of systematically stealing from ratepayers for years.</p><blockquote><h2><em><strong>Marylanders didn&#8217;t gain $150 in savings. They may have just gotten some of their stolen money back.</strong></em></h2></blockquote><h2><strong>The $150 Figure Is Not What You Think</strong></h2><p>The $150 savings estimate Democrats have been advertising isn&#8217;t money you save by using less electricity. It&#8217;s a reduction in the EmPOWER surcharge on your bill &#8212; achieved by cutting the state&#8217;s annual energy efficiency target from 2.5 percent down to 1.75 percent. The logic is straightforward: require utilities to do less, charge ratepayers less.</p><p>To calculate how much ratepayers would save under the lower target, legislative analysts and the Public Service Commission had to project the future cost of the program. Those projections are modeled on historical performance data &#8212; specifically, how much it cost contractors to achieve energy savings in the past.</p><p>That historical data is now under active investigation for fraud.</p><p>A whistleblower lawsuit, filed in 2019 and only partially unsealed this month, alleges that Lockheed Martin and its contractors overstated energy savings, billed for work that was never done, and diverted millions in ratepayer funds between 2015 and 2019 while managing EmPOWER programs for Pepco and Delmarva Power. If contractors were systematically inflating their reported savings and billing for phantom work, the historical cost-per-kilowatt-hour figures used to model the program&#8217;s future costs are not a baseline. They&#8217;re a fiction.</p><p>Which means the $150 figure Democrats are crediting themselves for may not represent a real reduction in program costs. It may largely represent the removal of fraud that should have been caught years ago. Marylanders didn&#8217;t gain $150 in savings. They may have just gotten some of their stolen money back &#8212; and only partially.</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!mbFA!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fca10da78-6d43-4996-9b31-a75847e67550_1024x683.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!mbFA!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fca10da78-6d43-4996-9b31-a75847e67550_1024x683.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!mbFA!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fca10da78-6d43-4996-9b31-a75847e67550_1024x683.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!mbFA!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fca10da78-6d43-4996-9b31-a75847e67550_1024x683.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!mbFA!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fca10da78-6d43-4996-9b31-a75847e67550_1024x683.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!mbFA!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fca10da78-6d43-4996-9b31-a75847e67550_1024x683.png" width="1024" height="683" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/ca10da78-6d43-4996-9b31-a75847e67550_1024x683.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:683,&quot;width&quot;:1024,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:null,&quot;alt&quot;:&quot;Infographic explaining how the $150 annual savings figure is calculated, broken down into three steps: reducing efficiency targets, lowering the surcharge, and projecting savings.&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:null,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:true,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:null,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="Infographic explaining how the $150 annual savings figure is calculated, broken down into three steps: reducing efficiency targets, lowering the surcharge, and projecting savings." title="Infographic explaining how the $150 annual savings figure is calculated, broken down into three steps: reducing efficiency targets, lowering the surcharge, and projecting savings." srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!mbFA!,w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fca10da78-6d43-4996-9b31-a75847e67550_1024x683.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!mbFA!,w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fca10da78-6d43-4996-9b31-a75847e67550_1024x683.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!mbFA!,w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fca10da78-6d43-4996-9b31-a75847e67550_1024x683.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!mbFA!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fca10da78-6d43-4996-9b31-a75847e67550_1024x683.png 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg role="img" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><title></title><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><h2><strong>The Contractor Nobody Is Talking About</strong></h2><p>Lockheed Martin sold its Distributed Energy Solutions division &#8212; the specific unit that managed EmPOWER programs for Pepco and Delmarva during the period of alleged fraud &#8212; to a company called TRC Companies in October 2019. That sale happened the same year the whistleblower lawsuit was filed.</p><p>TRC has not publicly responded to requests for comment from multiple outlets covering this story.</p><p>That silence may be about to become more expensive. On April 21, 2026, the Maryland Public Service Commission issued Order No. 92310, which explicitly directs staff to investigate whether the alleged fraudulent practices continued under TRC&#8217;s ownership after the acquisition &#8212; and whether TRC, as the legal successor to the division named in the lawsuit, bears liability for ratepayer funds that were diverted under Lockheed&#8217;s management. The order further warns that any party non-responsive to information requests during the probe could face referral to the commission for additional action, up to and including contract termination.</p><p>TRC is currently a primary program manager for Pepco and Delmarva Power&#8217;s EmPOWER operations. The company managing the program today inherited it directly from the contractors accused of defrauding it. The PSC is now asking whether anything changed when the new owner took over &#8212; or whether the billing practices did too.</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!IGov!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F8bc8c611-abe9-4e15-8c3d-d8003f381898_1024x966.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!IGov!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F8bc8c611-abe9-4e15-8c3d-d8003f381898_1024x966.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!IGov!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F8bc8c611-abe9-4e15-8c3d-d8003f381898_1024x966.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!IGov!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F8bc8c611-abe9-4e15-8c3d-d8003f381898_1024x966.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!IGov!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F8bc8c611-abe9-4e15-8c3d-d8003f381898_1024x966.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!IGov!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F8bc8c611-abe9-4e15-8c3d-d8003f381898_1024x966.png" width="1024" height="966" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/8bc8c611-abe9-4e15-8c3d-d8003f381898_1024x966.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:966,&quot;width&quot;:1024,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:null,&quot;alt&quot;:&quot;A timeline detailing significant events from 2015 to 2026 regarding Lockheed Martin's management of EmPOWER for Pepco and Delmarva Power, including whistleblower allegations, lawsuits, contractor fraud hearings, and legislative actions.&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:null,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:true,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:null,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="A timeline detailing significant events from 2015 to 2026 regarding Lockheed Martin's management of EmPOWER for Pepco and Delmarva Power, including whistleblower allegations, lawsuits, contractor fraud hearings, and legislative actions." title="A timeline detailing significant events from 2015 to 2026 regarding Lockheed Martin's management of EmPOWER for Pepco and Delmarva Power, including whistleblower allegations, lawsuits, contractor fraud hearings, and legislative actions." srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!IGov!,w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F8bc8c611-abe9-4e15-8c3d-d8003f381898_1024x966.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!IGov!,w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F8bc8c611-abe9-4e15-8c3d-d8003f381898_1024x966.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!IGov!,w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F8bc8c611-abe9-4e15-8c3d-d8003f381898_1024x966.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!IGov!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F8bc8c611-abe9-4e15-8c3d-d8003f381898_1024x966.png 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg role="img" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><title></title><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><h2><strong>The Other Defendants</strong></h2><p>Lockheed Martin settled the whistleblower case in December 2024, with terms sealed by a Montgomery County Circuit Court judge. No admission of liability. No public accounting of what was paid or whether any funds were returned to ratepayers.</p><p>But Lockheed wasn&#8217;t the only party named in the original 2019 complaint. According to reporting on the partially unsealed filing, the complaint also named Pepco, Delmarva Power, their parent company Exelon Corp., and service providers Greenavise Inc. and A Million LED Solutions. None of those parties appear to have been part of the 2024 Lockheed settlement.</p><p>That means potential legal exposure for multiple parties remains unresolved &#8212; while some of those same entities continue to operate within the EmPOWER program today.</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!iMRl!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fa4010d9e-74da-41da-af32-5ee6b6c31878_1024x811.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!iMRl!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fa4010d9e-74da-41da-af32-5ee6b6c31878_1024x811.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!iMRl!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fa4010d9e-74da-41da-af32-5ee6b6c31878_1024x811.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!iMRl!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fa4010d9e-74da-41da-af32-5ee6b6c31878_1024x811.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!iMRl!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fa4010d9e-74da-41da-af32-5ee6b6c31878_1024x811.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!iMRl!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fa4010d9e-74da-41da-af32-5ee6b6c31878_1024x811.png" width="1024" height="811" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/a4010d9e-74da-41da-af32-5ee6b6c31878_1024x811.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:811,&quot;width&quot;:1024,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:null,&quot;alt&quot;:&quot;Infographic summarizing the Empower Maryland legal case, including alleged fraud period (2015-2019), lawsuit filed in 2019, promised savings of $150 per year, and settlement terms sealed until December 2024. Lists defendants such as Lockheed Martin, Pepco, Delmarva Power, Exelon Corp., and Greenavise Inc., with their respective settlement statuses.&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:null,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:true,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:null,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="Infographic summarizing the Empower Maryland legal case, including alleged fraud period (2015-2019), lawsuit filed in 2019, promised savings of $150 per year, and settlement terms sealed until December 2024. Lists defendants such as Lockheed Martin, Pepco, Delmarva Power, Exelon Corp., and Greenavise Inc., with their respective settlement statuses." title="Infographic summarizing the Empower Maryland legal case, including alleged fraud period (2015-2019), lawsuit filed in 2019, promised savings of $150 per year, and settlement terms sealed until December 2024. Lists defendants such as Lockheed Martin, Pepco, Delmarva Power, Exelon Corp., and Greenavise Inc., with their respective settlement statuses." srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!iMRl!,w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fa4010d9e-74da-41da-af32-5ee6b6c31878_1024x811.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!iMRl!,w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fa4010d9e-74da-41da-af32-5ee6b6c31878_1024x811.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!iMRl!,w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fa4010d9e-74da-41da-af32-5ee6b6c31878_1024x811.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!iMRl!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fa4010d9e-74da-41da-af32-5ee6b6c31878_1024x811.png 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg role="img" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><title></title><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><h2><strong>What the PSC Knew and When</strong></h2><p>Dan Hurley, director of the PSC&#8217;s energy analysis division, stated on record in April 2026 that he does not recall any fraud allegations involving Pepco or Delmarva Power, and confirmed that no PSC investigations into those utilities had taken place prior to the lawsuit&#8217;s unsealing.</p><p>But the PSC was not entirely in the dark about contractor fraud during the legislative session. In fall 2025 hearings, BGE representatives told PSC staff they were dealing with active fraud cases involving contractors double-billing &#8212; submitting duplicate charges for the same equipment. A PSC staff report noted that one utility had reported fraudulent filings in the Home Performance with ENERGY STAR program.</p><p>The commission knew the contractor ecosystem had a fraud problem. They characterized it as a compliance issue. They defended the program through the entire legislative session. They signed off on the framework that produced the $150 savings figure. And they did all of that while the Lockheed lawsuit sat sealed in Montgomery County Circuit Court &#8212; a lawsuit alleging not a compliance issue, but a systematic, multi-year scheme to divert millions.</p><p>House Minority Leader Jason Buckel put the accountability question plainly: those in charge should have known for years.</p><h2><strong>What Marylanders Should Be Asking</strong></h2><blockquote><h2><em><strong>Marylanders should be asking who exactly that $150 is compensating &#8212; the ratepayer, or the ledger that got caught.</strong></em></h2></blockquote><p>The PSC&#8217;s technical staff must file a status report by late June 2026. Before that report lands, there are questions Marylanders are owed answers to now:</p><ul><li><p>The Lockheed settlement terms are sealed. Who paid, how much, and did any of that money go back to the ratepayers whose surcharge dollars were allegedly stolen?</p></li><li><p>Is TRC currently operating under any of the same contract structures, reporting frameworks, or billing methodologies that existed under Lockheed&#8217;s management? Or did the acquisition come with meaningful oversight reforms?</p></li><li><p>The complaint also named Pepco, Delmarva Power, Exelon, Greenavise Inc., and A Million LED Solutions. What is the current legal status of those parties relative to the allegations?</p></li><li><p>The $150 savings figure was modeled on historical program cost data. Will the PSC revisit those projections in light of the fraud allegations, or will Marylanders be told the math still holds?</p></li></ul><p>Democrats have spent months arguing that costs passed to consumers through policy decisions represent illegitimate takings that should be refunded. They&#8217;ve applied that standard to tariffs, to utility executive salaries, to every instance where they believe corporate or government decisions transferred money out of consumers&#8217; pockets without consent. It&#8217;s a standard worth holding uniformly.</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Gke0!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F3ba536ae-afbf-407e-89fb-0820e5716b47_1023x819.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Gke0!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F3ba536ae-afbf-407e-89fb-0820e5716b47_1023x819.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Gke0!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F3ba536ae-afbf-407e-89fb-0820e5716b47_1023x819.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Gke0!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F3ba536ae-afbf-407e-89fb-0820e5716b47_1023x819.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Gke0!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F3ba536ae-afbf-407e-89fb-0820e5716b47_1023x819.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Gke0!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F3ba536ae-afbf-407e-89fb-0820e5716b47_1023x819.png" width="1023" height="819" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/3ba536ae-afbf-407e-89fb-0820e5716b47_1023x819.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:819,&quot;width&quot;:1023,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:null,&quot;alt&quot;:&quot;An illustrated political cartoon depicting three smiling officials celebrating a Utility Relief Act with a banner stating 'Victory! $150 in savings!' while a rat labeled 'Wasted Accountability' stands next to a machine labeled 'Contractor Fraud Machine' that is overflowing with money bags, suggesting corruption in the savings program.&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:null,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:true,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:null,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="An illustrated political cartoon depicting three smiling officials celebrating a Utility Relief Act with a banner stating 'Victory! $150 in savings!' while a rat labeled 'Wasted Accountability' stands next to a machine labeled 'Contractor Fraud Machine' that is overflowing with money bags, suggesting corruption in the savings program." title="An illustrated political cartoon depicting three smiling officials celebrating a Utility Relief Act with a banner stating 'Victory! $150 in savings!' while a rat labeled 'Wasted Accountability' stands next to a machine labeled 'Contractor Fraud Machine' that is overflowing with money bags, suggesting corruption in the savings program." srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Gke0!,w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F3ba536ae-afbf-407e-89fb-0820e5716b47_1023x819.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Gke0!,w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F3ba536ae-afbf-407e-89fb-0820e5716b47_1023x819.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Gke0!,w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F3ba536ae-afbf-407e-89fb-0820e5716b47_1023x819.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Gke0!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F3ba536ae-afbf-407e-89fb-0820e5716b47_1023x819.png 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg role="img" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><title></title><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><p>By that standard, Marylanders who spent years paying a mandatory surcharge that allegedly funded fraudulent billing &#8212; overstated savings, phantom work orders, millions diverted through false reporting &#8212; have a stronger claim to their money back than most. A political party that has made consumer refunds a centerpiece of its economic messaging should have no trouble explaining why this situation is different. If they can&#8217;t, Marylanders should be asking who exactly that $150 is compensating &#8212; the ratepayer, or the ledger that got caught.</p><p>Maryland&#8217;s Democratic majority passed the Utility RELIEF Act and called it accountability. The program they protected, the savings they advertised, and the contractor framework they left in place are all now under active investigation. That&#8217;s not accountability. That&#8217;s a press release sitting on top of an active crime scene.</p><p>The PSC&#8217;s 60-day clock is running. Marylanders should be watching.</p><div><hr></div><p><em>Sources: Maryland Public Service Commission Order No. 92310, April 21, 2026; Baltimore Sun, April 15 and April 20, 2026; Fox45/WBFF, April 22&#8211;23, 2026; Yahoo News/Baltimore Sun, April 20, 2026; Maryland General Assembly, Utility RELIEF Act; mgaleg.maryland.gov. Whistleblower complaint partially unsealed, Montgomery County Circuit Court, December 2024.</em></p><div class="subscription-widget-wrap-editor" data-attrs="{&quot;url&quot;:&quot;https://mikethunderphillips.substack.com/subscribe?&quot;,&quot;text&quot;:&quot;Subscribe&quot;,&quot;language&quot;:&quot;en&quot;}" data-component-name="SubscribeWidgetToDOM"><div class="subscription-widget show-subscribe"><div class="preamble"><p class="cta-caption">Riptide Investigations is a reader-supported publication. To receive new posts and support my work, consider becoming a free or paid subscriber.</p></div><form class="subscription-widget-subscribe"><input type="email" class="email-input" name="email" placeholder="Type your email&#8230;" tabindex="-1"><input type="submit" class="button primary" value="Subscribe"><div class="fake-input-wrapper"><div class="fake-input"></div><div class="fake-button"></div></div></form></div></div>]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[Maryland Refused to Act When the Potomac Was Drowning in Sewage. Now It Wants to Sue.]]></title><description><![CDATA[Attorney General Brown's lawsuit against DC Water omits the part where Maryland walked away from its own river.]]></description><link>https://mikethunderphillips.substack.com/p/maryland-refused-to-act-when-the</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://mikethunderphillips.substack.com/p/maryland-refused-to-act-when-the</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Michael "Thunder" Phillips]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Thu, 23 Apr 2026 17:56:27 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!YYXF!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fc8ef3493-3dd7-4401-8dbe-91693823ec63_1024x562.png" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!YYXF!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fc8ef3493-3dd7-4401-8dbe-91693823ec63_1024x562.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!YYXF!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fc8ef3493-3dd7-4401-8dbe-91693823ec63_1024x562.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!YYXF!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fc8ef3493-3dd7-4401-8dbe-91693823ec63_1024x562.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!YYXF!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fc8ef3493-3dd7-4401-8dbe-91693823ec63_1024x562.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!YYXF!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fc8ef3493-3dd7-4401-8dbe-91693823ec63_1024x562.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!YYXF!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fc8ef3493-3dd7-4401-8dbe-91693823ec63_1024x562.png" width="1024" height="562" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/c8ef3493-3dd7-4401-8dbe-91693823ec63_1024x562.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:562,&quot;width&quot;:1024,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:null,&quot;alt&quot;:&quot;A graphic illustration depicting a polluted Potomac River with sewage flowing from a pipe, overlaid by the Maryland state flag and a legal document titled 'Lawsuit: State of Maryland v. DC Water.'&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:null,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:false,&quot;topImage&quot;:true,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:null,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="A graphic illustration depicting a polluted Potomac River with sewage flowing from a pipe, overlaid by the Maryland state flag and a legal document titled 'Lawsuit: State of Maryland v. DC Water.'" title="A graphic illustration depicting a polluted Potomac River with sewage flowing from a pipe, overlaid by the Maryland state flag and a legal document titled 'Lawsuit: State of Maryland v. DC Water.'" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!YYXF!,w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fc8ef3493-3dd7-4401-8dbe-91693823ec63_1024x562.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!YYXF!,w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fc8ef3493-3dd7-4401-8dbe-91693823ec63_1024x562.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!YYXF!,w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fc8ef3493-3dd7-4401-8dbe-91693823ec63_1024x562.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!YYXF!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fc8ef3493-3dd7-4401-8dbe-91693823ec63_1024x562.png 1456w" sizes="100vw" fetchpriority="high"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg role="img" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><title></title><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><div><hr></div><p>When 240 million gallons of raw sewage began pouring into the Potomac River on January 19, Maryland did what it often does in a crisis: it pointed at someone else.</p><div class="subscription-widget-wrap-editor" data-attrs="{&quot;url&quot;:&quot;https://mikethunderphillips.substack.com/subscribe?&quot;,&quot;text&quot;:&quot;Subscribe&quot;,&quot;language&quot;:&quot;en&quot;}" data-component-name="SubscribeWidgetToDOM"><div class="subscription-widget show-subscribe"><div class="preamble"><p class="cta-caption">Riptide Investigations is a reader-supported publication. To receive new posts and support my work, consider becoming a free or paid subscriber.</p></div><form class="subscription-widget-subscribe"><input type="email" class="email-input" name="email" placeholder="Type your email&#8230;" tabindex="-1"><input type="submit" class="button primary" value="Subscribe"><div class="fake-input-wrapper"><div class="fake-input"></div><div class="fake-button"></div></div></form></div></div><p>Governor Wes Moore&#8217;s position, stated publicly on February 18, was unambiguous. &#8220;This is a Washington, D.C., pipe on federal land,&#8221; he declared. &#8220;Maryland has nothing to do with this.&#8221;</p><p>That was three months ago. On April 20, Attorney General Anthony Brown filed a lawsuit against DC Water in Montgomery County Circuit Court, demanding civil penalties of up to $10,000 per day per violation, full environmental cleanup costs, and natural resource damages. The <a href="https://oag.maryland.gov/News/Pages/-Attorney-General-Brown-Files-Lawsuit-Against-DC-Water-Over-Potomac-Interceptor-Collapse-.aspx">press release</a> called DC Water&#8217;s conduct &#8220;gross negligence.&#8221; It called for &#8220;accountability.&#8221;</p><p>It did not mention that Maryland had already declined to provide any.</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Klr4!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F6d71af90-15a8-4827-b28d-1eaa252d5182_1024x562.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Klr4!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F6d71af90-15a8-4827-b28d-1eaa252d5182_1024x562.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Klr4!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F6d71af90-15a8-4827-b28d-1eaa252d5182_1024x562.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Klr4!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F6d71af90-15a8-4827-b28d-1eaa252d5182_1024x562.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Klr4!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F6d71af90-15a8-4827-b28d-1eaa252d5182_1024x562.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Klr4!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F6d71af90-15a8-4827-b28d-1eaa252d5182_1024x562.png" width="1024" height="562" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/6d71af90-15a8-4827-b28d-1eaa252d5182_1024x562.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:562,&quot;width&quot;:1024,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:null,&quot;alt&quot;:&quot;Infographic detailing the timeline of the Potomac crisis, highlighting key events from pipe collapse to federal lawsuit, including dates and significant actions taken.&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:null,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:false,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:null,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="Infographic detailing the timeline of the Potomac crisis, highlighting key events from pipe collapse to federal lawsuit, including dates and significant actions taken." title="Infographic detailing the timeline of the Potomac crisis, highlighting key events from pipe collapse to federal lawsuit, including dates and significant actions taken." srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Klr4!,w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F6d71af90-15a8-4827-b28d-1eaa252d5182_1024x562.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Klr4!,w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F6d71af90-15a8-4827-b28d-1eaa252d5182_1024x562.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Klr4!,w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F6d71af90-15a8-4827-b28d-1eaa252d5182_1024x562.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Klr4!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F6d71af90-15a8-4827-b28d-1eaa252d5182_1024x562.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg role="img" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><title></title><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><div><hr></div><h2>The Federal Government Said It Out Loud</h2><p>The federal Clean Water Act <a href="https://www.epa.gov/newsreleases/united-states-files-complaint-against-dc-water-response-potomac-interceptor-collapse">complaint</a> filed by the U.S. Department of Justice and EPA on April 21 &#8212; one day after Maryland&#8217;s suit &#8212; contained language that the Brown press office would rather you not read carefully.</p><p>&#8220;The collapse occurred within the boundaries of the State of Maryland,&#8221; the federal complaint states, &#8220;yet Maryland disclaimed any responsibility and refused to hold DC Water accountable.&#8221;</p><p>The EPA went further, noting that Maryland&#8217;s posture was not just politically convenient &#8212; it was legally wrong. As a condition of accepting federal primacy for Clean Water Act implementation within its borders, Maryland agreed to enforce the CWA against violators. Governor Moore&#8217;s February disclaimer did not just deflect political blame; it abandoned a legal obligation.</p><p>Neither DC Water nor the District of Columbia had requested federal assistance when President Trump approved an emergency declaration on February 20 and designated EPA as the lead response agency. Before that federal intervention, the crisis response was driven largely by DC Water&#8217;s own crews, while Maryland watched.</p><p>Federal resources ended the active crisis by mid-March. DC Water completed emergency repairs and restored full flow to the Potomac Interceptor on March 14.</p><p>Maryland filed its lawsuit five weeks later.</p><blockquote><h3 style="text-align: center;"><em><strong>Governor Moore&#8217;s claim that &#8216;Maryland has nothing to do with this&#8217; wasn&#8217;t just political &#8212; it abandoned a legal obligation.</strong></em></h3></blockquote><div><hr></div><h2>The Infrastructure Failure Had a Regulatory Paper Trail</h2><p>The collapse of the 72-inch interceptor near the C&amp;O Canal National Historical Park did not come without warning. The pipe was more than half a century old. DC Water&#8217;s own records showed signs of corrosion. Maryland&#8217;s lawsuit correctly notes that DC Water delayed capital improvements &#8212; but the full story is more complicated than the complaint lets on.</p><p>DC Water has noted in response to the lawsuits that since 2018, it had been working with the National Park Service on site assessments, environmental reviews, and emergency repairs on portions of the pipeline. The utility previously requested a categorical exclusion to accelerate rehabilitation of this specific pipe section. That request was not approved. Federal permitting requirements for work within a national park created the bureaucratic friction that slowed the very repairs now cited as evidence of negligence.</p><p>DC Water is not blameless. Aging infrastructure, deferred maintenance, and an inadequate initial mitigation response that polluted the C&amp;O Canal while attempting to reroute sewage are all documented. The utility used the canal as a bypass channel &#8212; diverting wastewater through a national park treasure &#8212; before a more robust pumping system was established. That decision drew legitimate criticism.</p><p>But the accountability picture is more distributed than a single-defendant lawsuit suggests.</p><div><hr></div><h2>Political Optics Dressed as Environmental Enforcement</h2><p>The timing and framing of Maryland&#8217;s lawsuit deserves scrutiny. Governor Moore took sustained reputational damage from the February blame exchange with President Trump, who publicly accused Democratic leaders of gross mismanagement of the spill. Moore pushed back, but the image of a governor claiming &#8220;Maryland has nothing to do with this&#8221; while 240 million gallons of sewage fouled a river running through his state was not a flattering one.</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!GDIP!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F73454f96-8a84-45a9-a344-ece766718a75_1024x683.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!GDIP!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F73454f96-8a84-45a9-a344-ece766718a75_1024x683.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!GDIP!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F73454f96-8a84-45a9-a344-ece766718a75_1024x683.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!GDIP!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F73454f96-8a84-45a9-a344-ece766718a75_1024x683.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!GDIP!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F73454f96-8a84-45a9-a344-ece766718a75_1024x683.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!GDIP!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F73454f96-8a84-45a9-a344-ece766718a75_1024x683.png" width="1024" height="683" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/73454f96-8a84-45a9-a344-ece766718a75_1024x683.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:683,&quot;width&quot;:1024,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:null,&quot;alt&quot;:&quot;Infographic titled 'The Blame Map: Who Was Responsible?' detailing accountability for the Potomac Interceptor collapse in 2016, highlighting the roles of DC Water, the Federal Government, the Maryland Department of the Environment, and the National Park Service.&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:null,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:true,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:null,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="Infographic titled 'The Blame Map: Who Was Responsible?' detailing accountability for the Potomac Interceptor collapse in 2016, highlighting the roles of DC Water, the Federal Government, the Maryland Department of the Environment, and the National Park Service." title="Infographic titled 'The Blame Map: Who Was Responsible?' detailing accountability for the Potomac Interceptor collapse in 2016, highlighting the roles of DC Water, the Federal Government, the Maryland Department of the Environment, and the National Park Service." srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!GDIP!,w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F73454f96-8a84-45a9-a344-ece766718a75_1024x683.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!GDIP!,w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F73454f96-8a84-45a9-a344-ece766718a75_1024x683.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!GDIP!,w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F73454f96-8a84-45a9-a344-ece766718a75_1024x683.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!GDIP!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F73454f96-8a84-45a9-a344-ece766718a75_1024x683.png 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg role="img" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><title></title><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><p>The April 20 lawsuit lands differently when read in that context. Attorney General Brown &#8212; a Democrat with statewide political standing &#8212; is now filing suit over a crisis the state officially washed its hands of during the acute phase. The complaint seeks penalties and restoration. It does not acknowledge Maryland&#8217;s own regulatory inaction during the critical eight-day discharge window, or the month-plus afterward, before the federal response was organized.</p><p>Maryland is not wrong that DC Water bears primary responsibility for the aging infrastructure it owns and operates. That case may well succeed in court. But the state&#8217;s transformation from bystander to plaintiff &#8212; after the federal government did the cleanup work &#8212; is a performance of environmental stewardship, not its substance.</p><div><hr></div><h2>What Accountability Actually Looks Like</h2><p>Real accountability for the Potomac Interceptor collapse requires asking questions Maryland&#8217;s lawsuit is not structured to answer.</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!DmR7!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ffc19432f-5994-4336-a1ad-ff1fd39712db_1024x683.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!DmR7!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ffc19432f-5994-4336-a1ad-ff1fd39712db_1024x683.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!DmR7!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ffc19432f-5994-4336-a1ad-ff1fd39712db_1024x683.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!DmR7!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ffc19432f-5994-4336-a1ad-ff1fd39712db_1024x683.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!DmR7!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ffc19432f-5994-4336-a1ad-ff1fd39712db_1024x683.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!DmR7!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ffc19432f-5994-4336-a1ad-ff1fd39712db_1024x683.png" width="1024" height="683" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/fc19432f-5994-4336-a1ad-ff1fd39712db_1024x683.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:683,&quot;width&quot;:1024,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:null,&quot;alt&quot;:&quot;Infographic illustrating the jurisdiction breakdown regarding the Potomac interceptor collapse, highlighting legal authority, public positions, and actual outcomes for Maryland, the EPA, DC Water, and the National Park Service.&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:null,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:true,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:null,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="Infographic illustrating the jurisdiction breakdown regarding the Potomac interceptor collapse, highlighting legal authority, public positions, and actual outcomes for Maryland, the EPA, DC Water, and the National Park Service." title="Infographic illustrating the jurisdiction breakdown regarding the Potomac interceptor collapse, highlighting legal authority, public positions, and actual outcomes for Maryland, the EPA, DC Water, and the National Park Service." srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!DmR7!,w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ffc19432f-5994-4336-a1ad-ff1fd39712db_1024x683.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!DmR7!,w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ffc19432f-5994-4336-a1ad-ff1fd39712db_1024x683.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!DmR7!,w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ffc19432f-5994-4336-a1ad-ff1fd39712db_1024x683.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!DmR7!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ffc19432f-5994-4336-a1ad-ff1fd39712db_1024x683.png 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg role="img" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><title></title><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><p>Why did Maryland&#8217;s Department of the Environment, which monitors water quality in the Potomac, not trigger enforcement mechanisms during the eight-day discharge event? What was the MDE&#8217;s regulatory relationship with DC Water during the years when corrosion warnings were accumulating? If Maryland holds federal primacy for Clean Water Act enforcement within its borders &#8212; as the EPA explicitly states &#8212; why did the state need a federal emergency declaration before any serious response materialized?</p><p>Those questions are not in the complaint. They are not in the press release. They are not in Governor Moore&#8217;s public statements.</p><p>They are, however, the questions that accountability journalism is obligated to ask &#8212; even when, and especially when, the party filing suit happens to be the state government.</p><div><hr></div><p><em>Source documents for this piece include the Maryland Office of the Attorney General complaint filed April 20, 2026; the U.S. EPA/DOJ complaint filed April 21, 2026; the EPA emergency response press release from February 21, 2026; and DC Water&#8217;s public incident timeline.</em></p><div class="subscription-widget-wrap-editor" data-attrs="{&quot;url&quot;:&quot;https://mikethunderphillips.substack.com/subscribe?&quot;,&quot;text&quot;:&quot;Subscribe&quot;,&quot;language&quot;:&quot;en&quot;}" data-component-name="SubscribeWidgetToDOM"><div class="subscription-widget show-subscribe"><div class="preamble"><p class="cta-caption">Riptide Investigations is a reader-supported publication. To receive new posts and support my work, consider becoming a free or paid subscriber.</p></div><form class="subscription-widget-subscribe"><input type="email" class="email-input" name="email" placeholder="Type your email&#8230;" tabindex="-1"><input type="submit" class="button primary" value="Subscribe"><div class="fake-input-wrapper"><div class="fake-input"></div><div class="fake-button"></div></div></form></div></div>]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[MARYLAND'S PORTS FEEL THE SHOCK OF A DISTANT WAR — AND RELIEF ISN'T COMING SOON]]></title><description><![CDATA[The Strait of Hormuz crisis has upended global shipping.]]></description><link>https://mikethunderphillips.substack.com/p/marylands-ports-feel-the-shock-of</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://mikethunderphillips.substack.com/p/marylands-ports-feel-the-shock-of</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Michael "Thunder" Phillips]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Thu, 23 Apr 2026 16:09:11 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!l3TN!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ffed03c63-8df5-471d-87a6-21b7920fdd03_1024x683.png" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!l3TN!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ffed03c63-8df5-471d-87a6-21b7920fdd03_1024x683.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!l3TN!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ffed03c63-8df5-471d-87a6-21b7920fdd03_1024x683.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!l3TN!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ffed03c63-8df5-471d-87a6-21b7920fdd03_1024x683.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!l3TN!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ffed03c63-8df5-471d-87a6-21b7920fdd03_1024x683.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!l3TN!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ffed03c63-8df5-471d-87a6-21b7920fdd03_1024x683.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!l3TN!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ffed03c63-8df5-471d-87a6-21b7920fdd03_1024x683.png" width="1024" height="683" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/fed03c63-8df5-471d-87a6-21b7920fdd03_1024x683.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:683,&quot;width&quot;:1024,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:null,&quot;alt&quot;:&quot;An image depicting the port of Baltimore with cargo containers and ships, accompanied by a map highlighting the Strait of Hormuz and surrounding regions. Text overlays discuss the impact of international conflict on Maryland's ports, emphasizing rising costs and supply chain issues.&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:null,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:false,&quot;topImage&quot;:true,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:null,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="An image depicting the port of Baltimore with cargo containers and ships, accompanied by a map highlighting the Strait of Hormuz and surrounding regions. Text overlays discuss the impact of international conflict on Maryland's ports, emphasizing rising costs and supply chain issues." title="An image depicting the port of Baltimore with cargo containers and ships, accompanied by a map highlighting the Strait of Hormuz and surrounding regions. Text overlays discuss the impact of international conflict on Maryland's ports, emphasizing rising costs and supply chain issues." srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!l3TN!,w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ffed03c63-8df5-471d-87a6-21b7920fdd03_1024x683.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!l3TN!,w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ffed03c63-8df5-471d-87a6-21b7920fdd03_1024x683.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!l3TN!,w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ffed03c63-8df5-471d-87a6-21b7920fdd03_1024x683.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!l3TN!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ffed03c63-8df5-471d-87a6-21b7920fdd03_1024x683.png 1456w" sizes="100vw" fetchpriority="high"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg role="img" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><title></title><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><blockquote><h4>The Strait of Hormuz crisis has upended global shipping. Maryland&#8217;s ports and supply chains are absorbing the costs &#8212; with more pain potentially ahead.</h4></blockquote><div><hr></div><p>The Strait of Hormuz is roughly 7,000 miles from the Port of Baltimore. But the economic distance has collapsed to nearly zero.</p><p>Since February 28 &#8212; the day the United States and Israel launched air strikes against Iran &#8212; shipping traffic through the strait, which once carried roughly 20 percent of the world&#8217;s seaborne oil and liquefied natural gas, has been largely blocked. The closure has triggered what the International Energy Agency has characterized as &#8220;the greatest global energy security challenge in history.&#8221;</p><div class="subscription-widget-wrap-editor" data-attrs="{&quot;url&quot;:&quot;https://mikethunderphillips.substack.com/subscribe?&quot;,&quot;text&quot;:&quot;Subscribe&quot;,&quot;language&quot;:&quot;en&quot;}" data-component-name="SubscribeWidgetToDOM"><div class="subscription-widget show-subscribe"><div class="preamble"><p class="cta-caption">Riptide Investigations is a reader-supported publication. To receive new posts and support my work, consider becoming a free or paid subscriber.</p></div><form class="subscription-widget-subscribe"><input type="email" class="email-input" name="email" placeholder="Type your email&#8230;" tabindex="-1"><input type="submit" class="button primary" value="Subscribe"><div class="fake-input-wrapper"><div class="fake-input"></div><div class="fake-button"></div></div></form></div></div><p>For Maryland, that challenge has a price tag &#8212; measured in fuel surcharges, rising diesel costs, stalled cargo timelines, and a state legislature that has already begun fighting over who absorbs the bill.</p><blockquote><h3 style="text-align: center;"><em><strong>The economic distance has collapsed to nearly zero.</strong></em></h3></blockquote><h2><strong>What the Closure Means for Ports Like Baltimore</strong></h2><p>The Port of Baltimore&#8217;s direct exposure to Persian Gulf commodity flows is limited. The port&#8217;s primary trade lanes &#8212; automobiles, coal, sugar, gypsum, and containerized goods from Europe and Asia &#8212; don&#8217;t run through the Strait of Hormuz. But that has not insulated Maryland&#8217;s shipping infrastructure from the conflict&#8217;s cascading effects.</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!nQqN!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fcffa0fc2-f3e8-4ed1-ac3e-9b03a8b780e6_1024x683.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!nQqN!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fcffa0fc2-f3e8-4ed1-ac3e-9b03a8b780e6_1024x683.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!nQqN!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fcffa0fc2-f3e8-4ed1-ac3e-9b03a8b780e6_1024x683.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!nQqN!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fcffa0fc2-f3e8-4ed1-ac3e-9b03a8b780e6_1024x683.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!nQqN!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fcffa0fc2-f3e8-4ed1-ac3e-9b03a8b780e6_1024x683.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!nQqN!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fcffa0fc2-f3e8-4ed1-ac3e-9b03a8b780e6_1024x683.png" width="1024" height="683" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/cffa0fc2-f3e8-4ed1-ac3e-9b03a8b780e6_1024x683.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:683,&quot;width&quot;:1024,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:null,&quot;alt&quot;:&quot;Infographic illustrating the impact of the war in the Strait of Hormuz on global shipping routes, highlighting traditional and new reroute options, transit times, and associated costs.&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:null,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:true,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:null,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="Infographic illustrating the impact of the war in the Strait of Hormuz on global shipping routes, highlighting traditional and new reroute options, transit times, and associated costs." title="Infographic illustrating the impact of the war in the Strait of Hormuz on global shipping routes, highlighting traditional and new reroute options, transit times, and associated costs." srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!nQqN!,w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fcffa0fc2-f3e8-4ed1-ac3e-9b03a8b780e6_1024x683.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!nQqN!,w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fcffa0fc2-f3e8-4ed1-ac3e-9b03a8b780e6_1024x683.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!nQqN!,w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fcffa0fc2-f3e8-4ed1-ac3e-9b03a8b780e6_1024x683.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!nQqN!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fcffa0fc2-f3e8-4ed1-ac3e-9b03a8b780e6_1024x683.png 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg role="img" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><title></title><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><p>Vessels that previously transited the Strait of Hormuz to reach the Suez Canal and onward to U.S. East Coast ports must now reroute around the Cape of Good Hope, adding approximately 10 to 15 days to transit times. That rerouting doesn&#8217;t just delay specific shipments &#8212; it effectively removes vessel capacity from the global pool, tightening availability across all trade lanes, including those serving Baltimore.</p><p>Ocean carriers such as MSC, CMA CGM, Ocean Network Express, and Maersk have already started implementing fuel surcharges and higher rates across various trade lanes. Trucking fuel surcharges have risen 25 percent. FedEx and UPS have also implemented higher fuel surcharges, setting a record-high quarter for ground delivery costs. Every one of those costs touches goods moving through Maryland&#8217;s port complex.</p><p>In early March, the container vessel <em>Maersk Baltimore</em> &#8212; named for the city &#8212; was reported to be inside the Persian Gulf and unable to exit as the strait closure took hold. Its situation, though ultimately resolved, was an early symbol of just how globally enmeshed Maryland&#8217;s shipping identity is with the crisis.</p><h2><strong>The Fuel Cost Squeeze</strong></h2><p>The most direct Maryland exposure runs through energy prices. Brent crude surged from approximately $61 per barrel in January 2026 to a peak of over $118 per barrel by the end of Q1, nearly doubling in three months. Diesel &#8212; the lifeblood of port trucking, warehouse logistics, and rail connections out of Baltimore &#8212; reached $5.40 per gallon in that same window.</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!QGn7!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F44e4baae-aac1-4a00-802b-65dcc0c78855_1024x683.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!QGn7!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F44e4baae-aac1-4a00-802b-65dcc0c78855_1024x683.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!QGn7!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F44e4baae-aac1-4a00-802b-65dcc0c78855_1024x683.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!QGn7!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F44e4baae-aac1-4a00-802b-65dcc0c78855_1024x683.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!QGn7!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F44e4baae-aac1-4a00-802b-65dcc0c78855_1024x683.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!QGn7!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F44e4baae-aac1-4a00-802b-65dcc0c78855_1024x683.png" width="1024" height="683" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/44e4baae-aac1-4a00-802b-65dcc0c78855_1024x683.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:683,&quot;width&quot;:1024,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:null,&quot;alt&quot;:&quot;Infographic illustrating the economic impact of a conflict in the Strait of Hormuz, detailing how disruptions in oil supply lead to increased costs for consumers and businesses.&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:null,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:true,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:null,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="Infographic illustrating the economic impact of a conflict in the Strait of Hormuz, detailing how disruptions in oil supply lead to increased costs for consumers and businesses." title="Infographic illustrating the economic impact of a conflict in the Strait of Hormuz, detailing how disruptions in oil supply lead to increased costs for consumers and businesses." srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!QGn7!,w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F44e4baae-aac1-4a00-802b-65dcc0c78855_1024x683.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!QGn7!,w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F44e4baae-aac1-4a00-802b-65dcc0c78855_1024x683.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!QGn7!,w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F44e4baae-aac1-4a00-802b-65dcc0c78855_1024x683.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!QGn7!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F44e4baae-aac1-4a00-802b-65dcc0c78855_1024x683.png 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg role="img" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><title></title><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><p>In Maryland, the state gas tax is approximately 46 cents per gallon, and the revenue feeds the Transportation Trust Fund, which supports highways and bridge infrastructure. When pump prices spiked &#8212; the national average rose from $2.98 before the strikes to $3.72 by mid-March &#8212; Maryland Republican lawmakers moved quickly, introducing legislation to pause the gas tax for 30 days. Governor Wes Moore&#8217;s administration declined to signal support.</p><p>The episode illustrated a political fault line that the crisis exposed. For port-dependent industries &#8212; trucking companies operating out of Dundalk, logistics firms serving the I-95 corridor, agricultural exporters shipping through the Chesapeake basin &#8212; the fuel cost surge is not an abstraction. It compresses margins and, ultimately, flows to consumers.</p><h2><strong>Fertilizer: The Farm Country Exposure</strong></h2><p>Maryland&#8217;s agricultural counties face an additional dimension of the crisis that receives less attention than oil prices. The Persian Gulf accounts for roughly 30 to 35 percent of global urea exports and around 20 to 30 percent of ammonia exports &#8212; meaning up to 30 percent of internationally traded fertilizers normally transit the Strait of Hormuz.</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!41Qu!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fa462518f-d2b1-44ad-9763-90c787db64d3_1024x683.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!41Qu!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fa462518f-d2b1-44ad-9763-90c787db64d3_1024x683.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!41Qu!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fa462518f-d2b1-44ad-9763-90c787db64d3_1024x683.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!41Qu!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fa462518f-d2b1-44ad-9763-90c787db64d3_1024x683.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!41Qu!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fa462518f-d2b1-44ad-9763-90c787db64d3_1024x683.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!41Qu!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fa462518f-d2b1-44ad-9763-90c787db64d3_1024x683.png" width="1024" height="683" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/a462518f-d2b1-44ad-9763-90c787db64d3_1024x683.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:683,&quot;width&quot;:1024,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:null,&quot;alt&quot;:&quot;Infographic titled 'The Overlooked Risk: Fertilizer' discussing the impact of the Strait of Hormuz crisis on global fertilizer supply, highlighting key fertilizer exports at risk, specifically urea and ammonia, along with their global export percentages. It emphasizes the Maryland connection and implications for farmers, including higher prices, supply chain disruptions, and risks to food security.&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:null,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:true,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:null,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="Infographic titled 'The Overlooked Risk: Fertilizer' discussing the impact of the Strait of Hormuz crisis on global fertilizer supply, highlighting key fertilizer exports at risk, specifically urea and ammonia, along with their global export percentages. It emphasizes the Maryland connection and implications for farmers, including higher prices, supply chain disruptions, and risks to food security." title="Infographic titled 'The Overlooked Risk: Fertilizer' discussing the impact of the Strait of Hormuz crisis on global fertilizer supply, highlighting key fertilizer exports at risk, specifically urea and ammonia, along with their global export percentages. It emphasizes the Maryland connection and implications for farmers, including higher prices, supply chain disruptions, and risks to food security." srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!41Qu!,w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fa462518f-d2b1-44ad-9763-90c787db64d3_1024x683.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!41Qu!,w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fa462518f-d2b1-44ad-9763-90c787db64d3_1024x683.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!41Qu!,w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fa462518f-d2b1-44ad-9763-90c787db64d3_1024x683.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!41Qu!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fa462518f-d2b1-44ad-9763-90c787db64d3_1024x683.png 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg role="img" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><title></title><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><p>Unlike oil, the fertilizer sector does not have internationally coordinated strategic reserves, making supply disruptions more difficult to manage. Global fertilizer prices could average 15 to 20 percent higher during the first half of 2026 if the crisis continues. For Maryland&#8217;s Eastern Shore farming operations and the export of agricultural commodities through Baltimore, this is a compounding pressure on top of existing tariff-driven uncertainty.</p><h2><strong>The Insurance Market No One Is Watching</strong></h2><p>One of the least visible but most structurally significant impacts on port operations involves war risk insurance. War risk insurance premiums have increased four to five times over pre-conflict levels since fighting began February 28. War risk policies carry a 72-hour cancellation clause at the insurer&#8217;s discretion when conflict erupts, giving underwriters the ability to reprice exposure rapidly &#8212; and they have.</p><p>War-risk insurance alone has tripled to quadrupled on Gulf-adjacent routes. For vessels operating on routes connecting Baltimore to transshipment hubs in Europe and Asia, those cost increases move through the system regardless of whether a given ship ever approaches the strait.</p><h2><strong>Silence Where Baltimore Needs an Answer</strong></h2><p>While the crisis has unfolded over nearly two months, Maryland&#8217;s port leadership has been conspicuously quiet. MDBayNews found no public contingency communications from the Maryland Port Administration to terminal operators, no port-specific impact assessment from MDOT, and no formal public briefing from the Moore administration on what the Hormuz closure means for Maryland&#8217;s $70 billion port economy.</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!6gcP!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fe99ca7a0-1392-4d6f-ab94-9dedbdc04bea_1024x683.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!6gcP!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fe99ca7a0-1392-4d6f-ab94-9dedbdc04bea_1024x683.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!6gcP!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fe99ca7a0-1392-4d6f-ab94-9dedbdc04bea_1024x683.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!6gcP!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fe99ca7a0-1392-4d6f-ab94-9dedbdc04bea_1024x683.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!6gcP!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fe99ca7a0-1392-4d6f-ab94-9dedbdc04bea_1024x683.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!6gcP!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fe99ca7a0-1392-4d6f-ab94-9dedbdc04bea_1024x683.png" width="1024" height="683" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/e99ca7a0-1392-4d6f-ab94-9dedbdc04bea_1024x683.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:683,&quot;width&quot;:1024,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:null,&quot;alt&quot;:&quot;Infographic addressing the lack of response to the Hormuz crisis affecting Maryland, featuring a map highlighting the Port of Baltimore, text about silence from authorities, and three key points regarding no contingency plan, no public briefing, and no updated projections.&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:null,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:true,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:null,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="Infographic addressing the lack of response to the Hormuz crisis affecting Maryland, featuring a map highlighting the Port of Baltimore, text about silence from authorities, and three key points regarding no contingency plan, no public briefing, and no updated projections." title="Infographic addressing the lack of response to the Hormuz crisis affecting Maryland, featuring a map highlighting the Port of Baltimore, text about silence from authorities, and three key points regarding no contingency plan, no public briefing, and no updated projections." srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!6gcP!,w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fe99ca7a0-1392-4d6f-ab94-9dedbdc04bea_1024x683.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!6gcP!,w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fe99ca7a0-1392-4d6f-ab94-9dedbdc04bea_1024x683.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!6gcP!,w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fe99ca7a0-1392-4d6f-ab94-9dedbdc04bea_1024x683.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!6gcP!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fe99ca7a0-1392-4d6f-ab94-9dedbdc04bea_1024x683.png 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg role="img" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><title></title><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><p>The contrast with other major U.S. ports is stark. At the Port of Los Angeles, international trade experts were convened for a formal news briefing on the war&#8217;s supply chain effects, with one senior analyst warning that &#8220;the Middle East, and therefore the world, has changed permanently.&#8221; Baltimore has held no equivalent event.</p><p>The contrast with Maryland&#8217;s own recent history is equally pointed. When the Key Bridge collapsed in March 2024, MPA Executive Director Jonathan Daniels convened a Port Commission meeting within days, Governor Moore addressed ILA workers on the waterfront, and state and federal agencies stood up business recovery infrastructure almost immediately. That same crisis-communication architecture has not been activated for a disruption that, while less acute locally, is proving far more economically persistent.</p><p>Maryland Republicans moved faster than the administration on even the most visible consumer impact &#8212; introducing a 30-day gas tax pause within weeks of the price spike. The Moore administration declined to signal support, and the governor&#8217;s public commentary on the war&#8217;s economic effects has been limited to a passing acknowledgment of high gas prices at an unrelated transit event.</p><p>Governor Moore has said the Port of Baltimore supports more than 273,000 Maryland jobs and carries a $70 billion annual economic value. Those figures were from a January press release celebrating record cargo volumes &#8212; before the war. No updated projections have been published. No public briefing has been scheduled. No contingency framework has been announced.</p><p>Maryland&#8217;s port is too important &#8212; and this crisis too consequential &#8212; for the administration&#8217;s response to amount to a lament about gas prices at a ribbon-cutting.</p><blockquote><h3 style="text-align: center;"><em><strong>Maryland&#8217;s port is too important for silence to be the strategy.</strong></em></h3></blockquote><div><hr></div><p><strong>SOURCES</strong>: <em>NPR, CNBC, Kpler/MarineTraffic, Supply Chain Dive, TariffsTool.com, Congressional Research Service via Congress.gov, WYPR, Spectrum News, CBS Baltimore, The Baltimore Banner, Baltimore Sun</em></p><div class="subscription-widget-wrap-editor" data-attrs="{&quot;url&quot;:&quot;https://mikethunderphillips.substack.com/subscribe?&quot;,&quot;text&quot;:&quot;Subscribe&quot;,&quot;language&quot;:&quot;en&quot;}" data-component-name="SubscribeWidgetToDOM"><div class="subscription-widget show-subscribe"><div class="preamble"><p class="cta-caption">Riptide Investigations is a reader-supported publication. To receive new posts and support my work, consider becoming a free or paid subscriber.</p></div><form class="subscription-widget-subscribe"><input type="email" class="email-input" name="email" placeholder="Type your email&#8230;" tabindex="-1"><input type="submit" class="button primary" value="Subscribe"><div class="fake-input-wrapper"><div class="fake-input"></div><div class="fake-button"></div></div></form></div></div>]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[Maryland's Water Is Running Out. Virginia's Data Centers Are Part of Why.]]></title><description><![CDATA[The Potomac hasn&#8217;t been this low in recorded history.]]></description><link>https://mikethunderphillips.substack.com/p/marylands-water-is-running-out-virginias</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://mikethunderphillips.substack.com/p/marylands-water-is-running-out-virginias</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Michael "Thunder" Phillips]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Wed, 22 Apr 2026 15:49:13 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Umeh!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F76a83bfe-12df-4362-9071-2ee118ba51fc_1023x546.png" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Umeh!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F76a83bfe-12df-4362-9071-2ee118ba51fc_1023x546.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Umeh!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F76a83bfe-12df-4362-9071-2ee118ba51fc_1023x546.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Umeh!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F76a83bfe-12df-4362-9071-2ee118ba51fc_1023x546.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Umeh!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F76a83bfe-12df-4362-9071-2ee118ba51fc_1023x546.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Umeh!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F76a83bfe-12df-4362-9071-2ee118ba51fc_1023x546.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Umeh!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F76a83bfe-12df-4362-9071-2ee118ba51fc_1023x546.png" width="1023" height="546" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/76a83bfe-12df-4362-9071-2ee118ba51fc_1023x546.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:546,&quot;width&quot;:1023,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:null,&quot;alt&quot;:&quot;A drought-affected landscape showing a low water intake gauge, dry riverbed, and a sign about water conservation. The caption highlights the impact of Virginia's data centers on Maryland's water supply.&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:null,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:false,&quot;topImage&quot;:true,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:null,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="A drought-affected landscape showing a low water intake gauge, dry riverbed, and a sign about water conservation. The caption highlights the impact of Virginia's data centers on Maryland's water supply." title="A drought-affected landscape showing a low water intake gauge, dry riverbed, and a sign about water conservation. The caption highlights the impact of Virginia's data centers on Maryland's water supply." srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Umeh!,w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F76a83bfe-12df-4362-9071-2ee118ba51fc_1023x546.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Umeh!,w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F76a83bfe-12df-4362-9071-2ee118ba51fc_1023x546.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Umeh!,w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F76a83bfe-12df-4362-9071-2ee118ba51fc_1023x546.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Umeh!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F76a83bfe-12df-4362-9071-2ee118ba51fc_1023x546.png 1456w" sizes="100vw" fetchpriority="high"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg role="img" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><title></title><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><blockquote><p><strong>The Potomac hasn&#8217;t been this low in recorded history. Millions of Marylanders depend on it. And a sprawling industry upstream faces no meaningful limits on how much it can drink.</strong></p></blockquote><div><hr></div><p>The Potomac River is at the lowest level ever recorded for this time of year &#8212; a data point drawn from more than 130 years of measurements &#8212; and the region that depends on it for drinking water is heading into summer with no secondary source, no rain in the forecast sufficient to reverse the trend, and a new and growing drain that wasn&#8217;t a serious factor the last time the basin ran this dry.</p><p>That drain is Northern Virginia&#8217;s data center industry. And Maryland, despite bearing much of the downstream risk, has no formal voice in how Virginia permits, regulates, or limits it.</p><div class="subscription-widget-wrap-editor" data-attrs="{&quot;url&quot;:&quot;https://mikethunderphillips.substack.com/subscribe?&quot;,&quot;text&quot;:&quot;Subscribe&quot;,&quot;language&quot;:&quot;en&quot;}" data-component-name="SubscribeWidgetToDOM"><div class="subscription-widget show-subscribe"><div class="preamble"><p class="cta-caption">Riptide Investigations is a reader-supported publication. To receive new posts and support my work, consider becoming a free or paid subscriber.</p></div><form class="subscription-widget-subscribe"><input type="email" class="email-input" name="email" placeholder="Type your email&#8230;" tabindex="-1"><input type="submit" class="button primary" value="Subscribe"><div class="fake-input-wrapper"><div class="fake-input"></div><div class="fake-button"></div></div></form></div></div><p>The U.S. Drought Monitor placed 31% of the D.C. region in severe drought as of last week, with the remainder in moderate drought. The Interstate Commission on the Potomac River Basin &#8212; the interstate body that manages the river&#8217;s water supply &#8212; issued its April outlook, finding an above-normal probability that backup reservoirs will need to be tapped this summer or fall. That would be the first such release in more than a decade; the last time the Army Corps of Engineers was asked to release water from the upstream reservoirs was 2010.</p><p>&#8220;It&#8217;s been over 10 years since we asked the Army Corps of Engineers to release water from the reservoirs on the Potomac River,&#8221; ICPRB Executive Director Michael Nardolilli said. &#8220;The likelihood of releases from the backup reservoirs is increasing.&#8221;</p><p>The river is the sole source of drinking water for Washington D.C. and Arlington County, and the primary source for the Maryland and Virginia suburbs. WSSC Water &#8212; which serves 1.9 million customers across Montgomery and Prince George&#8217;s counties &#8212; draws the majority of its supply from the Potomac, supplemented by the Patuxent River system. The region&#8217;s three major water utilities, D.C. Water, WSSC Water, and Fairfax Water, share access to three backup reservoirs when the Potomac flows drop too low. The closest of those is Little Seneca Reservoir, in Montgomery County, Maryland.</p><p>In other words, the emergency buffer for a multi-state, multi-million-person water system sits in Maryland.</p><div><hr></div><h2><strong>One River. No Backup. One State Calling the Shots.</strong></h2><p>The data center problem is structural. Loudoun County, Virginia &#8212; which hosts what experts describe as the world&#8217;s largest concentration of data centers, with more than 200 facilities built and over 100 more in the development pipeline &#8212; sits along the Potomac watershed. Water used to cool server equipment represents a significant and growing share of total basin withdrawals.</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!suz_!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F81099652-7272-4c0d-a09b-ef1fb3abcade_1024x683.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!suz_!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F81099652-7272-4c0d-a09b-ef1fb3abcade_1024x683.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!suz_!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F81099652-7272-4c0d-a09b-ef1fb3abcade_1024x683.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!suz_!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F81099652-7272-4c0d-a09b-ef1fb3abcade_1024x683.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!suz_!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F81099652-7272-4c0d-a09b-ef1fb3abcade_1024x683.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!suz_!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F81099652-7272-4c0d-a09b-ef1fb3abcade_1024x683.png" width="1024" height="683" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/81099652-7272-4c0d-a09b-ef1fb3abcade_1024x683.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:683,&quot;width&quot;:1024,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:null,&quot;alt&quot;:&quot;Infographic illustrating water withdrawal percentages from the Potomac Basin by sector under normal and peak summer conditions, highlighting data centers' increasing share.&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:null,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:true,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:null,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="Infographic illustrating water withdrawal percentages from the Potomac Basin by sector under normal and peak summer conditions, highlighting data centers' increasing share." title="Infographic illustrating water withdrawal percentages from the Potomac Basin by sector under normal and peak summer conditions, highlighting data centers' increasing share." srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!suz_!,w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F81099652-7272-4c0d-a09b-ef1fb3abcade_1024x683.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!suz_!,w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F81099652-7272-4c0d-a09b-ef1fb3abcade_1024x683.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!suz_!,w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F81099652-7272-4c0d-a09b-ef1fb3abcade_1024x683.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!suz_!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F81099652-7272-4c0d-a09b-ef1fb3abcade_1024x683.png 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg role="img" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><title></title><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><p>According to the Piedmont Environmental Council, Loudoun County&#8217;s data centers account for roughly 2 to 3 percent of total water withdrawals from the Potomac basin under normal conditions. During peak summer months, when cooling demand spikes alongside regional drought risk, that figure can climb to 8 percent.</p><p>To put that in context: Maryland residents are asked to limit lawn watering and car washing during drought advisories. A single county in Virginia can quietly draw eight cents of every dollar of water the river produces in summer, with no disclosure requirement, no individual facility reporting mandate, and no obligation to coordinate with downstream states.</p><blockquote><h4 style="text-align: center;"><em><strong>Maryland is being told to conserve water while a single county upstream can quietly take up to 8 percent of the Potomac at peak demand.</strong></em></h4></blockquote><p>The American Rivers organization named the Potomac the most endangered river in the United States for 2026, citing both the data center expansion and the impact of a major sewage spill in January that sent more than 300 million gallons of raw sewage into the river following a pipeline collapse in Cabin John, Maryland. That spill &#8212; caused by infrastructure failure, not data centers &#8212; led Maryland and the Justice Department to file suit against DC Water last week. But conservationists and water managers are now pointing to the data center issue as a longer-term structural threat.</p><p>&#8220;There needs to be transparency and a cumulative assessment of how these facilities impact water supplies,&#8221; Potomac Conservancy Director Matt Calvert said in the organization&#8217;s response to the most-endangered designation.</p><div><hr></div><h2><strong>What Virginia Did &#8212; And What It Didn&#8217;t</strong></h2><p>Virginia&#8217;s General Assembly was not asleep. The 2026 session saw lawmakers file more than 60 bills aimed at the data center industry. Of those, 15 passed and were sent to Governor Abigail Spanberger&#8217;s desk.</p><p>One of the water-related measures that cleared the legislature &#8212; Senate Bill 553 &#8212; requires utilities to report monthly water volumes supplied to data centers to the state&#8217;s Department of Environmental Quality. Reporting begins in 2027.</p><p>That sounds like progress. It isn&#8217;t enough.</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!uYEj!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fa38c0844-628f-4193-a7f8-09bb96ef1e16_1024x683.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!uYEj!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fa38c0844-628f-4193-a7f8-09bb96ef1e16_1024x683.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!uYEj!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fa38c0844-628f-4193-a7f8-09bb96ef1e16_1024x683.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!uYEj!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fa38c0844-628f-4193-a7f8-09bb96ef1e16_1024x683.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!uYEj!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fa38c0844-628f-4193-a7f8-09bb96ef1e16_1024x683.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!uYEj!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fa38c0844-628f-4193-a7f8-09bb96ef1e16_1024x683.png" width="1024" height="683" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/a38c0844-628f-4193-a7f8-09bb96ef1e16_1024x683.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:683,&quot;width&quot;:1024,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:null,&quot;alt&quot;:&quot;Infographic illustrating data center cooling spikes and the stress on the Potomac River during peak demand periods, highlighting the worst conditions for water supplies from June to fall.&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:null,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:true,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:null,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="Infographic illustrating data center cooling spikes and the stress on the Potomac River during peak demand periods, highlighting the worst conditions for water supplies from June to fall." title="Infographic illustrating data center cooling spikes and the stress on the Potomac River during peak demand periods, highlighting the worst conditions for water supplies from June to fall." srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!uYEj!,w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fa38c0844-628f-4193-a7f8-09bb96ef1e16_1024x683.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!uYEj!,w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fa38c0844-628f-4193-a7f8-09bb96ef1e16_1024x683.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!uYEj!,w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fa38c0844-628f-4193-a7f8-09bb96ef1e16_1024x683.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!uYEj!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fa38c0844-628f-4193-a7f8-09bb96ef1e16_1024x683.png 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg role="img" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><title></title><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><p>The Potomac Conservancy, which lobbied for the bill, acknowledged that the final version was weakened during the legislative process. As written, SB 553 requires utility-level reporting, not individual facility disclosure. It does not mandate reporting of peak daily usage, nor does it require any assessment of water consumption for proposed new data centers before they&#8217;re approved. The numbers it will eventually produce will be aggregates &#8212; useful to analysts, invisible to affected communities.</p><p>The bigger transparency battle remains unsettled. Virginia data centers are not currently required to report detailed individual water usage, and localities approving new data center projects are under no obligation to evaluate cumulative water consumption impacts before issuing permits. According to the Piedmont Environmental Council, peak summer usage from data centers can reach up to three times average monthly demand and as much as ten times average daily demand &#8212; precisely when the Potomac is most stressed and when Maryland water managers are watching river flows most closely.</p><p>The industry&#8217;s leverage in Richmond is formidable. Virginia currently provides data centers roughly $1.6 billion annually in sales tax exemptions &#8212; the largest such incentive in the state for any single industry. A battle to eliminate or condition that exemption consumed the 2026 legislative session and remains unresolved; Spanberger called a special session for April 23 to settle the budget standoff it created.</p><p>Maryland has no seat at that table.</p><div><hr></div><h2><strong>The Infrastructure Gap Maryland Can&#8217;t Solve Alone</strong></h2><p>The ICPRB&#8217;s December 2025 water supply study &#8212; the commission&#8217;s comprehensive review, published every five years &#8212; found that in four out of nine modeled extreme drought scenarios, the backup reservoir system could run out of water as early as 2030. The commission described the D.C. region as uniquely vulnerable: it is the only major metropolitan area in the United States that relies on a single river as its primary source and maintains less than one day of backup water supply on hand at any given time.</p><p>The leading proposed solution is converting the Travilah Quarry in Rockville, Maryland, into a large-scale backup reservoir &#8212; filled during wet periods, drawn down during droughts. The U.S. Army Corps of Engineers launched a feasibility study for the project, known as &#8220;quarry, plus,&#8221; funded in part by the Metropolitan Washington Council of Governments. But the study&#8217;s timeline depends on federal funding that, as ICPRB has noted, is currently uncertain.</p><blockquote><h4 style="text-align: center;"><em><strong>The D.C. region is the only major metro in America relying on a single river &#8212; with less than one day of backup water supply.</strong></em></h4></blockquote><p>That uncertainty is not abstract. A three-year federal feasibility study with federal funding in limbo, on a 2030 risk horizon, is not a comfortable position for a region where 69 percent of Maryland is currently under drought conditions.</p><p>WSSC Water CEO Kishia L. Powell put the challenge plainly in the commission&#8217;s December report: &#8220;The Potomac River has provided the vast majority of the region&#8217;s drinking water for generations. But climate pressures and growing demand will impact our ability to meet the region&#8217;s needs in just a few years.&#8221;</p><div><hr></div><h2><strong>What Maryland&#8217;s Leaders Owe Marylanders</strong></h2><p>The drought is not Virginia&#8217;s fault. Data centers moving to Northern Virginia is not, by itself, an act of malice against Maryland&#8217;s water supply. The interstate cooperation framework the ICPRB operates under has served the region well for decades, and Virginia&#8217;s 2026 legislature made more of an effort on data center transparency than many previous sessions did.</p><p>But accountability journalism requires noting what is true: Maryland has approximately 69 percent of its landmass under drought conditions right now, its primary source of drinking water is at historic lows, the most important emergency backup reservoir is in Montgomery County, and the single largest new variable in the basin&#8217;s water demand picture &#8212; data center cooling in Loudoun County &#8212; faces no individual disclosure requirements, no cumulative impact reviews at permitting, and no interstate coordination obligation, until at least 2027, and only at the aggregate level even then.</p><blockquote><h4 style="text-align: center;"><em><strong>One river supplies millions. One state controls the spigot. And Maryland doesn&#8217;t have a seat at the table.</strong></em></h4></blockquote><p>The Moore administration has been vocal about protecting Marylanders from federal threats and regional economic pressures. Protecting the state&#8217;s water supply from unregulated upstream demand is, by any reasonable definition, the same type of problem.</p><p>Maryland&#8217;s congressional delegation and the Moore administration should be pressing ICPRB to formalize water-demand limits on basin-wide industrial users as part of the compact&#8217;s existing authority. Maryland and Virginia should be in direct negotiation &#8212; outside the legislative session calendar &#8212; about what data center water reporting means for shared resource management. And WSSC Water&#8217;s drought contingency plans, the status of the Travilah Quarry feasibility study, and the Army Corps timeline should be part of the public record Marylanders can access, not buried in commission technical reports.</p><p>The river is at record lows. The summer hasn&#8217;t started yet.</p><div><hr></div><p><em><strong>Sources: </strong>Interstate Commission on the Potomac River Basin, April 2026 Water Supply Outlook; ICPRB, 2025 Washington Metropolitan Area Water Supply Study (December 2025); U.S. Drought Monitor, April 17, 2026; Piedmont Environmental Council, April 2026 statement; American Rivers, 2026 Most Endangered Rivers Report; WSSC Water; MultiState Policy Watch; Virginia Mercury; Maryland Matters/WTOP; Potomac Conservancy.</em></p><div class="subscription-widget-wrap-editor" data-attrs="{&quot;url&quot;:&quot;https://mikethunderphillips.substack.com/subscribe?&quot;,&quot;text&quot;:&quot;Subscribe&quot;,&quot;language&quot;:&quot;en&quot;}" data-component-name="SubscribeWidgetToDOM"><div class="subscription-widget show-subscribe"><div class="preamble"><p class="cta-caption">Riptide Investigations is a reader-supported publication. To receive new posts and support my work, consider becoming a free or paid subscriber.</p></div><form class="subscription-widget-subscribe"><input type="email" class="email-input" name="email" placeholder="Type your email&#8230;" tabindex="-1"><input type="submit" class="button primary" value="Subscribe"><div class="fake-input-wrapper"><div class="fake-input"></div><div class="fake-button"></div></div></form></div></div>]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[They Promised Factories. They Got Mexico.]]></title><description><![CDATA[The Reshoring Lie]]></description><link>https://mikethunderphillips.substack.com/p/they-promised-factories-they-got</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://mikethunderphillips.substack.com/p/they-promised-factories-they-got</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Michael "Thunder" Phillips]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Tue, 21 Apr 2026 19:16:29 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!N9E5!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fb1b52380-9a70-40b1-ad2b-9119136a3269_1024x683.png" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!N9E5!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fb1b52380-9a70-40b1-ad2b-9119136a3269_1024x683.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!N9E5!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fb1b52380-9a70-40b1-ad2b-9119136a3269_1024x683.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!N9E5!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fb1b52380-9a70-40b1-ad2b-9119136a3269_1024x683.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!N9E5!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fb1b52380-9a70-40b1-ad2b-9119136a3269_1024x683.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!N9E5!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fb1b52380-9a70-40b1-ad2b-9119136a3269_1024x683.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!N9E5!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fb1b52380-9a70-40b1-ad2b-9119136a3269_1024x683.png" width="1024" height="683" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/b1b52380-9a70-40b1-ad2b-9119136a3269_1024x683.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:683,&quot;width&quot;:1024,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:null,&quot;alt&quot;:&quot;An industrial setting highlighting the message 'The Reshoring Lie' with emphasis on job losses due to factory closures. Includes a map of the U.S. and Mexico, indicating production shifts. Key points include 'American jobs cut,' 'overseas production up,' and 'prices for consumers higher.'&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:null,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:false,&quot;topImage&quot;:true,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:null,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="An industrial setting highlighting the message 'The Reshoring Lie' with emphasis on job losses due to factory closures. Includes a map of the U.S. and Mexico, indicating production shifts. Key points include 'American jobs cut,' 'overseas production up,' and 'prices for consumers higher.'" title="An industrial setting highlighting the message 'The Reshoring Lie' with emphasis on job losses due to factory closures. Includes a map of the U.S. and Mexico, indicating production shifts. Key points include 'American jobs cut,' 'overseas production up,' and 'prices for consumers higher.'" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!N9E5!,w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fb1b52380-9a70-40b1-ad2b-9119136a3269_1024x683.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!N9E5!,w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fb1b52380-9a70-40b1-ad2b-9119136a3269_1024x683.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!N9E5!,w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fb1b52380-9a70-40b1-ad2b-9119136a3269_1024x683.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!N9E5!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fb1b52380-9a70-40b1-ad2b-9119136a3269_1024x683.png 1456w" sizes="100vw" fetchpriority="high"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg role="img" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><title></title><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><blockquote><p><strong>Trump&#8217;s tariffs were supposed to force manufacturers back to American soil. Instead, a documented pattern of U.S. companies is doing the opposite &#8212; cutting domestic jobs, expanding foreign operations, and passing the costs on to consumers. The data is not ambiguous. The companies are named.</strong></p></blockquote><div><hr></div><p>On August 6, 2020, Donald Trump stood on a factory floor in Clyde, Ohio, and made a promise to the workers of Whirlpool. He had just signed a tariff on imported washing machines. The factory was booming, he told them. His trade policy was working. &#8220;Your company became a shining example,&#8221; he said, &#8220;of how tough trade policies and smarts can bring jobs and prosperity into communities like Clyde.&#8221; He told them he would &#8220;have your back 100 percent.&#8221; The crowd roared.</p><p>In March 2026, 341 workers were laid off from Whirlpool&#8217;s Amana, Iowa facility &#8212; the second round of cuts in less than a year at the same plant &#8212; as the company simultaneously expanded a new $160 million manufacturing complex in Mexico. A second wave of layoffs is expected before the end of 2026. Union officials estimate the Amana workforce, which stood at more than 3,000 employees just five years ago, could fall below 600 by year&#8217;s end. The jobs didn&#8217;t come back. They went south.</p><div class="subscription-widget-wrap-editor" data-attrs="{&quot;url&quot;:&quot;https://mikethunderphillips.substack.com/subscribe?&quot;,&quot;text&quot;:&quot;Subscribe&quot;,&quot;language&quot;:&quot;en&quot;}" data-component-name="SubscribeWidgetToDOM"><div class="subscription-widget show-subscribe"><div class="preamble"><p class="cta-caption">Riptide Investigations is a reader-supported publication. To receive new posts and support my work, consider becoming a free or paid subscriber.</p></div><form class="subscription-widget-subscribe"><input type="email" class="email-input" name="email" placeholder="Type your email&#8230;" tabindex="-1"><input type="submit" class="button primary" value="Subscribe"><div class="fake-input-wrapper"><div class="fake-input"></div><div class="fake-button"></div></div></form></div></div><p>This is not a story about one company. Whirlpool is the most documented case, but it is part of a pattern that runs across American manufacturing &#8212; a pattern that exposes the central premise of Trump&#8217;s tariff policy as something the data does not support.</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2" target="_blank" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!9XIS!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fd5ec9942-9eeb-4b86-b56c-fd9e79d6e6ec_556x148.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!9XIS!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fd5ec9942-9eeb-4b86-b56c-fd9e79d6e6ec_556x148.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!9XIS!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fd5ec9942-9eeb-4b86-b56c-fd9e79d6e6ec_556x148.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!9XIS!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fd5ec9942-9eeb-4b86-b56c-fd9e79d6e6ec_556x148.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!9XIS!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fd5ec9942-9eeb-4b86-b56c-fd9e79d6e6ec_556x148.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!9XIS!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fd5ec9942-9eeb-4b86-b56c-fd9e79d6e6ec_556x148.png" width="556" height="148" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/d5ec9942-9eeb-4b86-b56c-fd9e79d6e6ec_556x148.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:148,&quot;width&quot;:556,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:null,&quot;alt&quot;:&quot;Infographic highlighting statistics about manufacturers' plans regarding production and tariffs: 64% not planning to reshore, 1/3 of U.S. equipment makers planning to move production offshore, and 86% passing tariff costs to consumers.&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:null,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:false,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:null,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="Infographic highlighting statistics about manufacturers' plans regarding production and tariffs: 64% not planning to reshore, 1/3 of U.S. equipment makers planning to move production offshore, and 86% passing tariff costs to consumers." title="Infographic highlighting statistics about manufacturers' plans regarding production and tariffs: 64% not planning to reshore, 1/3 of U.S. equipment makers planning to move production offshore, and 86% passing tariff costs to consumers." srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!9XIS!,w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fd5ec9942-9eeb-4b86-b56c-fd9e79d6e6ec_556x148.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!9XIS!,w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fd5ec9942-9eeb-4b86-b56c-fd9e79d6e6ec_556x148.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!9XIS!,w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fd5ec9942-9eeb-4b86-b56c-fd9e79d6e6ec_556x148.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!9XIS!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fd5ec9942-9eeb-4b86-b56c-fd9e79d6e6ec_556x148.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"></picture><div></div></div></a></figure></div><h2>The Theory vs. The Behavior</h2><p>The logic of tariff-driven reshoring is straightforward: raise the cost of importing goods enough, and companies will find it cheaper to manufacture domestically. Trump has stated this reasoning in nearly identical terms at every factory stop, every press conference, every Truth Social post on the subject. &#8220;Jobs and factories will come roaring back into our country,&#8221; he said in April 2025, the day he announced the Liberation Day tariffs.</p><p>The Institute for Supply Management surveyed manufacturing leaders at the end of 2025. The results were a direct refutation of the theory. Sixty-four percent of manufacturers said they had no intention of reshoring production to avoid tariff costs &#8212; &#8220;despite the hope of the administration that this would drive manufacturing to reshore,&#8221; as the ISM&#8217;s own analyst noted. Of that group, a significant portion said they were actively seeking production partners in countries with lower tariff exposure: not America, but different parts of Asia, Latin America, and Eastern Europe. The Reshoring Institute &#8212; a nonpartisan organization whose explicit mission is to return manufacturing to the United States &#8212; found that one-third of U.S. equipment manufacturers were planning to move production offshore after Liberation Day. The organization that exists to cheer for reshoring was documenting the opposite.</p><p>The reason is not complicated. Reshoring a factory is not a quarterly decision. It requires capital expenditure that runs into the hundreds of millions of dollars, construction timelines measured in years, workforce development pipelines that don&#8217;t exist overnight, and supply chain rebuilds that take longer still. A tariff that might be reversed by a court, a Congress, or the next administration is not a sufficient reason to make that commitment. The ISM survey found that 59 percent of manufacturers said the One Big Beautiful Bill Act&#8217;s machinery investment deductions had no effect on their capital spending plans. Twenty percent said they were actually reducing capital expenditures.</p><div class="callout-block" data-callout="true"><h3 style="text-align: center;"><em><strong>They&#8217;re increasing the Mexican footprint while they&#8217;re depleting the American workforce.</strong></em></h3><p style="text-align: center;"><strong>&#8212; Sam Cicinelli, Midwest General Vice President, International Association of Machinists and Aerospace Workers</strong></p></div><h2>The Companies, By Name</h2><p>The abstraction of survey data becomes concrete when you look at specific companies making specific decisions in real time. The following is not a comprehensive list. It is a sample of publicly documented cases drawn from regulatory filings, earnings calls, and union testimony.</p><div class="callout-block" data-callout="true"><h4><strong>Whirlpool Corporation &#8212; Amana, Iowa</strong></h4><p>America&#8217;s largest appliance manufacturer &#8212; and the company Trump used as a backdrop for two separate factory speeches &#8212; filed WARN Act notices with Iowa Workforce Development in April 2025 for 651 workers, ultimately cutting 250. It then announced a second round of 341 layoffs effective March 9, 2026, with a third wave expected by mid-year. Simultaneously, Whirlpool opened a new $160 million facility in Mexico in August 2025 and has expanded its Mexican workforce toward 13,000 &#8212; up from approximately 11,500. The Amana plant, which produced refrigerators under the Whirlpool, KitchenAid, Maytag, and Amana brands, has gone from five assembly lines to one, operating a single shift. Iowa Democrats noted in a legislative letter that, since 2006, the state has provided Whirlpool with $21.5 million in grants, tax credits, and infrastructure assistance. During that same period, the company invested more than $1 billion in its Mexican operations. The White House did not respond to multiple requests for comment on the Amana layoffs. Whirlpool did not comment on the union&#8217;s complaints about offshoring.</p><p><em><strong>Direction of jobs: Iowa &#8594; Mexico</strong></em></p></div><div class="callout-block" data-callout="true"><h4><strong>Stanley Black &amp; Decker &#8212; New Britain, Connecticut</strong></h4><p>The world&#8217;s largest toolmaker faced an estimated $800 million annualized tariff cost impact in 2025, and responded by doing precisely what the tariff policy was designed to prevent. Rather than reshoring, Stanley Black &amp; Decker announced it was moving production out of China &#8212; not to the United States, but to Mexico and other lower-tariff countries. The company&#8217;s CEO was explicit on an earnings call that it was &#8220;unlikely that we&#8217;re moving a lot back to the U.S.&#8221; The company set a target of reducing its Chinese manufacturing footprint to less than 5 percent of supply by the end of 2026, with that production redistributed to Southeast Asia and Mexico, not American factories. It raised consumer prices by high single digits in April 2025 and announced a second round of increases for late in the year. Raw material costs for manufacturing inputs rose 5.4 percent in 2025 and were projected to rise another 4.4 percent in 2026.</p><p><em><strong>Direction of jobs: China &#8594; Mexico / Southeast Asia (not U.S.)</strong></em></p></div><div class="callout-block" data-callout="true"><h4><strong>Automotive Sector &#8212; Multiple Companies</strong></h4><p>U.S. auto tariffs added $30 billion in costs to the automotive industry in 2025 alone, producing a 10.4 percent increase in average vehicle prices according to Kelley Blue Book data. Toyota &#8212; one of the largest employers at U.S. auto plants &#8212; projected $9.1 billion in tariff-related costs for the fiscal year ending March 2026. The three major Detroit automakers collectively absorbed $6.5 billion in tariff costs in 2025. While domestic production did tick upward to 54.4 percent of all new vehicles sold, analysts noted that automakers like Toyota and Stellantis were making investments that had been planned well before Liberation Day &#8212; and that the &#8220;lack of policy consistency has made it challenging for companies to commit&#8221; to deeper production shifts. Volvo announced 3,000 global job cuts, citing tariff pressure, and withdrew its financial guidance for 2025 and 2026 entirely.</p><p><em><strong>Direction of costs: Borne by American consumers at $1,600&#8211;$8,900 per vehicle</strong></em></p></div><h2>The Ripple Is Real</h2><p>The Whirlpool story in Iowa is also a story about what happens to the surrounding economy when an anchor manufacturer leaves. In Kalona, Iowa, Engineered Plastic Components &#8212; a plastics injection molder that supplied parts to the Amana plant &#8212; posted a notice on its doors in February 2026 announcing it was consolidating its Kalona facility with a plant in Grinnell because of the Whirlpool layoffs. Its largest customer was leaving. It had no choice but to follow. A 31-year Whirlpool employee named Sandra Freytag told reporters at a union gathering that these layoffs are different from previous cycles: &#8220;They are laying those people off because that product has stopped and discontinued. So there won&#8217;t be jobs for those people to come back to.&#8221;</p><p>Iowa&#8217;s workers face the additional indignity of a state unemployment system that was cut from 26 weeks of benefits to 16 in 2022, and workers losing their health insurance on the first day of unemployment. Iowa Democratic lawmakers introduced amendments to claw back corporate tax incentives from companies that offshore jobs &#8212; naming Whirlpool, John Deere, and Case New Holland specifically. Iowa&#8217;s Republican congressional delegation expressed disappointment but offered no legislative remedy.</p><div class="pullquote"><h5>Archive &#8212; August 6, 2020</h5><h4><em><strong>&#8220;Your company became a shining example of how tough trade policies and smarts can bring jobs and prosperity into communities like Clyde. I will always put American workers first. I will have your back 100 percent.&#8221;</strong></em></h4><p><strong>&#8212; President Donald Trump, remarks at Whirlpool Corporation Manufacturing Plant, Clyde, Ohio. White House archives.</strong></p></div><h2>The Admission Nobody Made</h2><p>The administration has not been entirely without manufacturing success stories. Trade Representative Jamieson Greer toured Ohio and Michigan factories in April 2026 to showcase companies benefiting from tariffs. The companies he visited &#8212; including Whirlpool&#8217;s Clyde, Ohio washing machine plant and two drone manufacturers in Michigan &#8212; were, as CBC News noted in its coverage of the tour, already manufacturing in the United States before Trump&#8217;s tariffs were imposed. The tariffs did not bring them here. They were already here, and tariffs gave them a competitive advantage against foreign rivals who now face higher import costs. That is a genuine, if limited, effect. It is also a different claim than the one that was made on Liberation Day.</p><p>The claim on Liberation Day was that tariffs would trigger a broad reshoring of American manufacturing &#8212; that companies would look at the new cost structure and decide to build factories in the United States. The ISM survey, the Reshoring Institute data, the Whirlpool WARN filings, the Stanley Black &amp; Decker earnings calls, and 83,000 missing manufacturing jobs all tell a consistent story: that is not what happened. What happened is that companies found it cheaper to absorb costs, raise consumer prices, or shift production to lower-tariff countries. The 64 percent who said they weren&#8217;t reshoring weren&#8217;t being unpatriotic. They were being rational.</p><p>Fortune published an analysis the day before this piece was filed, noting that higher input costs from tariffs actually make U.S. goods less competitive in export markets &#8212; pushing some manufacturers to relocate production abroad to stay viable in foreign sales. The tariffs intended to reduce trade deficits may, in certain sectors, be expanding them by driving production offshore.</p><div><hr></div><p>In Amana, Iowa &#8212; population 482 &#8212; a plant that once employed 3,000 people is expected to have fewer than 600 workers by the end of this year. The refrigerators it used to make will now come from Mexico. The workers who made them were promised, twice, by the same president, that their jobs were protected.</p><p>The Reshoring Institute still exists. Its mission is still to bring manufacturing back to the United States. Its own survey data now documents the trend running in the other direction.</p><p>The factories haven&#8217;t come back. The promise is still on the White House website.</p><div><hr></div><p><strong>Sources: </strong><em>Reshoring Institute, 2025 Survey of U.S. Equipment Manufacturers; Institute for Supply Management, December 2025 Supply Chain Planning Forecast; Manufacturing Dive, &#8220;Whirlpool to Lay Off Over 300 at Iowa Plant&#8221; (Feb. 26, 2026); The Gazette (Cedar Rapids), &#8220;Whirlpool Layoffs in Amana Spark Outcry&#8221; (Feb. 26, 2026); Iowa Capital Dispatch, &#8220;Iowa Democrats Urge Whirlpool to Reconsider Layoffs&#8221; (Feb. 26, 2026); KCRG-TV9, &#8220;Whirlpool Amana Layoffs: 341 Workers Lose Jobs&#8221; (March 7, 2026); Supply Chain Brain, &#8220;U.S. Whirlpool Workers Decry Shift to Production in Mexico&#8221; (Feb. 26, 2026); CBS News, &#8220;U.S. Manufacturers Are Still Shedding Thousands of Jobs&#8221; (March 6, 2026); Manufacturing Dive, &#8220;Stanley Black &amp; Decker to Raise Prices Again, Navigate $800M Tariff Impact&#8221; (July 30, 2025); Supply Chain Dive, &#8220;Stanley Black &amp; Decker Tariff Mitigation Plan&#8221; (Nov. 2024); Digital Dealer, &#8220;Tariff Tracker: Impact on Automakers&#8221; (April 2026); CBC News, &#8220;These U.S. Companies Think Trump&#8217;s Tariffs Are Great&#8221; (April 14, 2026); Fortune, &#8220;Tariffs Alone Won&#8217;t Save American Manufacturing&#8221; (April 18, 2026); White House Archives, Remarks by President Trump at Whirlpool Corporation Manufacturing Plant, Clyde, Ohio (Aug. 6, 2020); Iowa Democratic Caucus letter to Whirlpool Corporation (Feb. 2026); U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, manufacturing employment data (2025&#8211;2026)</em></p><div class="subscription-widget-wrap-editor" data-attrs="{&quot;url&quot;:&quot;https://mikethunderphillips.substack.com/subscribe?&quot;,&quot;text&quot;:&quot;Subscribe&quot;,&quot;language&quot;:&quot;en&quot;}" data-component-name="SubscribeWidgetToDOM"><div class="subscription-widget show-subscribe"><div class="preamble"><p class="cta-caption">Riptide Investigations is a reader-supported publication. To receive new posts and support my work, consider becoming a free or paid subscriber.</p></div><form class="subscription-widget-subscribe"><input type="email" class="email-input" name="email" placeholder="Type your email&#8230;" tabindex="-1"><input type="submit" class="button primary" value="Subscribe"><div class="fake-input-wrapper"><div class="fake-input"></div><div class="fake-button"></div></div></form></div></div>]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[Who Governs Maryland?]]></title><description><![CDATA[A power map of the people who make decisions in this state &#8212; and who they answer to.]]></description><link>https://mikethunderphillips.substack.com/p/who-governs-maryland</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://mikethunderphillips.substack.com/p/who-governs-maryland</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Michael "Thunder" Phillips]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Tue, 21 Apr 2026 06:16:46 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!bexU!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F02e84ef6-adcf-4b4b-b9f9-5560da9389f1_1024x683.png" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!bexU!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F02e84ef6-adcf-4b4b-b9f9-5560da9389f1_1024x683.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!bexU!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F02e84ef6-adcf-4b4b-b9f9-5560da9389f1_1024x683.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!bexU!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F02e84ef6-adcf-4b4b-b9f9-5560da9389f1_1024x683.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!bexU!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F02e84ef6-adcf-4b4b-b9f9-5560da9389f1_1024x683.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!bexU!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F02e84ef6-adcf-4b4b-b9f9-5560da9389f1_1024x683.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!bexU!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F02e84ef6-adcf-4b4b-b9f9-5560da9389f1_1024x683.png" width="1024" height="683" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/02e84ef6-adcf-4b4b-b9f9-5560da9389f1_1024x683.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:683,&quot;width&quot;:1024,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:null,&quot;alt&quot;:&quot;Graphic illustrating the political landscape of Maryland, featuring the Maryland State House, the U.S. Capitol, a silhouette of a man in a suit, and symbols representing power and money.&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:null,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:false,&quot;topImage&quot;:true,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:null,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="Graphic illustrating the political landscape of Maryland, featuring the Maryland State House, the U.S. Capitol, a silhouette of a man in a suit, and symbols representing power and money." title="Graphic illustrating the political landscape of Maryland, featuring the Maryland State House, the U.S. Capitol, a silhouette of a man in a suit, and symbols representing power and money." srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!bexU!,w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F02e84ef6-adcf-4b4b-b9f9-5560da9389f1_1024x683.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!bexU!,w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F02e84ef6-adcf-4b4b-b9f9-5560da9389f1_1024x683.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!bexU!,w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F02e84ef6-adcf-4b4b-b9f9-5560da9389f1_1024x683.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!bexU!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F02e84ef6-adcf-4b4b-b9f9-5560da9389f1_1024x683.png 1456w" sizes="100vw" fetchpriority="high"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg role="img" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><title></title><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><p>ANNAPOLIS &#8212; Every year, for 90 days, Maryland&#8217;s General Assembly convenes, passes several hundred bills, and adjourns. The governor signs them at a ceremony. The press covers what passed. The session ends.</p><p>What that narrative misses is the machinery underneath it &#8212; the network of legislators, lobbyists, campaign committees, and nonprofit organizations that shapes what gets introduced, what gets a hearing, and what quietly disappears. Maryland has a civics-textbook government: an elected governor, a bicameral legislature, regular elections, transparent public records. It also has a power structure that operates largely outside the frame of that textbook.</p><div class="subscription-widget-wrap-editor" data-attrs="{&quot;url&quot;:&quot;https://mikethunderphillips.substack.com/subscribe?&quot;,&quot;text&quot;:&quot;Subscribe&quot;,&quot;language&quot;:&quot;en&quot;}" data-component-name="SubscribeWidgetToDOM"><div class="subscription-widget show-subscribe"><div class="preamble"><p class="cta-caption">Riptide Investigations is a reader-supported publication. To receive new posts and support my work, consider becoming a free or paid subscriber.</p></div><form class="subscription-widget-subscribe"><input type="email" class="email-input" name="email" placeholder="Type your email&#8230;" tabindex="-1"><input type="submit" class="button primary" value="Subscribe"><div class="fake-input-wrapper"><div class="fake-input"></div><div class="fake-button"></div></div></form></div></div><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!EpAG!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F267225ac-2a06-488f-9aab-60ac4634cd3e_1440x1240.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!EpAG!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F267225ac-2a06-488f-9aab-60ac4634cd3e_1440x1240.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!EpAG!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F267225ac-2a06-488f-9aab-60ac4634cd3e_1440x1240.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!EpAG!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F267225ac-2a06-488f-9aab-60ac4634cd3e_1440x1240.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!EpAG!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F267225ac-2a06-488f-9aab-60ac4634cd3e_1440x1240.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!EpAG!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F267225ac-2a06-488f-9aab-60ac4634cd3e_1440x1240.png" width="1440" height="1240" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/267225ac-2a06-488f-9aab-60ac4634cd3e_1440x1240.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:1240,&quot;width&quot;:1440,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:null,&quot;alt&quot;:&quot;Flowchart illustrating the governance structure of Maryland, featuring Governor Wes Moore, Senate President Ferguson, and Speaker Pe&#241;a-Melnyk. It highlights key roles, campaign finance details, and influential figures in the state government.&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:null,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:false,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:null,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="Flowchart illustrating the governance structure of Maryland, featuring Governor Wes Moore, Senate President Ferguson, and Speaker Pe&#241;a-Melnyk. It highlights key roles, campaign finance details, and influential figures in the state government." title="Flowchart illustrating the governance structure of Maryland, featuring Governor Wes Moore, Senate President Ferguson, and Speaker Pe&#241;a-Melnyk. It highlights key roles, campaign finance details, and influential figures in the state government." srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!EpAG!,w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F267225ac-2a06-488f-9aab-60ac4634cd3e_1440x1240.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!EpAG!,w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F267225ac-2a06-488f-9aab-60ac4634cd3e_1440x1240.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!EpAG!,w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F267225ac-2a06-488f-9aab-60ac4634cd3e_1440x1240.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!EpAG!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F267225ac-2a06-488f-9aab-60ac4634cd3e_1440x1240.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg role="img" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><title></title><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><p>Understanding who actually governs Maryland in 2026 requires looking at four interlocking layers: the executive, the legislative leadership, the lobbying class, and the money &#8212; and asking, at each layer, who these people answer to.</p><h2><strong>The Executive: A Governor Looking Past Maryland</strong></h2><p>Wes Moore is the most visible figure in Maryland government and, increasingly, one of the most visible Democratic politicians in the country. He is a gifted communicator, a decorated veteran, a bestselling author, and the only sitting Black governor in the United States. He is also, by any honest accounting, a governor whose attention is divided.</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!inrK!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F578d77a1-eecb-447e-9a41-3c5c12bd075d_1440x1202.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!inrK!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F578d77a1-eecb-447e-9a41-3c5c12bd075d_1440x1202.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!inrK!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F578d77a1-eecb-447e-9a41-3c5c12bd075d_1440x1202.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!inrK!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F578d77a1-eecb-447e-9a41-3c5c12bd075d_1440x1202.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!inrK!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F578d77a1-eecb-447e-9a41-3c5c12bd075d_1440x1202.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!inrK!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F578d77a1-eecb-447e-9a41-3c5c12bd075d_1440x1202.png" width="1440" height="1202" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/578d77a1-eecb-447e-9a41-3c5c12bd075d_1440x1202.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:1202,&quot;width&quot;:1440,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:null,&quot;alt&quot;:&quot;A table listing out-of-state travel details for Moore from May 2025 to April 2026, including destinations, types of events, and costs.&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:null,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:false,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:null,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="A table listing out-of-state travel details for Moore from May 2025 to April 2026, including destinations, types of events, and costs." title="A table listing out-of-state travel details for Moore from May 2025 to April 2026, including destinations, types of events, and costs." srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!inrK!,w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F578d77a1-eecb-447e-9a41-3c5c12bd075d_1440x1202.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!inrK!,w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F578d77a1-eecb-447e-9a41-3c5c12bd075d_1440x1202.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!inrK!,w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F578d77a1-eecb-447e-9a41-3c5c12bd075d_1440x1202.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!inrK!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F578d77a1-eecb-447e-9a41-3c5c12bd075d_1440x1202.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg role="img" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><title></title><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><p>Moore&#8217;s travel record across the past year &#8212; five campaign stops across Virginia in a single day for a race he had no stake in, a fundraising brunch in Aspen, appearances in South Carolina, a trade mission to Japan and South Korea that cost Maryland taxpayers $322,000, commencement addresses booked in Pennsylvania and North Carolina in presidential battleground states, a Labor Day weekend on George Clooney&#8217;s yacht in Italy that wasn&#8217;t on his public schedule &#8212; reflects a man managing two parallel careers. His approval in Maryland has fallen below 50% for the first time since taking office. He was booed at the Orioles home opener for the second consecutive year. Eight of his 27 cabinet secretaries resigned in roughly two years, a turnover rate the Baltimore Sun described as unprecedented.</p><p>Post-session assessments put a finer point on it. Maryland Matters&#8217; review of the 2026 session described Moore as a &#8220;mixed bag.&#8221; He entered the session facing more than a dozen veto override attempts from the previous year, vocally unhappy Democratic lawmakers over the reparations commission, a redistricting push that collapsed publicly, and an announced slate account targeting members of his own party &#8212; a move that signals his relationship with the Democratic caucus he nominally leads is fraying from within.</p><p>Maryland&#8217;s structural deficit didn&#8217;t build itself while Moore was in Annapolis. It built itself while he wasn&#8217;t.</p><p>None of this is illegal or even unusual for an ambitious politician in a powerful position. But it does raise a structural question: who is actually running Maryland&#8217;s executive branch on a day-to-day basis? When the governor&#8217;s chief legislative officer appears as a featured guest on a top lobbyist&#8217;s podcast series, when cabinet secretaries turn over at a rate described as unprecedented, when the governor&#8217;s primary response to one of the largest sewage spills in American history is a social media fight with the president &#8212; the question of executive governance is not rhetorical.</p><blockquote><h2 style="text-align: center;"><em><strong>Maryland&#8217;s structural deficit didn&#8217;t build itself while Moore was in Annapolis. It built itself while he wasn&#8217;t.</strong></em></h2></blockquote><p>Moore answers to Maryland voters, in theory. In practice, he answers increasingly to a national Democratic constituency that has little interest in the state&#8217;s structural deficit, its aging infrastructure, or its credit rating. The Moody&#8217;s downgrade didn&#8217;t make his national stump speech. The DLS fiscal projections didn&#8217;t come up at the NAN convention. The 278 days left on his first-term clock is a campaign applause line, not a governing one.</p><h2><strong>The Senate: Ferguson&#8217;s Institution</strong></h2><p>Bill Ferguson has been Senate President since 2020. He is, by any structural measure, the most powerful person in Maryland government &#8212; more powerful, in most practical respects, than the governor.</p><p>Ferguson controls what his chamber considers. He controls committee assignments, which determines which senators have leverage and which do not. He controls the Senate Rules Committee &#8212; a body that holds no public hearings, maintains no regular schedule, and has no dedicated staff &#8212; and which he used this session to kill a redistricting bill that had the governor&#8217;s backing, the House Speaker&#8217;s backing, and the personal endorsement of the U.S. House Minority Leader. When Moore told Ferguson, &#8220;Don&#8217;t play with me,&#8221; Ferguson ignored him. The bill died in committee without a vote. Confetti fell at midnight.</p><p>Post-session reviews named Ferguson an unambiguous winner. He withstood pressure from the governor&#8217;s office, House leadership, and national Democrats on redistricting, and in doing so consolidated rather than fractured his caucus &#8212; pulling a chairmanship from a senator who broke with him, then watching his fellow Democrats unanimously reelect him as leader. He enters the 2026 election cycle as the most institutionally secure figure in Maryland government. The irony is not subtle: the man who blocked the governor&#8217;s top priority is more popular within the Democratic establishment than the governor.</p><p>Ferguson made a defensible institutional judgment on redistricting that events elsewhere have partially vindicated. He has been a careful steward of his caucus. In certain respects, he has governed the Senate with more institutional discipline than Moore has governed the executive branch.</p><blockquote><h2 style="text-align: center;"><em><strong>The man who blocked the governor&#8217;s top priority is more popular within the Democratic establishment than the governor.</strong></em></h2></blockquote><p>But institutional discipline is not the same as transparency. Ferguson&#8217;s power is exercised through mechanisms &#8212; committee assignments, floor scheduling, the Rules Committee &#8212; that are largely invisible to the public and entirely unreviewable by voters. Bills do not fail in his chamber; they evaporate. Senators do not break with him; they calculate the cost and fall in line. He has constructed an institution where dissent is managed before it surfaces, which is a remarkable achievement and a democratic problem simultaneously.</p><p>In a functioning two-party system, that would be a problem with a remedy. In Maryland, where Democrats hold a 2-to-1 registration advantage and Republicans haven&#8217;t held a legislative majority in decades, it is simply the condition. Ferguson answers to his 34-member Democratic caucus. In practice, he answers to himself. And there is no structural mechanism &#8212; no competitive election, no credible primary threat, no opposing caucus with leverage &#8212; that changes that.</p><h2><strong>The House: Transition and Consolidation</strong></h2><p>Adrienne Jones served as House Speaker for six years, becoming the first woman and first Black legislator to lead either chamber of the Maryland General Assembly. She stepped down in December 2025. Her successor, Joseline Pe&#241;a-Melnyk, ran her first session this year &#8212; by most accounts competently, keeping debates civil until the final four minutes when the chamber erupted over the Voting Rights Act.</p><p>Pe&#241;a-Melnyk reorganized House committees, elevated five women as new committee chairs, and created the first new standing committee in at least a decade. She navigated a difficult budget year and a contentious immigration package without losing control of her caucus &#8212; until she did, briefly, at 11:56 p.m. on the final night. By the standards of a first session, it was a qualified success.</p><blockquote><h2 style="text-align: center;"><em><strong>Staff networks blur institutional lines in ways voters never see.</strong></em></h2></blockquote><p>What the transition also produced is a consolidation that rarely gets discussed. Jones&#8217;s departure removed the longest-serving institutional counterweight to Ferguson in Annapolis. Her chief of staff, Matt Jackson, moved directly to a senior adviser role in Ferguson&#8217;s office &#8212; a lateral transfer that illustrates how staff networks blur institutional lines in ways voters never see. Pe&#241;a-Melnyk is newer to the job, still establishing her relationships with the lobby corps and Senate leadership. In the interim, the House functions somewhat less as an independent power center than it did under Jones, which means Ferguson&#8217;s institutional dominance is, at least for now, more complete than at any point in his tenure.</p><h2><strong>The Lobby Corps: 741 Registered, $86 Million Spent</strong></h2><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!sC1I!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F107978ac-c2e0-42d6-b588-7d9ffbe0a89e_1024x471.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!sC1I!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F107978ac-c2e0-42d6-b588-7d9ffbe0a89e_1024x471.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!sC1I!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F107978ac-c2e0-42d6-b588-7d9ffbe0a89e_1024x471.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!sC1I!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F107978ac-c2e0-42d6-b588-7d9ffbe0a89e_1024x471.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!sC1I!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F107978ac-c2e0-42d6-b588-7d9ffbe0a89e_1024x471.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!sC1I!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F107978ac-c2e0-42d6-b588-7d9ffbe0a89e_1024x471.png" width="1024" height="471" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/107978ac-c2e0-42d6-b588-7d9ffbe0a89e_1024x471.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:471,&quot;width&quot;:1024,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:null,&quot;alt&quot;:&quot;A summary of Maryland lobbying statistics for the 2025-2026 session, highlighting 741 registered lobbyists, a lobbying spend of $86 million for 2024, a spend increase of 28% since 2021, and a disclosure rate of 55% for fossil fuel lobbyists. Featured top earners include Lisa Harris Jones, Gerard Evans, Timothy Perry, and Bruce Bereano with respective earnings listed.&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:null,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:true,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:null,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="A summary of Maryland lobbying statistics for the 2025-2026 session, highlighting 741 registered lobbyists, a lobbying spend of $86 million for 2024, a spend increase of 28% since 2021, and a disclosure rate of 55% for fossil fuel lobbyists. Featured top earners include Lisa Harris Jones, Gerard Evans, Timothy Perry, and Bruce Bereano with respective earnings listed." title="A summary of Maryland lobbying statistics for the 2025-2026 session, highlighting 741 registered lobbyists, a lobbying spend of $86 million for 2024, a spend increase of 28% since 2021, and a disclosure rate of 55% for fossil fuel lobbyists. Featured top earners include Lisa Harris Jones, Gerard Evans, Timothy Perry, and Bruce Bereano with respective earnings listed." srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!sC1I!,w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F107978ac-c2e0-42d6-b588-7d9ffbe0a89e_1024x471.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!sC1I!,w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F107978ac-c2e0-42d6-b588-7d9ffbe0a89e_1024x471.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!sC1I!,w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F107978ac-c2e0-42d6-b588-7d9ffbe0a89e_1024x471.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!sC1I!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F107978ac-c2e0-42d6-b588-7d9ffbe0a89e_1024x471.png 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg role="img" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><title></title><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><p>Maryland had 741 registered lobbyists for the 2025&#8211;2026 session. Organizations spent more than $86 million on lobbying during the most recent full reporting period &#8212; a 28% increase since 2021. More than 91 cents of every lobbying dollar went to compensating advocates for special interest groups.</p><p>The top of the pyramid is small and well-documented. Timothy Perry, a partner at Perry White Ross and Jacobson, is a former chief of staff to the late Senate President Mike Miller &#8212; the man who held Ferguson&#8217;s seat for three decades. Perry regularly reports the highest earnings of any lobbyist in the state, routinely clearing $2 million in a single six-month session cycle. The revolving door from Miller&#8217;s suite to the private lobbying market is not a metaphor in Maryland. It is a documented institution with names, dollar amounts, and Ethics Commission filings attached to it.</p><blockquote><h2 style="text-align: center;"><em><strong>In a competitive state, the lobby has to hedge. It gives to both parties, plays both sides, and operates with some caution because any bill can be defeated by a functioning opposition. In a supermajority state, there is no hedge needed. You buy access to the majority and the majority governs. The $86 million is not the cost of influence in Maryland. It is the cost of the only game in town.</strong></em></h2></blockquote><p>Lisa Harris Jones of Harris Jones &amp; Malone became the first woman and first person of color to top the state&#8217;s lobbyist earnings list, reporting $2.67 million in a single six-month period. Her client list reads like a ledger of Maryland&#8217;s regulated industries: BGE, Microsoft, McDonald&#8217;s, Home Depot, Walmart, the Baltimore Orioles, data centers, gaming interests, building contractors, and financial firms. Her firm&#8217;s public content features conversations with Moore&#8217;s chief of staff and his chief legislative officer. The access is not incidental. It is the product, built over two decades of careful relationship management with whoever holds power in Annapolis &#8212; and whoever holds power in Annapolis knows it.</p><p>The lobby does not always win. Exelon &#8212; whose BGE subsidiary is among Harris Jones&#8217;s clients &#8212; watched its top legislative priority this session, a bill that would have allowed it to own its own energy sources, die without serious floor consideration. But the loss cost Exelon nothing in access. The relationship is structural, not transactional, which is precisely what makes it durable. You don&#8217;t pay $2.67 million because every bill passes. You pay it because the relationship is always in the room.</p><p>In a competitive state, the lobby has to hedge. It gives to both parties, plays both sides, and operates with some caution because any bill can be defeated by a functioning opposition. In a supermajority state, there is no hedge needed. You buy access to the majority, and the majority governs. The $86 million is not the cost of influence in Maryland. It is the cost of the only game in town.</p><p>The disclosure problem compounds the structural one. An independent audit by the nonprofit research group F Minus found that three major Annapolis firms &#8212; Capitol Strategies, Cornerstone Government Affairs, and Evans &amp; Associates &#8212; disclosed bill numbers for their fossil fuel clients only 55% of the time, despite extensive documented legislative activity. Maryland&#8217;s disclosure law is permissive enough that &#8220;general representation&#8221; qualifies as a complete filing. The public cannot know which bills were targeted, by whom, or what positions were taken. In a single-party supermajority state with no functional legislative opposition, that opacity is not a technical problem. It is a governance problem.</p><p>In practice, the lobby corps serves a structural role in Maryland that goes beyond influence-peddling. It is one of the only organized forces that can shape legislation from outside the Democratic caucus. The bills that pass, the ones that die, and the ones that never get introduced often reflect the priorities of the 741 registered advocates more than the priorities of the 4.3 million Marylanders who don&#8217;t have one.</p><h2><strong>The Money: Where It Goes and What It Buys</strong></h2><p>Maryland&#8217;s campaign finance system is, by American standards, relatively regulated. There are contribution limits. There are disclosure requirements. There is a public financing option. The rules exist. The gaps in the rules also exist, and sophisticated political actors know exactly where they are.</p><p>The more revealing layer is the nonprofit-to-political pipeline &#8212; the network of federal PACs, dormant campaign committees, leadership funds, and aligned advocacy organizations that moves money in the space between what the campaign finance rules regulate and what they were designed to prevent.</p><p>MDBayNews has documented this pipeline in the context of Montgomery County Council Member Will Jawando&#8217;s race for county executive. Jawando has built his campaign around a simple, clean message: he is the candidate of small donors, grassroots organizing, and public financing. He was the first candidate certified for Montgomery County&#8217;s Public Election Fund in the 2026 cycle. He quotes John Lewis. His website says, &#8220;This is how democracy should work.&#8221;</p><p>Federal records tell a more complicated story. Jawando&#8217;s dormant U.S. Senate campaign committee &#8212; which raised $1.3 million during his 2023 Senate bid before he dropped out &#8212; contributed $115,000 to the Working Families Party PAC in the spring of 2025, across two transfers: $15,000 in March and $100,000 in April. These were among the final disbursements before the committee formally terminated, closing with a cash balance of $24.20. Five months later, in September 2025, the Working Families Party endorsed Jawando for county executive, committing field staff, digital infrastructure, and organizational muscle to his campaign.</p><p>Whether the $115,000 influenced the endorsement is a question none of the parties has answered. What the records show is that the money came first. Jawando&#8217;s campaign slogan is &#8220;this is how democracy should work.&#8221; Federal records suggest democracy, for Jawando, works differently depending on which account is cutting the check.</p><p>Jawando has not explained the connection publicly. Montgomery Perspective, a Maryland political watchdog, has called on state authorities to formally investigate whether Jawando&#8217;s conduct is consistent with Montgomery County&#8217;s public financing law. As of publication, no state authority has announced an investigation.</p><p>The mechanism is not unique to Jawando. Across Maryland&#8217;s political ecosystem, leadership PACs, nonprofit advocacy arms, and dormant federal committees move money in ways the state&#8217;s disclosure system was not designed to track. The entities are legal. The transfers are disclosed &#8212; sometimes. The effect is a parallel financial infrastructure that runs alongside the public financing system rather than through it, available to candidates who know how to use it while they campaign on not using it.</p><h2><strong>The System as a System</strong></h2><p>Maryland&#8217;s Democratic establishment is not a conspiracy. It is a network &#8212; of people who know each other, who have worked for each other, whose campaigns were funded by the same donors, whose bills were shaped by the same lobbyists, and who largely share a set of priorities that they have governed by, with supermajority power, for more than a decade.</p><p>The structural question is not whether any of these individuals are corrupt. Most are not, by any legal standard. The question is whether a system this closed, this internally reinforcing, and this insulated from meaningful electoral competition produces good outcomes for the people it governs.</p><blockquote><h2 style="text-align: center;"><em><strong>Maryland Republicans have warned for years that one-party rule without accountability produces exactly this &#8212; deferred deficits, opaque lobbying, and leaders who answer to a network rather than a constituency. The 2026 session did not prove them wrong.</strong></em></h2></blockquote><p>The evidence from the 2026 session is not encouraging. The budget is balanced on assumptions. The structural deficit is deferred, not resolved. The Moody&#8217;s downgrade stands. The Potomac is cleaner than it was in February, but the pipe remains 60 years old. The lobby spent $86 million, and the public still cannot reliably track what it was spent on. The governor who presided over all of it was in New York telling a crowd he has 278 days left in his first term.</p><p>Maryland Republicans have warned for years that one-party rule without accountability produces exactly this &#8212; deferred deficits, opaque lobbying, and leaders who answer to a network rather than a constituency. The 2026 session did not prove them wrong. The minority&#8217;s role in this system is not to govern &#8212; it is to lose loudly and be quoted in the final paragraph of accountability pieces. The governing is done by the network: the Senate president, the lobby corps, the campaign finance ecosystem, and a governor whose ambitions have outrun his term.</p><p>Maryland is well-governed in the sense that its institutions function, its elections are held, and its laws are followed. It is less well-governed in the sense that the people who run it are accountable primarily to each other &#8212; to the caucus, to the fundraising base, to the lobby corps, to the national party &#8212; and only secondarily to the Marylanders who will pay the bills when the deferred decisions finally come due.</p><p>That is who governs Maryland. The harder question is who Maryland is governed for.</p><div><hr></div><p><strong>SOURCES: </strong><em>Maryland Matters, FEC, F Minus</em>, <em>Baltimore Banner, CNN, Fox Baltimore / Spotlight on Maryland, Inside Climate News, MDBayNews, Montgomery Perspective, UMBC Institute of Politics poll, April 1, 2026.</em></p><div class="subscription-widget-wrap-editor" data-attrs="{&quot;url&quot;:&quot;https://mikethunderphillips.substack.com/subscribe?&quot;,&quot;text&quot;:&quot;Subscribe&quot;,&quot;language&quot;:&quot;en&quot;}" data-component-name="SubscribeWidgetToDOM"><div class="subscription-widget show-subscribe"><div class="preamble"><p class="cta-caption">Riptide Investigations is a reader-supported publication. To receive new posts and support my work, consider becoming a free or paid subscriber.</p></div><form class="subscription-widget-subscribe"><input type="email" class="email-input" name="email" placeholder="Type your email&#8230;" tabindex="-1"><input type="submit" class="button primary" value="Subscribe"><div class="fake-input-wrapper"><div class="fake-input"></div><div class="fake-button"></div></div></form></div></div>]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[The Brand Gap: How Congress Learned to Sell Family While Living Something Else]]></title><description><![CDATA[Eric Swalwell resigned.]]></description><link>https://mikethunderphillips.substack.com/p/the-brand-gap-how-congress-learned</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://mikethunderphillips.substack.com/p/the-brand-gap-how-congress-learned</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Michael "Thunder" Phillips]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Tue, 21 Apr 2026 05:09:13 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!XUHq!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F3ad5720a-5885-42ba-99cd-7adb862c3ea5_1024x683.png" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!XUHq!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F3ad5720a-5885-42ba-99cd-7adb862c3ea5_1024x683.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!XUHq!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F3ad5720a-5885-42ba-99cd-7adb862c3ea5_1024x683.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!XUHq!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F3ad5720a-5885-42ba-99cd-7adb862c3ea5_1024x683.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!XUHq!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F3ad5720a-5885-42ba-99cd-7adb862c3ea5_1024x683.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!XUHq!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F3ad5720a-5885-42ba-99cd-7adb862c3ea5_1024x683.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!XUHq!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F3ad5720a-5885-42ba-99cd-7adb862c3ea5_1024x683.png" width="1024" height="683" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/3ad5720a-5885-42ba-99cd-7adb862c3ea5_1024x683.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:683,&quot;width&quot;:1024,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:null,&quot;alt&quot;:&quot;An illustration titled 'The Brand Gap,' featuring a split image with a formal suit on one side and a couple embracing on the other. The background includes the U.S. Capitol and headlines related to scandals and ethics probes. The text highlights themes of deception and family values in Congress.&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:null,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:false,&quot;topImage&quot;:true,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:null,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="An illustration titled 'The Brand Gap,' featuring a split image with a formal suit on one side and a couple embracing on the other. The background includes the U.S. Capitol and headlines related to scandals and ethics probes. The text highlights themes of deception and family values in Congress." title="An illustration titled 'The Brand Gap,' featuring a split image with a formal suit on one side and a couple embracing on the other. The background includes the U.S. Capitol and headlines related to scandals and ethics probes. The text highlights themes of deception and family values in Congress." srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!XUHq!,w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F3ad5720a-5885-42ba-99cd-7adb862c3ea5_1024x683.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!XUHq!,w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F3ad5720a-5885-42ba-99cd-7adb862c3ea5_1024x683.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!XUHq!,w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F3ad5720a-5885-42ba-99cd-7adb862c3ea5_1024x683.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!XUHq!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F3ad5720a-5885-42ba-99cd-7adb862c3ea5_1024x683.png 1456w" sizes="100vw" fetchpriority="high"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg role="img" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><title></title><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><blockquote><p><strong>Eric Swalwell resigned. Tony Gonzales resigned. David Trone&#8217;s marriage has collapsed amid reports of a decade-long parallel relationship. The pattern isn&#8217;t about sex. It&#8217;s about the systematic use of family identity as a political asset &#8212; and what happens when the asset turns out to be a liability.</strong></p></blockquote><p>In the span of ten days, two sitting members of Congress resigned under the weight of personal conduct revelations &#8212; and a third, a congressional candidate, became the subject of a published investigation into a reported decade-long affair conducted in parallel with a political brand built entirely on his marriage and family. The three men share a party only partially. What they share completely is something more specific: each built his public identity on a version of himself that the private record does not support.</p><div class="subscription-widget-wrap-editor" data-attrs="{&quot;url&quot;:&quot;https://mikethunderphillips.substack.com/subscribe?&quot;,&quot;text&quot;:&quot;Subscribe&quot;,&quot;language&quot;:&quot;en&quot;}" data-component-name="SubscribeWidgetToDOM"><div class="subscription-widget show-subscribe"><div class="preamble"><p class="cta-caption">Riptide Investigations is a reader-supported publication. To receive new posts and support my work, consider becoming a free or paid subscriber.</p></div><form class="subscription-widget-subscribe"><input type="email" class="email-input" name="email" placeholder="Type your email&#8230;" tabindex="-1"><input type="submit" class="button primary" value="Subscribe"><div class="fake-input-wrapper"><div class="fake-input"></div><div class="fake-button"></div></div></form></div></div><p>This is not a story about morality. It is a story about architecture &#8212; the deliberate construction of a political persona, the gap between that persona and demonstrable fact, and what it means for voters when the gap is exposed not by opponents, but by the weight of the record itself.</p><h2>The Cases</h2><p>Eric Swalwell served California&#8217;s 15th Congressional District for more than a decade. During that time, he survived a Chinese intelligence operation involving a woman who cultivated relationships with him and other politicians, survived two Trump impeachment proceedings, and survived a McCarthy-led purge from the House Intelligence Committee. He positioned himself as a champion of accountability, a defender of women&#8217;s rights, and a credible voice on national security. He ran for president. He was preparing a serious gubernatorial campaign in California when, in April 2026, the San Francisco Chronicle reported that a former staffer had accused him of rape. CNN followed with four accusers. The Manhattan DA opened an investigation. His party &#8212; the same party that had protected him through the Fang Fang episode &#8212; moved against him within 24 hours. He resigned from Congress on April 14, 2026.</p><p>Tony Gonzales represented Texas&#8217;s 23rd Congressional District. He was a Navy veteran, a rare Hispanic Republican voice in a borderland district, and a champion of border security and traditional values. He admitted in early 2026 to having had an affair with a congressional aide, Regina Santos-Aviles, a relationship prohibited under House ethics rules governing members and their staff. Santos-Aviles died by suicide in September 2025. The San Antonio Express-News subsequently published text messages in which Gonzales had solicited nude photos from another female campaign staffer. Facing a bipartisan expulsion vote and an accelerating House Ethics Committee investigation, he resigned on April 15, 2026.</p><p>David Trone has sought federal office in Maryland continuously since 2016, spending more than $60 million of his own money across multiple campaigns. His biographical narrative &#8212; the struggling farm boy, the self-made billionaire, the devoted husband who met June at Furman University, the family man with four children and golden doodles named Lyndon and Hubert &#8212; has been the throughline of every campaign. The David and June Trone Student Center at Furman University bears both their names. On April 19, 2026, MDBayNews reported that multiple sources and public records indicate the marriage has ended, and that Trone has been in a relationship with Isabelle Goiran Daly, a widow from Fair Haven, New Jersey, for as long as a decade &#8212; predating much of his public career as a family-focused candidate. The Trone campaign did not respond to a request for comment.</p><div class="callout-block" data-callout="true"><h2 style="text-align: center;"><em><strong>The issue is not the conduct. The issue is the brand &#8212; and the voters who were sold something that wasn't on offer.</strong></em></h2></div><h2>The Structure of the Problem</h2><p>Political branding is not new. Neither is the gap between public persona and private life. What is notable about this particular moment is the concentration &#8212; three cases surfacing within days of each other, each involving a politician whose core identity claim rested on character rather than policy. None of these men were primarily elected on tax rates or defense spending. They were elected, in substantial part, on the basis of who they said they were.</p><p>That distinction matters because it defines the nature of the accountability question. When a politician&#8217;s vote contradicts their stated position, voters have recourse at the ballot box. When a politician&#8217;s identity claim turns out to be false, the fraud is harder to locate &#8212; it happened in the campaign, not the legislating &#8212; but it is no less real.</p><p>Trone&#8217;s case is distinct from Swalwell and Gonzales&#8217;  in one important respect: the allegations against him do not involve misconduct toward staff or abuse of institutional power. What is alleged is a sustained private deception &#8212; a parallel life conducted while a family narrative was used, actively and repeatedly, to seek public office. The voters of Maryland&#8217;s 6th Congressional District are being asked, right now, to send him back to Washington. They are entitled to know whether the man asking for their trust has been honest with them about who he is.</p><h2>The Institutional Context</h2><p>On April 20, 2026 &#8212; the same day Riptide published this analysis &#8212; the House Committee on Ethics released a rare public statement on sexual misconduct and an accompanying historical chart of every publicly disclosed investigation into alleged sexual misconduct by a member since the Committee&#8217;s establishment in 1967. The timing was not coincidental. The statement came directly in the wake of the Swalwell and Gonzales resignations.</p><p>The chart lists 28 cases spanning fifty years, from Wayne Hays in 1976 to Swalwell and Gonzales in 2026. The most common outcome listed is &#8220;Loss of jurisdiction&#8221; &#8212; meaning the member resigned, retired, or left office before the Committee could complete its review. Swalwell and Gonzales are entries one and two. They join a roster that includes Mark Foley, who exploited the House Page Program; Mel Reynolds, convicted of sexual misconduct with a minor; and Gary Condit, whose relationship with a missing staffer became a national story in 2001.</p><p>The Committee statement acknowledged something more significant than the chart itself. It disclosed that since 2017, the Committee has initiated investigations in 20 matters involving allegations of sexual misconduct by a member &#8212; but the publicly disclosed list contains only 15 cases. Five investigations, involving sitting or former members of Congress, have not been made public. The identity of those five members is unknown.</p><div class="callout-block" data-callout="true"><h4><strong>House Ethics Committee &#8212; April 20, 2026</strong> </h4><p><strong>20 sexual misconduct investigations initiated since 2017 &#183; 15 publicly disclosed &#183; 5 investigations not made public &#183; Most common outcome across 28 historical cases: "Loss of jurisdiction" &#8212; member resigned before accountability could be imposed &#183; Committee statement: "There likely exist matters never reported to the Committee."</strong></p></div><p>The Committee&#8217;s own statement contained an admission that stands as the most honest accounting of the institutional failure: &#8220;Some sexual misconduct matters that the Committee may have otherwise reviewed were removed from the Committee&#8217;s jurisdiction by the subject&#8217;s resignation, retirement, or departure from House employment. Moreover, unfortunately, there likely exist matters never reported to the Committee.&#8221;</p><p>In plain language: members can escape accountability by resigning, and an unknown number of incidents were never reported at all. Swalwell and Gonzales exploited the first escape route. The second is, by definition, unmeasurable.</p><p>George Santos &#8212; the former congressman whose own record of fabrication ended in conviction &#8212; spent the week cataloging what he described as the open secrets of Capitol Hill. His thread, which reached 1.1 million views, named more than a dozen members with conduct rumors he said were &#8220;rampant&#8221; during his time in Congress. He labeled them explicitly as rumors. But the institutional backdrop he described is now independently documented by the Committee&#8217;s own chart and statement. The New York Post ran the congressional conduct story on its front page on April 19 under the headline &#8220;Animal House.&#8221; The story is no longer a whisper network. It is the official record.</p><p>From 1997 until 2018, Congress also maintained a separate fund &#8212; administered through the Office of Compliance &#8212; that quietly settled sexual harassment and misconduct claims against members and staff using taxpayer money. More than $17 million was paid across 264 settlements. The names of the members whose offices generated those claims were never disclosed. Rep. Anna Paulina Luna introduced a resolution to force disclosure. The House voted it down 357 to 65 &#8212; in 2026, in the immediate wake of the Swalwell allegations, when the question was directly before the chamber.</p><p>This is the environment in which Swalwell operated for years, with what former colleagues describe as a widely known reputation. It is the environment in which Gonzales served &#8212; and in which Regina Santos-Aviles worked before her death. It is the environment in which David Trone spent six years as a member of the House Appropriations Committee. The institution&#8217;s own documents now confirm what the resignation pattern suggests: accountability in Congress is not the rule. It is the exception, imposed only when public exposure makes avoidance impossible.</p><div class="callout-block" data-callout="true"><h2 style="text-align: center;"><em><strong>Accountability, it turns out, has a partisan ledger.</strong></em></h2></div><p>And the exception has limits. Rep. Cory Mills (R-FL) remains in his seat. The House Ethics Committee has been investigating him since November 2025 on six charges: sexual misconduct and dating violence, campaign finance violations, misuse of congressional resources, improper solicitation of gifts, and receipt of special favors by virtue of his position. A Florida judge approved a restraining order against Mills in October 2025 after his ex-girlfriend &#8212; a state GOP committeewoman and reigning Miss United States, 19 years his junior &#8212; alleged he threatened to release explicit videos of her. Mills has denied the allegations and remains a sitting member of Congress. Speaker Johnson said Tuesday he would &#8220;look into&#8221; the status of the Ethics Committee investigation. He has not called for Mills to resign. Democratic leadership has been similarly quiet &#8212; because, as multiple reports have noted, keeping a scandal-plagued Republican on the ballot may serve their electoral interests in FL-7 better than removing him now. Accountability, it turns out, has a partisan ledger.</p><h2>What Voters Are Owed</h2><p>The accountability question in Trone&#8217;s case is forward-looking in a way that the Swalwell and Gonzales cases are not. Both of those men have resigned. Trone is asking Maryland voters to elect him to Congress in a June 2026 primary. His opponent, incumbent Rep. April McClain Delaney, has built her own record in the seat he previously held.</p><p>Voters choosing between them deserve to make that choice with accurate information about who David Trone actually is &#8212; not the version he has constructed and sold across a decade of campaigns. The family narrative was not incidental to his political career. It was central to it. June Trone was not a footnote. She was a character in a story Trone told about himself to justify public trust.</p><p>If that story was false &#8212; and the reported evidence suggests it was, for a very long time &#8212; the question for voters is not whether they forgive him. The question is whether they were ever given the chance to make an informed choice.</p><div><hr></div><p>Riptide&#8217;s <a href="https://riptide.report/category/series/swalwell-series/">four-part investigation</a> into the Swalwell collapse &#8212; <em>The 24-Hour Demolition, After Swalwell: The Confluence, The Open Secret,</em> and <em>The Man on Cable News</em> &#8212; is available at riptide.report. The MDBayNews investigation into David Trone&#8217;s relationship and the disappearance of June Trone from his campaign is available at <a href="https://mdbaynews.com/tag/david-trone/">mdbaynews.com</a>.</p><p><strong>Tips and documents related to congressional accountability reporting can be <a href="https://riptide.report/contact-us/">sent securely</a> to the publication.</strong></p><div class="subscription-widget-wrap-editor" data-attrs="{&quot;url&quot;:&quot;https://mikethunderphillips.substack.com/subscribe?&quot;,&quot;text&quot;:&quot;Subscribe&quot;,&quot;language&quot;:&quot;en&quot;}" data-component-name="SubscribeWidgetToDOM"><div class="subscription-widget show-subscribe"><div class="preamble"><p class="cta-caption">Riptide Investigations is a reader-supported publication. To receive new posts and support my work, consider becoming a free or paid subscriber.</p></div><form class="subscription-widget-subscribe"><input type="email" class="email-input" name="email" placeholder="Type your email&#8230;" tabindex="-1"><input type="submit" class="button primary" value="Subscribe"><div class="fake-input-wrapper"><div class="fake-input"></div><div class="fake-button"></div></div></form></div></div>]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[Hangar Deal: Construction Firm with Airpark Lease Has Donated $11,000 to the Luedtkes While Expansion Bypassed Council Review]]></title><description><![CDATA[W.M.]]></description><link>https://mikethunderphillips.substack.com/p/hangar-deal-construction-firm-with</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://mikethunderphillips.substack.com/p/hangar-deal-construction-firm-with</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Michael "Thunder" Phillips]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Mon, 20 Apr 2026 05:06:52 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!dfgn!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F01b52b6b-255d-49a8-9dc0-c5afe5e2bcb1_1024x683.png" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!dfgn!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F01b52b6b-255d-49a8-9dc0-c5afe5e2bcb1_1024x683.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!dfgn!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F01b52b6b-255d-49a8-9dc0-c5afe5e2bcb1_1024x683.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!dfgn!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F01b52b6b-255d-49a8-9dc0-c5afe5e2bcb1_1024x683.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!dfgn!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F01b52b6b-255d-49a8-9dc0-c5afe5e2bcb1_1024x683.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!dfgn!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F01b52b6b-255d-49a8-9dc0-c5afe5e2bcb1_1024x683.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!dfgn!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F01b52b6b-255d-49a8-9dc0-c5afe5e2bcb1_1024x683.png" width="1024" height="683" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/01b52b6b-255d-49a8-9dc0-c5afe5e2bcb1_1024x683.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:683,&quot;width&quot;:1024,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:null,&quot;alt&quot;:&quot;An investigative report image highlighting issues surrounding an airpark contractor, featuring two individuals, construction activity, and monetary documents labeled 'Campaign Donation' and '$11,000 in Donations.'&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:null,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:false,&quot;topImage&quot;:true,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:null,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="An investigative report image highlighting issues surrounding an airpark contractor, featuring two individuals, construction activity, and monetary documents labeled 'Campaign Donation' and '$11,000 in Donations.'" title="An investigative report image highlighting issues surrounding an airpark contractor, featuring two individuals, construction activity, and monetary documents labeled 'Campaign Donation' and '$11,000 in Donations.'" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!dfgn!,w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F01b52b6b-255d-49a8-9dc0-c5afe5e2bcb1_1024x683.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!dfgn!,w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F01b52b6b-255d-49a8-9dc0-c5afe5e2bcb1_1024x683.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!dfgn!,w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F01b52b6b-255d-49a8-9dc0-c5afe5e2bcb1_1024x683.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!dfgn!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F01b52b6b-255d-49a8-9dc0-c5afe5e2bcb1_1024x683.png 1456w" sizes="100vw" fetchpriority="high"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg role="img" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><title></title><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><blockquote><p><em><strong>W.M. Rickman Construction holds a &#8216;Through the Fence&#8217; agreement at KGAI. State campaign finance records show six straight years of donations to Councilmember Dawn Luedtke &#8212; whose office acknowledged it had not reviewed the FAA grant documentation for the North End expansion.</strong></em></p></blockquote><div><hr></div><p>GAITHERSBURG, MD &#8212; A construction company whose owner holds a hangar at Montgomery County Airpark (KGAI) under a special agreement with the publicly-funded agency that operates the airport has donated $11,125 to the political campaigns of Councilmember Dawn Luedtke and her husband, state Delegate Eric Luedtke, since 2020 &#8212; a pattern of giving that raises questions about influence over a controversial airport expansion now drawing community fire.</p><p>The donations, drawn from Maryland State Board of Elections records, come from Rickman Management LLC and its related entity W.M. Rickman Construction Co., LLC. Federal Aviation Administration environmental records confirm that Parcel 33 at the Airpark &#8212; adjacent to the runway &#8212; is owned by W.M. Rickman Construction and houses an aircraft hangar, governed by a &#8220;Through the Fence&#8221; agreement with the Montgomery County Revenue Authority (MCRA), the quasi-governmental body that owns and manages KGAI.</p><div class="subscription-widget-wrap-editor" data-attrs="{&quot;url&quot;:&quot;https://mikethunderphillips.substack.com/subscribe?&quot;,&quot;text&quot;:&quot;Subscribe&quot;,&quot;language&quot;:&quot;en&quot;}" data-component-name="SubscribeWidgetToDOM"><div class="subscription-widget show-subscribe"><div class="preamble"><p class="cta-caption">Riptide Investigations is a reader-supported publication. To receive new posts and support my work, consider becoming a free or paid subscriber.</p></div><form class="subscription-widget-subscribe"><input type="email" class="email-input" name="email" placeholder="Type your email&#8230;" tabindex="-1"><input type="submit" class="button primary" value="Subscribe"><div class="fake-input-wrapper"><div class="fake-input"></div><div class="fake-button"></div></div></form></div></div><p>The &#8220;Through the Fence&#8221; arrangement grants Rickman an easement over the parcel for FAA airspace surfaces, giving the company direct, privileged access to Airpark operations &#8212; an arrangement that is managed and enforced by the MCRA, a body overseen by the County Council. Rickman is no ordinary donor. According to the company&#8217;s own website, Rickman Construction was founded in 1960 and has been a fixture in Montgomery County commercial real estate ever since, building and leasing space to medical, government, and research clients along the I-270 corridor. The company has developed casinos, racetracks, and golf courses, and describes itself as having &#8220;woven itself into the fabric of the neighborhood&#8221; over more than six decades &#8212; with its office in the same building for over 40 years. That depth of local roots, and the scope of county-regulated activity the company engages in, makes its sustained political giving to the Luedtkes particularly notable.</p><h2>Six Years of $1,000 Checks</h2><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!5485!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F7b4d8b5a-6d40-4544-9f0c-6031beabcb8b_1440x896.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!5485!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F7b4d8b5a-6d40-4544-9f0c-6031beabcb8b_1440x896.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!5485!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F7b4d8b5a-6d40-4544-9f0c-6031beabcb8b_1440x896.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!5485!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F7b4d8b5a-6d40-4544-9f0c-6031beabcb8b_1440x896.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!5485!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F7b4d8b5a-6d40-4544-9f0c-6031beabcb8b_1440x896.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!5485!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F7b4d8b5a-6d40-4544-9f0c-6031beabcb8b_1440x896.png" width="1440" height="896" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/7b4d8b5a-6d40-4544-9f0c-6031beabcb8b_1440x896.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:896,&quot;width&quot;:1440,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:null,&quot;alt&quot;:&quot;Bar graph representing total household donations of $11,125, including $6,000 to Dawn Luedtke over 6 donations and $5,125 to Eric Luedtke over 4 donations, spanning from December 2020 to August 2025.&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:null,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:false,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:null,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="Bar graph representing total household donations of $11,125, including $6,000 to Dawn Luedtke over 6 donations and $5,125 to Eric Luedtke over 4 donations, spanning from December 2020 to August 2025." title="Bar graph representing total household donations of $11,125, including $6,000 to Dawn Luedtke over 6 donations and $5,125 to Eric Luedtke over 4 donations, spanning from December 2020 to August 2025." srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!5485!,w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F7b4d8b5a-6d40-4544-9f0c-6031beabcb8b_1440x896.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!5485!,w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F7b4d8b5a-6d40-4544-9f0c-6031beabcb8b_1440x896.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!5485!,w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F7b4d8b5a-6d40-4544-9f0c-6031beabcb8b_1440x896.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!5485!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F7b4d8b5a-6d40-4544-9f0c-6031beabcb8b_1440x896.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg role="img" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><title></title><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><p>What stands out in the finance data is not just the amount &#8212; it is the regularity. Rickman Management LLC donated exactly $1,000 to Dawn Luedtke&#8217;s campaign committee in March 2022, July 2022, March 2023, October 2023, December 2024, and August 2025. Six donations. Six years. All to the maximum-friendly round number of $1,000.</p><p>The combined total flowing from Rickman entities to Dawn Luedtke&#8217;s committee is $6,000. An additional $5,125 went to Eric Luedtke&#8217;s state delegate campaign between 2020 and 2022, including a $2,000 contribution in June 2021 and $1,875 in November 2021. The household total is $11,125.</p><p>Dawn Luedtke represents Council District 7, which encompasses the neighborhoods adjacent to the Airpark. She sponsored the 2023 legislation creating the Airpark Community Advisory Committee (ACAC) &#8212; the very body now raising alarms about the MCRA&#8217;s management failures. She also sits in a position to oversee MCRA&#8217;s capital budget requests, including the North End Hangar expansion now at the center of community controversy.</p><h2>The Expansion That Skipped the Line</h2><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!W_ly!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F02638575-bf89-44c3-aaae-0c4885d8c848_1440x1040.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!W_ly!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F02638575-bf89-44c3-aaae-0c4885d8c848_1440x1040.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!W_ly!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F02638575-bf89-44c3-aaae-0c4885d8c848_1440x1040.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!W_ly!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F02638575-bf89-44c3-aaae-0c4885d8c848_1440x1040.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!W_ly!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F02638575-bf89-44c3-aaae-0c4885d8c848_1440x1040.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!W_ly!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F02638575-bf89-44c3-aaae-0c4885d8c848_1440x1040.png" width="1440" height="1040" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/02638575-bf89-44c3-aaae-0c4885d8c848_1440x1040.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:1040,&quot;width&quot;:1440,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:null,&quot;alt&quot;:&quot;Infographic displaying project cost details including total project cost of $3.425M, construction cost of $2.8M, federal share of 84%, and local debt of $523K, alongside a timeline of key events from 2025 to 2026.&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:null,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:true,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:null,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="Infographic displaying project cost details including total project cost of $3.425M, construction cost of $2.8M, federal share of 84%, and local debt of $523K, alongside a timeline of key events from 2025 to 2026." title="Infographic displaying project cost details including total project cost of $3.425M, construction cost of $2.8M, federal share of 84%, and local debt of $523K, alongside a timeline of key events from 2025 to 2026." srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!W_ly!,w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F02638575-bf89-44c3-aaae-0c4885d8c848_1440x1040.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!W_ly!,w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F02638575-bf89-44c3-aaae-0c4885d8c848_1440x1040.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!W_ly!,w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F02638575-bf89-44c3-aaae-0c4885d8c848_1440x1040.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!W_ly!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F02638575-bf89-44c3-aaae-0c4885d8c848_1440x1040.png 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg role="img" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><title></title><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><p>In February 2026, the MCRA began site preparation work &#8212; clearing, grading, and ground disturbance &#8212; on the north end of the Airpark for a proposed 3,600-square-foot hangar expansion. The total project cost is listed in the county&#8217;s FY27-32 Capital Improvements Program at $3,425,000, of which $2,872,000 (84%) comes from federal aid under the Bipartisan Infrastructure Bill, $523,000 from Revenue Authority debt, and $30,000 in state aid. The work began before independent local impact studies were completed, before the County Council had reviewed the supporting documentation, and before the Airpark&#8217;s Master Plan &#8212; last meaningfully updated more than 20 years ago &#8212; had been revised.</p><p>In a February 19, 2026 letter to Councilmember Luedtke, a District 7 resident and founder of Citizens for Airpark Safety wrote that she had been told by the County Executive&#8217;s office that the project was a &#8220;done deal.&#8221; She demanded the MCRA immediately halt site preparation and noted that Luedtke&#8217;s own office &#8220;has not reviewed the supporting documentation and studies done when the grant funding was requested from the FAA.&#8221;</p><p>Luedtke&#8217;s office confirmed to the resident that it had not been briefed on the data used to justify the FAA grant application &#8212; including projections for increased operations, noise impacts, and safety assessments.</p><p>The county&#8217;s own CIP project sheet and March 2026 ECON worksession memo clarify the timeline: the FAA required the project to begin design by December 2025 or risk losing its Bipartisan Infrastructure Bill grant. Design work is confirmed underway as of early 2026, with full construction now estimated at $2,800,000 &#8212; a cost that has already risen 50% from earlier estimates. That December design deadline became the internal rationale for pressing ahead without the community consultation, independent impact studies, or Master Plan update that residents and the ACAC demanded. The urgency of a federal funding clock, in other words, was used to override local democratic process &#8212; even as the MCRA simultaneously acknowledged it had not specifically addressed North End development plans in its August 2025 response to the ACAC report.</p><p>The MCRA also told the ECON Committee that the new hangar will add only 95 to 105 flights annually and assured councillors that &#8220;these operations will not be training operations which are disruptive to the neighbors.&#8221; That promise appears in no binding document reviewed by <a href="http://MDBayNews.com">MDBayNews</a>. Critically, the ACAC&#8217;s 2025 report specifically found that the MCRA has repeatedly failed to enforce its own lease conditions. Community members have pointedly asked how the MCRA can legally restrict the type of operations in a new publicly-owned hangar at a federally-obligated open-access airport &#8212; and so far, no answer has been provided.</p><p>The credibility of that assurance is further complicated by what public records show is already happening at the Airpark&#8217;s existing Hangar C &#8212; where the dominant flight school operator has simultaneously incorporated two additional active LLCs at the same address, one of them as recently as March 2025, with no public accounting of whether MCRA&#8217;s lease covers any of it. That pattern is examined in detail below.</p><p>Two individuals testified against the project at public hearings held February 9-10, 2026. At a March 5, 2026 ECON Committee worksession, the ACAC formally requested that the Council amend CIP Project P392502 and establish specific performance measures before approving further MCRA capital expenditures at the Airpark. Separately, the ACAC charged that the MCRA had &#8220;not articulated a consistent North End plan,&#8221; with proposals shifting &#8220;depending on the audience&#8221; &#8212; from a single hangar, to a second FBO, to additional fuel services &#8212; &#8220;undermining confidence and ability to manage project execution.&#8221; Councilmember Luedtke responded on February 26, 2026, with a memo proposing a narrow language amendment to the CIP project description adding a line that the MCRA would &#8220;present project plans to community stakeholders before construction.&#8221; Site preparation, however, had already begun weeks earlier.</p><h2>The ACAC&#8217;s Damning Report</h2><p>The context for this expansion could not be more unflattering for the MCRA. In June 2025, the ACAC &#8212; the advisory body Luedtke herself created &#8212; issued its first annual report to the County Executive, County Council, and MCRA. Its central conclusion was stark:</p><blockquote><h4 style="text-align: center;"><em><strong>&#8220;The MCRA is not effectively governing operations at the Airpark or executing its oversight responsibilities.&#8221;</strong></em></h4></blockquote><p>The ACAC&#8217;s 46-page report found that the MCRA:</p><ul><li><p>exerts limited effort to enforce FAA Fly Friendly noise abatement procedures;</p></li><li><p>has allowed the Airpark&#8217;s infrastructure to decay with gravel-floored hangars, leaking roofs, an out-of-service aircraft wash rack, and a cramped FBO building;</p></li><li><p>permitted multiple fire and building code violations to go unaddressed since March 2024;</p></li><li><p>allowed an H-row hangar rebuild to proceed without a structural building permit &#8212; even after being told in writing by the Department of Permitting Services that one was required; and</p></li><li><p>failed to enforce master, commercial, and hangar lease agreements.</p></li></ul><p>The lease violations cited by the ACAC are particularly striking: the master lessee, DC Metro Aviation Services, was found to have allowed the disassembly and sale of an aircraft belonging to a deceased owner without family permission &#8212; a case that resulted in a Montgomery County Police report being filed. DC Metro was also found to be forcing tenants to use a sole-source contractor for all facilities work, itself an FAA grant assurance violation, and that contractor&#8217;s work has been so poor that it caused the collapse of a large hangar door that could have injured people or damaged aircraft. The ECON and Transportation &amp; Environment Committees held a joint briefing on the ACAC report on September 15, 2025 &#8212; yet site work on the new hangar began just weeks later, in early 2026, without the performance accountability measures the ACAC had demanded.</p><p>The ACAC further warned that the MCRA&#8217;s failures put the county at risk of having to repay FAA grants already received, and could jeopardize future federal funding. The committee went so far as to recommend that &#8220;if the MCRA is unable or unwilling to implement the recommendations, the County Executive and County Council should transfer oversight of the Airpark to another entity.&#8221;</p><p>At a follow-up ACAC meeting in October 2025, members learned the MCRA lacked the data management and IT resources to implement the committee&#8217;s 15 recommendations, and may not have allocated budget to do so. The committee unanimously voted to request immediate assistance from both the Council and County Executive&#8217;s Office.</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!zLep!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ffcd3117a-44fe-4c99-b109-6ce65ceefffe_1440x890.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!zLep!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ffcd3117a-44fe-4c99-b109-6ce65ceefffe_1440x890.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!zLep!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ffcd3117a-44fe-4c99-b109-6ce65ceefffe_1440x890.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!zLep!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ffcd3117a-44fe-4c99-b109-6ce65ceefffe_1440x890.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!zLep!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ffcd3117a-44fe-4c99-b109-6ce65ceefffe_1440x890.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!zLep!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ffcd3117a-44fe-4c99-b109-6ce65ceefffe_1440x890.png" width="1440" height="890" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/fcd3117a-44fe-4c99-b109-6ce65ceefffe_1440x890.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:890,&quot;width&quot;:1440,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:null,&quot;alt&quot;:&quot;Flowchart depicting the organizational structure involving the County Executive, County Council, MCRA board, and operations, highlighting issues related to expansion requests and oversight.&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:null,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:true,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:null,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="Flowchart depicting the organizational structure involving the County Executive, County Council, MCRA board, and operations, highlighting issues related to expansion requests and oversight." title="Flowchart depicting the organizational structure involving the County Executive, County Council, MCRA board, and operations, highlighting issues related to expansion requests and oversight." srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!zLep!,w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ffcd3117a-44fe-4c99-b109-6ce65ceefffe_1440x890.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!zLep!,w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ffcd3117a-44fe-4c99-b109-6ce65ceefffe_1440x890.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!zLep!,w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ffcd3117a-44fe-4c99-b109-6ce65ceefffe_1440x890.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!zLep!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ffcd3117a-44fe-4c99-b109-6ce65ceefffe_1440x890.png 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg role="img" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><title></title><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><p>The governance structure of the MCRA itself is worth understanding. Five of its six board members are appointed by County Executive Marc Elrich and confirmed by the County Council. The sixth &#8212; the ex-officio, non-voting member &#8212; is Richard Madaleno, Elrich&#8217;s own Chief Administrative Officer. When the resident was told by the County Executive&#8217;s office that the expansion was a &#8220;done deal,&#8221; she was effectively being told that by an executive branch that both controls the MCRA&#8217;s board and receives the MCRA&#8217;s budget requests. The Council &#8212; including Luedtke &#8212; is supposed to provide independent oversight of that relationship. The record suggests it did not.</p><p>At the September 15, 2025 joint committee hearing &#8212; just months before site work began &#8212; Luedtke herself acknowledged the FAA had &#8220;repeatedly failed to act despite documented safety violations.&#8221; Other councilmembers at that same hearing called for &#8220;clear accountability and a proactive posture from MCRA,&#8221; noting that permit violations, noise complaints, and flight safety risks were &#8220;not just regulatory quirks but potential liabilities.&#8221; Within weeks, the same MCRA was permitted to break ground on a $3.4 million expansion with no independent local impact review and no binding community consultation requirement in place.</p><h2>Aviation Interests at the Airpark: A Broader Pattern</h2><p>MDBayNews has also identified a donation to Dawn Luedtke&#8217;s campaign from Steve Silverman, the former owner of MOR Aviation, who attended the first large community Airpark meeting in which residents confronted airport management. State records show Silverman donated $500 to Dawn Luedtke&#8217;s committee in January 2022 and $500 to Eric Luedtke&#8217;s committee in November 2021.</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!IKzj!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F2f17c9a2-77df-493a-a728-492d0cfaaae5_1440x910.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!IKzj!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F2f17c9a2-77df-493a-a728-492d0cfaaae5_1440x910.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!IKzj!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F2f17c9a2-77df-493a-a728-492d0cfaaae5_1440x910.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!IKzj!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F2f17c9a2-77df-493a-a728-492d0cfaaae5_1440x910.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!IKzj!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F2f17c9a2-77df-493a-a728-492d0cfaaae5_1440x910.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!IKzj!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F2f17c9a2-77df-493a-a728-492d0cfaaae5_1440x910.png" width="1440" height="910" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/2f17c9a2-77df-493a-a728-492d0cfaaae5_1440x910.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:910,&quot;width&quot;:1440,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:null,&quot;alt&quot;:&quot;Diagram showing connections between Ziv Levy and various aviation-related entities including WIFA LLC, Vidal Aviation LLC, High Flyers Aviation Services LLC, and personal real estate.&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:null,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:true,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:null,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="Diagram showing connections between Ziv Levy and various aviation-related entities including WIFA LLC, Vidal Aviation LLC, High Flyers Aviation Services LLC, and personal real estate." title="Diagram showing connections between Ziv Levy and various aviation-related entities including WIFA LLC, Vidal Aviation LLC, High Flyers Aviation Services LLC, and personal real estate." srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!IKzj!,w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F2f17c9a2-77df-493a-a728-492d0cfaaae5_1440x910.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!IKzj!,w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F2f17c9a2-77df-493a-a728-492d0cfaaae5_1440x910.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!IKzj!,w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F2f17c9a2-77df-493a-a728-492d0cfaaae5_1440x910.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!IKzj!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F2f17c9a2-77df-493a-a728-492d0cfaaae5_1440x910.png 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg role="img" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><title></title><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><p>Separately, MDBayNews found no campaign donations to either Luedtke from Ziv Levy, the owner of Washington International Flight Academy (WIFA), the Airpark&#8217;s dominant flight school. But public records raise a distinct set of governance questions. Maryland Secretary of State filings show Levy is the sole principal of at least three active LLCs registered at 7940 Airpark Road &#8212; the KGAI campus &#8212; in addition to WIFA itself: Vidal Aviation LLC (incorporated February 2019), which holds multiple FAA-registered training aircraft at the KGAI address; and High Flyers Aviation Services LLC (incorporated March 14, 2025), registered at Hangar C and operating as the U.S. arm of a commercial pilot recruitment pipeline targeting students from India. FAA records confirm that a twin-engine training aircraft was registered to High Flyers Aviation Services at the Airpark address just two months after that LLC was formed.</p><p>The ACAC&#8217;s 2025 annual report found that flight training operations &#8212; which WIFA dominates &#8212; account for roughly 96 percent of all aircraft activity at KGAI, and identified the &#8220;dominance by flight schools leading to excessive noise and congestion&#8221; as a core problem. That dominance is continuing to grow. The High Flyers Aviation Services website features a photograph of South Asian student pilots standing in front of the KGAI terminal building &#8212; confirming that the pipeline is operational. Whether MCRA&#8217;s lease arrangements with WIFA account for the commercial activity now conducted at Hangar C under three separate LLC registrations is a question the authority has not publicly addressed.</p><p>The WIFA situation does not involve the same campaign finance dimensions as the Rickman story. But it illustrates the same underlying failure: an MCRA that, by the ACAC&#8217;s own documented findings, does not effectively monitor or enforce what is happening on its own property &#8212; and a County Council that has not demanded it do so.</p><h2>The Questions That Remain</h2><p>None of the donations identified in this report are illegal. Campaign contributions from businesses with interests before a government body are a routine &#8212; if ethically fraught &#8212; feature of Maryland politics. And Councilmember Luedtke did, after all, create the ACAC that has become the community&#8217;s most effective accountability tool at the Airpark.</p><p>But the pattern raises questions that deserve answers. Did Luedtke&#8217;s office ever ask the MCRA to brief the Council on the FAA grant application for the North End expansion before site work began? Given that Rickman holds a special operating agreement at the Airpark managed by the MCRA &#8212; and has donated to Luedtke&#8217;s campaign every year for six years &#8212; what specific steps did Luedtke take to ensure the expansion was properly reviewed? Has she called on the MCRA to halt construction pending the independent impact studies demanded by the ACAC and community members?</p><p>the resident&#8217;s letter demanded a written response within 10 business days. Luedtke&#8217;s only public response came in a March 31, 2026 constituent newsletter &#8212; sent the same day the resident was pressing her for action &#8212; titled &#8220;Solutions and Collaboration For the Airpark.&#8221; In it, Luedtke praised the turnout at a recent ACAC Town Hall and acknowledged that &#8220;progress on reducing noise and increase safety of operations is slow,&#8221; attributing this to &#8220;the complex structure of the Airpark and the federal government&#8217;s ultimate governing authority over many aspects of aircraft safety and travel.&#8221; The newsletter made no mention of the North End expansion, the premature site work, or the community&#8217;s demands for independent impact studies. It did not address why her office had not reviewed the FAA grant documentation before construction began.</p><p>The deflection to federal authority is a familiar move &#8212; and one the ACAC&#8217;s own report implicitly rebuts. While the FAA does indeed govern airspace, the ACAC&#8217;s 2025 report found that the problems at KGAI are overwhelmingly local and administrative: unaddressed building code violations, unpermitted construction, unenforced leases, and a broken noise complaint system. None of those failures require federal permission to fix. The MCRA and the County Council have the authority &#8212; and the obligation &#8212; to act on each one.</p><h2>The $2,530 Wall: Public Records Blocked by Fees</h2><p>The community&#8217;s effort to independently verify what studies and analyses the MCRA relied on when seeking the FAA grant for the North End expansion has hit a wall &#8212; a financial one. On February 5, 2026, the resident filed a Maryland Public Information Act (MPIA) request with the MCRA seeking all records related to the North End Expansion: emails, consultant documents, environmental studies, noise analyses, blueprints, and data on projected flight operation increases. She requested a public-interest fee waiver, noting the records concern a publicly-funded facility with direct community impacts.</p><p>The MCRA&#8217;s response, signed by Airport Manager Justin Bollum: 46 hours of estimated staff time, 44 of them billable at $57.52 per hour. Total: $2,530.88. Prepayment required in full before any records are released. Fee waiver denied &#8212; with no explanation of why the public-interest factors were not met, no offer to narrow the scope, and a 30-day payment deadline after which the request would be considered abandoned.</p><p>The resident pushed back in a detailed legal response, citing GP &#167;4-206(e) of the Maryland General Provisions Article, which requires custodians to consider the public interest before denying fee waivers, and GP &#167;4-203(b), which requires agencies to help requesters narrow the scope to reduce costs. She noted that the records at the center of the request &#8212; financial statements, grant documents, engineering reports &#8212; are almost certainly maintained electronically and should require minimal retrieval time. The MCRA has not substantively responded to those legal arguments.</p><p>The practical effect: the documents that would reveal whether the MCRA conducted proper due diligence before seeking federal expansion funding &#8212; and whether community impacts were genuinely assessed &#8212; remain locked behind a fee that no individual community activist can reasonably afford. The MCRA, which already faces ACAC findings of poor governance and a pattern of inaction, is now using the cost of transparency as a shield against scrutiny.</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!MpWt!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F8e55e749-0d83-4115-a3e0-a0a30a8faaaf_847x393.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!MpWt!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F8e55e749-0d83-4115-a3e0-a0a30a8faaaf_847x393.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!MpWt!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F8e55e749-0d83-4115-a3e0-a0a30a8faaaf_847x393.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!MpWt!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F8e55e749-0d83-4115-a3e0-a0a30a8faaaf_847x393.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!MpWt!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F8e55e749-0d83-4115-a3e0-a0a30a8faaaf_847x393.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!MpWt!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F8e55e749-0d83-4115-a3e0-a0a30a8faaaf_847x393.png" width="847" height="393" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/8e55e749-0d83-4115-a3e0-a0a30a8faaaf_847x393.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:393,&quot;width&quot;:847,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:67057,&quot;alt&quot;:null,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/png&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:true,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://mikethunderphillips.substack.com/i/194761882?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F8e55e749-0d83-4115-a3e0-a0a30a8faaaf_847x393.png&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!MpWt!,w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F8e55e749-0d83-4115-a3e0-a0a30a8faaaf_847x393.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!MpWt!,w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F8e55e749-0d83-4115-a3e0-a0a30a8faaaf_847x393.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!MpWt!,w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F8e55e749-0d83-4115-a3e0-a0a30a8faaaf_847x393.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!MpWt!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F8e55e749-0d83-4115-a3e0-a0a30a8faaaf_847x393.png 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg role="img" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><title></title><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><div><hr></div><p><em><strong>Source: </strong>Maryland State Board of Elections campaign finance records; FAA Supplemental Environmental Assessment, Montgomery County Airpark (2017); ACAC Annual Report (June 2025); Montgomery County ECON Committee work session memo (March 2026); Dawn Luedtke constituent newsletter (March 31, 2026); constituent correspondence reviewed by MDBayNews; Maryland Secretary of State business entity filings (Washington International Flight Academy LLC, Vidal Aviation LLC, High Flyers Aviation Services LLC); FAA aircraft registry records.</em></p><div class="subscription-widget-wrap-editor" data-attrs="{&quot;url&quot;:&quot;https://mikethunderphillips.substack.com/subscribe?&quot;,&quot;text&quot;:&quot;Subscribe&quot;,&quot;language&quot;:&quot;en&quot;}" data-component-name="SubscribeWidgetToDOM"><div class="subscription-widget show-subscribe"><div class="preamble"><p class="cta-caption">Riptide Investigations is a reader-supported publication. To receive new posts and support my work, consider becoming a free or paid subscriber.</p></div><form class="subscription-widget-subscribe"><input type="email" class="email-input" name="email" placeholder="Type your email&#8230;" tabindex="-1"><input type="submit" class="button primary" value="Subscribe"><div class="fake-input-wrapper"><div class="fake-input"></div><div class="fake-button"></div></div></form></div></div>]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[The Court Killed the Trade War. Now What?]]></title><description><![CDATA[Trump built his entire manufacturing revival on a legal foundation that six Supreme Court justices &#8212; including two of his own appointees &#8212; said never existed.]]></description><link>https://mikethunderphillips.substack.com/p/the-court-killed-the-trade-war-now</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://mikethunderphillips.substack.com/p/the-court-killed-the-trade-war-now</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Michael "Thunder" Phillips]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Sun, 19 Apr 2026 07:36:41 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!eq_O!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fbf4bf301-720e-4388-8299-916282f52d8d_1024x683.png" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!eq_O!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fbf4bf301-720e-4388-8299-916282f52d8d_1024x683.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!eq_O!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fbf4bf301-720e-4388-8299-916282f52d8d_1024x683.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!eq_O!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fbf4bf301-720e-4388-8299-916282f52d8d_1024x683.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!eq_O!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fbf4bf301-720e-4388-8299-916282f52d8d_1024x683.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!eq_O!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fbf4bf301-720e-4388-8299-916282f52d8d_1024x683.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!eq_O!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fbf4bf301-720e-4388-8299-916282f52d8d_1024x683.png" width="1024" height="683" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/bf4bf301-720e-4388-8299-916282f52d8d_1024x683.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:683,&quot;width&quot;:1024,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:null,&quot;alt&quot;:&quot;A graphic depicting the phrase 'The Court Killed the Trade War' with a gavel, a Supreme Court building, a container marked 'TARIFFS', and an image of a man with a stock market graph background.&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:null,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:false,&quot;topImage&quot;:true,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:null,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="A graphic depicting the phrase 'The Court Killed the Trade War' with a gavel, a Supreme Court building, a container marked 'TARIFFS', and an image of a man with a stock market graph background." title="A graphic depicting the phrase 'The Court Killed the Trade War' with a gavel, a Supreme Court building, a container marked 'TARIFFS', and an image of a man with a stock market graph background." srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!eq_O!,w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fbf4bf301-720e-4388-8299-916282f52d8d_1024x683.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!eq_O!,w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fbf4bf301-720e-4388-8299-916282f52d8d_1024x683.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!eq_O!,w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fbf4bf301-720e-4388-8299-916282f52d8d_1024x683.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!eq_O!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fbf4bf301-720e-4388-8299-916282f52d8d_1024x683.png 1456w" sizes="100vw" fetchpriority="high"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg role="img" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><title></title><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><blockquote><p><em><strong>Trump built his entire manufacturing revival on a legal foundation that six Supreme Court justices &#8212; including two of his own appointees &#8212; said never existed. The factories haven&#8217;t come back. The jobs are still gone. And the replacement plan has an expiration date.</strong></em></p></blockquote><p>On the morning of February 20, 2026, Chief Justice John Roberts handed down an opinion that should have stopped Washington cold. In nine precise words, he dismantled the legal architecture of Donald Trump&#8217;s trade war: &#8220;Those words cannot bear such weight.&#8221; The International Emergency Economic Powers Act &#8212; the 1977 statute Trump had used as the legal engine for his sweeping &#8220;Liberation Day&#8221; tariffs &#8212; did not, Roberts wrote, authorize the president to impose tariffs at all. Six justices agreed. Three of Trump&#8217;s own appointees were in the majority.</p><p>By that evening, Trump was at a press conference calling Justices Gorsuch and Barrett people who &#8220;sicken me.&#8221; Within hours, he had signed a new proclamation slapping a 10 percent global tariff on imports under a different statute. The next day, he announced he&#8217;d push it to 15 &#8212; the legal ceiling for that law.</p><div class="subscription-widget-wrap-editor" data-attrs="{&quot;url&quot;:&quot;https://mikethunderphillips.substack.com/subscribe?&quot;,&quot;text&quot;:&quot;Subscribe&quot;,&quot;language&quot;:&quot;en&quot;}" data-component-name="SubscribeWidgetToDOM"><div class="subscription-widget show-subscribe"><div class="preamble"><p class="cta-caption">Riptide Investigations is a reader-supported publication. To receive new posts and support my work, consider becoming a free or paid subscriber.</p></div><form class="subscription-widget-subscribe"><input type="email" class="email-input" name="email" placeholder="Type your email&#8230;" tabindex="-1"><input type="submit" class="button primary" value="Subscribe"><div class="fake-input-wrapper"><div class="fake-input"></div><div class="fake-button"></div></div></form></div></div><p>The pivot was fast. The problem is what it reveals: a year&#8217;s worth of tariff policy built on a statute the Supreme Court had just declared never authorized any of it. And the replacement plan has an expiration date stamped right on it.</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2" target="_blank" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!LVrg!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fd7d6de27-7309-4a05-923b-1923bc793b63_558x148.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!LVrg!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fd7d6de27-7309-4a05-923b-1923bc793b63_558x148.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!LVrg!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fd7d6de27-7309-4a05-923b-1923bc793b63_558x148.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!LVrg!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fd7d6de27-7309-4a05-923b-1923bc793b63_558x148.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!LVrg!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fd7d6de27-7309-4a05-923b-1923bc793b63_558x148.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!LVrg!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fd7d6de27-7309-4a05-923b-1923bc793b63_558x148.png" width="558" height="148" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/d7d6de27-7309-4a05-923b-1923bc793b63_558x148.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:148,&quot;width&quot;:558,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:null,&quot;alt&quot;:&quot;Infographic highlighting key economic statistics: 83K manufacturing jobs lost in Trump's first year, $179B in IEPA tariff revenue potentially subject to refund, and 150 days remaining before Section 122 replacement tariffs expire.&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:null,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:false,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:null,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="Infographic highlighting key economic statistics: 83K manufacturing jobs lost in Trump's first year, $179B in IEPA tariff revenue potentially subject to refund, and 150 days remaining before Section 122 replacement tariffs expire." title="Infographic highlighting key economic statistics: 83K manufacturing jobs lost in Trump's first year, $179B in IEPA tariff revenue potentially subject to refund, and 150 days remaining before Section 122 replacement tariffs expire." srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!LVrg!,w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fd7d6de27-7309-4a05-923b-1923bc793b63_558x148.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!LVrg!,w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fd7d6de27-7309-4a05-923b-1923bc793b63_558x148.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!LVrg!,w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fd7d6de27-7309-4a05-923b-1923bc793b63_558x148.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!LVrg!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fd7d6de27-7309-4a05-923b-1923bc793b63_558x148.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"></picture><div></div></div></a></figure></div><h2>The Foundation That Wasn&#8217;t There</h2><p>To understand what the Court struck down, you have to understand what Trump had claimed. IEEPA, passed by Congress in 1977, gives the president broad authority to regulate commerce during national emergencies created by foreign threats. Trump declared trade deficits themselves a national emergency &#8212; arguing they had &#8220;led to the hollowing out&#8221; of American manufacturing and &#8220;undermined critical supply chains&#8221; &#8212; and used that declaration as the basis for the most sweeping tariff regime in a century.</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Hf_k!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ff7f0bbfe-1e3d-4ecd-afac-a07e4d71d5ca_739x457.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Hf_k!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ff7f0bbfe-1e3d-4ecd-afac-a07e4d71d5ca_739x457.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Hf_k!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ff7f0bbfe-1e3d-4ecd-afac-a07e4d71d5ca_739x457.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Hf_k!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ff7f0bbfe-1e3d-4ecd-afac-a07e4d71d5ca_739x457.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Hf_k!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ff7f0bbfe-1e3d-4ecd-afac-a07e4d71d5ca_739x457.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Hf_k!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ff7f0bbfe-1e3d-4ecd-afac-a07e4d71d5ca_739x457.png" width="739" height="457" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/f7f0bbfe-1e3d-4ecd-afac-a07e4d71d5ca_739x457.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:457,&quot;width&quot;:739,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:null,&quot;alt&quot;:&quot;Graph illustrating U.S. average effective tariff rates from 1930 to 2026, highlighting the rise to nearly 17% due to IEPA tariffs, with a comparison to the Smoot-Hawley era.&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:null,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:true,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:null,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="Graph illustrating U.S. average effective tariff rates from 1930 to 2026, highlighting the rise to nearly 17% due to IEPA tariffs, with a comparison to the Smoot-Hawley era." title="Graph illustrating U.S. average effective tariff rates from 1930 to 2026, highlighting the rise to nearly 17% due to IEPA tariffs, with a comparison to the Smoot-Hawley era." srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Hf_k!,w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ff7f0bbfe-1e3d-4ecd-afac-a07e4d71d5ca_739x457.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Hf_k!,w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ff7f0bbfe-1e3d-4ecd-afac-a07e4d71d5ca_739x457.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Hf_k!,w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ff7f0bbfe-1e3d-4ecd-afac-a07e4d71d5ca_739x457.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Hf_k!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ff7f0bbfe-1e3d-4ecd-afac-a07e4d71d5ca_739x457.png 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg role="img" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><title></title><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><p>The &#8220;reciprocal tariffs&#8221; announced on Liberation Day in April 2025 targeted imports from virtually every U.S. trading partner. The fentanyl-related tariffs hit Canada, Mexico, and China specifically. Together, these levies pushed the U.S. average effective tariff rate to nearly 17 percent &#8212; the highest level since the early 1930s. Federal Reserve Bank of New York research found that approximately 90 percent of those costs landed on American firms and consumers, not on foreign exporters.</p><div class="pullquote"><h4><strong>Based on two words separated by 16 others in IEEPA &#8212; 'regulate' and 'importation' &#8212; the President asserts the independent power to impose tariffs on imports from any country, of any product, at any rate, for any amount of time. Those words cannot bear such weight.</strong></h4><p><em>&#8212; Chief Justice John Roberts, Learning Resources, Inc. v. Trump (Feb. 20, 2026)</em></p></div><p>The Court&#8217;s ruling in <em>Learning Resources, Inc. v. Trump</em> was not close on the core question. Roberts, joined by Justices Sotomayor, Kagan, Gorsuch, Barrett, and Jackson, found that the power to impose tariffs is a branch of the taxing power &#8212; one the Constitution vests explicitly in Congress under Article I, Section 8. IEEPA&#8217;s language authorizing the president to &#8220;regulate importation,&#8221; Roberts wrote, does not include the power to tax it. No president before Trump had ever read the statute that way, and the Court declined to start now.</p><p>Three justices &#8212; Thomas, Alito, and Kavanaugh &#8212; dissented. Kavanaugh&#8217;s dissent was notable for what it conceded: that the ruling could require the federal government to refund hundreds of billions of dollars to importers who had already passed those costs on to their customers. &#8220;Because IEEPA tariffs have helped facilitate trade deals worth trillions of dollars,&#8221; Kavanaugh wrote, the ruling creates cascading complications the majority had not fully reckoned with. He was outvoted.</p><h2>$179 Billion in Limbo</h2><p>Penn Wharton Budget Model economists put IEEPA tariff collections between January 2025 and the ruling at approximately $175 to $179 billion &#8212; a figure that exceeds the combined annual budgets of the Department of Transportation and the Department of Justice. That money is now, in principle, subject to refund.</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!2m9r!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fd4993c22-f049-4464-9d64-4102eaac2a2b_736x454.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!2m9r!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fd4993c22-f049-4464-9d64-4102eaac2a2b_736x454.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!2m9r!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fd4993c22-f049-4464-9d64-4102eaac2a2b_736x454.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!2m9r!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fd4993c22-f049-4464-9d64-4102eaac2a2b_736x454.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!2m9r!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fd4993c22-f049-4464-9d64-4102eaac2a2b_736x454.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!2m9r!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fd4993c22-f049-4464-9d64-4102eaac2a2b_736x454.png" width="736" height="454" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/d4993c22-f049-4464-9d64-4102eaac2a2b_736x454.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:454,&quot;width&quot;:736,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:null,&quot;alt&quot;:&quot;Bar graph illustrating monthly IEEPA tariff collections from February 2025 to January 2026, highlighting potential refunds pending a Supreme Court ruling.&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:null,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:true,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:null,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="Bar graph illustrating monthly IEEPA tariff collections from February 2025 to January 2026, highlighting potential refunds pending a Supreme Court ruling." title="Bar graph illustrating monthly IEEPA tariff collections from February 2025 to January 2026, highlighting potential refunds pending a Supreme Court ruling." srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!2m9r!,w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fd4993c22-f049-4464-9d64-4102eaac2a2b_736x454.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!2m9r!,w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fd4993c22-f049-4464-9d64-4102eaac2a2b_736x454.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!2m9r!,w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fd4993c22-f049-4464-9d64-4102eaac2a2b_736x454.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!2m9r!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fd4993c22-f049-4464-9d64-4102eaac2a2b_736x454.png 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg role="img" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><title></title><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><p>In practice, nobody knows how. The Supreme Court&#8217;s opinion did not address the mechanics of reimbursement. The executive order revoking the IEEPA tariffs directed Customs and Border Protection to stop collecting them &#8220;as soon as practicable&#8221; but said nothing about giving the money back. The Court of International Trade &#8212; where more than 2,000 importers had already filed cases seeking refunds before the ruling &#8212; is now sorting through the wreckage with no clear roadmap from the bench.</p><div class="callout-block" data-callout="true"><p><strong>From the Bench &#8212; Roberts Majority Opinion</strong></p><h4><em><strong>&#8220;The power to impose tariffs is &#8216;very clear[ly] . . . a branch of the taxing power.&#8217; A tariff, after all, is a tax levied on imported goods. Until now no President has read IEEPA to confer such power.&#8221;</strong></em></h4></div><p>Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent moved quickly to frame the replacement strategy as seamless, telling reporters that combining Section 122, Section 232, and Section 301 tariffs &#8220;will result in virtually unchanged tariff revenue in 2026.&#8221; Critics noted the implication: if the outcome is predetermined, the &#8220;investigations&#8221; required to justify new Section 301 tariffs are a formality, not a genuine legal process. That argument will likely be made in court.</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!7N__!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F929969dc-85fe-47b9-af33-5d2dff93bfe8_742x580.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!7N__!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F929969dc-85fe-47b9-af33-5d2dff93bfe8_742x580.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!7N__!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F929969dc-85fe-47b9-af33-5d2dff93bfe8_742x580.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!7N__!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F929969dc-85fe-47b9-af33-5d2dff93bfe8_742x580.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!7N__!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F929969dc-85fe-47b9-af33-5d2dff93bfe8_742x580.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!7N__!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F929969dc-85fe-47b9-af33-5d2dff93bfe8_742x580.png" width="742" height="580" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/929969dc-85fe-47b9-af33-5d2dff93bfe8_742x580.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:580,&quot;width&quot;:742,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:null,&quot;alt&quot;:&quot;Table comparing U.S. tariff authority mechanisms before and after the Supreme Court ruling on February 20, 2026, detailing status, scope, rate caps, time limits, legal exposure, and replacements.&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:null,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:true,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:null,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="Table comparing U.S. tariff authority mechanisms before and after the Supreme Court ruling on February 20, 2026, detailing status, scope, rate caps, time limits, legal exposure, and replacements." title="Table comparing U.S. tariff authority mechanisms before and after the Supreme Court ruling on February 20, 2026, detailing status, scope, rate caps, time limits, legal exposure, and replacements." srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!7N__!,w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F929969dc-85fe-47b9-af33-5d2dff93bfe8_742x580.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!7N__!,w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F929969dc-85fe-47b9-af33-5d2dff93bfe8_742x580.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!7N__!,w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F929969dc-85fe-47b9-af33-5d2dff93bfe8_742x580.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!7N__!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F929969dc-85fe-47b9-af33-5d2dff93bfe8_742x580.png 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg role="img" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><title></title><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><h2>The 150-Day Clock</h2><p>The most significant structural problem with Trump&#8217;s improvised replacement is time. Section 122 of the Trade Act of 1974 &#8212; the authority Trump invoked within hours of the ruling &#8212; caps tariffs at 15 percent and limits them to 150 days unless Congress votes to extend them.</p><p>That vote, if it comes, will land squarely in the middle of the 2026 midterm campaign. Members of Congress who have spent a year explaining away consumer price increases will now face a direct recorded vote on whether to extend the tariffs that caused them. The Brookings Institution noted this dynamic directly: the Court&#8217;s ruling &#8220;will require members of the House and Senate to take responsibility for the votes they may well be asked to cast just a few months before the 2026 midterm elections.&#8221; That is not a small thing.</p><div><hr></div><h2>The Manufacturing Numbers Don&#8217;t Lie</h2><p>Against this legal turbulence, the manufacturing employment picture has moved in exactly the wrong direction. The U.S. shed 83,000 manufacturing jobs during Trump&#8217;s first year back in office. A survey by the Reshoring Institute found that one-third of U.S. equipment manufacturers said they were planning to move production offshore &#8212; citing cost as the driver. The Census Bureau reported that manufacturing construction spending contracted in the first nine months of Trump&#8217;s second term, reversing a surge that had built up under Biden-era CHIPS Act and Inflation Reduction Act investments.</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!usLV!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F5c448454-66a1-41f0-bc0f-113be8e1a9bb_736x484.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!usLV!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F5c448454-66a1-41f0-bc0f-113be8e1a9bb_736x484.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!usLV!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F5c448454-66a1-41f0-bc0f-113be8e1a9bb_736x484.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!usLV!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F5c448454-66a1-41f0-bc0f-113be8e1a9bb_736x484.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!usLV!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F5c448454-66a1-41f0-bc0f-113be8e1a9bb_736x484.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!usLV!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F5c448454-66a1-41f0-bc0f-113be8e1a9bb_736x484.png" width="736" height="484" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/5c448454-66a1-41f0-bc0f-113be8e1a9bb_736x484.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:484,&quot;width&quot;:736,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:null,&quot;alt&quot;:&quot;Graph illustrating cumulative manufacturing job losses totaling 83,000 from April 2025 to January 2026, following a tariff announcement, highlighting the reduction in workforce over eight months.&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:null,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:true,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:null,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="Graph illustrating cumulative manufacturing job losses totaling 83,000 from April 2025 to January 2026, following a tariff announcement, highlighting the reduction in workforce over eight months." title="Graph illustrating cumulative manufacturing job losses totaling 83,000 from April 2025 to January 2026, following a tariff announcement, highlighting the reduction in workforce over eight months." srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!usLV!,w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F5c448454-66a1-41f0-bc0f-113be8e1a9bb_736x484.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!usLV!,w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F5c448454-66a1-41f0-bc0f-113be8e1a9bb_736x484.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!usLV!,w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F5c448454-66a1-41f0-bc0f-113be8e1a9bb_736x484.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!usLV!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F5c448454-66a1-41f0-bc0f-113be8e1a9bb_736x484.png 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg role="img" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><title></title><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><p>The irony is structural. Tariffs were supposed to make it more expensive to manufacture abroad and cheaper to build here. What they actually did, in many sectors, was raise the cost of components that American manufacturers depend on &#8212; rare earth elements, steel, aluminum, electronic assemblies &#8212; making domestic production more expensive too. One University of Chicago economist described the policy uncertainty alone as &#8220;very paralyzing,&#8221; citing a CEO who said his company was &#8220;in a bit of limbo-land&#8221; because capital investment decisions can&#8217;t be made against a policy backdrop that shifts month to month.</p><p>The American Enterprise Institute put a number on the gap between the promise and the cost: each manufacturing job created or preserved through tariffs costs American consumers more than $200,000 per year. That is not a ratio that survives political scrutiny for long.</p><h2>What Comes Next &#8212; And What Doesn&#8217;t</h2><p>The administration&#8217;s Section 301 investigations &#8212; launched against nearly 80 countries and economies by U.S. Trade Representative Jamieson Greer &#8212; are the long-game play. Unlike Section 122, Section 301 tariffs are not time-capped. But they require documented evidence of unfair trade practices, a process that takes months and invites legal challenge at every step. Given that Bessent has already declared the revenue outcome &#8220;virtually unchanged,&#8221; the legal exposure for predetermined investigations is real.</p><p>Section 232, the national security tariff authority, is also still standing &#8212; it covers steel and aluminum and was not touched by the IEEPA ruling. But Section 232 is narrow. It can&#8217;t substitute for the sweeping global tariff regime IEEPA had enabled.</p><p>What Trump had in IEEPA was something no trade statute actually provides: unlimited scope, unlimited rate, and unlimited duration, exercised unilaterally, justified by a declared emergency that never had to end. Six justices looked at that claim and said Congress never wrote that law. The manufacturing towns that were supposed to come roaring back are still waiting. The legal scaffolding that was supposed to make it happen is gone. And the factories &#8212; the ones that take years to permit, finance, and build &#8212; haven&#8217;t broken ground.</p><p>The question now isn&#8217;t whether the trade war is over. It&#8217;s whether the replacement strategy can survive its own clock, its own courts, and a midterm election in which every Republican in a swing district will have to explain what $179 billion in potentially refundable tariffs actually bought.</p><p>The answer, so far, is 83,000 fewer manufacturing jobs and a Supreme Court opinion that will be read in trade law classes for a generation.</p><div><hr></div><p><strong>Sources:</strong></p><ul><li><p>Learning Resources, Inc. v. Trump, 607 U.S. ___ (Feb. 20, 2026) &#8212; Supreme Court majority opinion, Chief Justice Roberts</p></li><li><p>SCOTUSblog, &#8220;Supreme Court Strikes Down Tariffs&#8221; (Feb. 20, 2026)</p></li><li><p>Penn Wharton Budget Model, &#8220;Supreme Court Tariff Ruling: IEEPA Revenue and Potential Refunds&#8221; (Feb. 20, 2026)</p></li><li><p>Ropes &amp; Gray LLP, &#8220;Supreme Court Strikes Down IEEPA Tariffs &#8212; Key Takeaways&#8221; (Feb. 23, 2026)</p></li><li><p>WilmerHale, &#8220;Supreme Court Strikes Down IEEPA Tariffs &#8212; What Now?&#8221; (Feb. 20&#8211;21, 2026)</p></li><li><p>Holland &amp; Knight Tariff Task Force alerts (Feb. 20 &amp; March 2, 2026)</p></li><li><p>Brookings Institution, &#8220;Brookings Experts on the Supreme Court&#8217;s Tariff Decision&#8221; (Feb. 25, 2026)</p></li><li><p>CBS News, &#8220;U.S. Manufacturers Are Still Shedding Thousands of Jobs&#8221; (March 6, 2026)</p></li><li><p>Tax Foundation, &#8220;Tariff Tracker: 2026 Trump Tariffs &amp; Trade War by the Numbers&#8221; (April 2026)</p></li><li><p>American Enterprise Institute, &#8220;How Many Manufacturing Jobs Will Trump&#8217;s Tariffs Create? And at What Cost?&#8221; (Oct. 2025)</p></li><li><p>Marketplace / University of Chicago Booth School, Notowidigdo interview (April 2026)</p></li><li><p>CNBC, &#8220;Trump Says Justices Barrett, Gorsuch &#8216;Sicken Me&#8217;&#8221; (March 26, 2026)</p></li><li><p>Congress.gov / Congressional Research Service, &#8220;Supreme Court Rules Against IEEPA Tariffs&#8221; (Feb. 23, 2026)</p></li><li><p>Reshoring Institute Survey, 2025</p></li><li><p>Federal Reserve Bank of New York tariff cost analysis, 2025</p></li></ul><div class="subscription-widget-wrap-editor" data-attrs="{&quot;url&quot;:&quot;https://mikethunderphillips.substack.com/subscribe?&quot;,&quot;text&quot;:&quot;Subscribe&quot;,&quot;language&quot;:&quot;en&quot;}" data-component-name="SubscribeWidgetToDOM"><div class="subscription-widget show-subscribe"><div class="preamble"><p class="cta-caption">Riptide Investigations is a reader-supported publication. To receive new posts and support my work, consider becoming a free or paid subscriber.</p></div><form class="subscription-widget-subscribe"><input type="email" class="email-input" name="email" placeholder="Type your email&#8230;" tabindex="-1"><input type="submit" class="button primary" value="Subscribe"><div class="fake-input-wrapper"><div class="fake-input"></div><div class="fake-button"></div></div></form></div></div>]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[Where Is June? Sources Say Trone's Marriage Is Over — and a New Jersey Widow Has Emerged as His Companion]]></title><description><![CDATA[David Trone has built his congressional brand on his family.]]></description><link>https://mikethunderphillips.substack.com/p/where-is-june-sources-say-trones</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://mikethunderphillips.substack.com/p/where-is-june-sources-say-trones</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Michael "Thunder" Phillips]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Sun, 19 Apr 2026 07:22:12 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Yler!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F37d150b6-95f0-4121-972a-c1bd24682580_1024x683.png" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Yler!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F37d150b6-95f0-4121-972a-c1bd24682580_1024x683.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Yler!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F37d150b6-95f0-4121-972a-c1bd24682580_1024x683.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Yler!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F37d150b6-95f0-4121-972a-c1bd24682580_1024x683.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Yler!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F37d150b6-95f0-4121-972a-c1bd24682580_1024x683.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Yler!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F37d150b6-95f0-4121-972a-c1bd24682580_1024x683.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Yler!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F37d150b6-95f0-4121-972a-c1bd24682580_1024x683.png" width="1024" height="683" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/37d150b6-95f0-4121-972a-c1bd24682580_1024x683.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:683,&quot;width&quot;:1024,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:null,&quot;alt&quot;:&quot;A concerned man in a blazer appears in front of a backdrop featuring the U.S. Capitol and a Maryland flag, accompanied by text discussing marital status and public records.&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:null,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:false,&quot;topImage&quot;:true,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:null,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="A concerned man in a blazer appears in front of a backdrop featuring the U.S. Capitol and a Maryland flag, accompanied by text discussing marital status and public records." title="A concerned man in a blazer appears in front of a backdrop featuring the U.S. Capitol and a Maryland flag, accompanied by text discussing marital status and public records." srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Yler!,w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F37d150b6-95f0-4121-972a-c1bd24682580_1024x683.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Yler!,w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F37d150b6-95f0-4121-972a-c1bd24682580_1024x683.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Yler!,w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F37d150b6-95f0-4121-972a-c1bd24682580_1024x683.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Yler!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F37d150b6-95f0-4121-972a-c1bd24682580_1024x683.png 1456w" sizes="100vw" fetchpriority="high"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg role="img" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><title></title><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><blockquote><p><strong>David Trone has built his congressional brand on his family. Since re-entering the MD-6 race in December 2025, his wife and children have vanished from his campaign. Sources now tell <a href="http://mdbaynews.com">MDBayNews</a> why.</strong></p></blockquote><div><hr></div><p>David Trone wants Maryland&#8217;s 6th Congressional District voters to trust him again. The same voters who sent him home in 2024 &#8212; after two terms defined by his pledge to serve them, his family, and his values &#8212; are now being asked to give him a second chance. But since Trone announced his congressional comeback in December 2025, something is conspicuously missing from his campaign: his wife, June.</p><p>In every previous campaign cycle dating to 2016, June Trone was a constant presence &#8212; in campaign ads, at fundraisers, in the biographical narrative Trone has used to introduce himself to voters again and again. The farm in East Berlin, Pennsylvania. The Furman University courtship. The Wharton MBA. Four children. A partnership built over four decades. It was the story. Since December 2025, June Trone has not appeared in a single piece of campaign material, social media post, or public event.</p><div class="subscription-widget-wrap-editor" data-attrs="{&quot;url&quot;:&quot;https://mikethunderphillips.substack.com/subscribe?&quot;,&quot;text&quot;:&quot;Subscribe&quot;,&quot;language&quot;:&quot;en&quot;}" data-component-name="SubscribeWidgetToDOM"><div class="subscription-widget show-subscribe"><div class="preamble"><p class="cta-caption">Riptide Investigations is a reader-supported publication. To receive new posts and support my work, consider becoming a free or paid subscriber.</p></div><form class="subscription-widget-subscribe"><input type="email" class="email-input" name="email" placeholder="Type your email&#8230;" tabindex="-1"><input type="submit" class="button primary" value="Subscribe"><div class="fake-input-wrapper"><div class="fake-input"></div><div class="fake-button"></div></div></form></div></div><p>MDBayNews first raised this question publicly earlier this month. The campaign did not respond to that story. This week, the answer came into clearer focus.</p><p>A source with direct knowledge of the Trone family&#8217;s personal situation has told MDBayNews that David and June Trone are separated. The marriage, this source says, is over. A review of Maryland public records found no divorce filing as of publication time &#8212; consistent with a separation that has not yet proceeded to formal legal dissolution. The Trone campaign was contacted on Saturday with a detailed list of questions. More than five hours passed without a response. As of publication, the campaign had not replied.</p><blockquote><p><em><strong>&#8220;The family story has been central to how Trone sells himself to voters. They deserve to know whether that story still holds.&#8221;</strong></em></p></blockquote><p>That same source has identified Trone&#8217;s companion as Isabelle Goiran Daly, a widow who resided for years in Fair Haven, New Jersey, and currently lives in Sea Bright, New Jersey. The identification is corroborated by public records. Mrs. Daly&#8217;s late husband, John &#8220;Jack&#8221; Francis Daly Jr., died on December 25, 2010, in New Jersey. He was 55 years old. According to his obituary, Jack Daly grew up on Long Island &#8212; a region David Trone had significant ties to through his father&#8217;s career &#8212; before settling in Monmouth County, New Jersey, where he and Isabelle built their life together.</p><p>The relationship between Trone and Mrs. Daly, according to the source, has been ongoing for as long as a decade &#8212; predating Trone&#8217;s most recent congressional campaign and much of his public career as a family-focused candidate.</p><p>The connection between the Trone and Daly families is further corroborated by social media records. A review of Isabelle Daly&#8217;s Facebook profile &#8212; which lists her education at the Institut Sup&#233;rieur de Gestion, a prestigious business school in Paris consistent with her French maiden name Goiran &#8212; shows that June Trone of Potomac, Maryland is among her Facebook friends. The presence of June Trone in Isabelle Daly&#8217;s friend list establishes a documented social connection between the two women and suggests the Daly and Trone families moved in overlapping circles. It also indicates that June Trone is unlikely to be unaware of her husband&#8217;s companion.</p><p>The name &#8220;Isabella Daly&#8221; &#8212; a slight variation on the confirmed spelling &#8220;Isabelle&#8221; &#8212; began circulating on social media Saturday afternoon after MDBayNews publicly asked the Trone campaign about June&#8217;s absence from the campaign. A separate account replied publicly with the name, identifying her as Trone&#8217;s girlfriend and stating that the marriage was over. That post had limited reach as of Saturday evening. This report is based on independent reporting conducted over several weeks, prior to and entirely separate from that social media post.</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!8VF4!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F85a4d718-2030-466f-a56c-246695033ba1_847x319.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!8VF4!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F85a4d718-2030-466f-a56c-246695033ba1_847x319.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!8VF4!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F85a4d718-2030-466f-a56c-246695033ba1_847x319.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!8VF4!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F85a4d718-2030-466f-a56c-246695033ba1_847x319.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!8VF4!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F85a4d718-2030-466f-a56c-246695033ba1_847x319.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!8VF4!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F85a4d718-2030-466f-a56c-246695033ba1_847x319.png" width="847" height="319" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/85a4d718-2030-466f-a56c-246695033ba1_847x319.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:319,&quot;width&quot;:847,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:50184,&quot;alt&quot;:null,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/png&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:true,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://mikethunderphillips.substack.com/i/194671026?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F85a4d718-2030-466f-a56c-246695033ba1_847x319.png&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!8VF4!,w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F85a4d718-2030-466f-a56c-246695033ba1_847x319.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!8VF4!,w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F85a4d718-2030-466f-a56c-246695033ba1_847x319.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!8VF4!,w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F85a4d718-2030-466f-a56c-246695033ba1_847x319.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!8VF4!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F85a4d718-2030-466f-a56c-246695033ba1_847x319.png 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg role="img" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><title></title><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><p>The significance here goes beyond the personal. In recent months, a pattern has emerged of sitting and aspiring members of Congress whose public personas diverged sharply from their private lives &#8212; from Rep. Eric Swalwell&#8217;s resignation following multiple serious misconduct allegations, to Rep. Tony Gonzales&#8217; reported infidelity while publicly championing traditional values. In both cases, voters said the issue was not the conduct alone, but the gap between what these men said about themselves and who they actually were.</p><p>In Trone&#8217;s case, that gap is compounded by the specific architecture of his political identity. More than most politicians, Trone has sold himself as a family man. His biographical narrative &#8212; the struggling farm family, the self-made entrepreneur, the devoted husband who met June at Furman University and built an empire alongside her &#8212; has been the throughline of every campaign he has run since 2016. The couple&#8217;s bond is so central to his public identity that the student center at Furman bears both their names. June has appeared in television ads. She has spoken at fundraisers. The couple&#8217;s four children, and their golden doodles Lyndon and Hubert, have been reliably present in his public presentation of himself.</p><p>If that marriage has ended, and if Trone has been running a campaign that implicitly trades on family imagery while concealing a separation and a new companion, the question voters are entitled to ask is a straightforward one: What else isn&#8217;t he telling us?</p><div class="callout-block" data-callout="true"><h1 style="text-align: center;"><strong>What else is Trone not telling us?</strong></h1></div><p>MDBayNews has reported extensively on Trone&#8217;s record during this campaign cycle, including an investigation into his claims about his management separation from Total Wine &amp; More during his congressional tenure. The pattern across that reporting and this story is consistent: a candidate who carefully manages his public narrative while the private reality points elsewhere.</p><p>Trone is currently seeking the Democratic nomination for Maryland&#8217;s 6th Congressional District against incumbent Rep. April McClain Delaney. The primary is scheduled for June 2026. He has self-funded more than $80 million across his previous campaigns and has already invested heavily again <em>(over $15m this cycle)</em>.</p><p>The Trone campaign did not respond to a request for comment submitted early Saturday, April 18, 2026, which included the following specific questions: Are David and June Trone separated or in the process of divorce? Is David Trone in a relationship with Isabelle Goiran Daly? Does the campaign have any other comment on the above? More than six hours elapsed between submission and publication without a reply. This story will be updated if a response is received.</p><div><hr></div><p><em>MDBayNews has previously reported on David Trone&#8217;s 2026 congressional <a href="https://mdbaynews.com/trone-tracker/">campaign</a> and his management claims at Total Wine &amp; More. A companion piece examining the broader pattern of congressional candidate conduct and accountability is available at <a href="https://riptide.report/category/series/swalwell-series/">riptide.report</a>.</em></p><div class="subscription-widget-wrap-editor" data-attrs="{&quot;url&quot;:&quot;https://mikethunderphillips.substack.com/subscribe?&quot;,&quot;text&quot;:&quot;Subscribe&quot;,&quot;language&quot;:&quot;en&quot;}" data-component-name="SubscribeWidgetToDOM"><div class="subscription-widget show-subscribe"><div class="preamble"><p class="cta-caption">Riptide Investigations is a reader-supported publication. To receive new posts and support my work, consider becoming a free or paid subscriber.</p></div><form class="subscription-widget-subscribe"><input type="email" class="email-input" name="email" placeholder="Type your email&#8230;" tabindex="-1"><input type="submit" class="button primary" value="Subscribe"><div class="fake-input-wrapper"><div class="fake-input"></div><div class="fake-button"></div></div></form></div></div>]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[Wes Moore's Missing Year]]></title><description><![CDATA[Maryland&#8217;s governor has been everywhere. The question is whether he&#8217;s been here.]]></description><link>https://mikethunderphillips.substack.com/p/wes-moores-missing-year</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://mikethunderphillips.substack.com/p/wes-moores-missing-year</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Michael "Thunder" Phillips]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Sat, 18 Apr 2026 20:02:24 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!nKob!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F2343c235-c991-4a78-b15a-18a4dc102d56_1024x683.png" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!nKob!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F2343c235-c991-4a78-b15a-18a4dc102d56_1024x683.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!nKob!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F2343c235-c991-4a78-b15a-18a4dc102d56_1024x683.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!nKob!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F2343c235-c991-4a78-b15a-18a4dc102d56_1024x683.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!nKob!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F2343c235-c991-4a78-b15a-18a4dc102d56_1024x683.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!nKob!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F2343c235-c991-4a78-b15a-18a4dc102d56_1024x683.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!nKob!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F2343c235-c991-4a78-b15a-18a4dc102d56_1024x683.png" width="1024" height="683" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/2343c235-c991-4a78-b15a-18a4dc102d56_1024x683.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:683,&quot;width&quot;:1024,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:null,&quot;alt&quot;:&quot;Image of Maryland Governor Wes Moore appearing at a National Action Network event, with text highlighting his term challenges including budget deficit and declining approval ratings.&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:null,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:false,&quot;topImage&quot;:true,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:null,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="Image of Maryland Governor Wes Moore appearing at a National Action Network event, with text highlighting his term challenges including budget deficit and declining approval ratings." title="Image of Maryland Governor Wes Moore appearing at a National Action Network event, with text highlighting his term challenges including budget deficit and declining approval ratings." srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!nKob!,w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F2343c235-c991-4a78-b15a-18a4dc102d56_1024x683.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!nKob!,w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F2343c235-c991-4a78-b15a-18a4dc102d56_1024x683.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!nKob!,w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F2343c235-c991-4a78-b15a-18a4dc102d56_1024x683.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!nKob!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F2343c235-c991-4a78-b15a-18a4dc102d56_1024x683.png 1456w" sizes="100vw" fetchpriority="high"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg role="img" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><title></title><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><div><hr></div><p>ANNAPOLIS &#8212; Wes Moore has had a busy year.</p><p>In the spring of 2025, he delivered a commencement address at Lincoln University in Pennsylvania and traveled to South Carolina &#8212; an early presidential primary state &#8212; where he headlined a dinner for the state Democratic Party and highlighted his family ties to the Palmetto State. That summer, he traveled to Japan and South Korea on a six-day trade mission that cost Maryland taxpayers approximately $322,000.</p><div class="subscription-widget-wrap-editor" data-attrs="{&quot;url&quot;:&quot;https://mikethunderphillips.substack.com/subscribe?&quot;,&quot;text&quot;:&quot;Subscribe&quot;,&quot;language&quot;:&quot;en&quot;}" data-component-name="SubscribeWidgetToDOM"><div class="subscription-widget show-subscribe"><div class="preamble"><p class="cta-caption">Riptide Investigations is a reader-supported publication. To receive new posts and support my work, consider becoming a free or paid subscriber.</p></div><form class="subscription-widget-subscribe"><input type="email" class="email-input" name="email" placeholder="Type your email&#8230;" tabindex="-1"><input type="submit" class="button primary" value="Subscribe"><div class="fake-input-wrapper"><div class="fake-input"></div><div class="fake-button"></div></div></form></div></div><p>In June, he held a fundraising brunch in Aspen, Colorado, with a host committee his team informally dubbed <em>&#8220;A Whole Lotta Skiers For Maryland Governor Wes Moore.&#8221;</em> Over Labor Day weekend, photographs published by the Daily Mail showed him shirtless on a yacht at Lake Como &#8212; the Italian villa of actor George Clooney, who has openly called Moore his preferred presidential candidate. The trip was not listed on Moore&#8217;s public schedule.</p><p>In October, Moore went to New Jersey to stump for Democratic gubernatorial candidate Mikie Sherrill. Two weeks later, he made five campaign stops across Virginia in a single day for Abigail Spanberger &#8212; Harrisonburg, Blacksburg, Richmond, Fredericksburg, and Stafford, dawn to dusk &#8212; for a race in a state where he holds no office and answers to no voters. He appeared on The View, Meet the Press, and Fox News &#8212; repeatedly.</p><p>He attended the National Governors Association winter summit in Washington and the DNC&#8217;s winter meeting in Los Angeles, where he was named alongside Gavin Newsom and Gretchen Whitmer as a top-tier potential 2028 presidential contender. He raised $7 million for his reelection &#8212; a Maryland off-year record &#8212; much of it from out-of-state donors.</p><p>In March 2026, with the legislative session still running, he announced a spring commencement tour that would take him to Valley Forge Military Academy in Pennsylvania and Johnson C. Smith University in North Carolina &#8212; two presidential battleground states. CBS News noted the itinerary bore a structural resemblance to Barack Obama&#8217;s pre-campaign commencement circuit in 2006.</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Ov0N!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F7896a5e8-dc3e-4182-b364-982398c554e1_1440x3912.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Ov0N!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F7896a5e8-dc3e-4182-b364-982398c554e1_1440x3912.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Ov0N!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F7896a5e8-dc3e-4182-b364-982398c554e1_1440x3912.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Ov0N!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F7896a5e8-dc3e-4182-b364-982398c554e1_1440x3912.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Ov0N!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F7896a5e8-dc3e-4182-b364-982398c554e1_1440x3912.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Ov0N!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F7896a5e8-dc3e-4182-b364-982398c554e1_1440x3912.png" width="1440" height="3912" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/7896a5e8-dc3e-4182-b364-982398c554e1_1440x3912.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:3912,&quot;width&quot;:1440,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:null,&quot;alt&quot;:&quot;A schedule of events and news updates ranging from commencement activities to political meetings, with specific dates and locations in Maryland and other states.&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:null,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:true,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:null,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="A schedule of events and news updates ranging from commencement activities to political meetings, with specific dates and locations in Maryland and other states." title="A schedule of events and news updates ranging from commencement activities to political meetings, with specific dates and locations in Maryland and other states." srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Ov0N!,w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F7896a5e8-dc3e-4182-b364-982398c554e1_1440x3912.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Ov0N!,w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F7896a5e8-dc3e-4182-b364-982398c554e1_1440x3912.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Ov0N!,w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F7896a5e8-dc3e-4182-b364-982398c554e1_1440x3912.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Ov0N!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F7896a5e8-dc3e-4182-b364-982398c554e1_1440x3912.png 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg role="img" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><title></title><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><p>Then, on January 19, 2026 &#8212; as the Maryland General Assembly was convening for its 90-day session &#8212; a 72-inch sewer line collapsed near the Clara Barton Parkway in Montgomery County, Maryland. Between 243 and 300 million gallons of raw sewage poured into the Potomac River. The University of Maryland called it one of the largest sewage spills in U.S. history. E. coli levels at the spill site tested hundreds of times above EPA safety thresholds. Health advisories went out in Montgomery, Prince George&#8217;s, and Charles counties. Maryland&#8217;s shellfish harvesting areas were closed.</p><p>Moore&#8217;s primary response was to fight with Donald Trump on social media about whose fault it was.</p><p>On April 9, four days before Maryland&#8217;s General Assembly adjourned sine die, Moore flew to New York to appear at Rev. Al Sharpton&#8217;s National Action Network convention, where the crowd stood and chanted for him to run for president in 2028.</p><p>&#8220;I now have, because I keep a clock on my desk, 278 days left in my first term,&#8221; Moore told the audience.</p><p>Back in Annapolis, the 2026 session was closing on a structural deficit, a Moody&#8217;s credit downgrade, and a budget held together with fund swaps. Nearly six in ten Marylanders told a UMBC poll in late March that their state is moving in the wrong direction. Moore&#8217;s approval rating had fallen to 48% &#8212; the first time it had dropped below 50% since he took office.</p><h2><strong>The Potomac Response</strong></h2><p>The legal architecture around the Potomac Interceptor is genuinely complicated. The pipe is owned and operated by DC Water, a regional utility, regulated by the EPA, and sits within C&amp;O Canal National Historical Park &#8212; National Park Service property. Moore&#8217;s office was not wrong to note that federal oversight of this infrastructure predates his tenure by decades, and that the EPA declined to even appear at a Maryland General Assembly hearing on the spill.</p><p>But the break occurred in Montgomery County, Maryland. The environmental damage flowed into Maryland waters. Three Maryland counties issued health advisories. Maryland&#8217;s Department of the Environment was on-site. Maryland requested a federal disaster declaration for its Chesapeake oyster fishery. The Potomac River runs through Maryland.</p><p>What Maryland&#8217;s governor provided in the critical weeks following the collapse was not a visible presence on the ground, not a press conference at the spill site, not a tour of affected communities. What he provided was a social media fight with the president. &#8220;I know this is breaking news to everyone, but the president is not telling the truth,&#8221; Moore said in mid-February &#8212; nearly a month after the pipe collapsed. Trump told the governors they needed to ask for help &#8220;politely.&#8221; Moore responded: &#8220;Please, Mr. President, do your job.&#8221;</p><p>This is the governing style Moore has developed: the national adversary, the national platform, the national frame. It plays well on cable news. It plays less well in Montgomery County, where residents were under health advisories for weeks and where the smell, according to one NBC correspondent who visited the site, was so strong &#8220;you can taste it, even when you&#8217;re talking.&#8221;</p><h2><strong>The Schedule vs. The State</strong></h2><p>This is not an argument that governors should stay in their state capitals and nowhere else. Executive travel is part of the job. The Asia trip had a defensible trade rationale. National coalitions matter, particularly with Maryland facing federal workforce exposure greater than any other state.</p><p>But there is a difference between a governor who builds national standing to serve his state and one whose schedule, as Maryland-based Democratic strategist Len Foxwell observed, &#8220;is at odds with his message.&#8221; Foxwell made that observation before the 2026 session began. It did not become less true as the session progressed.</p><p>During the 90-day session itself, Moore&#8217;s calendar reflected a man managing two parallel careers. In February alone &#8212; the same month the Potomac spill was dominating Maryland news &#8212; he attended the National Governors Association winter summit, spoke at the Economic Club of Washington, attended a White House meeting with President Trump, and appeared at Politico&#8217;s 2026 Governors Summit. His redistricting fight was dying in the Senate Rules Committee. His budget was being negotiated in committee. His state&#8217;s largest environmental disaster in recent memory was unfolding in Montgomery County.</p><p>The internal picture is not steadier. By October 2025, eight of Moore&#8217;s 27 cabinet secretaries had resigned &#8212; a turnover rate that state Del. Ryan Nawrocki described as &#8220;unprecedented&#8221; and that the Baltimore Sun said outpaced any previous Maryland governor. The departures included his chief of staff, the transportation secretary, the health secretary, and the state police superintendent. </p><p>One departing secretary, former Juvenile Services Secretary Vincent Schiraldi, wrote publicly that &#8220;history doesn&#8217;t smile on people who say they were only following orders as they operationalized human rights abuses&#8221; &#8212; a striking parting statement about his own department&#8217;s operations under Moore&#8217;s administration. The governor and Schiraldi publicly contradicted each other about whether the resignation was voluntary or ordered.</p><div class="pullquote"><p><em><strong>&#8220;History doesn&#8217;t smile on people who say they were only following orders as they operationalized human rights abuses.&#8221;</strong></em></p><p>&#8212; former Juvenile Services Secretary Vincent Schiraldi</p></div><h2><strong>The Redistricting Tell</strong></h2><p>Nothing in the 2026 session illustrated Moore&#8217;s divided attention more sharply than redistricting &#8212; a fight he framed not as a Maryland priority but as a national one, in national language, for a national audience.</p><p>When Senate President Bill Ferguson refused to advance the redistricting bill, Moore did not negotiate quietly. He went to New York to speak at the National Action Network. He told Fox News, &#8220;Fighting for democracy is never risky.&#8221; He told his own Senate president, &#8220;Don&#8217;t play with me.&#8221;</p><p>The bill died in committee &#8212; not because Republicans killed it, but because Moore&#8217;s own party concluded the legal and political risks were too high. A governor focused primarily on Maryland might have read that resistance early and found a different path. Moore instead escalated publicly, drew national attention to an intra-party fight he was losing, and left for New York while the session wound down.</p><h2><strong>The Numbers at Home</strong></h2><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!nci7!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F30b9d1ef-c411-4fe9-b1f2-d9c3877da542_1440x986.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!nci7!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F30b9d1ef-c411-4fe9-b1f2-d9c3877da542_1440x986.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!nci7!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F30b9d1ef-c411-4fe9-b1f2-d9c3877da542_1440x986.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!nci7!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F30b9d1ef-c411-4fe9-b1f2-d9c3877da542_1440x986.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!nci7!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F30b9d1ef-c411-4fe9-b1f2-d9c3877da542_1440x986.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!nci7!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F30b9d1ef-c411-4fe9-b1f2-d9c3877da542_1440x986.png" width="1440" height="986" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/30b9d1ef-c411-4fe9-b1f2-d9c3877da542_1440x986.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:986,&quot;width&quot;:1440,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:null,&quot;alt&quot;:&quot;Line graph showing Moore's job approval rating from 2023 to 2026, peaking at approximately 65% in early 2023, dropping to 54% in October 2024, and projected to fall to 48% by March 2026, with annotations highlighting notable events.&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:null,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:true,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:null,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="Line graph showing Moore's job approval rating from 2023 to 2026, peaking at approximately 65% in early 2023, dropping to 54% in October 2024, and projected to fall to 48% by March 2026, with annotations highlighting notable events." title="Line graph showing Moore's job approval rating from 2023 to 2026, peaking at approximately 65% in early 2023, dropping to 54% in October 2024, and projected to fall to 48% by March 2026, with annotations highlighting notable events." srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!nci7!,w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F30b9d1ef-c411-4fe9-b1f2-d9c3877da542_1440x986.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!nci7!,w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F30b9d1ef-c411-4fe9-b1f2-d9c3877da542_1440x986.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!nci7!,w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F30b9d1ef-c411-4fe9-b1f2-d9c3877da542_1440x986.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!nci7!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F30b9d1ef-c411-4fe9-b1f2-d9c3877da542_1440x986.png 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg role="img" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><title></title><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><p>The UMBC poll released April 1 found Moore&#8217;s approval at 48%, down from 54% in October 2024 and from the mid-60s early in his tenure. The top reasons for disapproval: taxes and fees, cited by 27% of respondents, and poor leadership, dishonesty, and personal dislikes, cited by 24%.</p><p>A week before the poll dropped, Moore was booed at Camden Yards during the Orioles home opener &#8212; the second consecutive year he faced a hostile reception at the ballpark. His response was to appear on a national media program alongside Jen Psaki to attack the Baltimore Sun. His approval rating in Maryland was below 50%. His audience for the rebuttal was national.</p><p>The Baltimore Sun&#8217;s own commentary pages published a column arguing that &#8220;Moore&#8217;s habit of fleeing to national stages is telling&#8221; and that his national ambitions had come at the expense of governing Maryland. That was not a conservative outlet. It was the state&#8217;s paper of record.</p><h2><strong>The 278-Day Clock</strong></h2><p>At the NAN convention, Moore told the crowd he had 278 days left in his first term. He said it to make a point about focus &#8212; that the moment required attention to 2026, not 2028.</p><p>The arithmetic is worth sitting with. By the time the General Assembly reconvenes in January 2027, Moore will be a governor in the final year of his first term, running for reelection, with every decision filtered through that lens. The structural deficit he deferred this session will be waiting. The Blueprint cost trajectory will be one year closer to exhausting its trust fund. The Moody&#8217;s downgrade will still be on the books. The Potomac Interceptor, repaired in March, will still be a 60-year-old pipe in a state whose governor spent the weeks after it failed fighting about it on social media rather than standing next to it. And Moore will be in Pennsylvania and North Carolina, giving commencement addresses.</p><p>He told the NAN crowd he is &#8220;hungry, but not thirsty.&#8221; Maryland does not need a governor who is hungry for what comes next. It needs one who is present for what is happening now.</p><p>The clock is counting down in Annapolis, too.</p><div><hr></div><p><strong>SOURCES: </strong><em>CBS News, &#8220;Wes Moore to give commencement addresses in 2028 battleground states,&#8221; March 9, 2026; Washington Examiner, &#8220;Wes Moore rolls out commencement tour in battleground territory,&#8221; March 9, 2026; NBC News / Wikipedia, &#8220;2026 Potomac River sewage spill,&#8221; January&#8211;March 2026; NBC News, &#8220;Potomac River E. coli levels skyrocket after 240 million gallons of sewage,&#8221; February 18, 2026; The Hill, &#8220;Politicians clash over Potomac River sewage spill,&#8221; February 18, 2026; Maryland Matters, &#8220;Maryland congressional delegation enters the fray over massive Potomac sewage spill,&#8221; February 19, 2026; Fox Baltimore / Baltimore Sun, &#8220;Maryland Gov. Wes Moore to stump for Spanberger in Virginia, make 5 stops across state,&#8221; October 31, 2025; Shore News Network, &#8220;What You Need to Know About Wes Moore Campaigning in New Jersey for Mikie Sherrill,&#8221; October 2025; Fox Baltimore, &#8220;Maryland Gov. Wes Moore&#8217;s recent travels include Asia, Italy, and key 2028 states,&#8221; September 5, 2025; Maryland Matters, &#8220;Moore&#8217;s Italian weekend with George Clooney was paid out of pocket,&#8221; September 3, 2025; Maryland Matters, &#8220;As he ramps up political activities, Moore hires ex-Whitmer aide to helm campaign,&#8221; June 27, 2025; Baltimore Banner / Baltimore Sun / Fox Baltimore, cabinet departures coverage, October 2025; UMBC Institute of Politics poll, April 1, 2026, via Maryland Matters and CBS Baltimore; Washington Examiner, &#8220;Wes Moore urged to run for president in 2028,&#8221; April 9, 2026; Baltimore Sun, &#8220;Wes Moore booed during Orioles opening day,&#8221; March 27, 2026; Baltimore Sun / Torrey Snow column, &#8220;Wes Moore shows he&#8217;s losing control of the narrative,&#8221; April 9, 2026; WYPR, &#8220;Moore reflects on Maryland legislative session,&#8221; April 14, 2026.</em></p><div class="subscription-widget-wrap-editor" data-attrs="{&quot;url&quot;:&quot;https://mikethunderphillips.substack.com/subscribe?&quot;,&quot;text&quot;:&quot;Subscribe&quot;,&quot;language&quot;:&quot;en&quot;}" data-component-name="SubscribeWidgetToDOM"><div class="subscription-widget show-subscribe"><div class="preamble"><p class="cta-caption">Riptide Investigations is a reader-supported publication. To receive new posts and support my work, consider becoming a free or paid subscriber.</p></div><form class="subscription-widget-subscribe"><input type="email" class="email-input" name="email" placeholder="Type your email&#8230;" tabindex="-1"><input type="submit" class="button primary" value="Subscribe"><div class="fake-input-wrapper"><div class="fake-input"></div><div class="fake-button"></div></div></form></div></div>]]></content:encoded></item></channel></rss>