<?xml version="1.0" encoding="UTF-8"?><rss xmlns:dc="http://purl.org/dc/elements/1.1/" xmlns:content="http://purl.org/rss/1.0/modules/content/" xmlns:atom="http://www.w3.org/2005/Atom" version="2.0" xmlns:itunes="http://www.itunes.com/dtds/podcast-1.0.dtd" xmlns:googleplay="http://www.google.com/schemas/play-podcasts/1.0"><channel><title><![CDATA[Riptide Investigations: California Bay News]]></title><description><![CDATA[CABayNews is part of the BayNews Network — a multi-state, independent investigative journalism platform including MDBayNews (Maryland) and VABayNews (Virginia).]]></description><link>https://mikethunderphillips.substack.com/s/california-bay-news</link><image><url>https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!6RLQ!,w_256,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fa6a99b0f-2abb-4672-8521-b06a97457d1a_1254x1254.png</url><title>Riptide Investigations: California Bay News</title><link>https://mikethunderphillips.substack.com/s/california-bay-news</link></image><generator>Substack</generator><lastBuildDate>Tue, 14 Apr 2026 14:27:10 GMT</lastBuildDate><atom:link href="https://mikethunderphillips.substack.com/feed" rel="self" type="application/rss+xml"/><copyright><![CDATA[Michael Phillips]]></copyright><language><![CDATA[en]]></language><webMaster><![CDATA[mikethunderphillips@substack.com]]></webMaster><itunes:owner><itunes:email><![CDATA[mikethunderphillips@substack.com]]></itunes:email><itunes:name><![CDATA[Michael "Thunder" Phillips]]></itunes:name></itunes:owner><itunes:author><![CDATA[Michael "Thunder" Phillips]]></itunes:author><googleplay:owner><![CDATA[mikethunderphillips@substack.com]]></googleplay:owner><googleplay:email><![CDATA[mikethunderphillips@substack.com]]></googleplay:email><googleplay:author><![CDATA[Michael "Thunder" Phillips]]></googleplay:author><itunes:block><![CDATA[Yes]]></itunes:block><item><title><![CDATA[When Bureaucracy Meets Baseball: Is the Government Overreaching on the Athletics’ Trademark?]]></title><description><![CDATA[By any normal measure, the Athletics are not a fly-by-night startup trying to game the trademark system.]]></description><link>https://mikethunderphillips.substack.com/p/when-bureaucracy-meets-baseball-is</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://mikethunderphillips.substack.com/p/when-bureaucracy-meets-baseball-is</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Michael "Thunder" Phillips]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Wed, 07 Jan 2026 10:30:31 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Dri6!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fc9183322-5a29-468b-b38a-003460a4948a_1024x576.jpeg" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Dri6!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fc9183322-5a29-468b-b38a-003460a4948a_1024x576.jpeg" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Dri6!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fc9183322-5a29-468b-b38a-003460a4948a_1024x576.jpeg 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Dri6!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fc9183322-5a29-468b-b38a-003460a4948a_1024x576.jpeg 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Dri6!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fc9183322-5a29-468b-b38a-003460a4948a_1024x576.jpeg 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Dri6!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fc9183322-5a29-468b-b38a-003460a4948a_1024x576.jpeg 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Dri6!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fc9183322-5a29-468b-b38a-003460a4948a_1024x576.jpeg" width="1024" height="576" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/c9183322-5a29-468b-b38a-003460a4948a_1024x576.jpeg&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:576,&quot;width&quot;:1024,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:null,&quot;alt&quot;:&quot;Athletics unveil new stadium renderings&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:null,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:false,&quot;topImage&quot;:true,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:null,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="Athletics unveil new stadium renderings" title="Athletics unveil new stadium renderings" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Dri6!,w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fc9183322-5a29-468b-b38a-003460a4948a_1024x576.jpeg 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Dri6!,w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fc9183322-5a29-468b-b38a-003460a4948a_1024x576.jpeg 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Dri6!,w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fc9183322-5a29-468b-b38a-003460a4948a_1024x576.jpeg 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Dri6!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fc9183322-5a29-468b-b38a-003460a4948a_1024x576.jpeg 1456w" sizes="100vw" fetchpriority="high"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg role="img" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><title></title><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><p>By any normal measure, the <strong>Athletics</strong> are not a fly-by-night startup trying to game the trademark system. They are a century-old professional sports franchise that has played Major League Baseball under the same core identity since 1901, moving cities but never abandoning the &#8220;Athletics&#8221; name. Yet as they prepare for their controversial relocation to Las Vegas, the federal government has told them&#8212;twice&#8212;that they cannot yet call themselves the <strong>&#8220;Las Vegas Athletics.&#8221;</strong></p><p>The question is no longer just about trademark law. It&#8217;s about whether a rigid, timing-obsessed bureaucracy is overstepping when it applies small-business rules to a globally recognized sports institution.</p><div class="subscription-widget-wrap-editor" data-attrs="{&quot;url&quot;:&quot;https://mikethunderphillips.substack.com/subscribe?&quot;,&quot;text&quot;:&quot;Subscribe&quot;,&quot;language&quot;:&quot;en&quot;}" data-component-name="SubscribeWidgetToDOM"><div class="subscription-widget show-subscribe"><div class="preamble"><p class="cta-caption">The Thunder Report is a reader-supported publication. To receive new posts and support my work, consider becoming a free or paid subscriber.</p></div><form class="subscription-widget-subscribe"><input type="email" class="email-input" name="email" placeholder="Type your email&#8230;" tabindex="-1"><input type="submit" class="button primary" value="Subscribe"><div class="fake-input-wrapper"><div class="fake-input"></div><div class="fake-button"></div></div></form></div></div><h3>The USPTO Says the Name Is &#8220;Too Obvious&#8221;</h3><p>On December 29, 2025, the U.S. Patent and Trademark Office issued a second non-final refusal of trademark applications for &#8220;Las Vegas Athletics&#8221; and &#8220;Vegas Athletics.&#8221; The reason: the marks are &#8220;primarily geographically descriptive&#8221; under Section 2(e)(2) of the Lanham Act.</p><p>In plain English, the government&#8217;s position is this:</p><ul><li><p>&#8220;Las Vegas&#8221; (or &#8220;Vegas&#8221;) is a well-known location.</p></li><li><p>&#8220;Athletics&#8221; describes sports activity.</p></li><li><p>Put together, the phrase merely describes a sports team in Las Vegas&#8212;not a distinctive brand.</p></li></ul><p>This logic is not new. The USPTO routinely blocks attempts by new companies to monopolize phrases like &#8220;Chicago Pizza&#8221; or &#8220;Miami Fitness.&#8221; The law is designed to prevent businesses from locking up generic geography-plus-description combinations.</p><p>But here&#8217;s the problem: the Athletics are not a new business, and &#8220;Athletics&#8221; is not a new brand.</p><h3>A Century of Use&#8212;and Still Not Enough?</h3><p>The team&#8212;formally the Oakland Athletics, and temporarily playing in Sacramento&#8212;argued that &#8220;Athletics&#8221; has acquired distinctiveness through more than 100 years of continuous use in professional baseball. They cited prior registrations for &#8220;Philadelphia Athletics,&#8221; &#8220;Kansas City Athletics,&#8221; and &#8220;Oakland Athletics.&#8221;</p><p>The USPTO&#8217;s response was technically correct&#8212;and practically tone-deaf: each trademark application is evaluated independently, and prior city-specific registrations do not automatically carry over to a new geographic designation.</p><p>From a procedural standpoint, that&#8217;s true. From a real-world standpoint, it borders on absurd. Fans, broadcasters, merchandisers, and sponsors already understand what &#8220;the Athletics&#8221; are. No rational consumer believes &#8220;Las Vegas Athletics&#8221; could refer to just any athletic activity in Nevada.</p><h3>Timing as a Weapon</h3><p>The government&#8217;s real leverage here isn&#8217;t substance&#8212;it&#8217;s timing.</p><p>Because the team will not actually play in Las Vegas until 2028 (with interim seasons in Sacramento), the USPTO says the Athletics cannot yet prove &#8220;acquired distinctiveness&#8221; tied specifically to Las Vegas. No Las Vegas ticket sales. No Las Vegas advertising data. No Las Vegas consumer surveys.</p><p>This creates a regulatory Catch-22:</p><ul><li><p>You can&#8217;t register the name until you play there.</p></li><li><p>You can&#8217;t fully protect the name while preparing to play there.</p></li><li><p>And during that gap, third parties can exploit the ambiguity.</p></li></ul><p>For a major franchise investing billions in a relocation, that&#8217;s not a minor inconvenience&#8212;it&#8217;s a structural vulnerability created by federal process.</p><h3>Compare the Raiders&#8212;and the Inconsistency Becomes Clear</h3><p>The contrast with the Las Vegas Raiders is instructive. &#8220;Raiders&#8221; is an inherently distinctive term&#8212;evoking pirates, not football&#8212;and therefore avoids the geographic descriptiveness trap. The NFL franchise has operated under the Las Vegas name since 2020 with minimal friction from regulators, relying on common-law rights even while some federal registrations remain pending.</p><p>The Athletics don&#8217;t have that luxury. &#8220;Athletics,&#8221; despite its historic branding power, is treated as a generic descriptor when stripped of its legacy context.</p><p>Legally neat? Yes.<br>Practically coherent? Not really.</p><h3>Is This What Trademark Law Was Meant to Do?</h3><p>Trademark law exists to prevent consumer confusion and unfair competition&#8212;not to pretend that a 124-year-old MLB franchise is indistinguishable from a local rec league.</p><p>No one is confused about who the &#8220;Las Vegas Athletics&#8221; would be.<br>No one thinks they&#8217;re shopping for generic athletic services.<br>And no one benefits when bureaucratic formalism delays brand certainty for a major employer, taxpayer, and cultural institution.</p><p>Even trademark experts acknowledge this is likely a temporary hurdle. The team has six months to respond, can move the marks to the Supplemental Register, or can simply wait until real Las Vegas use generates the evidence the USPTO demands. Most expect the registrations to succeed eventually.</p><p>But the larger issue remains: the government is enforcing the letter of the law while ignoring its purpose.</p><h3>A Procedural Obstacle, Not a Public Interest Victory</h3><p>This isn&#8217;t consumer protection. It&#8217;s administrative inertia.</p><p>When federal agencies apply one-size-fits-all standards without discretion for context, they risk undermining confidence in the system itself. The Athletics will almost certainly prevail in the long run&#8212;but only after wasting time, money, and legal effort navigating a problem that exists largely on paper.</p><p>For a country that prides itself on free enterprise, strong property rights, and common sense, that&#8217;s a warning sign worth paying attention to&#8212;far beyond baseball.</p><div class="subscription-widget-wrap-editor" data-attrs="{&quot;url&quot;:&quot;https://mikethunderphillips.substack.com/subscribe?&quot;,&quot;text&quot;:&quot;Subscribe&quot;,&quot;language&quot;:&quot;en&quot;}" data-component-name="SubscribeWidgetToDOM"><div class="subscription-widget show-subscribe"><div class="preamble"><p class="cta-caption">The Thunder Report is a reader-supported publication. To receive new posts and support my work, consider becoming a free or paid subscriber.</p></div><form class="subscription-widget-subscribe"><input type="email" class="email-input" name="email" placeholder="Type your email&#8230;" tabindex="-1"><input type="submit" class="button primary" value="Subscribe"><div class="fake-input-wrapper"><div class="fake-input"></div><div class="fake-button"></div></div></form></div></div>]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[California’s Fraud Problem Is Real — But Politics Is Obscuring the Truth]]></title><description><![CDATA[When Donald Trump declared on Truth Social this week that a &#8220;Fraud Investigation of California has begun,&#8221; the response from Sacramento was immediate &#8212; and dismissive.]]></description><link>https://mikethunderphillips.substack.com/p/californias-fraud-problem-is-real</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://mikethunderphillips.substack.com/p/californias-fraud-problem-is-real</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Michael "Thunder" Phillips]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Wed, 07 Jan 2026 04:38:29 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Z51B!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F9eb622bf-522e-4c1c-b709-e714bd8beb85_1280x720.jpeg" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Z51B!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F9eb622bf-522e-4c1c-b709-e714bd8beb85_1280x720.jpeg" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Z51B!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F9eb622bf-522e-4c1c-b709-e714bd8beb85_1280x720.jpeg 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Z51B!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F9eb622bf-522e-4c1c-b709-e714bd8beb85_1280x720.jpeg 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Z51B!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F9eb622bf-522e-4c1c-b709-e714bd8beb85_1280x720.jpeg 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Z51B!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F9eb622bf-522e-4c1c-b709-e714bd8beb85_1280x720.jpeg 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Z51B!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F9eb622bf-522e-4c1c-b709-e714bd8beb85_1280x720.jpeg" width="1280" height="720" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/9eb622bf-522e-4c1c-b709-e714bd8beb85_1280x720.jpeg&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:&quot;normal&quot;,&quot;height&quot;:720,&quot;width&quot;:1280,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:0,&quot;alt&quot;:null,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:false,&quot;topImage&quot;:true,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:null,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Z51B!,w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F9eb622bf-522e-4c1c-b709-e714bd8beb85_1280x720.jpeg 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Z51B!,w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F9eb622bf-522e-4c1c-b709-e714bd8beb85_1280x720.jpeg 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Z51B!,w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F9eb622bf-522e-4c1c-b709-e714bd8beb85_1280x720.jpeg 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Z51B!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F9eb622bf-522e-4c1c-b709-e714bd8beb85_1280x720.jpeg 1456w" sizes="100vw" fetchpriority="high"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg role="img" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><title></title><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><p>When Donald Trump declared on Truth Social this week that a &#8220;Fraud Investigation of California has begun,&#8221; the response from Sacramento was immediate &#8212; and dismissive. Gavin Newsom&#8217;s office countered that California has blocked more than $125 billion in fraud attempts and aggressively prosecutes scams.</p><p>Both claims can be true. And that&#8217;s precisely the problem.</p><p>California does have a serious fraud problem &#8212; particularly in massive, fast-moving government programs where oversight lags behind spending. But by framing the issue as a partisan showdown, state and federal leaders risk turning a legitimate accountability question into just another red-versus-blue food fight.</p><p>The backdrop to Trump&#8217;s claim matters. The U.S. Department of Health and Human Services has frozen roughly $10 billion in federal funds to California and four other Democratic-led states, citing concerns about fraud and misuse in child care and social services programs. Those funds support programs like TANF and the Child Care and Development Fund &#8212; lifelines for working families.</p><p><strong>Here&#8217;s the catch:</strong> while Minnesota has already seen  child care fraud cases involving hundreds of millions of dollars, no comparable public evidence has yet been produced for California. That hasn&#8217;t stopped the freeze, nor has it stopped Sacramento from responding with broad assurances rather than specifics.</p><p>California&#8217;s history suggests skepticism is warranted on both sides.</p><p>During the pandemic, California lost tens of billions of dollars to unemployment insurance fraud. Prison inmates, international crime rings, and identity thieves drained a system overwhelmed by speed-over-controls policymaking. Similar vulnerabilities exist today across social services, housing assistance, disaster relief, and child care subsidies &#8212; programs that are vast, decentralized, and often administered through third parties.</p><p>Newsom is right that California has improved fraud detection. He&#8217;s wrong to pretend the state&#8217;s systems are beyond reproach.</p><p>Trump is right that federal oversight has been lax for years. He&#8217;s wrong to announce investigations by social media post without naming agencies, programs, or evidence.</p><p>The real losers in this political theater are California families and providers caught in the middle. A funding freeze based on vague allegations creates uncertainty, raises costs, and undermines trust. But so does a state government that treats every fraud inquiry as a partisan attack rather than an opportunity to prove competence.</p><p>A serious fraud investigation &#8212; transparent, documented, and program-specific &#8212; would benefit everyone. If California&#8217;s safeguards are as strong as claimed, they should withstand scrutiny. If they&#8217;re not, taxpayers deserve to know.</p><p>Fraud isn&#8217;t a Republican talking point or a Democratic embarrassment. It&#8217;s a governance failure. California has enough of those already without turning accountability into performance art.</p><p>What the state &#8212; and the country &#8212; needs now is less rhetoric and more receipts.</p>]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[Swalwell’s Anti-ICE Rhetoric Tests the Line Between Oversight and Political Recklessness]]></title><description><![CDATA[As California&#8217;s 2026 gubernatorial race takes shape, Eric Swalwell is staking out a familiar position: aggressive opposition to federal immigration enforcement.]]></description><link>https://mikethunderphillips.substack.com/p/swalwells-anti-ice-rhetoric-tests</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://mikethunderphillips.substack.com/p/swalwells-anti-ice-rhetoric-tests</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Michael "Thunder" Phillips]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Fri, 02 Jan 2026 22:35:19 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!kk0Z!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fee40080e-a8b3-435d-9509-be46297334d2_1440x960.jpeg" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!kk0Z!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fee40080e-a8b3-435d-9509-be46297334d2_1440x960.jpeg" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!kk0Z!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fee40080e-a8b3-435d-9509-be46297334d2_1440x960.jpeg 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!kk0Z!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fee40080e-a8b3-435d-9509-be46297334d2_1440x960.jpeg 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!kk0Z!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fee40080e-a8b3-435d-9509-be46297334d2_1440x960.jpeg 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!kk0Z!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fee40080e-a8b3-435d-9509-be46297334d2_1440x960.jpeg 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!kk0Z!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fee40080e-a8b3-435d-9509-be46297334d2_1440x960.jpeg" width="1440" height="960" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/ee40080e-a8b3-435d-9509-be46297334d2_1440x960.jpeg&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:960,&quot;width&quot;:1440,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:null,&quot;alt&quot;:&quot;Democratic Rep. Eric Swalwell announces bid for California governor - The  Washington Post&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:null,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:false,&quot;topImage&quot;:true,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:null,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="Democratic Rep. Eric Swalwell announces bid for California governor - The  Washington Post" title="Democratic Rep. Eric Swalwell announces bid for California governor - The  Washington Post" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!kk0Z!,w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fee40080e-a8b3-435d-9509-be46297334d2_1440x960.jpeg 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!kk0Z!,w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fee40080e-a8b3-435d-9509-be46297334d2_1440x960.jpeg 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!kk0Z!,w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fee40080e-a8b3-435d-9509-be46297334d2_1440x960.jpeg 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!kk0Z!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fee40080e-a8b3-435d-9509-be46297334d2_1440x960.jpeg 1456w" sizes="100vw" fetchpriority="high"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg role="img" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><title></title><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><p>As California&#8217;s 2026 gubernatorial race takes shape, <strong>Eric Swalwell</strong> is staking out a familiar position: aggressive opposition to federal immigration enforcement. But his recent comments targeting U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) agents raise serious questions about whether oversight has given way to political grandstanding&#8212;and whether California voters are being asked to accept a dangerous precedent.</p><h3>&#8220;Unmasking&#8221; Federal Agents</h3><p>In a widely circulated video clip from a NewsNation interview, Swalwell argued that ICE agents should be required to &#8220;take off their masks and show their faces&#8221; during enforcement actions. He framed the proposal as a transparency and accountability measure, warning that masked agents who fail to identify themselves should face legal consequences&#8212;including potential criminal charges if laws are violated.</p><div class="subscription-widget-wrap-editor" data-attrs="{&quot;url&quot;:&quot;https://mikethunderphillips.substack.com/subscribe?&quot;,&quot;text&quot;:&quot;Subscribe&quot;,&quot;language&quot;:&quot;en&quot;}" data-component-name="SubscribeWidgetToDOM"><div class="subscription-widget show-subscribe"><div class="preamble"><p class="cta-caption">The Thunder Report is a reader-supported publication. To receive new posts and support my work, consider becoming a free or paid subscriber.</p></div><form class="subscription-widget-subscribe"><input type="email" class="email-input" name="email" placeholder="Type your email&#8230;" tabindex="-1"><input type="submit" class="button primary" value="Subscribe"><div class="fake-input-wrapper"><div class="fake-input"></div><div class="fake-button"></div></div></form></div></div><p>Swalwell went further, suggesting that agents who refuse to unmask or properly identify themselves should not be eligible for California driver&#8217;s licenses. The rhetoric was explicit: California, under his leadership, would &#8220;go on offense&#8221; against federal agents he believes are acting unlawfully.</p><p>Conservative commentator <strong>Benny Johnson</strong> amplified the clip on X, portraying Swalwell&#8217;s remarks as a vow to expose and arrest ICE agents while California continues issuing driver&#8217;s licenses to undocumented immigrants under existing state law. That framing&#8212;whether fully accurate or not&#8212;captured why the comments exploded beyond a routine policy debate.</p><h3>Accountability or Intimidation?</h3><p>To be clear, Swalwell has not explicitly called for blanket arrests of ICE officers. His defenders argue that he is talking about accountability for specific criminal acts, not indiscriminate punishment. But politics is not a courtroom transcript, and his language matters&#8212;especially when it targets line-level federal officers.</p><p>During a July 2025 House Homeland Security Committee hearing, Swalwell compared masked ICE agents to &#8220;bank robbers terrorizing women,&#8221; a provocative analogy that inflamed critics. In other interviews, he claimed, &#8220;Real cops don&#8217;t wear masks,&#8221; dismissing long-standing law-enforcement practices designed to protect officers from retaliation by gangs, cartels, or extremist groups.</p><p>This is not occurring in a vacuum. ICE agents operate against transnational criminal organizations that have demonstrated a willingness to target law enforcement families. Masking, while controversial, is often justified as a basic safety measure&#8212;not a symbol of secrecy for secrecy&#8217;s sake.</p><h3>The Federal-State Collision Course</h3><p>Swalwell also supported H.R. 4004 in June 2025, legislation that would require ICE agents to clearly identify themselves and restrict facial coverings, with limited safety exceptions. That bill reflects a broader Democratic strategy: using legislation and budget pressure to constrain federal immigration enforcement.</p><p>California Governor <strong>Gavin Newsom</strong> has echoed similar concerns about impersonation and community trust. But critics argue that the cumulative effect of this rhetoric is to delegitimize federal authority entirely&#8212;turning immigration enforcement into a partisan culture-war battlefield rather than a serious governance issue.</p><p>Republicans and ICE supporters see Swalwell&#8217;s posture as reckless. In September 2025, the White House even cited him among officials accused of rhetoric that could incite violence against ICE by making agents &#8220;no longer faceless.&#8221; Whether one accepts that claim or not, it underscores how heated&#8212;and consequential&#8212;this debate has become.</p><h3>A Gubernatorial Preview Californians Should Take Seriously</h3><p>California already allows undocumented immigrants to obtain driver&#8217;s licenses under AB 60, a policy in place since 2015. Critics note the contradiction: a state willing to license undocumented residents while threatening to deny licenses to federal agents for following agency safety protocols.</p><p>For a gubernatorial candidate, this is not symbolic talk. Governors command the state&#8217;s law-enforcement posture, control cooperation with federal agencies, and shape the tone of civil order. Swalwell&#8217;s comments suggest a governorship defined less by pragmatic management and more by ideological confrontation with Washington.</p><p>Oversight of law enforcement is legitimate. Demonizing officers for political gain is not. As Californians evaluate Swalwell&#8217;s bid for governor, they should ask a simple question: does this approach make the state safer, or does it score points by escalating conflict with the very institutions tasked with enforcing the law?</p><p>In a state facing homelessness, crime, infrastructure decay, and a fragile budget outlook, voters may decide that unmasking ICE agents is less a solution&#8212;and more a distraction.</p><div class="subscription-widget-wrap-editor" data-attrs="{&quot;url&quot;:&quot;https://mikethunderphillips.substack.com/subscribe?&quot;,&quot;text&quot;:&quot;Subscribe&quot;,&quot;language&quot;:&quot;en&quot;}" data-component-name="SubscribeWidgetToDOM"><div class="subscription-widget show-subscribe"><div class="preamble"><p class="cta-caption">The Thunder Report is a reader-supported publication. To receive new posts and support my work, consider becoming a free or paid subscriber.</p></div><form class="subscription-widget-subscribe"><input type="email" class="email-input" name="email" placeholder="Type your email&#8230;" tabindex="-1"><input type="submit" class="button primary" value="Subscribe"><div class="fake-input-wrapper"><div class="fake-input"></div><div class="fake-button"></div></div></form></div></div>]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[Bizarre Plane Theft Attempt Ends With Cessna Crashing Into Hangar at Van Nuys Airport]]></title><description><![CDATA[A bizarre early-morning security breach at Van Nuys Airport has raised fresh questions about airport access controls after a trespasser stole a small training aircraft and crashed it into a hangar &#8212; without ever leaving the ground.]]></description><link>https://mikethunderphillips.substack.com/p/bizarre-plane-theft-attempt-ends</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://mikethunderphillips.substack.com/p/bizarre-plane-theft-attempt-ends</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Michael "Thunder" Phillips]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Thu, 18 Dec 2025 20:54:00 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!fc4p!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F2cc28e45-6f23-4dc0-96ef-6aaa26c486a1_1024x576.png" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!fc4p!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F2cc28e45-6f23-4dc0-96ef-6aaa26c486a1_1024x576.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!fc4p!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F2cc28e45-6f23-4dc0-96ef-6aaa26c486a1_1024x576.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!fc4p!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F2cc28e45-6f23-4dc0-96ef-6aaa26c486a1_1024x576.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!fc4p!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F2cc28e45-6f23-4dc0-96ef-6aaa26c486a1_1024x576.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!fc4p!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F2cc28e45-6f23-4dc0-96ef-6aaa26c486a1_1024x576.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!fc4p!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F2cc28e45-6f23-4dc0-96ef-6aaa26c486a1_1024x576.png" width="1024" height="576" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/2cc28e45-6f23-4dc0-96ef-6aaa26c486a1_1024x576.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:576,&quot;width&quot;:1024,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:null,&quot;alt&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:null,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:false,&quot;topImage&quot;:true,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:null,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" title="" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!fc4p!,w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F2cc28e45-6f23-4dc0-96ef-6aaa26c486a1_1024x576.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!fc4p!,w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F2cc28e45-6f23-4dc0-96ef-6aaa26c486a1_1024x576.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!fc4p!,w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F2cc28e45-6f23-4dc0-96ef-6aaa26c486a1_1024x576.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!fc4p!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F2cc28e45-6f23-4dc0-96ef-6aaa26c486a1_1024x576.png 1456w" sizes="100vw" fetchpriority="high"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg role="img" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><title></title><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><p>A bizarre early-morning security breach at Van Nuys Airport has raised fresh questions about airport access controls after a trespasser stole a small training aircraft and crashed it into a hangar &#8212; without ever leaving the ground.</p><p>According to multiple local law enforcement and aviation sources, the incident occurred between <strong>4 and 5 a.m. Thursday</strong> at the busy general-aviation airport in the San Fernando Valley. Authorities say a suspect broke into a flight school facility &#8212; identified in some reports as <strong>L.A. Flight Academy</strong> &#8212; and unlawfully took control of a <strong>single-engine Cessna 172</strong>, a common aircraft used for pilot training.</p><div class="subscription-widget-wrap-editor" data-attrs="{&quot;url&quot;:&quot;https://mikethunderphillips.substack.com/subscribe?&quot;,&quot;text&quot;:&quot;Subscribe&quot;,&quot;language&quot;:&quot;en&quot;}" data-component-name="SubscribeWidgetToDOM"><div class="subscription-widget show-subscribe"><div class="preamble"><p class="cta-caption">The Thunder Report is a reader-supported publication. To receive new posts and support my work, consider becoming a free or paid subscriber.</p></div><form class="subscription-widget-subscribe"><input type="email" class="email-input" name="email" placeholder="Type your email&#8230;" tabindex="-1"><input type="submit" class="button primary" value="Subscribe"><div class="fake-input-wrapper"><div class="fake-input"></div><div class="fake-button"></div></div></form></div></div><h3>What Actually Happened &#8212; And What Didn&#8217;t</h3><p>Despite dramatic national headlines describing the event as a &#8220;hijacking&#8221; or a &#8220;plane crash,&#8221; officials stress that <strong>the aircraft never became airborne</strong>.</p><p>After gaining access to the plane, the suspect began <strong>taxiing on the tarmac</strong>. At some point, the aircraft accelerated and <strong>slammed nose-first into the side of a hangar</strong>, punching a visible hole through the exterior wall. Photos from the scene show the plane embedded into the building.</p><p>There were <strong>no injuries</strong>, no reported fuel spill, and no fire. Airport operations were <strong>not disrupted</strong>, and the incident remained contained within the general aviation area.</p><h3>Swift Law-Enforcement Response</h3><p>The suspect &#8212; described only as a male &#8212; was <strong>quickly detained at the scene</strong> and taken into custody. He faces charges including <strong>burglary and aircraft theft</strong>.</p><p>The response involved multiple agencies:</p><ul><li><p><strong>Los Angeles Airport Police</strong> led the initial response</p></li><li><p><strong>LAPD</strong> assisted on scene</p></li><li><p><strong>FBI</strong> became involved due to federal jurisdiction over aircraft theft</p></li><li><p><strong>FAA</strong> is conducting a parallel aviation safety review</p></li></ul><p>As of midday Thursday, authorities had <strong>not released the suspect&#8217;s identity, motive, or background</strong>, and there is <strong>no indication of terrorism or extremist intent</strong>.</p><h3>A Security Wake-Up Call</h3><p>While officials emphasize this was likely a <strong>low-skill, impulsive theft attempt</strong>, the incident has sparked concern among aviation and security observers.</p><p>Van Nuys Airport is one of the <strong>busiest general aviation airports in the world</strong>, serving private pilots, flight schools, medical flights, and law enforcement aviation units. Unlike major commercial hubs, general aviation airports often rely on <strong>lighter security infrastructure</strong>, making them more vulnerable to trespassing if safeguards fail.</p><p>&#8220;This wasn&#8217;t a sophisticated operation,&#8221; one aviation source noted, &#8220;but it shows how much damage a single breach can cause.&#8221;</p><h3>Separating Fact From Hype</h3><p>Local outlets including NBC Los Angeles, ABC7, and FOX 11 have emphasized that <strong>this was not a flight crash, not a mid-air incident, and not an attack</strong>. The plane never left the ground, and no one else was endangered.</p><p>Still, for nearby residents and pilots, the episode highlights a broader concern: <strong>how easily a determined intruder was able to access and operate an aircraft</strong>, even briefly.</p><h3>Investigation Ongoing</h3><p>The investigation remains active, and authorities say additional details may be released in the coming days as charges are formalized and security procedures are reviewed.</p><p>For now, officials describe the incident as <strong>an attempted aircraft theft that ended in a ground collision</strong> &#8212; unusual, alarming, but contained.</p><p>CABayNews will continue monitoring updates from law enforcement and aviation regulators as more information becomes available.</p><div class="subscription-widget-wrap-editor" data-attrs="{&quot;url&quot;:&quot;https://mikethunderphillips.substack.com/subscribe?&quot;,&quot;text&quot;:&quot;Subscribe&quot;,&quot;language&quot;:&quot;en&quot;}" data-component-name="SubscribeWidgetToDOM"><div class="subscription-widget show-subscribe"><div class="preamble"><p class="cta-caption">The Thunder Report is a reader-supported publication. To receive new posts and support my work, consider becoming a free or paid subscriber.</p></div><form class="subscription-widget-subscribe"><input type="email" class="email-input" name="email" placeholder="Type your email&#8230;" tabindex="-1"><input type="submit" class="button primary" value="Subscribe"><div class="fake-input-wrapper"><div class="fake-input"></div><div class="fake-button"></div></div></form></div></div>]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[California’s 2026 Law Wave: What Hundreds of New Rules Mean for Families, Workers, and Businesses]]></title><description><![CDATA[California is preparing for another sweeping legal overhaul in 2026, as more than 900 new or amended laws&#8212;signed by Gov.]]></description><link>https://mikethunderphillips.substack.com/p/californias-2026-law-wave-what-hundreds</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://mikethunderphillips.substack.com/p/californias-2026-law-wave-what-hundreds</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Michael "Thunder" Phillips]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Thu, 18 Dec 2025 07:16:28 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!ka4g!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F317ce001-ba0a-4bcd-90cd-7ec0c844138f_682x306.jpeg" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!ka4g!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F317ce001-ba0a-4bcd-90cd-7ec0c844138f_682x306.jpeg" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!ka4g!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F317ce001-ba0a-4bcd-90cd-7ec0c844138f_682x306.jpeg 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!ka4g!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F317ce001-ba0a-4bcd-90cd-7ec0c844138f_682x306.jpeg 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!ka4g!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F317ce001-ba0a-4bcd-90cd-7ec0c844138f_682x306.jpeg 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!ka4g!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F317ce001-ba0a-4bcd-90cd-7ec0c844138f_682x306.jpeg 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!ka4g!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F317ce001-ba0a-4bcd-90cd-7ec0c844138f_682x306.jpeg" width="682" height="306" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/317ce001-ba0a-4bcd-90cd-7ec0c844138f_682x306.jpeg&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:306,&quot;width&quot;:682,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:null,&quot;alt&quot;:&quot;California State Capitol Building, Wide Angle With Trees - Public ...&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:null,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:false,&quot;topImage&quot;:true,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:null,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="California State Capitol Building, Wide Angle With Trees - Public ..." title="California State Capitol Building, Wide Angle With Trees - Public ..." srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!ka4g!,w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F317ce001-ba0a-4bcd-90cd-7ec0c844138f_682x306.jpeg 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!ka4g!,w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F317ce001-ba0a-4bcd-90cd-7ec0c844138f_682x306.jpeg 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!ka4g!,w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F317ce001-ba0a-4bcd-90cd-7ec0c844138f_682x306.jpeg 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!ka4g!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F317ce001-ba0a-4bcd-90cd-7ec0c844138f_682x306.jpeg 1456w" sizes="100vw" fetchpriority="high"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg role="img" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><title></title><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><p>California is preparing for another sweeping legal overhaul in 2026, as more than 900 new or amended laws&#8212;signed by Gov. Gavin Newsom over the past two years&#8212;begin taking effect, mostly on January 1. While supporters frame the changes as consumer-friendly and equity-driven, critics warn the cumulative impact will mean higher costs, heavier regulation, and less flexibility for families, schools, employers, and local governments.</p><p>An ABC7 Los Angeles review highlights a partial list of the most visible laws, but taken together, the 2026 package represents one of the largest expansions of state regulation in recent memory.</p><div class="subscription-widget-wrap-editor" data-attrs="{&quot;url&quot;:&quot;https://mikethunderphillips.substack.com/subscribe?&quot;,&quot;text&quot;:&quot;Subscribe&quot;,&quot;language&quot;:&quot;en&quot;}" data-component-name="SubscribeWidgetToDOM"><div class="subscription-widget show-subscribe"><div class="preamble"><p class="cta-caption">The Thunder Report is a reader-supported publication. To receive new posts and support my work, consider becoming a free or paid subscriber.</p></div><form class="subscription-widget-subscribe"><input type="email" class="email-input" name="email" placeholder="Type your email&#8230;" tabindex="-1"><input type="submit" class="button primary" value="Subscribe"><div class="fake-input-wrapper"><div class="fake-input"></div><div class="fake-button"></div></div></form></div></div><h3>Everyday Life: More Rules, Higher Compliance Costs</h3><p>One of the most talked-about changes is a <strong>full ban on plastic shopping bags</strong> (SB 1053). The law closes what lawmakers call a &#8220;loophole&#8221; by banning thicker plastic bags previously marketed as reusable. Stores will be required to switch to paper or true reusable bags&#8212;costs that retailers say will inevitably be passed on to consumers.</p><p>Other consumer-focused laws include:</p><ul><li><p><strong>Food delivery reforms</strong> (AB 578), requiring refunds for incorrect orders and mandating human support when chatbots fail.</p></li><li><p><strong>Streaming ad volume limits</strong> (SB 576), extending TV-style rules to streaming platforms starting July 2026.</p></li><li><p><strong>Used-car return rights</strong> (SB 766), creating a three-day return window&#8212;raising concerns among dealers about abuse and higher prices.</p></li><li><p><strong>Overdraft fee caps</strong> for credit unions (SB 1075), limiting fees to $14 or less.</p></li></ul><p>Supporters argue these measures protect consumers; business groups warn they add yet another layer of mandates in an already high-cost state.</p><h3>Health and Food: Mandates in the Name of Safety</h3><p>Several new laws target public health and food standards:</p><ul><li><p><strong>Mandatory folic acid fortification</strong> in corn masa and tortillas (AB 1053).</p></li><li><p><strong>Restaurant allergen labeling</strong> (SB 68), requiring menus to list major allergens per item by July 2026.</p></li><li><p><strong>Insulin price caps</strong> (SB 40), limiting out-of-pocket costs to $35 per month in state-regulated plans.</p></li><li><p><strong>Bans on certain chemicals</strong> in hair relaxers (SB 236).</p></li></ul><p>While public-health advocates applaud the measures, critics note that mandates often increase compliance costs for small restaurants and producers.</p><h3>AI, Technology, and Privacy: Sacramento Enters the Algorithm</h3><p>California continues to push aggressively into tech regulation:</p><ul><li><p><strong>AI watermarking requirements</strong> (SB 942) for generated content, delayed until August 2026.</p></li><li><p><strong>Chatbot restrictions</strong> (SB 243), requiring disclosures to minors and blocking certain conversations.</p></li><li><p><strong>Stronger penalties for AI-generated deepfake pornography</strong> (AB 621).</p></li><li><p><strong>The &#8220;Delete Act&#8221;</strong> (SB 362), creating a one-stop portal for Californians to request data deletion from brokers starting in 2026.</p></li></ul><p>Free-speech advocates and tech companies warn that vague standards and enforcement uncertainty could chill innovation and lawful expression.</p><h3>Schools and Culture Wars</h3><p>Education-related laws are among the most politically charged:</p><ul><li><p><strong>Phone-free school mandates</strong> (AB 3216), requiring districts to restrict student smartphone use by July 2026.</p></li><li><p><strong>Gender-neutral bathrooms</strong> (SB 760), requiring at least one per K-12 campus.</p></li><li><p><strong>Anti-book-ban legislation</strong> (AB 1825), limiting the removal of library books based on content or authorship.</p></li></ul><p>Parents&#8217; groups remain divided, with some welcoming uniform standards and others arguing local control and parental input are being sidelined.</p><h3>Work, Wages, and the Economy</h3><p>California&#8217;s regulatory footprint on work continues to grow:</p><ul><li><p><strong>State minimum wage increases</strong> to $16.90 per hour, with many cities higher.</p></li><li><p><strong>Gig-driver collective bargaining rights</strong> (AB 1340), opening the door to unionization of Uber and Lyft drivers.</p></li><li><p>New rules voiding certain <strong>training-repayment agreements</strong> and expanding worker-notice requirements.</p></li></ul><p>Business advocates caution these changes will further discourage hiring and investment, especially for small employers already struggling with inflation and energy costs.</p><h3>Public Safety and Gun Policy</h3><p>Several laws touch on public safety and firearms:</p><ul><li><p><strong>Stricter firearm storage requirements</strong> in homes (SB 53).</p></li><li><p>Expanded civil liability windows for certain sexual assault claims.</p></li><li><p>New limits on law-enforcement practices that have already sparked legal challenges.</p></li></ul><h3>The Bigger Picture</h3><p>Individually, many of these laws poll well. Collectively, critics argue they reflect Sacramento&#8217;s growing tendency to regulate nearly every aspect of daily life&#8212;often with little regard for enforcement costs, unintended consequences, or voter fatigue.</p><p>As 2026 approaches, Californians will begin to feel the effects not as headlines, but as higher prices, more notices, more disclosures, and fewer choices. Whether these laws deliver their promised protections&#8212;or deepen the state&#8217;s affordability and governance crisis&#8212;remains an open question.</p><p>For the full text of any bill, Californians can consult the state&#8217;s official legislative database at <em>leginfo.legislature.ca.gov</em>.</p><div class="subscription-widget-wrap-editor" data-attrs="{&quot;url&quot;:&quot;https://mikethunderphillips.substack.com/subscribe?&quot;,&quot;text&quot;:&quot;Subscribe&quot;,&quot;language&quot;:&quot;en&quot;}" data-component-name="SubscribeWidgetToDOM"><div class="subscription-widget show-subscribe"><div class="preamble"><p class="cta-caption">The Thunder Report is a reader-supported publication. To receive new posts and support my work, consider becoming a free or paid subscriber.</p></div><form class="subscription-widget-subscribe"><input type="email" class="email-input" name="email" placeholder="Type your email&#8230;" tabindex="-1"><input type="submit" class="button primary" value="Subscribe"><div class="fake-input-wrapper"><div class="fake-input"></div><div class="fake-button"></div></div></form></div></div>]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[“Money-Laundering in the Governor’s Orbit”: Sacramento Corruption Probe Collides With California’s 2026 Governor’s Race]]></title><description><![CDATA[SACRAMENTO &#8212; A sweeping federal corruption probe has erupted into a political crisis for California&#8217;s ruling Democratic establishment, implicating insiders tied to Gov.]]></description><link>https://mikethunderphillips.substack.com/p/money-laundering-in-the-governors</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://mikethunderphillips.substack.com/p/money-laundering-in-the-governors</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Michael "Thunder" Phillips]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Sun, 07 Dec 2025 08:13:02 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!otuy!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F39ec687b-27b3-4892-9d6e-35242c9c48e5_5364x3576.jpeg" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!otuy!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F39ec687b-27b3-4892-9d6e-35242c9c48e5_5364x3576.jpeg" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!otuy!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F39ec687b-27b3-4892-9d6e-35242c9c48e5_5364x3576.jpeg 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!otuy!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F39ec687b-27b3-4892-9d6e-35242c9c48e5_5364x3576.jpeg 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!otuy!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F39ec687b-27b3-4892-9d6e-35242c9c48e5_5364x3576.jpeg 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!otuy!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F39ec687b-27b3-4892-9d6e-35242c9c48e5_5364x3576.jpeg 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!otuy!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F39ec687b-27b3-4892-9d6e-35242c9c48e5_5364x3576.jpeg" width="1456" height="971" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/39ec687b-27b3-4892-9d6e-35242c9c48e5_5364x3576.jpeg&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:971,&quot;width&quot;:1456,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:null,&quot;alt&quot;:&quot;'It raises all sorts of questions': Becerra scorched by scandal in  California governor's race - POLITICO&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:null,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:false,&quot;topImage&quot;:true,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:null,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="'It raises all sorts of questions': Becerra scorched by scandal in  California governor's race - POLITICO" title="'It raises all sorts of questions': Becerra scorched by scandal in  California governor's race - POLITICO" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!otuy!,w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F39ec687b-27b3-4892-9d6e-35242c9c48e5_5364x3576.jpeg 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!otuy!,w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F39ec687b-27b3-4892-9d6e-35242c9c48e5_5364x3576.jpeg 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!otuy!,w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F39ec687b-27b3-4892-9d6e-35242c9c48e5_5364x3576.jpeg 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!otuy!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F39ec687b-27b3-4892-9d6e-35242c9c48e5_5364x3576.jpeg 1456w" sizes="100vw" fetchpriority="high"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg role="img" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><title></title><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><p><strong>SACRAMENTO &#8212;</strong> A sweeping federal corruption probe has erupted into a political crisis for California&#8217;s ruling Democratic establishment, implicating insiders tied to Gov. Gavin Newsom and U.S. Health and Human Services Secretary Xavier Becerra &#8212; and landing just as voters begin to weigh their choices in the chaotic 2026 governor&#8217;s race.</p><p>The scandal intensified on <strong>December 4</strong>, when influential Sacramento lobbyist <strong>Greg Campbell</strong> pleaded guilty to two felony conspiracies and admitted on an FBI recording that a scheme involving Becerra&#8217;s dormant campaign money amounted to <strong>&#8220;money-laundering&#8221;</strong>, calling it &#8220;icky&#8221; and &#8220;wrong.&#8221;</p><div class="subscription-widget-wrap-editor" data-attrs="{&quot;url&quot;:&quot;https://mikethunderphillips.substack.com/subscribe?&quot;,&quot;text&quot;:&quot;Subscribe&quot;,&quot;language&quot;:&quot;en&quot;}" data-component-name="SubscribeWidgetToDOM"><div class="subscription-widget show-subscribe"><div class="preamble"><p class="cta-caption">The Thunder Report is a reader-supported publication. To receive new posts and support my work, consider becoming a free or paid subscriber.</p></div><form class="subscription-widget-subscribe"><input type="email" class="email-input" name="email" placeholder="Type your email&#8230;" tabindex="-1"><input type="submit" class="button primary" value="Subscribe"><div class="fake-input-wrapper"><div class="fake-input"></div><div class="fake-button"></div></div></form></div></div><p>Campbell&#8217;s plea comes on the heels of a November guilty plea by <strong>Sean McCluskie</strong>, Becerra&#8217;s longtime chief of staff. Both men are now cooperating with federal prosecutors and will be sentenced together on <strong>February 26, 2026</strong> &#8212; a date that now looms just months before California&#8217;s primary election.</p><p>At the center is <strong>Dana Williamson</strong>, Newsom&#8217;s former chief of staff, charged in a 23-count indictment alleging fraud, tax crimes, obstruction, and a cover-up attempt involving a COVID-era PPP loan.</p><p>The case &#8212; three years in the making &#8212; pulls back the curtain on a Capitol culture where consultants, insiders, and political operatives allegedly used dormant accounts, shell firms, and no-show jobs to enrich themselves while ordinary Californians struggled under some of the highest living costs in the nation.</p><div><hr></div><h2><strong>How the &#8220;No-Show Job&#8221; Pipeline Worked</strong></h2><p>Federal prosecutors describe a classic insider scheme wrapped in modern political consulting language:</p><ul><li><p><strong>The stash:</strong><br>A <em>dormant Becerra campaign account</em> from earlier statewide runs, with unused donor money sitting untouched but accessible.</p></li><li><p><strong>The players:</strong></p><ul><li><p><strong>Williamson</strong>, a veteran Democratic strategist</p></li><li><p><strong>Campbell</strong>, one of Sacramento&#8217;s most connected lobbyists</p></li><li><p><strong>McCluskie</strong>, Becerra&#8217;s trusted aide for nearly 20 years</p></li></ul></li><li><p><strong>The motive:</strong><br>McCluskie, after moving to Washington D.C. with Becerra, faced a pay cut and an expensive bicoastal lifestyle.</p></li><li><p><strong>The scheme:</strong><br>From 2022 to 2024, prosecutors say Williamson and Campbell helped siphon <strong>about $225,000</strong> from the dormant account by:</p><ul><li><p>Billing the campaign for vague &#8220;maintenance&#8221; or consulting work</p></li><li><p>Routing money through consulting firms tied to Williamson and Campbell</p></li><li><p>Paying <strong>$10,000 a month to McCluskie&#8217;s wife</strong> for a consulting job prosecutors say was entirely fictional</p></li></ul></li></ul><p>In one FBI-recorded conversation, Campbell bluntly acknowledged the setup was essentially <strong>money-laundering</strong>, admitting &#8220;it&#8217;s wrong&#8221; &#8212; but continued participating.</p><p>The Justice Department has produced <strong>27,000+ pages of evidence</strong>, hundreds of gigabytes of data, and hours of recorded conversations documenting the conspiracy.</p><div><hr></div><h2><strong>PPP Loan Fraud and $1M+ in Personal Luxuries</strong></h2><p>The federal indictment extends beyond the no-show job scheme.</p><p>Prosecutors allege that Williamson:</p><ul><li><p>Received a <strong>PPP loan of roughly $103,000</strong> for her firm, <strong>Grace Public Affairs</strong>, despite PPP rules explicitly excluding lobbying shops</p></li><li><p>Instructed Campbell to create and <strong>backdate three fake contracts</strong> to make it appear her firm performed non-lobbying subcontracting work</p></li><li><p>Deducted <strong>over $1 million</strong> in personal luxury spending as business expenses, including:</p><ul><li><p>A <strong>Chanel designer handbag and jewelry</strong></p></li><li><p>A nearly <strong>$170,000 Mexico birthday trip</strong></p></li><li><p><strong>Chartered jet flights</strong></p></li><li><p>Gifts and home upgrades</p></li></ul></li></ul><p>Campbell has now admitted he ordered the backdated contracts drafted and knowingly signed them, forming a core piece of his guilty plea.</p><p>Williamson has pleaded <strong>not guilty</strong> and is out on a <strong>$500,000 unsecured bond</strong> backed by her home.</p><div><hr></div><h2><strong>Campbell&#8217;s Fall: The Lobbying Firm Collapses</strong></h2><p>Since his plea, Campbell has begun <strong>shutting down his Sacramento lobbying firm</strong>, and multiple municipal and corporate clients have already terminated contracts or distanced themselves. For a man considered one of the Capitol&#8217;s most influential dealmakers, the collapse is a stark sign of how deeply this case has rattled California&#8217;s political ecosystem.</p><div><hr></div><h2><strong>Key Players in the Sacramento Corruption Case</strong></h2><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!lsVT!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fe8d4cc6b-2c76-4393-a20c-10553b96ed60_657x675.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!lsVT!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fe8d4cc6b-2c76-4393-a20c-10553b96ed60_657x675.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!lsVT!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fe8d4cc6b-2c76-4393-a20c-10553b96ed60_657x675.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!lsVT!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fe8d4cc6b-2c76-4393-a20c-10553b96ed60_657x675.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!lsVT!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fe8d4cc6b-2c76-4393-a20c-10553b96ed60_657x675.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!lsVT!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fe8d4cc6b-2c76-4393-a20c-10553b96ed60_657x675.png" width="657" height="675" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/e8d4cc6b-2c76-4393-a20c-10553b96ed60_657x675.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:675,&quot;width&quot;:657,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:52377,&quot;alt&quot;:null,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/png&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:true,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://mikethunderphillips.substack.com/i/180939704?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fe8d4cc6b-2c76-4393-a20c-10553b96ed60_657x675.png&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!lsVT!,w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fe8d4cc6b-2c76-4393-a20c-10553b96ed60_657x675.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!lsVT!,w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fe8d4cc6b-2c76-4393-a20c-10553b96ed60_657x675.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!lsVT!,w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fe8d4cc6b-2c76-4393-a20c-10553b96ed60_657x675.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!lsVT!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fe8d4cc6b-2c76-4393-a20c-10553b96ed60_657x675.png 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg role="img" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><title></title><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><p></p><p>Both Newsom and Becerra deny any wrongdoing. Becerra&#8217;s office says he has &#8220;fully cooperated&#8221; with investigators. Still, the optics are brutal: <strong>two of his closest aides have now admitted to federal felonies connected to his campaign funds.</strong></p><div><hr></div><h2><strong>2026 Governor&#8217;s Race: A Fragmented Field Meets a Corruption Earthquake</strong></h2><p>The timing of the scandal could not be more disruptive.</p><p>According to the <strong>Emerson College / Inside California Politics poll (Dec. 1&#8211;2, released Dec. 4)</strong>:</p><ul><li><p><strong>Chad Bianco (R)</strong> &#8211; 13%</p></li><li><p><strong>Steve Hilton (R)</strong> &#8211; 12%</p></li><li><p><strong>Eric Swalwell (D)</strong> &#8211; 12%</p></li><li><p><strong>Katie Porter (D)</strong> &#8211; 11%</p></li><li><p><strong>Undecided</strong> &#8211; 31%</p></li></ul><p>No Democrat leads the field. Republicans occupy the top two spots &#8212; <em>in California</em>. And the scandal is dropping into a race where indecision is sky-high and frustration with Sacramento is boiling over.</p><p>Political analysts now warn of a scenario once considered unthinkable:</p><blockquote><p>A <strong>top-two Republican lockout</strong> in the general election &#8212; if Democratic votes split and the corruption fallout accelerates.</p></blockquote><p>For Becerra, the scandal cuts directly against his messaging:</p><ul><li><p>He is positioned as a competent, stable administrator.</p></li><li><p>But over <strong>$225,000 disappeared from a campaign account he was responsible for</strong>.</p></li><li><p>His closest advisers of 20 years are now felons.</p></li><li><p>And his rivals are already painting him as <strong>&#8220;unable to manage his own house, let alone California.&#8221;</strong></p></li></ul><div><hr></div><h2><strong>Online Narrative: &#8220;California&#8217;s Watergate?&#8221;</strong></h2><p>On X, the story has gone viral, with clips of Campbell leaving court, screenshots of luxury deductions, and memes about &#8220;dormant accounts becoming donor-funded piggy banks.&#8221;</p><p>Conservative activists have also revived the <strong>2017 Awan IT scandal</strong>, emphasizing that Becerra &#8212; then chair of the House Democratic Caucus &#8212; oversaw one of the servers improperly accessed by IT aides.<br>Mainstream outlets note that <strong>the DOJ cleared the Awans of espionage in 2018</strong>, and no charges were brought against Becerra. Nonetheless, the scandal is now being woven into a broader storyline portraying lax oversight in his political orbit.</p><p>It matters because <strong>the online narrative is shaping voter perception faster than official statements</strong> &#8212; and in a crowded jungle primary, perception is everything.</p><div><hr></div><h2><strong>What Concerned Citizens Should Watch Next</strong></h2><p>Three dates and developments could redefine both the criminal case and the 2026 gubernatorial race:</p><h3><strong>1. February 26, 2026 &#8212; Sentencing for Campbell &amp; McCluskie</strong></h3><p>Their sentencing memos may reveal new details about who knew what &#8212; and whether investigators uncovered evidence pointing beyond the three charged operatives.</p><h3><strong>2. The Future of the Williamson Case</strong></h3><p>If she maintains her not guilty plea and proceeds to trial, her defense strategy could thrust even more political players into the spotlight.<br>If she flips, the political fallout could widen rapidly.</p><h3><strong>3. The June 2026 Primary</strong></h3><p>Voters will decide whether the scandal represents isolated misconduct or a symptom of deeper dysfunction in Sacramento&#8217;s one-party system.</p><p>A senior strategist put it this way:</p><blockquote><p>&#8220;This isn&#8217;t about three operatives. This is about whether Californians believe Sacramento is a machine that protects insiders while the rest of the state burns.&#8221;</p></blockquote><div><hr></div><h1><strong>The Big Question</strong></h1><p>As California barrels toward 2026, the fundamental issue is no longer just who stole what or who signed which contract.</p><p>The real question for voters is:</p><blockquote><p><strong>If this is what insiders were doing with dormant accounts, PPP loans, and donor money, what&#8217;s happening in the billions flowing through homelessness programs, emergency contracts, and other parts of state government with far less oversight?</strong></p></blockquote><p>The answer &#8212; and whether more shoes drop before June &#8212; may reshape California politics for the first time in decades.</p><div class="subscription-widget-wrap-editor" data-attrs="{&quot;url&quot;:&quot;https://mikethunderphillips.substack.com/subscribe?&quot;,&quot;text&quot;:&quot;Subscribe&quot;,&quot;language&quot;:&quot;en&quot;}" data-component-name="SubscribeWidgetToDOM"><div class="subscription-widget show-subscribe"><div class="preamble"><p class="cta-caption">The Thunder Report is a reader-supported publication. To receive new posts and support my work, consider becoming a free or paid subscriber.</p></div><form class="subscription-widget-subscribe"><input type="email" class="email-input" name="email" placeholder="Type your email&#8230;" tabindex="-1"><input type="submit" class="button primary" value="Subscribe"><div class="fake-input-wrapper"><div class="fake-input"></div><div class="fake-button"></div></div></form></div></div>]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[California’s 2026 Laws: What Concerned Citizens Need to Know About the State’s Next Wave of Regulation]]></title><description><![CDATA[California is heading into 2026 with another large slate of new laws&#8212;touching renters, drivers, consumers, businesses, and families.]]></description><link>https://mikethunderphillips.substack.com/p/californias-2026-laws-what-concerned</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://mikethunderphillips.substack.com/p/californias-2026-laws-what-concerned</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Michael "Thunder" Phillips]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Wed, 03 Dec 2025 23:18:16 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!GVcG!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F3cbf33e8-5d1c-4683-8c58-f093515c8af5_1536x1024.png" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!GVcG!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F3cbf33e8-5d1c-4683-8c58-f093515c8af5_1536x1024.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!GVcG!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F3cbf33e8-5d1c-4683-8c58-f093515c8af5_1536x1024.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!GVcG!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F3cbf33e8-5d1c-4683-8c58-f093515c8af5_1536x1024.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!GVcG!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F3cbf33e8-5d1c-4683-8c58-f093515c8af5_1536x1024.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!GVcG!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F3cbf33e8-5d1c-4683-8c58-f093515c8af5_1536x1024.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!GVcG!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F3cbf33e8-5d1c-4683-8c58-f093515c8af5_1536x1024.png" width="1456" height="971" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/3cbf33e8-5d1c-4683-8c58-f093515c8af5_1536x1024.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:971,&quot;width&quot;:1456,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:1793756,&quot;alt&quot;:null,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/png&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:false,&quot;topImage&quot;:true,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://mikethunderphillips.substack.com/i/180655595?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F3cbf33e8-5d1c-4683-8c58-f093515c8af5_1536x1024.png&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!GVcG!,w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F3cbf33e8-5d1c-4683-8c58-f093515c8af5_1536x1024.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!GVcG!,w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F3cbf33e8-5d1c-4683-8c58-f093515c8af5_1536x1024.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!GVcG!,w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F3cbf33e8-5d1c-4683-8c58-f093515c8af5_1536x1024.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!GVcG!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F3cbf33e8-5d1c-4683-8c58-f093515c8af5_1536x1024.png 1456w" sizes="100vw" fetchpriority="high"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg role="img" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><title></title><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><p>California is heading into 2026 with another large slate of new laws&#8212;touching renters, drivers, consumers, businesses, and families. Supporters say these measures increase transparency and expand protections. Critics warn they do the opposite: adding more regulatory burdens, increasing costs, and pushing the state further away from affordability.</p><p>Here&#8217;s a clear breakdown of what changes on January 1, 2026, and what Californians should expect.</p><div class="subscription-widget-wrap-editor" data-attrs="{&quot;url&quot;:&quot;https://mikethunderphillips.substack.com/subscribe?&quot;,&quot;text&quot;:&quot;Subscribe&quot;,&quot;language&quot;:&quot;en&quot;}" data-component-name="SubscribeWidgetToDOM"><div class="subscription-widget show-subscribe"><div class="preamble"><p class="cta-caption">The Thunder Report is a reader-supported publication. To receive new posts and support my work, consider becoming a free or paid subscriber.</p></div><form class="subscription-widget-subscribe"><input type="email" class="email-input" name="email" placeholder="Type your email&#8230;" tabindex="-1"><input type="submit" class="button primary" value="Subscribe"><div class="fake-input-wrapper"><div class="fake-input"></div><div class="fake-button"></div></div></form></div></div><div><hr></div><h2><strong>1. Tenant Privacy &amp; Limits on Surprise Inspections</strong></h2><p><strong>New Rule:</strong> Landlords can no longer enter rental units for annual or routine inspections unless the tenant has consented in writing.</p><p><strong>Supporters say:</strong> this protects tenant privacy.</p><p><strong>Concern from property owners:</strong><br>This rule may make it harder to identify safety issues like mold, faulty wiring, or water leaks before they become expensive or dangerous. Housing providers argue that California is already facing a massive rental-maintenance crisis, and restricting inspections may worsen it.</p><p><strong>For tenants:</strong><br>You may have more privacy&#8212;but fewer preventative repairs.</p><div><hr></div><h2><strong>2. Insurance Cancellation Crackdown</strong></h2><p><strong>New Rule:</strong> Auto insurers must give more notice before dropping high-risk drivers and must provide more detailed explanations for policy cancellations. The state will audit insurers more aggressively.</p><p><strong>Supporters say:</strong> this helps consumers fight unfair cancellations.</p><p><strong>Concern from analysts:</strong><br>California&#8217;s insurance market is already unstable, with major companies pulling back or ceasing new policies entirely. Added regulations may push more insurers out of the state, making coverage harder and more expensive to obtain&#8212;similar to what has happened in the homeowner&#8217;s insurance market.</p><div><hr></div><h2><strong>3. DNA Crime Lab Reforms&#8212;But With Accountability Concerns</strong></h2><p><strong>New Rule:</strong> The state will overhaul how DNA samples are handled, tested, and stored, enforcing new chain-of-custody protocols and transparency rules for labs.</p><p><strong>Supporters say:</strong> this improves forensic reliability and protects innocent people.</p><p><strong>Concern from law enforcement &amp; prosecutors:</strong><br>The law adds major administrative workload to already backlogged crime labs. Without funding increases, turnaround times may grow longer, potentially delaying investigations, trials, and victim notifications.</p><div><hr></div><h2><strong>4. &#8220;Dollar Store Ban&#8221; on Selling Tobacco to Minors</strong></h2><p><strong>New Rule:</strong> Discount retailers&#8212;like Dollar Tree, Dollar General, and similar stores&#8212;face new penalties and potentially the loss of their tobacco license for selling to minors.</p><p><strong>Supporters say:</strong> this targets repeat offenders.</p><p><strong>Concern from small retailers:</strong><br>The law treats &#8220;discount stores&#8221; as a category, but not gas stations, convenience stores, or some chains with higher lobbying presence. Critics believe this selectively targets lower-income communities and may accelerate store closures&#8212;already a problem in many California towns.</p><div><hr></div><h2><strong>5. Local Governments Must Report Homeless Shelter Capacity</strong></h2><p><strong>New Rule:</strong> Cities and counties must provide real-time reporting on shelter occupancy and availability.</p><p><strong>Supporters say:</strong> this creates transparency and accountability for taxpayer-funded homelessness programs.</p><p><strong>Concern from local officials:</strong><br>The requirement adds administrative labor to departments that are already overextended. Many believe Sacramento is shifting responsibility downward without providing meaningful funds to address the underlying homelessness crisis.</p><div><hr></div><h2><strong>6. New Limits on Sheriff&#8217;s Spending Authority</strong></h2><p><strong>New Rule:</strong> Sheriffs must seek approval before purchasing military-grade equipment or expanding certain operations.</p><p><strong>Supporters say:</strong> this prevents &#8220;militarization.&#8221;</p><p><strong>Concern from public-safety advocates:</strong><br>Some sheriffs argue that the law will slow emergency preparedness, create red tape for essential equipment upgrades, and weaken the ability to respond to natural disasters, high-risk warrants, or major criminal activity.</p><div><hr></div><h2><strong>7. Child Safety: Increased Penalties for Fentanyl Dealers Near Schools</strong></h2><p><strong>New Rule:</strong> Harsher sentencing enhancements apply to fentanyl sales within school zones.</p><p><strong>Supporters say:</strong> this protects children from a deadly drug crisis.</p><p><strong>Concern from civil-liberties groups:</strong><br>They argue that enhancements haven&#8217;t historically reduced drug crime and could worsen prison overcrowding. Meanwhile, parents overwhelmingly support stricter measures given the spike in youth fentanyl deaths.</p><div><hr></div><h2><strong>8. Education: Social Media Transparency Requirements for Schools</strong></h2><p><strong>New Rule:</strong> School districts must report their use of social-media monitoring tools designed to flag threats, bullying, or self-harm.</p><p><strong>Supporters say:</strong> this protects student privacy.</p><p><strong>Concern from school officials:</strong><br>Districts say the rules add bureaucracy and could discourage technology that prevents student self-harm or violence.</p><div><hr></div><h2><strong>9. New Rules for Fire Evacuation &amp; Emergency Notifications</strong></h2><p>Cities must update evacuation routes, signage, and emergency alert procedures&#8212;especially in wildfire-prone areas.</p><p><strong>Supporters say:</strong> this will save lives.<br><strong>Concern from local governments:</strong> unfunded mandates and expensive implementation.</p><div><hr></div><h1><strong>The Bigger Picture: California Continues Regulating at Full Speed</strong></h1><p>Taken together, these laws reflect a familiar pattern in Sacramento:</p><ul><li><p>More rules</p></li><li><p>More reporting requirements</p></li><li><p>More restrictions on property owners, local governments, and businesses</p></li></ul><p>Many are well-intentioned. But for concerned citizens, the question remains: <strong>Is California addressing root problems&#8212;or adding layers of bureaucracy that increase costs while failing to fix anything?</strong></p><p>As 2026 approaches, residents, landlords, employers, and law-enforcement agencies will all be adjusting once again to a state that regulates faster than most can keep up.</p><div class="subscription-widget-wrap-editor" data-attrs="{&quot;url&quot;:&quot;https://mikethunderphillips.substack.com/subscribe?&quot;,&quot;text&quot;:&quot;Subscribe&quot;,&quot;language&quot;:&quot;en&quot;}" data-component-name="SubscribeWidgetToDOM"><div class="subscription-widget show-subscribe"><div class="preamble"><p class="cta-caption">The Thunder Report is a reader-supported publication. To receive new posts and support my work, consider becoming a free or paid subscriber.</p></div><form class="subscription-widget-subscribe"><input type="email" class="email-input" name="email" placeholder="Type your email&#8230;" tabindex="-1"><input type="submit" class="button primary" value="Subscribe"><div class="fake-input-wrapper"><div class="fake-input"></div><div class="fake-button"></div></div></form></div></div>]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[Portland’s Empty ‘Affordable’ Apartments Are a Warning to California]]></title><description><![CDATA[Billions spent, homelessness surging, and nearly 1,900 subsidized units sitting dark]]></description><link>https://mikethunderphillips.substack.com/p/portlands-empty-affordable-apartments</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://mikethunderphillips.substack.com/p/portlands-empty-affordable-apartments</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Michael "Thunder" Phillips]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Tue, 02 Dec 2025 21:52:18 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!zwlr!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fbacd6f44-e17f-4d76-8910-6a5778f2cfe9_1500x1500.jpeg" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!zwlr!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fbacd6f44-e17f-4d76-8910-6a5778f2cfe9_1500x1500.jpeg" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!zwlr!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fbacd6f44-e17f-4d76-8910-6a5778f2cfe9_1500x1500.jpeg 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!zwlr!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fbacd6f44-e17f-4d76-8910-6a5778f2cfe9_1500x1500.jpeg 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!zwlr!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fbacd6f44-e17f-4d76-8910-6a5778f2cfe9_1500x1500.jpeg 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!zwlr!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fbacd6f44-e17f-4d76-8910-6a5778f2cfe9_1500x1500.jpeg 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!zwlr!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fbacd6f44-e17f-4d76-8910-6a5778f2cfe9_1500x1500.jpeg" width="1456" height="1456" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/bacd6f44-e17f-4d76-8910-6a5778f2cfe9_1500x1500.jpeg&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:1456,&quot;width&quot;:1456,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:null,&quot;alt&quot;:&quot;The College Housing Crisis Is Getting Worse During COVID for Homeless  Students | Apartment Therapy&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:null,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:false,&quot;topImage&quot;:true,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:null,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="The College Housing Crisis Is Getting Worse During COVID for Homeless  Students | Apartment Therapy" title="The College Housing Crisis Is Getting Worse During COVID for Homeless  Students | Apartment Therapy" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!zwlr!,w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fbacd6f44-e17f-4d76-8910-6a5778f2cfe9_1500x1500.jpeg 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!zwlr!,w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fbacd6f44-e17f-4d76-8910-6a5778f2cfe9_1500x1500.jpeg 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!zwlr!,w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fbacd6f44-e17f-4d76-8910-6a5778f2cfe9_1500x1500.jpeg 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!zwlr!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fbacd6f44-e17f-4d76-8910-6a5778f2cfe9_1500x1500.jpeg 1456w" sizes="100vw" fetchpriority="high"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg role="img" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><title></title><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><p>Portland just handed the West Coast a case study in how not to run &#8220;progressive&#8221; housing policy.</p><p>According to new data reported this week, 1,863 publicly subsidized &#8220;affordable&#8221; apartments in Portland are sitting vacant &#8212; 7.4% of the city&#8217;s total affordable stock of 25,409 units. At the same time, Multnomah County&#8217;s homelessness crisis has exploded: more than 14,000 to 16,000 people are now homeless in the county, depending on the data source, and the homeless count is up roughly 60&#8211;67% since 2023.</p><div class="subscription-widget-wrap-editor" data-attrs="{&quot;url&quot;:&quot;https://mikethunderphillips.substack.com/subscribe?&quot;,&quot;text&quot;:&quot;Subscribe&quot;,&quot;language&quot;:&quot;en&quot;}" data-component-name="SubscribeWidgetToDOM"><div class="subscription-widget show-subscribe"><div class="preamble"><p class="cta-caption">The Thunder Report is a reader-supported publication. To receive new posts and support my work, consider becoming a free or paid subscriber.</p></div><form class="subscription-widget-subscribe"><input type="email" class="email-input" name="email" placeholder="Type your email&#8230;" tabindex="-1"><input type="submit" class="button primary" value="Subscribe"><div class="fake-input-wrapper"><div class="fake-input"></div><div class="fake-button"></div></div></form></div></div><p>You don&#8217;t get numbers like that from a &#8220;housing shortage&#8221; alone. You get them from a system that&#8217;s structurally broken.</p><p>For California readers, especially in places like Los Angeles, San Francisco, and Oakland, Portland&#8217;s mess looks uncomfortably familiar: big bonds, big promises, bigger bureaucracies &#8212; and very little accountability when the tents keep multiplying anyway.</p><div><hr></div><h2>Not a Supply Crisis, an &#8220;Activation&#8221; Failure</h2><p>Industry experts generally say a healthy rental market runs at about 5% vacancy &#8212; enough turnover to give renters choices without leaving large numbers of units sitting empty. Portland&#8217;s subsidized stock is at 7.4% vacancy, well above that benchmark, even as waitlists stretch on and shelter beds remain full.</p><p>The OregonLive piece describes what Mayor Keith Wilson has branded an &#8220;activation challenge,&#8221; not a &#8220;doorknob challenge&#8221;: the doors exist, but the system can&#8217;t get people through them. Portland voters agreed in 2016 to a $258 million affordable housing bond expected to produce roughly 1,900 units &#8212; almost exactly the number that now sit empty.</p><p>In other words, taxpayers funded an entire bond worth of units that, for now, might as well not exist.</p><p>Why? The reporting and recent audits point to a familiar stew of dysfunction:</p><ul><li><p><strong>Administrative bottlenecks</strong> that leave units vacant for months because waitlists are slow, outdated, or poorly managed.</p></li><li><p><strong>Affordability that isn&#8217;t really affordable</strong> &#8212; units priced at 60% of Area Median Income (AMI) that still overshoot what the poorest residents can pay.</p></li><li><p><strong>Competition from market-rate units</strong>, as Portland&#8217;s flat rent growth has narrowed the gap between &#8220;subsidized&#8221; and &#8220;market&#8221; rents.</p></li><li><p><strong>Provider strain</strong> as the main housing authority, Home Forward, faces a $35 million budget shortfall and staff layoffs, threatening even slower voucher processing and unit turnover.</p></li></ul><p>If this sounds like the natural endpoint of California-style policy, that&#8217;s because it is.</p><div><hr></div><h2>Billions Spent, Crisis Worse</h2><p>Portland&#8217;s tri-county region (Multnomah, Washington, and Clackamas counties) has raised more than $1.3 billion for homelessness and supportive housing since 2021 through Metro&#8217;s Supportive Housing Services tax and related measures. Yet the number of people experiencing homelessness has risen dramatically:</p><ul><li><p>The 2025 Point-in-Time count shows a 61% increase in homelessness regionwide since 2023.</p></li><li><p>Multnomah County alone has seen about a 67% increase in its homeless population.</p></li><li><p>A new county dashboard reported around 14,864 people homeless as of February 2025 &#8212; roughly 6,800 unsheltered and thousands more in shelters or unknown status.</p></li></ul><p>Instead of bending the curve down, the spending seems to be chasing a crisis that&#8217;s outrunning it.</p><p>This is exactly what critics of the &#8220;homeless-industrial complex&#8221; have been warning about in California for years: once you build a sprawling ecosystem of tax-funded agencies and nonprofits whose budgets depend on the crisis, the incentive to actually solve it gets weaker, not stronger.</p><div><hr></div><h2>How Progressive Housing Policy Creates Empty Units</h2><p>The OregonLive analysis, combined with recent audits and local reporting, paints a picture of a system where everyone gets paid &#8212; except the people stuck on the streets.</p><h3>1. Bureaucratic Friction</h3><p>In some Portland programs, internal reviews found that 10&#8211;15% of units sat empty because of waitlist problems: incomplete data collection, slow follow-up, applicants who can&#8217;t be reached, or people who moved on after months of silence. In at least one building serving displaced North and Northeast Portland residents, vacancy was reportedly as high as 11%.</p><p>These aren&#8217;t construction delays. The buildings exist, the units are ready &#8212; and the paperwork just sits.</p><p>For families sleeping in cars or bouncing between motels, the message is clear: <em>the system doesn&#8217;t move at the speed of real life.</em></p><h3>2. &#8220;Affordable&#8221; That Isn&#8217;t</h3><p>Rents in many subsidized buildings are pegged to 60% of AMI, but in practice that often means studios only slightly cheaper than market-rate competitors. Meanwhile, the poorest residents &#8212; those at 0&#8211;30% of AMI &#8212; need rents hundreds of dollars lower than what these projects actually charge.</p><p>Even Portland&#8217;s nonprofit developers admit &#8220;even affordable rents are too high&#8221; for many of the people they&#8217;re supposed to serve. So the working poor double up or leave town, and the chronically homeless are pushed into a shelter system that&#8217;s overwhelmed.</p><p>California knows this story: Los Angeles voters poured billions into &#8220;affordable housing&#8221; only to watch per-unit costs approach or exceed $800,000 in some cases, while encampments remain entrenched.</p><h3>3. Market-Rate Competition</h3><p>In theory, subsidized units should undercut private rents by a wide margin. In today&#8217;s Portland, they often don&#8217;t.</p><p>Flat rents and rising vacancies in the private market have created thousands of market-rate units whose prices are within 10% of subsidized rents. That makes it much harder to persuade tenants to choose the heavily regulated option over a simpler apartment with fewer strings attached.</p><p>Landlords and analysts are blunt: if the rent is similar, why deal with annual recertifications, income audits, and more intrusive oversight?</p><p>California&#8217;s own markets, especially in downtown San Francisco and parts of Los Angeles, are drifting toward the same dynamic as office-to-apartment conversions and softening demand put pressure on landlords &#8212; but the regulatory maze remains.</p><h3>4. Provider Strain and Misaligned Incentives</h3><p>Home Forward, Portland&#8217;s main housing authority, is now facing a $35 million deficit, at least 12 layoffs, and a pause in issuing new vouchers due to federal funding cuts and local budget gaps.</p><p>At the same time, the broader homeless-services budget is under stress after years of rapid expansion and uneven performance. Metro&#8217;s $1.3 billion in revenue since 2021 has not delivered a commensurate reduction in homelessness, and counties are now cutting or reshuffling services to close nine-figure holes in their budgets.</p><p>The result: an expensive, overloaded system that can&#8217;t keep up with intake, can&#8217;t quickly match vacancies to people, and can&#8217;t admit that some of its most cherished models aren&#8217;t working.</p><div><hr></div><h2>Wilson&#8217;s &#8220;Strike Team&#8221;: Reform or Theater?</h2><p>Portland&#8217;s new mayor, Keith Wilson, has tried to reframe the problem as an &#8220;activation challenge&#8221; and launched a Shelter-to-Housing Strike Team to focus on filling existing units rather than endlessly approving new projects. He&#8217;s also pushed a controversial camping ban while adding roughly 1,500 new shelter beds in 2025.</p><p>But many of those beds are underutilized; some city-run shelters reportedly operate at just 20&#8211;70% of capacity.<a href="https://www.axios.com/local/portland/2025/11/05/portland-camping-ban-shelter-bed-dispute?utm_source=chatgpt.com">Axios</a> County officials have publicly clashed with Wilson, arguing that the city is throwing money at emergency shelter while neglecting long-term housing and services.</p><p>Again, California should take note. Sacramento, San Francisco, and Los Angeles are locked in similar turf wars between city, county, and state leaders over who controls shelter strategy, who pays for it, and who gets blamed when sidewalks remain lined with tents.</p><p>When everyone is in charge, no one is accountable.</p><div><hr></div><h2>Lessons for California: Stop Worshiping Unit Counts</h2><p>Portland&#8217;s experience should hit home for California policymakers who keep promising to &#8220;end homelessness&#8221; with bigger bonds and more ribbon-cuttings.</p><p>A right-of-center takeaway isn&#8217;t that government should do nothing. It&#8217;s that government needs to stop paying for <em>inputs</em> and start paying for <em>outcomes</em>.</p><p>A few hard-nosed reforms California could learn from Portland&#8217;s failures:</p><ol><li><p><strong>Tie dollars to occupancy and exits, not just construction.</strong></p><ul><li><p>Any state or local bond that funds &#8220;affordable&#8221; units should include activation metrics: how fast units are leased, what percentage stay occupied, and how many residents exit homelessness or avoid it in the first place. If a city is sitting on a 7.4% vacancy rate in subsidized housing, new projects should be paused until it cleans up the pipeline.</p></li></ul></li><li><p><strong>Simplify the process for tenants.</strong></p><ul><li><p>If a market-rate landlord can approve a tenant with one or two forms, the subsidized system should aim to be just as efficient. California agencies could require standardized applications, shared verification across programs, and tech upgrades to move people from waitlist to key-in-hand in days, not months.</p></li></ul></li><li><p><strong>Audit the &#8220;homeless-industrial complex.&#8221;</strong></p><ul><li><p>Portland&#8217;s $1.3 billion experiment with little improvement in outcomes, and now deep budget holes, is a cautionary tale. California should aggressively audit nonprofits and agencies receiving public funds, publicly report cost-per-successful-exit from homelessness, and cut off or restructure underperforming contracts.</p></li></ul></li><li><p><strong>Refocus subsidies on the truly poor.</strong></p><ul><li><p>Portland&#8217;s 60% AMI projects are drifting toward middle-income housing with heavy paperwork. California should target more resources at 0&#8211;30% AMI households &#8212; those most at risk of sleeping in vehicles or on sidewalks &#8212; instead of layering subsidies over units that are effectively workforce housing with a political label.</p></li></ul></li><li><p><strong>Let private builders build &#8212; and get out of their way.</strong></p><ul><li><p>A big part of Portland&#8217;s problem (and California&#8217;s) is that construction costs and regulatory burdens have driven per-unit prices into the stratosphere. Sacramento could do more good by slashing red tape, streamlining approvals, and letting market-rate builders increase overall supply than by micromanaging every project in the name of &#8220;equity.&#8221;</p></li></ul></li></ol><div><hr></div><h2>The West Coast Fork in the Road</h2><p>Portland&#8217;s affordable housing vacancy crisis should be a wake-up call for California. The city did what progressives here keep demanding: passed big bonds, raised new taxes, funded a vast web of nonprofits, and promised housing as a right.</p><p>And yet:</p><ul><li><p>Thousands more people are homeless.</p></li><li><p>The main housing authority is facing layoffs and deficits.</p></li><li><p>Nearly 1,900 subsidized units sit empty while tents line the sidewalks.</p></li></ul><p>California doesn&#8217;t have to copy this script. But the state is heading in the same direction &#8212; fast &#8212; unless leaders are willing to question the orthodoxy that more spending and more bureaucracy automatically equal more compassion.</p><p>Portland has the buildings. It just doesn&#8217;t have a system that can get people through the door.</p><p>California can still choose differently.</p><div class="subscription-widget-wrap-editor" data-attrs="{&quot;url&quot;:&quot;https://mikethunderphillips.substack.com/subscribe?&quot;,&quot;text&quot;:&quot;Subscribe&quot;,&quot;language&quot;:&quot;en&quot;}" data-component-name="SubscribeWidgetToDOM"><div class="subscription-widget show-subscribe"><div class="preamble"><p class="cta-caption">The Thunder Report is a reader-supported publication. To receive new posts and support my work, consider becoming a free or paid subscriber.</p></div><form class="subscription-widget-subscribe"><input type="email" class="email-input" name="email" placeholder="Type your email&#8230;" tabindex="-1"><input type="submit" class="button primary" value="Subscribe"><div class="fake-input-wrapper"><div class="fake-input"></div><div class="fake-button"></div></div></form></div></div>]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[Stockton Mass Shooting at Child’s Birthday Party Raises the Question: When Will California Confront Its Public-Safety Crisis?]]></title><description><![CDATA[By Michael Phillips | CABayNews]]></description><link>https://mikethunderphillips.substack.com/p/stockton-mass-shooting-at-childs</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://mikethunderphillips.substack.com/p/stockton-mass-shooting-at-childs</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Michael "Thunder" Phillips]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Mon, 01 Dec 2025 12:06:14 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!J8_E!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fcb309406-1058-49cc-9908-7ad04c33dc7c_1024x537.png" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!J8_E!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fcb309406-1058-49cc-9908-7ad04c33dc7c_1024x537.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!J8_E!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fcb309406-1058-49cc-9908-7ad04c33dc7c_1024x537.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!J8_E!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fcb309406-1058-49cc-9908-7ad04c33dc7c_1024x537.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!J8_E!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fcb309406-1058-49cc-9908-7ad04c33dc7c_1024x537.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!J8_E!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fcb309406-1058-49cc-9908-7ad04c33dc7c_1024x537.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!J8_E!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fcb309406-1058-49cc-9908-7ad04c33dc7c_1024x537.png" width="1024" height="537" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/cb309406-1058-49cc-9908-7ad04c33dc7c_1024x537.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:537,&quot;width&quot;:1024,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:null,&quot;alt&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:null,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:false,&quot;topImage&quot;:true,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:null,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" title="" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!J8_E!,w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fcb309406-1058-49cc-9908-7ad04c33dc7c_1024x537.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!J8_E!,w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fcb309406-1058-49cc-9908-7ad04c33dc7c_1024x537.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!J8_E!,w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fcb309406-1058-49cc-9908-7ad04c33dc7c_1024x537.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!J8_E!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fcb309406-1058-49cc-9908-7ad04c33dc7c_1024x537.png 1456w" sizes="100vw" fetchpriority="high"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg role="img" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><title></title><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><p><em>By Michael Phillips | CABayNews</em></p><p>Stockton, CA &#8212; A child&#8217;s birthday party became the site of yet another mass shooting in California on Saturday night, leaving <strong>at least four people dead &#8212; including three children &#8212; and eleven others injured</strong>, according to officials.</p><div class="subscription-widget-wrap-editor" data-attrs="{&quot;url&quot;:&quot;https://mikethunderphillips.substack.com/subscribe?&quot;,&quot;text&quot;:&quot;Subscribe&quot;,&quot;language&quot;:&quot;en&quot;}" data-component-name="SubscribeWidgetToDOM"><div class="subscription-widget show-subscribe"><div class="preamble"><p class="cta-caption">The Thunder Report is a reader-supported publication. To receive new posts and support my work, consider becoming a free or paid subscriber.</p></div><form class="subscription-widget-subscribe"><input type="email" class="email-input" name="email" placeholder="Type your email&#8230;" tabindex="-1"><input type="submit" class="button primary" value="Subscribe"><div class="fake-input-wrapper"><div class="fake-input"></div><div class="fake-button"></div></div></form></div></div><p>The attack occurred during an outdoor gathering in a residential neighborhood. Witnesses described chaos as gunfire erupted, striking multiple partygoers before shooters fled the scene. Police have not yet released suspect details, though early indications point to a targeted attack &#8212; likely tied to the organized criminal activity that has plagued Stockton for years.</p><p>While the investigation continues, the tragedy highlights a larger truth Californians are being forced to confront: <em>the state&#8217;s public-safety model is failing, and the cost is being measured in children&#8217;s lives.</em></p><div><hr></div><h2><strong>A State That Claims to Be &#8220;Gun-Safe&#8221; Keeps Leading the Nation in Gun Homicides</strong></h2><p>California&#8217;s political leadership has long marketed the state as a national model for gun control. Yet despite having the strictest gun laws in the country, California consistently ranks <strong>#1 in total gun murders</strong>, according to FBI data.</p><p>Stockton itself has repeatedly been a symbol of the state&#8217;s violent-crime problem:</p><ul><li><p>In 2022, Stockton experienced a series of high-profile serial and gang-related shootings.</p></li><li><p>In 2023 and 2024, homicides outpaced police staffing and community-response capacity.</p></li><li><p>Local law enforcement continues to warn that organized crime, drug-trade conflicts, and gang retaliations drive much of the violence.</p></li></ul><p>The question is no longer whether California has &#8220;enough gun laws.&#8221; The question is whether the current political leadership is willing to enforce them &#8212; and address the criminal networks behind the shootings.</p><div><hr></div><h2><strong>Decades of Soft-on-Crime Policies Are Catching Up</strong></h2><p>Leaders in Sacramento have spent years:</p><ul><li><p>Weakening sentencing for violent and repeat offenders</p></li><li><p>Releasing thousands of inmates early</p></li><li><p>Reducing accountability for juvenile offenders</p></li><li><p>Underfunding police departments</p></li><li><p>Passing legislation that treats organized criminal activity as &#8220;public-health&#8221; challenges rather than crimes</p></li></ul><p>These policies are often defended as &#8220;reform,&#8221; but families in Stockton are paying the real-world cost.</p><p>Even more troubling, California&#8217;s enforcement agencies &#8212; hamstrung by political restrictions &#8212; increasingly struggle to prevent retaliatory gang shootings, despite clear warning signs and known risk factors.</p><p>The result: <strong>violent criminals operate with impunity</strong>, and communities like Stockton bear the consequences.</p><div><hr></div><h2><strong>Children Are Dying &#8212; But the Political Conversation Never Changes</strong></h2><p>The death of three children at a birthday party should force a statewide reckoning. Instead, California officials often repeat the same script:</p><ul><li><p>Call for more gun restrictions</p></li><li><p>Avoid discussing organized-crime drivers</p></li><li><p>Avoid acknowledging policy failures</p></li><li><p>Push the blame onto firearms rather than the people using them</p></li><li><p>Avoid mentioning the consequences of de-policing</p></li></ul><p>Meanwhile, families in working-class communities &#8212; especially communities of color &#8212; experience the violence firsthand, with little political attention or meaningful intervention.</p><p>The Stockton shooting is not an outlier. It is part of a pattern.</p><div><hr></div><h2><strong>California Needs a Public-Safety Reset</strong></h2><p>A right-of-center approach does not dismiss reform &#8212; it demands <strong>balanced</strong> reform that protects communities and restores consequences for violent acts.</p><p>To stop incidents like the Stockton massacre, California must confront several realities:</p><ol><li><p><strong>Organized crime, not legal gun ownership, drives most shootings in the state.</strong></p></li><li><p><strong>Lenient sentencing and early-release policies embolden repeat offenders.</strong></p></li><li><p><strong>Political hostility toward law enforcement undermines deterrence and investigations.</strong></p></li><li><p><strong>Communities cannot rely on gun restrictions alone to keep children safe.</strong></p></li><li><p><strong>Public safety requires enforcement, accountability, and visible deterrence.</strong></p></li></ol><p>Until state leadership accepts these truths, California will continue experiencing the same tragedies &#8212; even while claiming to be the nation&#8217;s &#8220;gun-safety&#8221; leader.</p><div><hr></div><h2><strong>A Turning Point? Or Another Ignored Warning?</strong></h2><p>Four more Californians &#8212; including three children &#8212; lost their lives at a celebration that should have been innocent and joyful. Eleven others were wounded. Families are shattered.</p><p>California could choose to treat this as the breaking point &#8212; the moment when leaders finally reconsider the policies that helped create today&#8217;s environment of lawlessness.</p><p>Or, as has become routine, the state can ignore the root causes, issue platitudes, and move on.</p><p>The families in Stockton deserve something more than the standard political script.<br>They deserve safety.<br>They deserve accountability.<br>They deserve leadership that tells the truth about the crisis California is in.</p><div class="subscription-widget-wrap-editor" data-attrs="{&quot;url&quot;:&quot;https://mikethunderphillips.substack.com/subscribe?&quot;,&quot;text&quot;:&quot;Subscribe&quot;,&quot;language&quot;:&quot;en&quot;}" data-component-name="SubscribeWidgetToDOM"><div class="subscription-widget show-subscribe"><div class="preamble"><p class="cta-caption">The Thunder Report is a reader-supported publication. To receive new posts and support my work, consider becoming a free or paid subscriber.</p></div><form class="subscription-widget-subscribe"><input type="email" class="email-input" name="email" placeholder="Type your email&#8230;" tabindex="-1"><input type="submit" class="button primary" value="Subscribe"><div class="fake-input-wrapper"><div class="fake-input"></div><div class="fake-button"></div></div></form></div></div>]]></content:encoded></item></channel></rss>